Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Knicks Beat Lakers With Familiar Strategy

Josh Fogg To The Reds

From Hal McCoy:

"When Cincinnati Reds manager Dusty Baker and general manager Wayne Krivsky say the hunt continues for starting pitchers, they apparently mean it.

Free agent pitcher Josh Fogg told friends in Denver that he has agreed to a one-year $1 million contract with the Reds.

Both Baker and Krivsky were attending a team party Wednesday night and were not available, but it is known that the Reds have been trying to land the righthanded starting pitcher.

Fogg was 10-9 with a 4.38 earned run average in 29 starts last season for the National League champion Colorado Rockies. It has been reported that the Rockies were prepared to offer Fogg a one-year $5 million contract, but Fogg and his agent believed they could land a multi-year contract.

But that didn't happen and with timing running out and teams forming their squads at spring training, Fogg decided it was time to act and said he has agreed to sign the one-year deal with the Reds.

Most likely he must pass a physical before the Reds announce the signing.

Fogg is the second pitcher from Colorado's staff who is a free agent to sign with the Reds. Earlier this month the Reds signed lefthander Jeremy Affeldt.

Affeldt was a relief specialist with the Rockies last year and the Reds had hopes of converting him back to a starting pitcher, which he was early in his career. But with Fogg, the Reds could strengthen their bullpen by placing Affeldt in it."

Meh.

By the way, I've obsessively read this blog over the past three or so years, and this would be my first ever post. I'm going to try to be less of a passive observer this season, though I doubt I could ever keep up with you wonderful, smart, hilarious people!

Comment 223 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Meh!
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 7:54 PM EST reply actions  

...and Welcome, Lefty!
Silently observing for three years? You're a better man than Glen.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

I can only aspire
to contribute his degree of astute, measured commentary to this site!

by Young Lefty on Feb 20, 2008 10:05 PM EST up reply actions  

If by "astute" and
"measured commentary" you mean "douchebaggery," then you'll be fine!

Geez, do I dislike old G.B.

"I'd walk through hell in a gasoline suit to play baseball" - Pete Rose

by Officer Dibble on Feb 22, 2008 12:49 PM EST up reply actions  

If the signing of Fogg
means the Reds have given up on trading for Blanton, then I'm all for it. I don't want the Reds to give up any of their good prospects for Blanton.

And Fogg for one-year, $1 million? That's fine.

by cesarhernandez on Feb 20, 2008 7:58 PM EST reply actions  

That's exactly what I thought...
when I saw the headline.
suggestions, anyone?

by BobbyO on Feb 20, 2008 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

if this officially
gets us out of the blanton sweepstakes, im totally cool with it.  the REAL question is who gets booted off the 40-man?  my money is on drew anderson.
is it April yet?

by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 20, 2008 8:01 PM EST reply actions  

Welcome
At least you made your first post a scoop, of sorts.  "If you haven't heard it, it's new to you."

It seems like Volquez is destined to start the season in the bullpen.  Cueto might be a September callup at this point.  The pitching battles in spring training are going to be very interesting.  Do these new guys have something still in the tank?  Are the rookies truly ready for the Show?  And if they are, can they overcome Dusty's perceived veteran bias?  Also, I'm pretty sure Affeldt was told he was going to be a starter for us, so it would be kind of a slap to him if he's put in the 'pen and Fogg is moved to the rotation.

In all, I'm bullish on this signing.  If nothing else, it gives us a lot of depth, although I would love to see us flip some of these veterans for other parts while letting our young pitchers get a chance to cut their teeth in the bigs.

And hey, these guys (Fogg and Affeldt) were in the World Series last year.  That's got to count for something, right?  Right?

by Brendanukkah on Feb 20, 2008 8:19 PM EST reply actions  

volquez and the pen
maybe im wrong, but isnt the pen a little cramped as is?  we got grande dinero, stormy, burton, bray, coffey, stanton, and affeldt (hopefully).  add in all the other guys on the fringe and i think we have it pretty well set.  perhaps not spectacular, but enough bodies to cover it.  i think volquez is better served starting in AAA if not in the big league rotation.  AAA would give him a chance to work on that curveball and stay in the starter state of mind.  i dont want him becoming a top notch closer, i want him to become a top notch starter.
is it April yet?

by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 20, 2008 8:29 PM EST up reply actions  

The pen is getting pretty crowded.
Does anyone else think that Coffey might be pitching for his MLB life in March? (At least his life as a Red?)
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't really like Josh Fogg...
...but I can't argue with the price. I'm getting tired of this organization's apparent willingness to block talented youngsters with established mediocrity but that's baseball for you. Whatever.

by Geki on Feb 20, 2008 8:59 PM EST reply actions  

I'm getting tired of it as well...
I was really looking forward to seeing the younger players play this season...I guess I'll need to make a trip to Louisville if I want to do that now...
As the old saying goes..."Bart Needs Dentures"

by chandrathan on Feb 20, 2008 9:02 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah
what up wit dat?
As the old saying goes..."Bart Needs Dentures"

by chandrathan on Feb 21, 2008 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

During this fight, I seen a lot of changing
The way yous felt about me...and the way I felt about you...

In here, there are two guys killing each other, but I guess that's better than 20 million...

