I had a feeling that if Herget was put on the voting list that he might jump some guys that were already on it. It also puts Herget right around where most “experts” slot him. Some have him up near ten and others have him out of the Top 20. Mostly, that has to do with him being a reliever and not having the most wowing stuff. But, Herget has a really good shot to make the team in the bullpen. Part of it has to do with his previous success in the minors with very little to prove, the other being that the bullpen is quite top heavy and there should be some good battles in Spring Training that he could win.
Stuart Fairchild, OF, 22
Highest 2018 Level: A+ (Daytona)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: .377 OBP in Dayton
Most Worrisome Fact: Hit tool waned against more advanced pitching
Alias(es): Stuart Little, Sweet Summer Fairchild, Stuballs
Stu was drafted by the Reds in the second round of the 2017 draft, 38th overall. Out of Wake Forest, a strong junior season wiped away a so-so sophomore year. The Reds saw potential, and drafted him early in the 2nd, though a little under slot, at 1.8 million dollars.
Fairchild did plenty in Billings in 2017 to earn a spot on the Dayton Dragons to begin 2018. He continued to hit there, racking up a .277/.377/.460 line. He stole 17 bases in the Midwest League, while walking 31 times and striking out 65 times in 276 plate appearances.
Daytona was not as friendly to the second rounder, where he only slashed .250/.306/.350 in 242 PA at the higher level, striking out another 63 times as opposed to only 17 walks. The FSL is an adjustment, to be sure, but I’m sure the Reds would like to see some more plate discipline as the second round junior draftee rose up the ranks.
Still, Fairchild does a lot of things well. While the tools don’t necessarily jump off the page, he still has plenty of speed, and it shows both on the basepaths and in the field. If he sticks in centerfield, he can make his fringe-average power work. If he improves on his swing and miss tendencies and also taps into his power a bit more, he should be able to stick anywhere.
Regardless, he’ll probably get another go with the Tortugas to begin the season.
Mariel Bautista, OF, 21
Highest 2018 Level: Rookie (Billings)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: K% (12.4%) with a .211 ISO is yee-fuckin’-haw
Most Worrisome Fact: He’s not yet played full season baseball at this point, and is now 21 years old.
Alias(es): Maury, Drax the Destroyer
Mariel was signed as a 17 year old out of the Dominican Republic way back in 2014, and, you know, he’s been slow to really put himself on the Reds prospect map. He’s done so now.
Mariel’s jumping in here because it’s worth it, based on what little we’ve seen. He was listed 21st on MLBPipeline’s list as late as whenever they updated that thing (probably mid-season?). He got 233 PA as a 20 year old at Billings this season and hit 8 HR with a .330/.386/.541 slash line. That’s right in line with a +.300 average for his “pro” career, but he finally tapped into his power in a meaningful way, bopping 24 extra base hits as well.
The athleticism put him on the Reds radar to begin with. At 6’3” and a frame to build on, with what’s reported as speed for days, he seems like the Reds next five-toolsy player to dream on. Except, in this case, he doesn’t necessarily have to fix a strike out problem.
Keury Mella, 25, RHP
Highest 2018 Level: MLB (Reds)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: 3.00 ERA across 108 AA and AAA innings, 8.4 K/9, 3.1 BB/9
Most Worrisome Fact: He’s gotten destroyed at the MLB level, slow development, and can he start?
Alias(es): Hella Mella, Mellow Yellow, Hot Keury
It feels like this guy has been around forever, and he kind of has. The Reds traded for Keury Mella in 2015, when he was 21 years old, as the headliner in the trade for Mike Leake. Adam Duvall was more of the throw in after thought until he started bashing the ball. Mella was the Giants #1 prospect so he was obviously the big snag. Ever since, he’s been toiling around in the Reds minors where he shows flashes of brilliance and at other times frustration.
To be honest, I was unsure about adding Mella to this list even at this point. However, the experts have him slotted around this spot so I’m going to err towards their expertise. Mella is a power pitcher with a hard mid to high 90’s fastball, an above average slider, and an average change up. While that all sounds real nice, he often has problems locating those pitches and can lose his control completely. This tends to lead to higher walks, and in his case getting smacked around a bit too much. Even then, his superior stuff hasn’t always translated to great strikeout numbers.
Mella has helped out the Reds the past two years by coming up when the rotation and/or the bullpen was short and proving so much needed relief for the parent club. However, most of those outings were disastrous for his final line and put some speculation into some as to whether he’s really got the stuff. Still, scouts are pretty high on his arm even if there is more belief in him being a reliever. With the recent moves the Reds have made, and the short time they have to control him, it’s very likely the pen is his new home. Based on his 2018 minor league season and that stuff, there is still reason to believe he could reach that potential of mid rotation starter.
Hendrik Clementina, 21, C
Highest 2018 Level: A (Dayton)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: 18 HR, 33 BB in 376 at bats. .229 ISO
Most Worrisome Fact: Speculation about whether or not he’ll be able to hit advanced pitching and his skills behind the plate. 26.3% K% last year.
Alias(es): Oh My Darlin’ Clementina, The Mighty Hendrik, Sweet Juicy Clementina
Hendrik Clementina has been with the Reds for a relatively short time (a little more than a year). He was brought to town in the trade where the Reds shipped off Tony Cingrani to the Dodgers. Quietly, Clementina had one of the better years out of anyone at Dayton. He hits for some obvious power and isn’t adverse to getting on base. His year totaled up for a .268/.327/.497 slash line. He hit a total of 41 extra base hits while being Dayton’s full time catcher for the most part.
The knock on Clementina will probably always be whether or not he’ll be able to advance his hit tool against more superior pitching talent. He’s had his ups and downs in his career but really had a strong 2018. Scouts also worry about his ability to stick behind the plate. His arm is pretty decent and his pass ball numbers and caught stealing numbers were pretty normal. Everything here makes Hendrik look like quite project going forward but there’s some obvious upside to be had. Hopefully, he continues to pound the hell out of the ball in Daytona.
Who is the Reds #14 prospect?
This poll is closed
Stuart Fairchild, OF
Mariel Bautist, OF
Keury Mella, RHP
Hendrik Clementina, C