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Game 117 Preview & Thread: Reds vs. Mets (7:10 EDT). Leake vs. Dickey.

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New York Mets
@ Cincinnati Reds

Wednesday, Aug 15, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park

R.A. Dickey vs Mike Leake

Coverage

TV: FSO-HD, SNY-HD; RADIO: WLW, WFAN, WQBU; WEB: MLB.tv, Gameday Audio, Gameday

Weather

Clear. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 85.

Complete Coverage >


To put it plainly, the Reds' worst starter matches up today against one of the league's 2 or 3 best. But with how the Reds have been playing recently (4 straight) and since the Break (23-8, damn), this reality just doesn't have the urgency it might if the Reds flailing around in the Wild Card pack. Leake's struggles don't have to cause a freak-out.

This is the third time the Reds have faced Dickey (and the second this season). Last time the Reds saw him, on May 17 of this year, there was little data on how Reds' hitters handled the knuckleball. Only Ludwick and Valdez had faced him more than 5 times, while Cairo was the only other Reds hitter with more than 4 PAs against a knuckleballer. (He was .269/.345/.308 in 29 lifetime PAs against Tim Wakefield.)

We now have a little bit more of a book. Dickey vs. the Reds:

PA H HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG
Scott Rolen 11 5 1 4 1 1 .556 .545 1.000
Ryan Ludwick 9 3 1 2 0 0 .375 .444 .750
Wilson Valdez 9 2 0 0 1 3 .250 .333 .250
Brandon Phillips 8 2 0 1 0 1 .250 .250 .500
Drew Stubbs 7 1 0 1 0 5 .143 .143 .143
Jay Bruce 6 1 0 0 0 3 .167 .167 .333
Todd Frazier 5 1 0 0 1 2 .250 .400 .250
Miguel Cairo 3 1 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333
Zack Cozart 3 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000
Ryan Hanigan 3 1 0 1 0 0 .333 .333 .667
Xavier Paul 3 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000
Total 71 17 2 10 3 18 .270 .304 .444
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/15/2012.
Mike Leake Stats R.A. Dickey
4.51 (94)
ERA (ERA+) 2.72 (141)
1.337
WHIP 1.004
2.94
K/BB 4.61
4.17
FIP 2.89
3.71
xFIP 3.08
3.90
SIERA 2.99
131.2
IP 162.1

LINEUPS

REDS

Zack Cozart (R) SS
Drew Stubbs (R) CF
Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
Ryan Ludwick (R) LF
Jay Bruce (L) RF
Scott Rolen (R) 3B
Todd Frazier (R) 1B
Devin Mesoraco (R) C
Mike Leake (R) P

METS

Mike Baxter (L) RF
Ruben Tejada (R) SS
Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
David Wright (R) 3B
Ike Davis (L) 1B
Jordany Valdespin (L) LF
Andres Torres (S) CF
Josh Thole (L) C
R.A. Dickey (R) P

Bullpen Log

Reliever 8/10 8/11 8/12 8/13 8/14 5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman 1.1, 20p 1.0, 13p 1.0, 17p -
3.1 P, 50 pitches
Sean Marshall 0.1, 14p -
1.0, 11p
1.1 IP, 25 pitches
Jonathan Broxton 0.2, 21p -
0.2 IP, 21 pitches
Logan Ondrusek -
0 IP, 0 pitches
Jose Arredondo 0.1, 6p -
1.0, 22p
1.1 IP, 28 pitches
Sam LeCure 0.2, 8p - 0.2 IP, 8 pitches
Alfredo Simon -
0.0 IP, 0 pitches

Bullpen notes:

  • LeCure and Broxton were both suffering from shoulder soreness. I don't want to guess what the effective active roster number has been for the past few days, but everyone's OK now!
  • Alfredo Simon last pitched on August 5 (3.0 IP, 46 pitches)
  • Logan Ondrusek last pitched August 9