What I'm trying to say is...

If I can change...

and you can change...

EVERYBODY CAN CHANGE!

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

OMG
Look outside!  The moon has a big bite taken out of it. It's a sign, I tell you!

The last time this happened, it marked the Red Sox winning the World Series for the first time in 86 years.

Josh Fogg is going to lead the Reds to the promised land!

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 20, 2008 9:15 PM EST reply actions  

You've been Fogged in.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 9:16 PM EST up reply actions  

It's another clever ploy
to prevent the arbitration clock from starting on a promising Reds' minor league pitcher, by "Fogging" them into another year in AAA.

Wayne. A frackin' genius.

So we traded Hamilton for a guy we don't want to start in the Majors?  What gives with that?

I smell Corey Patterson in the wings.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 20, 2008 9:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I wish wayne had spared us the heart ache
and just signed fogg before he traded off hamilton. Now we are stuck with EV ,like we dont have enough young hard throwing starters question marks (cuteo, bailey) and we are left with a question mark in center. I would have rather seen hamilton in center untill griffey or dunn leaves and then but bruce out there.
"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 20, 2008 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Cuteo? New nickname?
Ladies, can we get a ruling on this?

by Brendanukkah on Feb 20, 2008 10:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Hmmm....

I wouldn't kick him out of bed for eating crackers.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 20, 2008 10:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Hmm..
A Crosby/Cueto coition? With crackers?
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 10:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Heh
I have never seen that pairing, but the unwary wandering about LiveJournal will occasionally come across baseball player slash.

I'm still trying scrub my brain of the Mariano Rivera/Carl Pavano smut I stumbled across a couple of years ago.  Not that I have anything against gay romance or porn, but Carl Pavano?  Yech.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 20, 2008 10:52 PM EST up reply actions  

RE: slash fiction
You learn something weird every day.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 12:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Cracker?
o no he didnt
"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 20, 2008 11:09 PM EST up reply actions  

can someone delete that
i cant believe i said that
"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 20, 2008 11:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Nah. Just let me take it and run with it.
A million miles below their feet
A million miles, a million miles...
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 11:23 PM EST up reply actions  

I had a dream!... it was about nothing.
I'm stuck in the early 90's right now.

One night at about 3am I became convinced that this was the single greatest music video ever created.

It's a good video but having just watched it again, I've concluded that it must have been her lipstick that spoke to my stoned ass that night in '92.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 11:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Now that I think about it...
...maybe they should have just stop making music videos in 1985.

"...got big lanes, got big lanes."

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 11:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm a bastard
but every time I see 'ol Natalie, I can't stop thinking about all of the naughty things I would like to do to her. And my guilt and repulsion of myself takes over and I suddenly realize the point of a given song and know that she would hate me for being me. In short, Doctor, Natalie makes me feel like the narrator in "Portnoy's Complaint." Alas.
Where have you gone Alex Trevino?

by Pops Daniels on Feb 21, 2008 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

That's funny
Unbelievably, that is the first time that I've ever seen that video, or even heard the song...but in my defense, there wasn't a lot of 10,000 Maniacs being played on Columbus radio back in the day.

Nice lipstick.

And she DOES have more than a little Lisa Stansfield going on in that video, doesn't she?

"I'd walk through hell in a gasoline suit to play baseball" - Pete Rose

by Officer Dibble on Feb 22, 2008 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

You laugh
The moon is RED.  It's a sign, I tell you!
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 20, 2008 9:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh yeah,
Young Lefty.

Hi! Hello and welcome!

Yeah, whatever.  They barely tolerate me.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 20, 2008 9:44 PM EST reply actions  

no fair !!!
you first diary gets on the main page!!!

MOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMM!!!!!!!!!

"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 20, 2008 9:56 PM EST reply actions  

so starting rotation
Harang, Arroyo, Fogg, Affeldt, Belise/Bailey

or do you think fogg will be the santos this year?
Long relief/spot starter

"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 20, 2008 10:01 PM EST reply actions  

I'd say Belisle has a spot locked up.
At least to start the season.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 10:05 PM EST up reply actions  

then who goes?
reds didnt pay affeldt to relieve
"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 20, 2008 10:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I dunno.
Look at it this way- Wayne saved money on this signing so he can now (a month later) afford to look at Affeldt's $3M as a sunk cost.

At the time of the Affeldt signing I thought it appeared that he would be penciled in as the fifth starter but only until Cueto or Volquez came up from Lulville.  (Affeldt is a hoss but he hasn't started more than eight or nine games since we were all shakin' it like a Polaroid picture.) Now it appears that with Affledt, Stanton and Cordero the Reds might have one of the most expensive bullpens not in the AL East.

And does anyone know anything about Bray's injury/recovery?

