The Reds may have gotten lucky to avoid Tim Lincecum this series, but that doesn't mean they've got an easy path to victory. Matt Cain has been nails over his last 4 starts, pitching 31 innings and allowing just 3 earned runs. He's been doing it with a 2:1 GB/FB ratio and a 2.5:1 K/BB ratio. The good news for the Reds is that they lead the NL in batting average and OPS on ground balls, though they are just 10th in the NL in OPS versus groundball pitchers. Some of that difference might be due to the fact that the Reds have faced "groundball pitchers" (as BBRef defines them) in nearly 100 more plate appearances than the next closest team.
With Homer Bailey making the start in Louisville tonight, this could be the last start we'll see from Sam LeCure in the big leagues, at least until they come up with a fictitious injury for Aaron Harang. I wish the kid luck. He hasn't been great, but he's done pretty much what you would hope a spot starter would do. Hopefully, for his sake, this won't be his last taste of the big leagues.
If you are going down to the park, remember to Vote Votto (and Rolen)! Joey Votto is now 4th in the NL in All-Star voting, with Brandon Phillips in 5th place at second base. Scott Rolen still hasn't charted, but there is time. Keep doing your civic duty!
Go Reds! They're a team that I like!