Reds Still Looking At Joe Blanton
From Daugherty:
The Reds and Dodgers are talking with Oakland about Joe Blanton. Blanton has won 42 games in the past 3 years, was 14-10 last year and is already signed this year, to a relatively cheap $3.8 million deal.
I know all about Blanton's home/road splits, but I would still be ok with acquiring him, assuming the Reds don't give up any of their big four.
You just can't ever have enough pitching, and picking up Blanton would give the Reds 6-7 guys who could start without putting up Eric Milton like numbers. It's rare to make it through an entire season with just five starters anyway, and right now the Reds have a lot of question marks as it is, even with the starting five they have penciled in.
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Who would they trade?
The question for me is, is Blanton moving from a major pitcher's park to GABP really an upgrade over Bailey or Cueto in the long-term? I'm not sure of the answer on that, and I think that is the biggest risk of dealing for him. He's a decent ground ball pitcher, but not so much that I'd consider him safe in GABP, especially since he doesn't strike out many batters. Seems like he'll be awfully dependent on a weak defense to be successful.
I'll take him, but I wouldn't give up much to get him.
is that how your mom...
by jacob brumfield on Feb 7, 2008 3:30 PM EST up reply actions
Brendan...
And why is he so mean to your mom?
by chandrathan on Feb 7, 2008 10:07 PM EST up reply actions
As the dad of five adopted kids,
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 7, 2008 4:59 PM EST up reply actions
Every bit as painful and,
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 7, 2008 7:58 PM EST up reply actions
59 years ago I was adopted,
Great to hear.
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 10, 2008 1:07 PM EST up reply actions
Kudos to you and your family.
My Mom is now 97 and is still a fanatic Reds fan and that just one of the many wonderful reason that I love her. Where would I be without her...
What are your kids ages..any ballplayers among 'em?
Gonna chime in:
We're a family.
Adoption is cool
my wife and i have thought about adopting
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 10, 2008 10:25 PM EST up reply actions
also
Yeah ut the downfall is,
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 11, 2008 8:29 AM EST up reply actions
thats why we are looking into asian kids
its not racist if you are saying something good about them, right?
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 12, 2008 8:37 PM EST up reply actions
That's tremendous!
Maybe the Reds can adopt a pitcher or two.
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 11, 2008 8:31 AM EST up reply actions
'Nother one here
Odd question for those affected: do any of you or your kids know their birth parents? I know my birth mother obviously, but have never had the inclination to track down my birth father. I've meant for some time to find my foster mother to say thank you, but haven't succeeded yet.
For the simple reason that I already have a mother
Our kids know their birth parents
Our kids' birth parents, well, let's just say they weren't capable of caring for children.
Before they came to us, our children had wonderful foster parents. We are eternally grateful to them. Foster parenting is a difficult task that takes people with a real heart for kids.
Wow, there are terrific people posting here. I have to make it a point to meet many of you in person this season.
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 11, 2008 10:59 AM EST up reply actions
Almost impossible.
My father on the other hand is evidently married...somewhere. I think the weirdest thing is to think of the shadow family you have somewhere in the world. Maybe I have a couple half-siblings somewhere on the other side of the planet.
Well although I've never run down my biological
Funny
Your mom thinks she loves you
by Brendanukkah on Feb 13, 2008 10:26 AM EST up reply actions
Thanks Madville.
Our kids are 24, 23, 20 (all boys) and 19 and 18 both girls). All played baseball or softball at various points. Two of the three boys played football. All but one child played basketball.
Our oldest just got out of the Navy and works as an electrician near Columbus. Our 23-year-old works at Marshall University. Our 20-year-old attends Ohio University-Southern. Our 18-year old plans to attend Marshall.
They're a good bunch. They drive us crazy, but they're a good bunch.
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 11, 2008 8:26 AM EST up reply actions
Sounds like you've done well T.T.
Keep up the good work.