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 11:18 PM EST up reply actions  

its on the reds website
"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 21, 2008 1:05 AM EST up reply actions  

do you really think fogg would be a
better option than affeldt? I know im partial to affeldt (im gonna get his jersey lol) but he was once a top prospect with a bad orginaztion and after not doing well hasnt gotten a chance to start again. Maybe he can get his act together
"Herein is love, not that we loved God but that He loved us" -1 John 4:10

by shortstopv2 on Feb 21, 2008 1:08 AM EST up reply actions  

I'd say Belisle has a spot locked up?
Maybe, but he'll have to overcome those strange departures from true pitching that seem to happen each with each appearance.
I saw him pitch 3 times last year. He's big, strong and has some heat. I am a fan of ol' Belizze. I would be thrilled to see him come into his own this year. It could be more important and more impacting than Ceuto,Bailey or Fogghorn Joshhorn.He could be the biggest surprise of the season - I wouldn't doubt it.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 21, 2008 4:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Josh Fogg in Great American
4-2 in 8 career starts (one complete game)
49.2 innings pitched
4.17 ERA
10 home runs
23 earned runs
31 strikeouts
13 walks
1.21 WHIP

Most of his numbers (and most of his better numbers) were amassed in 2003 and 2004.

So there's that.

And FWIW, he's got comparable serviceable numbers pitching in Wrigley.

Also- he had surgery to remove bone spurs from his right elbow following the 2006 season.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 10:38 PM EST reply actions  

He seems to be pretty lousy in day games.
But he practically owns Carl Crawford.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 20, 2008 10:54 PM EST up reply actions  

well
he only cost a million for a year.  SO if he sucks he can be DFA'ed.  All these young arms, and so many medicore vetarens to block them out.  Perhaps the idea is to give Bailey and/or Cueto more time at AAA, and when Fogg can hopfully hold it togeather until about June, and the young guys can be called up, and Fogg can become a long reliever.  I guess it is a little added depth.  I honestly see him as a long reliever on this team.
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 20, 2008 10:55 PM EST reply actions  

Fogg's trade value
I'm sure the Reds could use Fogg until they feel the young guys are ready and then flip him for a lower level prospect or two.  Lohse netted Maloney last year.  Lohse and Fogg aren't that much different.  At $1 million, it's a good signing.

I'm ok with having extra starters.  Hopefully the Reds contend this year.  I don't want Dusty reverting to his "prior" ways and let Bailey, Volquez and Cueto throw their arms off.

by Snake the Jake on Feb 20, 2008 11:43 PM EST reply actions  

Lohse and Fogg
Same thing I thought. And Lohse was worth 4 mil, right?
You can't fool me. There ain't no sanity clause!

by sukr on Feb 21, 2008 2:39 AM EST up reply actions  

thanks for chirping up young lefty
as for the pitcher, he's kyle lohse but a little bit older and a little bit worse. but he is cheap like mexican skeez, so im in it to win it.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 21, 2008 12:05 AM EST reply actions  

I'll Take It
I like the deal. In years past, a different GM might have handed Fogg a multi-year deal in December. This deal is low-risk and high-reward, as with Affeldt: they have one-year deals. They have incredible individual incentive to have great years and get bigger contracts with other teams next year. In the meantime, this offers some depth and allows the Reds to slot the young guys where they think they belong for now.  

by jamesp50014 on Feb 21, 2008 3:09 AM EST reply actions  

According to the story
the Reds were willing to give Fogg a big contract in December. The dope just got greedy.
I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 21, 2008 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

One year at $1 million
is a very nice deal for the Reds. I've never been a big fan of Fogg. He gives up a lot of hits and doesn't strike out many, but that's true of most guys at the back of the rotation. He does have a knack for pitching well against some excellent pitchers.

I don't mind the thought of the youngsters getting some more seasoning at Louisville. If the Reds fall out of contention, Fogg likely is a guy they can trade in a manner similar to what they did with Lohse last year.

We Are ... Marshall!

by Thundering Turtle on Feb 21, 2008 7:21 AM EST reply actions  

It's funny how different the money makes it
When I first heard this, I thought "Noooooooooooo! Those knuckleheads gave him the 3 years 13 million he was looking for!" or something around that number.  But then I saw the 1 year, 1 million, and I really like it.  I'd feel better knowing he'll only get around 10 starts and mostly be a long relief guy.  So, I guess I concur, since a lot of people have already said a similar thing.
"Just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it." - George Costanza

by beasleymachine on Feb 21, 2008 8:08 AM EST reply actions  

Agreed, my thought, 'Fogg, ah crap'.......
...1yr/1mil...'ahw hell yeah, Wayne makes a steal!'

My thought is that Wayne love competition among his players, gather up a group of guys and let the best man win.  We do have a stock pile of rotation worthy arms, and I like that.  I also see Wayne making a trade near the end of spring training.  Sending one of the extra arms to a desperate team in exchange for some promising youngsters.

Win-win by Wayne in my book.

"Me carrying a briefcase is like a hotdog wearing earrings."-Sparky

by jacob brumfield on Feb 21, 2008 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

my only problem with competition
is that decisions shouldn't be made based solely on Spring Training results.  And if we assume that Krivsky and Baker won't make them based solely on Spring Training, then it seems like the veterans will automatically have the upper-hand because they've proven what they can do in the Majors (for good or bad) and they are signed to bigger contracts.  I just hope the young guys get a legitimate shot.

Other than that, I have no problem with this signing.  I'm not a big Fogg fan (Foghat - yes, Fogg - no), but you can't argue with the cost.

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 9:42 AM EST up reply actions  

your only problem with competition...
...is the lack of stat sheets and number crunching.

LET'EM PLAY SLYDE!  LET'EM PLAY!

