Depth Chart, circa Spring 2011: Position Players

I've never quite understood the term "position player." "Pitcher" is also a position, isn't it? So I'm not sure what distinction this makes. I've been championing the term "no pitch 'ems" for years, but so far: no luck.

Here's volume two of my attempt to take a non-family-metaphor-based snapshot of the roster going into Spring Training 2011. I've based this primarily on the line of succession I think it in place and which will dictate how players are used this season. I'm anticipating that the team's new-found "win now" approach, designed to keep pace with St. Louis and Milwaukee, will give it a more aggressive outlook on the depth chart than in years past.

I've also included back-up/starter and playing time (%) columns for position players. These indicate whether a player is a potential regular at the position this year (which I've defined as getting at least 30% of starts) - even if as a result of injury or trade - and how much time they are projected to play at the start of the season. In some cases, "starters" will leapfrog "back-ups." For example: While Miguel Cairo is likely to spell Votto periodically at 1B, Yonder is the next fulltime 1B in the queue.

At the major league level, there isn't a whole lot of guesswork required with respect to positions and playing time. SS, as as it's been almost perennially in the post-Larkin age, and LF, are exceptions. And as soon as one of the stalwarts goes down, there could be much yelling and gnashing of lineup cards.

Charts after the jump ("chart" doesn't seem like a very apt term either).

Catcher

After the awesome and horrifying two-headed catching tandem of Rymon Hernanigan, whose PT may prove to be roughly equivalent this season, things get a little murky. Mesoraco is knocking on the door if he continues to hit at AAA, but would he be called up to back-up or split time if one of those two heads were incapacitated? He's not on the 40-man at present - though, it should be noted, neither is Corky Miller.  Meanwhile, Yasmani Grandal, who is one of the 40, may start the year in low-A. The picture at catcher is very much a shot in time, with one of the most influential factors being Mesoraco's continued ascendancy. 

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Ramon Hernandez	35	Y	92	S	55%
2	Ryan Hanigan	30	Y	95	S	45%
3	Corky Miller	35	N	72	BU	-
4	Devin Mesoraco	23	N	103	S	-
5	Chris Denove	27	N	71	BU	-
6	Yasmani Grandal +	22	Y	N/A	S	-

First base

Known within firstbaseman circles by its proper name: Joey Votto Chair for 1B Supremacy. Given Joey's invincibility and my belief in a just world, this is just a formality:

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Joey Votto*	27	Y	151	S	95%
2	Miguel Cairo	37	Y	78	BU	5%
3	Yonder Alonso*	24	Y	102	S	-
4	Daniel Dorn	26	N	107	S	-
5	Todd Frazier	25	Y	94	BU	-

Second base

Another one without much ambiguity at the top. Early word is that Renteria will see time at both center infield positions, possibly making making Cairo almost exclusively a corner IF back-up.

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Brandon Phillips	30	Y	102	S	90%
2	Edgar Renteria	34	Y	82	S	10%
3	Miguel Cairo	37	Y	78	BU	-
4	Chris Valaika	25	Y	82	S	-
5	Todd Frazier	25	Y	94	BU	-
6	Zach Cozart	25	Y	82	BU	-

Short stop

Gets more interesting at short. While the party line is that Janish is the starter, Dusty & Co. have played it close to the vest as to what this means in practice. This is the position where Dusty's alleged veteran bias collides head-on his tendency to assign strict roles to starters, with less time-sharing, and to stick his man through extended slumps.

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Paul Janish	28	Y	72	S	60%
2	Edgar Renteria	34	Y	82	S	40%
3	Zach Cozart	25	Y	82	S	-
4	Kris Negron	25	Y	72	S	-
5	Chris Valaika	25	Y	82	BU	-

Third base

Just another Gold Glove/All Star at the top of the heap. Dusty had Scott Rolen on a rough schedule of at least once-weekly rest last season, which works out to missing a minimum of about 1/6 of games. Given how Rolen wore down as the season did, Baker may be even more cautious  in '11. By practicing preventative medicine, injury need not be an inevitability, but 130 GS is probably the ceiling.

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Scott Rolen	36	Y	110	S	75%
2	Miguel Cairo	37	Y	78	BU	20%
3	Juan Francisco	24	Y	102	S	5%
4	Todd Frazier	25	Y	94	S	-
5	Chris Valaika	25	Y	82	BU	-

LF

Left field is probably the least predictable position for both playing time and rank order. Dusty has indicated, both in remarks to the press this offseason and his lineup cards last season, that Gomes is his primary LFer. But that doesn't really jive with a possible platoon involving Fred Lewis, wherein Gomes - the LHP specialist - gets about 30% of starts. Though if I were Fred Lewis, or a snot-nosed blogger, I would exercise caution in challenging a Jonny Gomes, backed by the full faith and credit of his manager.

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Jonny Gomes	30	Y	100	S	50%
2	Fred Lewis*	30	Y	98	S	40%
3	Chris Heisey	26	Y	96	BU	10%
4	Jeremy Hermida	27	N	80	S	-
5	Todd Frazier	25	Y	94	S	-
6	Dave Sappelt	24	N	95	S	-

CF

By all accounts, Drew Stubbs has this position on retainer, though he has to stay healthy and avoid the pitfalls of a sophomore slump. Depending on Stubbs performance and how LF playing time shakes out, Dusty may be tempted to force-fit Fred Lewis into CF for some starts based on his lead-off man capabilities, though Heisey is really the one who profiles as Stubbs' back-up. I hope this is the year Dusty's CF/leadoff conflation becomes a distant memory, but I'm not counting on it.

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Drew Stubbs	26	Y	92	S	85%
2	Chris Heisey	26	Y	96	S	10%
3	Fred Lewis*	30	Y	98	BU	5%
4	Dave Sappelt	24	N	95	BU	-

RF

Don't get injured. Same goes for all the other good players from before.

Rank	Name	Age (2011)	40 man?	Zips Projected OPS+	S/BU?	PT (%)
1	Jay Bruce*	24	Y	123	S	90%
2	Chris Heisey	26	Y	96	S	5%
3	Jonny Gomes	30	Y	100	BU	5%
4	Fred Lewis*	30	Y	98	BU	-