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Reds vs. Cardinals, Game 1: Preview/Prediction Thread

When the sink doesn't (D)Wainwright, you have a Leake.

Next Game

St. Louis Cardinals
@ Cincinnati Reds

Friday, Jun 7, 2013, 7:10 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park

Adam Wainwright vs Mike Leake

Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 75.

Complete Coverage >

The Cardinals will make their first trip to Cincinnati in 2013 as the Reds and Cards kick off a 3-day weekend series full of intrigue. Representing 2 of the top 3 records in the National League, this series will have the feel of playoff baseball in June. The Cardinals and Reds manage to win games in very similar ways: strong starting pitching, powerful lineup, pray that the bullpen doesn't blow the lead.

After a decent season in 2012, Adam Wainwright is back to his dominant ways this year. His 3.5 WAR on the season is the best in baseball among pitchers. He has put together a nifty 8-3 record and 2.33 ERA behind an unbelievable K/BB ratio (14.00!!!), also tops in baseball. He simply doesn't put men on base, having walked only 6 hitters all season. He is also pitching deep into games, averaging well over 7 inning per start. Oh... he also doesn't give up the long ball, surrendering only 2 HR all season. He's been insanely good.

Of course, the Reds will counter with perhaps their hottest pitcher, Mike Leake. In his young career, Leake has never looked so good. His last four starts have covered 28 innings and he's allowed only 1 earned run. We can only hope that his incredible run will continue tonight.

The bullpen should be completely recovered from Wednesday's debacle. Just like most weeks, the Reds best relief pitcher has been utilized the least over the last 5 days. Used only in save situations, here's to hoping we see Aroldis Chapman three days in a row!

Bullpen Log

Reliever 6/2 6/3 6/4 6/5 6/6 5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman
1.0, 23p

- 1.0 IP, 23 pitches
Jonathan Broxton 1.0, 16p

1.0, 16p -
2.0 IP, 32 pitches
Sam LeCure

1.0, 24p
1.0 IP, 24 pitches
J.J. Hoover 0.2, 10p
1.0, 16p
0.2, 10p -
2.1 IP, 36 pitches
Logan Ondrusek

1.1, 15p
1.1 IP, 15 pitches
Manny Parra
0.1, 6p

1.0, 24p
1.1 IP, 30 pitches
Alfredo Simon 2.2, 42p

2.0, 37p -

4.2 IP, 79 pitches

If and when the Reds sweep the series we'll all celebrate, exuberantly!