"Me carrying a briefcase is like a hotdog wearing earrings."-Sparky

by jacob brumfield on Feb 21, 2008 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Do I understand this right?
The guy turned down a 1 year, $5 million contract in Colorado hoping for something more.  Nothing more showed up and so now he has to sign a 1 year, $1 million dollar deal?  So, the guy's greed cost him $4 million this year?  Can that be right?
Quick! Somebody make a Cincinnati loves Ken Griffey Jr. too! video

by TheC on Feb 21, 2008 9:23 AM EST reply actions  

yep
our GM shops at Dollar General
"Me carrying a briefcase is like a hotdog wearing earrings."-Sparky

by jacob brumfield on Feb 21, 2008 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Dusty's thoughts from Reds.com
"He's apparently getting better," Baker said. "Plus, if he can pitch in Colorado, he can pitch anywhere. He was a pretty big man for them down the stretch. So you know he's not afraid of big games. That gives us another guy that knows how to pitch. If one of our young guys isn't ready, it will give them time to get ready."
"Me carrying a briefcase is like a hotdog wearing earrings."-Sparky

by jacob brumfield on Feb 21, 2008 9:43 AM EST reply actions  

I like that he's at least implying
the young guys will pitch sooner rather than later.  At least that's what I read into it.  Kinda like he was assuming that they'll be ready, but IF they're not ready, then Fogg can pitch for awhile.  Of course, the downside of thinking like this is that Dusty could already have Homer and Edinson penciled in for 143 pitches a start until their arms fall off.
"Just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it." - George Costanza

by beasleymachine on Feb 21, 2008 10:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Rosenthal looks a lot like Waynr.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 21, 2008 4:54 PM EST up reply actions  

What about Colon?
Bigger upside (also bigger backside).  I'm scared of having Belisle as our #3 going into the season!
The face of a child says it all, especially the mouth part

by JJ on Feb 21, 2008 10:34 AM EST reply actions  

really?
Colon scares me.  I'm much more confident in Belisle than Colon, who has only pitched 155 innings over the last 2 seasons combined.  I don't see any reason to believe that a player of his, uh, stature will be anything but an injury risk.  And it doesn't help that he isn't drawing much interest from teams right now (word is he may still be injured).

I'd take him on a very cheap, low risk deal, but I'd still rather have Belisle in the rotation than Colon right now.

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Great move
Costs next to nothing, all upside.  

It's not like Fogg is Joe Mays....ah, the glory days!

by obc2 on Feb 21, 2008 10:50 AM EST reply actions  

Not Joe Mays
Damn with faint praise?

A pitcher that he compares to is Paul Wilson, at least at a quick glance through the numbers.  Look at these comparison graphs from FanGraphs.  If you look at them by age, I see a lot of similarities in the rates, especially over Fogg's last 3 seasons.  Wilson would have been a very good 4th starter for the Reds, if they had had 3 good starters ahead of him.

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm not art critic, but I know what I hate
and I don't hate this.

I will state for the record, however, that I think these "veteran" signings will block the young guns all season.

 I read Johnnie B Baker's comments posted above concerning Fogg's "big game" ability "down the stretch" to provide cover for him blocking the prospects that Reds fans have been clamoring for.

At this point, it's nearly a certainty that we won't see Cueto until the summer and probable that the reds will be the No Homers when they break camp.

(btw, FVA is owning this thread '87 Hogan style)

I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 21, 2008 11:06 AM EST reply actions  

Could be one less vet
Fay reports that Craig Wilson had is physical yesterday and is not in Reds camp today.  He expects an announcement.
Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser?BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on Feb 21, 2008 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

That stinks!
We need more veteran presence. No Wilson-Phillips put outs?  Bruce and Votto simply are not acceptable!  Double-plus ungood!

I read Rosenthal's column in the link; who is Matt Bailey (sic)? Of course he means Matt Belisle, but doesn't anybody re-read their stuff before putting it out there?

2008 is shaping up to be a repeat of 2006. And The Trade is looking even better, as Bill Bray has a sore shoulder again this spring.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 21, 2008 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Yikes
That's a bummer.  I like Craig Wilson.

Though I guess it could open the door for Andy Phillips.  (Does four years mostly sitting on the bench count as veteran presence?)

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 21, 2008 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

More importantly
does a .544 career OPS against lefties count as a platoon partner?
I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, there is that
Though his splits have never been reversed in his minor league career.  Perhaps it's just a fluke; the sample size is not very large for him at the big league level.  

Though I suspect it's the scouting.  I have a feeling the scouting report on Andy says he can't hit the high and away pitch from a lefty.  If he learns to do that, his splits would probably return to something like his minor league norm.

Of course, the really maddening thing was that Joe Torre continued to use him as the right-handed half of a platoon, even though he struggled against lefties.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 21, 2008 3:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm taggin' out, brotha!

But keep your eyes open. (And remember to use your ears.  A lot.)

...What are you gonna do when my 24-inch pythons pound out a Matt Belisle diary for you?

