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Innings paces for the Reds' pitching staff, with 30 games to go

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Looks painful, but he's been through much worse.
Looks painful, but he's been through much worse.

Here's a data dump in honor of "Thirsty (for data) Thursday":

Pitcher Age Current IP Pace 2011 3 yr avg 3 yr high
Johnny Cueto 26 181.2 222.0 156.0 169.2 185.2
Mat Latos 26 168.2 206.0 194.1 167.1 194.1
Bronson Arroyo 35 164.0 202.0 199.0 211.2 220.1
Homer Bailey 26 159.1 196.0 162.0 165.2 203.0
Mike Leake 24 151.2 188.0 167.2 156.2 175.0
Aroldis Chapman + 24 64.0 76.0 63.0 86.0 109.0
Jonathan Broxton 28 44.2 53.0 14.2 51.0 76.0
Sean Marshall 29 50.0 59.1 75.2 78.2 85.1
Jose Arredondo++ 28 53.0 63.0 68.2 67.1 68.2
Sam LeCure* 28 46.1 55.0 84.1 124.2 143.1
J.J. Hoover** 24 59.0 70.0 105.2 125 153.1
Alfredo Simon*** 31 50.0 59.1 133.2 68.2 133.2

+ Started for majority of 2010

++Tommy John, missed 2010

* Starter in '09, part-time starter '10-'11

**Started through '10, part-time starter in '11, relief in '12

*** Started in '09, most of '11, relief in '10

Starters' pace assumes everyone stays on turn until the end of the season (6 more starts for each SP at current pace).

IP totals considers regular season innings in majors and minors.

Innings counts are a blunt tool, but with the above table and my own biases I think the Reds only really need to worry about tamping down the innings for Cueto, Bailey and possibly Chapman in preparation for the post-season. They can either skip Bailey or Cueto once and/or slot in a spot-starter.

Chapman's innings history might mean he's OK to be used normally in September, but I think his 2010 skews things too much. He's thrown around 90% fastballs - and while he's not dialing it up the way he was in late '10-'11, he's not trying to be a starter either.