I'd trade him for Votto straight up
I think Blanton's numbers will get worse, but not that worse I would predict an ERA around 4.20 or something like that, because he is going to a hitters park, but the N.L. is an easier league to pitch in. Plus Blanton gives the Red's rotation 1 excellent pitcher, and good pitchers, and it takes some of the pressure off of Bailey, Belise, Cueto, and Maloney. If the young guys appear to be ready at some point this year, Cincinnati can then flip Blanton or Arroyo during the offseason, next year, to make room for the young guns.
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 3:27 PM EST up reply actions
But why would Beane want Votto
Even if they trade Bailey or Cueto it is going to take another decent prospect to get Blanton. Probably not one of the big guys, but maybe a Frazier or Stubbs. That's my guess.
i wasn't really thinking about what the A's had
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 3:42 PM EST up reply actions
yeah
And I forgot to mention
I just think it needs to be clear that the Reds won't likely be getting a pitcher with a sub-4.00 ERA, so hopefully they don't give up players with that belief in mind.
I am looking at him as a mid rotation type pitcher
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 3:58 PM EST up reply actions
We're talking about only 1 yr of Blanton right??
3 years of blanton
I'd love to get this guy
I think 3 pitchers who can throw 200 innings is a+
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 3:40 PM EST up reply actions
Any idea
Kinda feel we should have saved Hobbs for Blanton
my thoughts exactly
by JJ on Feb 7, 2008 4:13 PM EST up reply actions
blanton
by benfcwallace on Feb 7, 2008 4:03 PM EST reply actions
i'll pass on blanton
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 7, 2008 4:25 PM EST reply actions
Blanton analysis
- 3 YEARS, cheaper-than-free-agent, of slightly better-than-average pitching
- INNINGS, and lots of them. This will do wonders for a bullpen that has a strong back end and a so-so middle by minimizing the middle-relievers' innings.
- HR RATE. Out of 28 pitchers who threw over 100 innings on the road last year, his HR rate was 9th best, better than guys like Harang, Arroyo, Sabathia, Hamels, Santana, and Zambrano, to name a few.
- COMMITMENT. Getting another proven starter shows that Reds' management is committed to winning. I think you'll see a response from the community.
- K/BB - Of 62 pitchers over 180 innings, Blanton was 12th with his K/BB rate of 3.5. Harang was 6th at 4.19.
- GB/FB - Blanton has a 1.58 GB/FB rate - great for GABP! Again, out of 62 pitchers over 180 innings, he was 13th.
- CEILING. Blanton's ceiling is dramatically lower than Cueto's or Bailey's. It sucks giving up a prospect to see him flourish in another uniform.
- VOLATILITY. Blanton's a little like Arroyo, where when he gets on a roll, he's incredible, but when he's not, you're looking at 5 runs given up per game. But, overall, you pretty much know what you're going to get, and it's certainly better than average.
- MOVING. Both to GABP and to the Reds' defense, both of which have the effect of jacking up one's ERA, especially given that he isn't a big strikeout pitcher.
- PRICE. Maybe not so much in $'s, but in prospects. Again, it sucks giving up prospects when we just are now getting them.
I am also of the opinion that Blanton is underrated on this board and that he certainly would be a great addition to the team, even if the price is one of Cueto/Bailey.
I'm not particularly interested in Blanton
(JJ?)
no real 3rd base prospect in Oakland
I'd love to have Encarnacion in Oakland given Chavez's decline and the A's lefty-heavy lineup, but Chavez is signed for at least 3 more years. That's an expensive contract for the A's to eat, and I can't imagine them doing it. Plus, I agree with Marty in thinking that he is going to be the pivotal hitter for the Reds' success this year.
I'd love to have Frazier in the Oakland system, but I love having him in the Reds system too!
by JJ on Feb 7, 2008 5:26 PM EST up reply actions
Keppinger
Also
Blanton
Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo have had career highs in the same three categories within the last couple of years with the Reds and their performances the following year was different. Harang came back and Pitched just as well, if not a little better. Arroyo, on the other hand, was worse (though, he wasn't helped very much by the Offense). His high was in 2006 and he had a dead arm during the middle of 2007.
With Blanton coming off his career highs, moving to GASP and Pitching for toothpick Baker, I would be scared to trade very much for him, unless, that is Adam Dunn was the main piece coming from the Reds.