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Honestly I like this move
Fogg has some decent stuff, and I am really glad that we are (probably) no longer going after Blanton... Guess we'll be keeping Votto! Yay!
Reds: WS Champs 2008... and every year after...

by crolfer on Feb 21, 2008 11:51 AM EST reply actions  

Young Padawan
They may be keeping Votto in AAA.
"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 21, 2008 1:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know about that...
..but adding Fogg at this point could (could, I say!) actually be greasing the skids for a trade of one of the young arms.

Shit veteran acquistion as the catalyst for trading young prospects for a #3 starter.  Ugh.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Great First Post BTW
Reds: WS Champs 2008... and every year after...

by crolfer on Feb 21, 2008 12:04 PM EST reply actions  

I like this move
Fogg isn't great, but rolled out much worse or several occasions last year.  I'm cautiously optimistic that Belisle, Bailey, Cueto, Volquez will have success, but I think this move is a good one.  

I've seen some people complain that Krivsky hasn't fully comitted to winning now or winning in 3 years, but it could be worse.  I'd venture to say that the Kearns and Co. for Majewski and Co. was a move to lose now and lose in the future.  

Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser?BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on Feb 21, 2008 1:28 PM EST reply actions  

Brain hemmorage
WE rolled out much worse ON several occasions
Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser?BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on Feb 21, 2008 1:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Speaking of "veteran presence"
I wonder if Krivsky/Baker have heard that Fidel Castro is now available. I believe the Reds still own his rights and he's gotta tucker to the team moniker.
I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 21, 2008 1:39 PM EST reply actions  

You laugh
but he's probably better than our Castro.

by Brendanukkah on Feb 21, 2008 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I didn't laugh
and Baker said yesterday or the day before that he expects Keppinger to be third on the depth chart behind Gonzo and Juan Casto (i.e., Casto's making the squad). I'm too depressed to even find the link. RLN had a blurb on it.
I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 21, 2008 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Does he play catcher?
We could always use another catcher.

and old left-handed relievers

The face of a child says it all, especially the mouth part

by JJ on Feb 21, 2008 4:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Uh Dustball was heard speaking gloriously
about the 'options made available to a manager' by carrying 3 catchers. Says he want to try my funny Valentin at 1st. Boy what a stupid idea. These guys will go to the greatest possible level of absurdity to to stop the development of the 3A talent that's bursting at the seams and ready to to contribute in 2008.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 21, 2008 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I have
a photo of that tryout
Where have you gone Alex Trevino?

by Pops Daniels on Feb 21, 2008 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

What is Weathers due to earn this year?
He's not signed beyond this season, is he?

What kind of trade value might he have?

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 2:11 PM EST reply actions  

Weathers
If only there were a table on the wiki with such information. :)

$2.75 million next season (plus some bonus money from last year).  He's not signed beyond 2008.

He might have some trade value, but I'm actually fine with him in the 'pen right now.  If the Reds aren't competitive in July, I'd expect him to be traded.

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Fogg update
from Fay: he's taking his physical, and the Reds will announce the signing if he passes it.

by pw on Feb 21, 2008 2:13 PM EST reply actions  

It's official
and Livingston is moved to the 60 day DL to make room.

by pw on Feb 21, 2008 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I predict
Fogg exhibits a similar expression during the "nether regions" portion of his physical.

by Young Lefty on Feb 21, 2008 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Gotta love a player who's part Panda
Or maybe those are black eyes, and he just doesn't listen.  Dusty, take note.

by Brendanukkah on Feb 21, 2008 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I also add
that if the Reds are acquiring Fogg as an "upgrade" over Belisle, then we'll know that there's no one in charge that has a sense of contemporary player evaluation.
I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 21, 2008 2:30 PM EST reply actions  

I agree
but I get the impression that Belisle's spot is his to lose and that all other moves in the rotation (Affeldt, Fogg) are intended as protection if the young guys aren't ready.  It's not that Belisle has a guaranteed spot, but as long as he doesn't suck out loud, it's his.
I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 21, 2008 2:36 PM EST up reply actions  

So if you must suck....
Keep it QUIET!

Because Dusty can hear you. Damn those clever ears.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 21, 2008 2:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I enjoyed this quote
Fogg, who turned down $5 million from the Rockies, signed for $1 million.

"The offseason didn't go like a lot of free agents planned," Fogg said

See: Kyle Lohse

Remember at the end of last year how much money people thought these guys would get?  

Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser?BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on Feb 21, 2008 3:08 PM EST reply actions  

This offseason
Bill Bavasi proved that he truly is one of a kind.

by Brendanukkah on Feb 21, 2008 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously.
He might be the one GM out there who makes me happy that we've got Wayne Krivsky.

by Geki on Feb 21, 2008 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

dave littlefield
is still "out there," theoretically. and, of course, figuratively.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 21, 2008 5:51 PM EST up reply actions  

So this all makes me wonder
We spent $3M on Affeldt, who was last successful as a starter in '03.  Fogg turned down $5M, thinking he'd get more; with Boras as his agent, I'm sure Lohse took the same tack.

But with camps now open, I wonder what it would take to get Lohse, who would be much better as a #4 than either of these guys (actually, he's a pretty good #3)?  Wouldn't $5 or 6M for him actually be better than $4M combined for Affeldt and Fogg?

just....wow.

by sidnancy on Feb 21, 2008 4:09 PM EST reply actions  

And there it is...
..our collective moment of clarity as critical thinking fans of the Cincinnati Reds.

