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Game 143 Thread: Reds at Cubs

Next Game

Cincinnati Reds
@ Chicago Cubs

Sunday, Sep 13, 2009, 2:20 PM EDT
Wrigley Field

Homer Bailey vs Ted Lilly

Mostly sunny. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 80.

Complete Coverage >

2009 - Homer Bailey 5-4 5.60 1.54 58 41

2009 - Ted Lilly 11-8 3.17 1.07 130 32

Well, we're down to 20 of these bad boys left. Just a few more weeks until you'll be desperate for some games again.

Homer Bailey has a 1.67 ERA over his last 4 starts, which has brought his ERA all the way down 7.35 to 5.60. If he can post an ERA somewhere around 2.50 over his last 4 starts, he can actually get that ERA under 5.00 for the year, assuming he pitches enough innings. It'd be a little victory, but a victory nonetheless. Then again, he's thrown 114 or more pitches in 4 straight games. His arm may wear out before he gets there.

For some reason, I always think of Ted Lilly owning the Reds, but he is just 1-6 with a 4.53 ERA against them in his career. It's probably because his first 2 career starts against the Reds, he dominated them, giving up 5 hits and 2 runs in 13 innings while striking out 19 and walking just 2. Then again, he pitched 7 innings back in April against the Reds and only gave up 1 unearned run, but he took the loss because Johnny Cueto was all kinds of awesome that day. So, hopefully Lilly is just cursed and will continue to be. At this point, I expect the offense to be shutdown, so hopefully it's just not so bad that the pitching can't win the game for the Reds.

A win today splits this long road trip. That'd be nice to see.