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2015 Community Prospect Rankings: Junior Arias is Your #24 Prospect

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The outfielder not the pitcher.

Junior Arias is your #24 prospect.  He's struggled with injury the past season, and didn't have much of a 2014.  Before that, all he showed was a ton of power and speed.  If you are into tools, he is a guy to watch.  Now, if he would just start taking some walks.

Juan Silva, 24, OF

Highest 2014 Level: A+ (Bakersfield)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
48 walks and 49 strikeouts in 307 PAs.  34 steals in 43 chances
Most Worrisome Fact:
.127 ISO and injury problems
Alias(es):
High Ho Silva

People may not expect to see Juan Silva on the list, yet.  However, he's always been a guy I've liked.  He plays good outfield defense, and has shown the ability and willingness to take a walk at every level.  He's drastically cut down on his strikeouts from early in his career, lowering his strikeout rate every single year.  The problem is he has shown very little power.  In the California League, which is notorious giving players a power boost, he only hit 4 home runs in 2014.  He's never had over 500 PAs in a season, and only 307 last year.  I don't know specifically what his injury was, but it seems like he barely played in the latter half of the season.  The Reds have had Silva take it slow, only making it to A+ after six seasons in the minors.  He's 24 coming in to this season and hopefully they will be more aggressive with him.  That all depends on Silva staying on the field.

Jeremy Kivel, 21, SP

Highest 2014 Level: Rookie (Billings)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
9.7 K/9
Most Worrisome Fact:
12.0 H/9, 4.6 BB/9, and a 1.844 WHIP
Alias(es):
Evil Kivel, Kivel Dead, Jui-Jitsu Jeremy

Jeremy Kivel was a taken in the 10th round of the 2013 draft.  He was considered a risky pick because of college commitments, but with one with high upside.  Kivel has a live arm and a very athletic build, and there is a lot of talk about his MMA hobbies.  The Reds have been taking it slow with Kivel, having him play in Rookie ball the last two years.  2014 was an up and down year for Kivel, striking out almost 10 batters per nine innings, but allowing way too many to reach base.  He was very hittable and wasn't stingy with the walks.  Kivel still has a lot of potential which keeps him on our lists.  Kivel should start the season in Dayton, and if he performs well, he could get a shot in Daytona.

Ismael Guillon, 22, LHP

Highest 2014 Level: A+ (Bakersfield)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
Career K/9 over 9
Most Worrisome Fact:
On 40-man roster, still frequently sucks
Alias(es):
Call Me Ismael; The Guillontine; Moby Dickhead because he hasn't put it together

I can't believe you people made me put Guillon on this list. He is infuriating. That changeup is filthy, sometimes, and his fastball is solid for a lefty, sitting low-90s and touching a bit more. For some dumbass reason, he was signed to a contract early on that required he be put on the 40-man this year, so his options are dwindling faster than his skills are progressing. But there's still solid stuff there, and I do think Guillon could be a solid bullpen piece eventually, I just don't know if he'll put it all together in time to do it for the Reds. He was still over a year younger than league average in Bakersfield, but that doesn't matter when you're burning options like wastoids burn doobs.

Sebastian Elizalde, 23, OF

Highest 2014 Level: A+ (Bakersfield)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
.941 OPS in Dayton
Most Worrisome Fact:
Old-ish for his level, facing inferior competition.
Alias(es):
The Lizard; Sea Biscuit

The Reds signed Elizalde out of the Mexican League in 2013, but missed most of that season with Tommy John surgery.  He came out of the gate strong in 2014, slashing .311/.439/.503 in his first 55 stateside games.  He earned a promotion to Bakersfield where he stalled out a bit.  All in all he finished the year with a .289/.380/.479 line with 16 dingers and 29 doubles.  Elizalde could use a great deal of improvement on the basepaths, getting caught 17 times in 36 attempts.

Tyler Mahle, 20, SP

Highest 2014 Level: Rookie (Billings)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
4.73 K/BB ratio, 1.8 BB/9
Most Worrisome Fact:
9.4 H/9... that's about it.
Alias(es):
Darth Mahle, Tyler Moneyball, DragonMahle Z

Tyler Mahle was a 7th round pick of the 2013 draft out of Westminster, California.  Mahle was quietly one of the best pitchers on the Billings staff last year.  He controlled the walks (1.8 BB/9) and was able to strike guys out (8.3 K/9).  The big thing he did was control the home runs, only giving up 0.6 HR/9 in a league where the ball flies far.  The Billings staff was pretty bad, and we've had a guy on this list that might have a higher ceiling, but didn't perform as well as Mahle.  A lot of Mahle's stats have been skewed by a three games where he gave up 18 runs in 8.1 innings.  So, let that sit in your mind a bit.  Tyler is an athletic kid that sits in the low 90's with his fastball, but could be a mid 90's pitcher as he fills out.