When asked to consider which of two sad and embarrassing hypothetical situations would "be better," we realize that either would be sad and embarrassing and that in fact, one of them has already transpired before us and we have almost complacently accepted it as "not the worst thing that could have happened."

So this is what happens when for nearly twenty seasons your farm system fails to produce a quality starting pitcher any better than Brett Tomko...

But no more! This 2008 season is most assuredly the last season that we Reds fans must sit and sulk and with our heads hung low ask these ro-shit-erie nightmare baseball questions! For in 2009 we shall have a 25-man roster featuring homegrown talent Homer Bailey and Johnny Cueto in the middle of our starting rotation! And we shall raise our gaze and look other fans of other teams clearly in their eyes and say, "Our fifth starter? Well it's either going to be Matt Belisle or perhaps Edison Volquez or if we have to we might go and get someone like Kyle Lohse but to be honest we've already been down that bumpy road and I think it's time to see what Volquez can do before we use him to shore up our pen."

Glory is upon us, Reds fans! Glory!

(In 2009.)

(If we don't trade any of them.)

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

I really hope you're right
The thing about Lohse is he's not very good, BUT he's inconsistent.
Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser?BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on Feb 22, 2008 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

I'd rather see Affeldt as a starter than Fogg
Fogg has so little upside?  In the past 3 seasons, his best ERA is last year's 4.94!  Affeldt at least has the stuff that says he can do better.

I'm pretty sure that Cueto, Bailey, Volquez, and even Maloney can come close to 4.94!

The face of a child says it all, especially the mouth part

by JJ on Feb 21, 2008 4:44 PM EST reply actions  

Affeldt's stuff
Affeldt only has used two pitches the last few years working out of the pen. So unless he develops a changeup, I wouldn't say he has "the stuff" to be a starter.

The only advantage I see Affeldt having over Fogg right now is that he is a lefty.  Right now a projected starting rotation of the following is all righties.

Harrang
Arroyo
Belisle
Fogg
Bailey

Does that bother anyone? It's a big difference (although better) from the 3 lefty rotation to begin the '06 season that included Harrang, Arroyo, Milton, Dave Williams, Picklehead.

by indy on Feb 21, 2008 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

For the record . . .
I am not a fan of this signing.  I've never been very impressed with Fogg's pitching.  His 'impressive' road ERA last year (4.15) reminds me of a certain former 15-game winner in 2003 who earned himself another year with the Reds before returning to his sucky true form and getting released the very next season. Foggy (that was iphone's suggested word) showed some promise in his first full season with the White Sox, but even then it was his teamate Kip Wells who was better.  And that's not saying much.

I'm not good with this deal at $1 million or $1.  It not like it just saved the team some money to go out and sign someone else who can actually help the team. 12 losses is 12 losses, no matter how much you spent.

by Brian B on Feb 21, 2008 7:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Embrace the mediocrity!
Others have.

Why start a couple of young guys that might be top notch pitchers in a couple of years, when you can have Josh Fogg in the rotation?

Why start a guy who was rated the BEST player in the minor leagues in 2007, when you can play Norris Hopper, or maybe, if we're lucky, get Corey Patterson?

Why worry about bench depth or developing a promising young player when you can carry THREE catchers? Like, maybe Paul Bako? Capturing lighting in jar, that one.

Of course, we'll all know a lot more in thirty days or so, so maybe this is just so much hot air, or cold electrons shot out into the intertubes.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 21, 2008 8:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I've had a soft spot for Fogg
ever since I picked him up for a spot start from an internet cafe in Spain to send a message in the 2006 RR fantasy league.

by Red Menace on Feb 21, 2008 4:51 PM EST reply actions  

Let me tell ya about..
..what I picked up for a fantasy quickie in a Spanish cafe.

Oh.  Wait.  Sorry...

Crolfer, when do you turn eighteen?

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 5:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Was your last question
a clue to what you picked up in Spain?
I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 21, 2008 5:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Congrats and Welcome.
Not only did your first post get bumped up to the main page, but you hit 100 comments..

Way to go and welcome (although you've been here so...)

-The red brick wall was the color of a brick-red crayon.

by snohio on Feb 21, 2008 4:56 PM EST reply actions  

Woo!
Pleased to make your acquaintances!

by Young Lefty on Feb 21, 2008 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

How about this?
"Glory is upon us, Reds fans! Glory!" ~Fat Vegas Alan

by Young Lefty on Feb 21, 2008 5:40 PM EST up reply actions  

(In 2009.)
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 21, 2008 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

touche
"Glory is upon us, Reds fans! Glory!" ~Fat Vegas Alan

by Young Lefty on Feb 21, 2008 6:01 PM EST up reply actions  

What
does feminine hygiene have to do with any of this.
Where have you gone Alex Trevino?

by Pops Daniels on Feb 22, 2008 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

I like the signing
and the mantra by F.V. Alan shall be our battle cry.

Loose the hounds!! Glory is upon us Reds fans, Glory!

Hope Springs Eternal! Go Reds

by Caleb on Feb 21, 2008 7:47 PM EST reply actions  

(in 2009)
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 21, 2008 7:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm glad he seems so happy to be a Red

because he gave up 4 million donkeroos to be with us.  Not that he knew that at the time.

