Rob Neyer looks at the Reds


Our Nat'l Baseball Editor sez the chances to repeat will be slim if the starting pitching does not offset the alleged inevitable regression in the offense. The Rotation Ace Race is judged deep, but without a clear front-runner. PECOTA gets top billing here as the gauge for the Red's overall chances. Post-Wainwright, it still only gives the Reds an 18% chance of taking the Central.