Now, if Blanton were a Free Agent, I wouldn't mind having him. That way, if he sucked, the Reds wouldn't have given up any prospects to get him. If he were injured, then they could recover some money because of insurance.
by ctownboy on Feb 7, 2008 7:49 PM EST reply actions
Thats a big if
it certainly would be a good thing
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 8, 2008 11:00 AM EST up reply actions
As long as it doesn't require
I have a very hard time believing that Blanton can give the Reds a sub 4.50 ERA though given the park and defense and how much his entire game relies on those two things.
Matt Maloney, Danny Dorn and Drew Stubbs? Lets talk.
Matt Maloney, Adam Rosales and Josh Roenicke? We have a deal.
Anything involving Cueto, Bailey or Votto and I am asking for Barton back in return.
No.
Based on his home/away splits and relative hittability, I think that Blanton will be a right-handed version of Eric Milton once he gets to GABP.
by Paul Householder on Feb 7, 2008 8:27 PM EST reply actions
Freel, Volquez, and Maloney
Right now we all hope for the best out of Volquez but he still a question mark. Also most fans are pretty indifferent about him until we see some results. He may get Harang Love or Stanton Hate. I think we could get this done without giving up any of the big four. We can even throw in Hatteberg for good measure, I know Beane thinks positive of Hatte and he is cheap too.
Rotation- Harang, Arroyo, Blanton, Belisle, Affeldy/Homer
by gocolts on Feb 7, 2008 8:34 PM EST reply actions
one: i dont think freel is going anywhere
two: i would slot volquez right in between cueto and votto on the young stud depth chart. because he's from outside the system, we dont have the same love for him as the other 4, but this dude was the rangers minor league pitcher of the year last year. he aint chopped liver. if he had a tad fewer innings in the bigs last year he would still be considered a "hot prospect" rather than a "question mark". so i would not trade him for blanton.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 7, 2008 8:45 PM EST up reply actions
If Bruce makes it out of ST
Because Volquez was the best pitching prospect in the Rangers Minors does not mean that he is any better than the reds top 4. I hope Volquez does well, but Blanton is not a question Volquez is.
by gocolts on Feb 7, 2008 8:57 PM EST up reply actions
freel is still useful as the super-utility guy
how is volquez a question? here are the man's minor league numbers from last year:
144.2 innings, 3.67 ERA, 1.09 WHIP
here is cueto:
161.1 innings, 3.07 ERA, 1.12 WHIP
each guy threw at three minor league levels, but volquez also threw 34 innings of league-average baseball in the big leagues. and his minor league ERA is artificially inflated by the 35 innings spent in A+ ball throwing nothing but his developing curveball and getting knocked around a bit.
volquez is bona-fide. he most likely would be an anchor in the texas rotation by now if they hadnt fucked up his development. now, i know some of this argument is based on "ifs" and "buts", but look at those stat lines again. this guy aint a question mark anymore than bailey or cueto is.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 7, 2008 9:21 PM EST up reply actions
I highly doubt that
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 9:43 PM EST up reply actions
if the price is right do it
by RedsFan4Life on Feb 7, 2008 10:06 PM EST reply actions
I've always wanted a DEA!!
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 10:20 PM EST up reply actions
Like this?
by Paul Householder on Feb 8, 2008 10:25 AM EST up reply actions
Fay thinks...
Though he says that price is too high.
that price is too high
by justin0070000 on Feb 7, 2008 10:54 PM EST up reply actions
do we have any wily mo pena's laying around?
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 7, 2008 11:21 PM EST up reply actions
Me? I don't know if I'd be cool with this trade.
Nothing? Aww, c'mon Red Reporters!
"Now we all know about Joe's home-and-road splits."
Or:
"Hey Geki, Joe's clearly not out of options, eh?"
Proceed.
by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 8, 2008 11:17 AM EST up reply actions
My favorite comment:
36-24-36? Only if you a size 3.
I always thought it was "Only if you 5'3
by Brendanukkah on Feb 8, 2008 12:54 PM EST up reply actions
No, you (and boobs) are right
by ken on Feb 8, 2008 1:25 PM EST up reply actions
Target women
"How do you do it? How do you shoot women? And children?"