"Just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it." - George Costanza

by beasleymachine on Feb 21, 2008 8:21 PM EST reply actions  

And also, I don't know about you guys
but my nickname for him is going to be the Velour Fogg.

I met her in a club down in old SoHo......

"Just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it." - George Costanza

by beasleymachine on Feb 21, 2008 8:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Here's why the Reds perpetually suck.
This is a fine blog post from Cincinnati's own Paul Daugherty:

I keep banging on this because I don't understand the thinking... have had several people, on the blog and e-mail, tell me that I shouldnt look at a pitcher's W-L record when determining what kind of a player he is. In essence, wins and losses don't tell the story.

Uh, yes they do.

What's the point in playing, if not to win? Is it to lose, but to argue that I pitched well, they just didnt get me any runs? Do clubs win championships this way? The fact that J. Blanton has 42 wins in the last 3 years is somehow diminished, because he doesnt pitch as well on the road as he does at home. The notion that Blanton was 7-5 at home and 7-5 on the road last year is lost on some people.

This is when statistics get in the way of truth. Winning is winning. Give me 14-10 over 9-15. I don't care what any of the guy's other numbers say. The only number that matters is the W.

It's not about Blanton anymore. The Reds don't seem interested in winning this year -- it's more of a test-drive for next year, to see how the kids do -- it's about the thinking of those who would argue every stat but the only stat that counts.

It's utter morons like this in the media that drive the Reds futility, and it's the people like this that have the least willingness to change. Until we oust people like Daugherty from positions of power in the media, the Reds will continue to respond to what they believe the fanbase wants them to do, which is typically what the talking heads tell them. Paul Daugherty is why we have Dusty Baker as our manager. Paul Daugherty is why we signed Josh Fogg and are looking at the likes of Kenny Lofton. Paul Daugherty is why this team hasn't had a winning season in what's nearing in on a decade. I hate Paul Daugherty. I hate Paul Daugherty.

by Geki on Feb 21, 2008 10:24 PM EST reply actions  

Ha..
Once again I agree with Geki.

So Doc would rather have a pitcher give up ten runs over five innings, but still pick up a win, than have a pitcher that could give up one run over 9 innings (and lose)?  

On the surface I would rather have the win as well, but Win Loss records only show part of the story.  The other stats are much more important.  Regardless of number of wins, the pitcher that gives up the fewest walks, hits, and runs is the one you'd prefer to have!

As the old saying goes..."Bart Needs Dentures"

by chandrathan on Feb 21, 2008 11:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Wins
There are so many problems with the Win statistic, most of which are well known. But I feel like the rhetoric of the Win is less explored and is a big part of why it persists.

What's the point in playing, if not to win?

This is a huge part of the appeal of the Win. The stat's nomenclature borrows from the very essence of sport. If I created a very geeky stat, based on WPA or some such, but declared that it had to be applied to a player on the winning team and named it Winner's Percentage, or something, I too could appeal to the high ideal of winning and losing in my defense.

The actual concept of a 'Win' is far more obscure and removed from the gameplay than many stats, such as Quality Start. The disdain for Wins, like so many of the concepts of sabermetrics, is rooted in the desire to 'think like a GM'. As a record of what happened the Win is not terribly bad. But it quickly becomes useless in the world of predictions and hypotheticals.

by Red Menace on Feb 22, 2008 1:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Wow
That really depressed me.  I gotta see if Doc will invite me on his show again so I can 'splain some things to him.
I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 22, 2008 8:52 AM EST up reply actions  

FWIW
I just read his post on his blog and the overwhelming majority of comments are telling Doc that he is wrong.  Granted, it's probably a bunch of people from here and Redszone, but at least there has been enough of a negative response to Doc's idiocy that maybe he won't spout it off again.

Aw, who am I kidding?

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 22, 2008 9:01 AM EST up reply actions  

What if the Reds had acquired these guys?
These are their records the season before they were traded to Cincinnati:

Pitcher A: 9-11
Pitcher B: 9-18
Pitcher C: 2-7
Pitcher D: 10-16
Pitcher E: 8-18

Those pitchers are a) Fred Norman, b) Danny Jackson, c) Jose Rijo, d) Jack Billingham, e) Clay Kirby.

All were significant parts of world championship teams in Cincinnati.

We Are ... Marshall!

by Thundering Turtle on Feb 23, 2008 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I hate this
Yes the point is to win.  The most important statistic for a team is wins and losses.  However, a player's wins and losses don't tell you how he projects in another situation.
Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser?BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on Feb 22, 2008 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

I suppose the root of the problem
is that Daugherty's primary job is to talk, not to think critically about baseball.

"The only number that matters is the W."

While this is absurd both logically and semantically, it has an attractive rhetorical confidence. It seems to boil something complicated down to an essence; an a priori truth from which any argument must originate.

It's the same reason the Barry the Messiah spends his speeches talking about "changing the America you hope to wish to dream for" rather than detailing a three-tiered plan to make universal health care economically viable.

I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 22, 2008 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

yes but Josh Fogg knows how to win
he does the little things plays with his ears, and knows how to win while giving up 8 ER's in 5 innings.  
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 22, 2008 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

im not really sure about this swipe at obama
but i agree with all the other things you said.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 22, 2008 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I say, "Let the young kids play!"

