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Game 84 Preview: Reds @ Padres (10:10 EDT). Bailey vs. Richard.

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Cincinnati Reds
@ San Diego Padres

Saturday, Jul 7, 2012, 10:05 PM EDT
Petco Park

Homer Bailey vs Clayton Richard

Coverage

TV: FSO-HD, FSSD-HD; RADIO: WLW, XPRS, XEMO; WEB: MLB.tv, Gameday Audio, Gameday

Weather

Clear. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 65.

Complete Coverage >


Careful now. Tonight's starting pitcher's name is Clayton, which is a dangerous pitching name to run across. (Unless it's a Redleg.)

The Reds can get back into a tie for first if the Pirates lose to the Giants (4:05 EDT), which would set them up to reclaim sole possession on the last day before the All Star Break. It's an arbitrary achievement, but it's carries at least a little psychological weight. Also, if the players strike during the All Star Break, the Reds will claim a First Half Playoff berth.

Richard and Bailey are pretty evenly-matched as starters with adjusted ERAs around league average. Hopefully, one advantage Bailey can continue to exploit is his re-discovered ability to reach back and hit 96-97 on the gun, even late in the game. If there really is a quantum leap, for most hitters, from 94/95 to 96/97, then Bailey has picked up a new weapon.

And Homer Bailey likes weapons.

Homer Bailey
Stats Clayton Richard
4.24 (99)
ERA (ERA+) 3.64 (100)
1.321
WHIP 1.205
2.43
K/BB 2.36
4.66
FIP 4.30
4.45
xFIP 4.00
4.37
SIERA 4.13
97.2
IP 113.2

Lineups

REDS (45-38)

Zack Cozart (R) SS
Drew Stubbs (R) CF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
Jay Bruce (L) RF
Todd Frazier (R) 3B
Chris Heisey (R) LF
Devin Mesoraco (R) C
Homer Bailey (R) P

PADRES (34-51)

Chris Denorfia (R) RF
Alexi Amarista (L) SS
Chase Headley (S) 3B
Carlos Quentin (R) LF
Yasmani Grandal (S) C
Yonder Alonso (L) 1B
Cameron Maybin (R) CF
Logan Forsythe (R) 2B
Clayton Richard (L) P

Bullpen Log

Reliever 7/2 7/3 7/4 7/5 7/6
5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman 1.0, 18p


THESE
1.0 IP, 18 pitches
Sean Marshall


0.2, 13p CGs
0.2 IP, 13 pitches
Logan Ondrusek
1.0, 18p
0.1, 14p have
1.1 IP, 32 pitches
Jose Arredondo

1.0, 19p
become
1.0 IP, 19 pitches
Sam LeCure


0.0, 1p banal.
0.0 IP, 1 pitch
Alfredo Simon



good job
0.0 IP, 0 pitches
Bill Bray

0.0, 16p
BRONSON
0.0 IP, 16 pitches

Bullpen notes:

  • The Reds' pitching staff now leads the majors in ERA+ (123) and CGs (7). That doesn't give the bullpen a ton to do, but I'd expect/hope Simon and Chapman could both get some work in before the break.