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Community Projection: Ken Griffey Jr.

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We've now seen three straight seasons where Ken Griffey Jr. has managed to top 100 games, culminating in his 144 game performance last season.

He'll be 38 this year, which makes it really hard for me to think that he's going to be able to duplicate his games played from 2007.

That being said, I think Griffey has clearly figured out some ways to protect himself from injury. This is entirely subjective, but I don't think he goes after balls in the outfield with the same recklessness these days. There are times when I feel like I might scream if I see another catchable ball fall five feet in front of Griffey for a single.

Ken Griffey Jr. should have long since been moved to first base, but at this point it almost doesn't matter any more. The Reds have mismanaged him over the past few seasons, not moving him to first, and not being able to move him to left because of Dunn, but that's all coming to an end after 2008. The Reds will almost certainly be buying out his contract at the end of the season rather than pay him $16.5 million in 2009. Although stranger things have happened I suppose.

A guy like Griffey is tough to project, because he could play anywhere from 0 to 145 games without it surprising anyone. I tend to think he'll suffer some nagging injuries at the least, limiting him to less playing time than he saw in 2007. And I don't think people will mind too much, as it'll only make it easier for Jay Bruce to find playing time.

My projection for Junior is .255/.340/.510, with 25 home runs, 68 RBI, 2 stolen bases, and 124 games played.

Leave your projection for Ken Griffey Jr. as AVG/OBP/SLG / HR / RBI / SB / Games, and add commentary saying why you feel that way.