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That's it for these. If anyone has any spare names they'd like arranged into a list, I'd be grateful.
We're going to be running player-by-player previews and scouting for the starting rotation, but for now lets look at the larger picture. After trading away Edinson Volquez and Travis Wood - and seeing departures by Matt Maloney and Daryl Thompson - the pool feels a little shallow. But the net improvement that brought Mat Latos to town was worth it (right?) - and if you assume that Jeff Francis will make the team (or take his bonus and start out at AAA), while Chapman will continue starting, maybe there's more depth than it would appear.
The Reds have averaged close to 10 pitchers making at least one start per season in the Dusty Baker era and around 8 pitchers making 3 or more starts. Chapman and Francis could be added to the presumptive starting five and it could easily account for over 90% of starts this season. But considering both players have a somewhat tenuous status, we could see one or more arms from the lower reaches of this list making more than just a few spot starts - especially if injuries mount up.
Rank |
Name |
Age (2012) |
40 man? |
Zips projected ERA+ |
2011 IP |
Projected '12 IP |
Expected level on OD 2012 |
1 |
Johnny Cueto |
26 | Y | 110 | 156.0 | 175 | MLB |
2 |
Mat Latos |
24 | Y | 119 | 194.1 | 192 | MLB |
3 |
Bronson Arroyo |
35 | Y | 83 | 199.0 | 185 | MLB |
4 |
Mike Leake |
24 | Y | 91 | 167.2 | 178 | MLB |
5 |
Homer Bailey |
26 | Y | 94 | 132.0 |
145 | MLB |
6 |
Jeff Francis |
31 | N | 4.60(ERA) | 183.0 | 95 |
AAA |
7 |
Aroldis Chapman |
24 | Y | 104 | 50 |
45 | MLB(RP) |
8 |
Sam LeCure |
26 | Y | 92 | 77.2 | 35 | MLB(RP) |
9 |
Chad Reineke |
28 | N | 82 | 6.2 | <10 | AAA |
10 | Brett Tomko | 39 | N | 6.33(ERA!!) | 17.2 | <10 | AAA |
11 |
Sean Gallagher |
26 | N | 72 | 0.0 | - | AAA |
12 | Andrew Brackman | 26 | Y | 60 | 2.1 | - | AAA |
13 |
Clayton Tanner |
24 | N | 67 |
- | - |
AAA |
14 |
Pedro Villareal |
24 |
Y | 69 | - | - |
AA |
15 |
Kyle Lotzkar |
22 | Y | - | - | - |
AA |
Arm-by-arm look at the rotation coming soon.