"It's easy. You just don't lead 'em as much."
My Favorite Post
Apparently this poster has no interest in Joe Blanton, they only have an interest in policing how posters on the Joe Blanton girlfriend feed spend THEIR time.
And now to blatantly contradict myself... Joe Blanton's girlfriend feed? Who are these people?
I wish Joe Blanton's Girlfriend posted here.
by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 8, 2008 2:07 PM EST up reply actions
what do they feed her?
This entire commentary is disturbing.
Volquez's value
Personally
Personally
I know Bailey has the most upside, but I like the fact that Cueto already has his control figured out. That's what gives him the leg up over the other two for me.
Cueto
how bout edwin for blanton straight up?
That makes no sense for the A's
I would guess the Reds would have to include one of the pitching prospects in order for the deal to happen. I don't see any other way that it makes sense for the A's to make the deal.
Fay says the Reds have signed Mercker.
what?
He retired because
they're bringing him back for the jokes
/ctown grabs the lubriderm
He's kinda like Roger Clemens.
by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 8, 2008 2:18 PM EST up reply actions
he's being deposed by the feds?
I kinda expected that
That's what I was thinking.
by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 8, 2008 2:06 PM EST up reply actions
I really hope you're right
by beasleymachine on Feb 8, 2008 2:06 PM EST up reply actions
he said he won't coach
by justin0070000 on Feb 8, 2008 2:42 PM EST up reply actions
Beat me to it.
by BK on Feb 8, 2008 2:06 PM EST up reply actions
It's not worth it
If we could trade for him using minor leaguers, it definitely helps us for this year, but a trade for major league ready players just doesn't make sense to me.
The Denver Post reports:
If that's so, then the asking price from the Reds likely is far too steep.
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 10, 2008 1:13 PM EST reply actions
What if this deal is more than Blanton
Is there a chance that it's Blanton and Chavez for Encarnacion and, I don't know, maybe Maloney and/or Stubbs or some varying combination?
This could get into one of those hairy multi-player deals. Does Huston Street get in the mix? Dan Johnson? Oakland has a lot of LHP in the bullpen. Does Alan Embree wind up a Red?
Can you imagine a swap with Joe Blanton, Rich Harden, Eric Chavez, Dan Johnson and Alan Embree coming to Cincinnati for Encarnacion, Cueto, Votto, Keppinger and Roenicke?
I don't even drink and I'm coming up with this stuff. Not that I'm advocating such a trade by any means, but I can envision something like that taking place.
Any thoughts?
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 10, 2008 8:26 PM EST reply actions
It would be fun at least
No multi-player deal for Krivsky!!!
See "Trade, The."
by Paul Householder on Feb 10, 2008 9:36 PM EST up reply actions
The Reds will NOT trade
TT's scenario of some multi-player deal is possible, but I doubt that happens.
My prediction: Valaika and Maloney or Watson for Blanton. Beane can ask for the world, but he isn't going to get it.
problem is
the Dodgers appear to be in on it, from all the
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 10, 2008 10:29 PM EST up reply actions
Why are the Dodgers so hot for Blanton?
Bred Penny
Derek Lowe
Hiroki Kuroda
Chad Billingsley
If Healthy Jason Schmidt
Maybe Esteban Loaiza or
If Healthy Hong-Chi Kuo
Down on the farm there's
James McDonald, who could be there best 5th starter if they were of a mind to rush prospects
and Clayton Kershaw, uberprospect.
They've also got Didn't-You-Used-to-be Chan Ho Park somewhere in the system for what that's worth.
i didnt say they need him
by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 11, 2008 7:50 AM EST up reply actions
The A's are said to have
If the Reds sign Lofton, that further frees up the ability to trade Hopper, who appears to me to be a Billy Beane kind of player.
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 11, 2008 7:34 AM EST reply actions
Hopper seems like a Dusty Baker kind of player.
Livan Hernandez to the Twins,
by Thundering Turtle on Feb 12, 2008 8:16 AM EST reply actions
kind of an odd signing
by justin0070000 on Feb 12, 2008 9:31 AM EST up reply actions

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