(Actually, for the record, I'm undecided at this point.)

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 4:09 PM EST up reply actions  

pansy
Real men make a decision and stick with it.  That's why I'm voting for Kucinich on March 4th.
I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 22, 2008 4:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm telling ya...
..that guy could get the job done. He's scrappy like that.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

he must be standing on a homeless man
because she is like a foot taller than him.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 22, 2008 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

real life:
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 22, 2008 4:26 PM EST up reply actions  

That's what I'm talking about!
Little guy got in and got out with what he treasured most.  Pillaged a wench while McCain was locked in the dungeon or something.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

you don't "steal" a damsel
you ride in on a white mustang and sweep her off her feet.

Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 22, 2008 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Speaking of riding the white horse...
..it evidently hasn't taken Josh long to adjust to life in Texas.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

awwww
i love you joshy!
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 22, 2008 4:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I hate it when guys hit on their daughters.
Esp. old creepy guys - which is any male politician over the age of 59.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 22, 2008 4:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Abso-fuckin-lootly,
Cored - Dude Core.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 22, 2008 4:11 PM EST up reply actions  

For clarification;
My recent respone was to Alan's 'let the kids play' comment. AND not to slydes politically charged post.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 22, 2008 4:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes we can!
"Glory is upon us, Reds fans! Glory!" ~ F.V. Alan

by Young Lefty on Feb 22, 2008 4:15 PM EST up reply actions  

bush 4ever
keep voting for the old school politicians, and you keep voting for this broken system we have

by Daedalus on Feb 22, 2008 5:21 PM EST up reply actions  

If this is a response to me
I never said anything about my voting or party loyalties (I have none), my only point was to underline the rhetorical power of aphoristic formulations.

Obama was on my mind today because I'm working with my rhet-comp students on debates and public speaking. He's an incredibly effective stump speaker, and has beaucoup charisma, but still strikes me as a rather shaky debater. He was a little better last night

I recognize that the modern presidency is largely a figurehead position, but at some point I'm gonna need a little more from him besides "hope" and "change" and "I'm going to sit down with so and so." I don't think its anything shocking to say he needs to come with some more details; in fact, from what I've seen, most political pundits are saying the same thing.  

I will say that something about the rock star way in which he is feted makes me a little leery. But that's hardly his fault.

As far as Bush goes, he's not running again, so I'm not sure what he has to do with anything.

I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 22, 2008 8:17 PM EST up reply actions  

my response
i hear this criticism a lot (disclaimer: i'm in the cult). I think it's really unfair, because he's doing exactly what he's supposed to do on the stump. If he were to detail all his plans, he would be a lot less influential. He has just as many detailed plans as hillary, he just doesn't dwell on them during rallies. (also, you're right that he's not as good at debates. he's getting a lot better though.)

if you're curious about his positions or plans, you can find them on his web site. (There's also this 48-page download, the "Blueprint for change.") It goes into great detail, and I'm having trouble getting time to go through it all.

my point is, i think it's unfair to criticize him for not going into great detail when he's on television. his ideas and plans are there if anyone takes the time to learn them. when he's on the stump, he's doing exactly what he should be doing, and that doesn't include detailing his six-step plan for expanding the work/family balance.

 

Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 22, 2008 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with you
that it's his strategy to keep the mesage simple until he wins the nomination. I'm not sure he can go toe to toe with Hillary on policy stuff so he hasn't really tried. That was my original point in a way. He has a wide appeal because he pares his ideas down to something memorable. I didn't mean to compare him in any general way to that knucklehead Paul Daugherty; I only meant it in the narrow way which I mentioned.

The "messiah" bit was a swipe, I admit, but only because I'd been listening to my officemates gush about him all morning. And my class on Wednesday had discussed the rhetorical implications of Michelle Obama's "saving America's soul" speech. (conclusion: they likes it)

fwiw, I've read his platform; that's usually all I do with candidates. If I weren't teaching this stuff this semester, I probably wouldn't have watched many of the debates because they're not really designed for a voter like me.

I do find it interesting, however, that Obama's candidacy has come to represent a changing of the old guard, as Daedalus suggested. Reading his platform, I was struck by how safely it played with the post-1960s Democratic Party songbook. On the other hand, one of his top economic advisors is Chicago free marketer Austan Goolsbee, so who knows what we'll eventually get. It will be interesting to see.

Anyway, sorry to stir the pot in the original post. I'm not really emotionally invested in politics, so I tend to forget that many people are.

I'm not saying I wouldn't go fishing with the man; all I'm saying is, if he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.

by Man Mountain on Feb 22, 2008 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Vote Ron Paul!!!
I know McCain won like 2 months ago...but who cares party on!
I Misremember lots of things

by Zach K on Feb 23, 2008 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Well...
maybe Paul lives by this

"Why look anything up when it is so much easier just to say it."-Ed Helms

I Misremember lots of things

by Zach K on Feb 23, 2008 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

As an old-school guy fascinated
by, and coming around more, on sabermetrics, I'm stunned by Doc's view.

Which pitcher would you rather have:

Pitcher A: 13-20, 3.90 ERA, 1.38 WHIP
Pitcher B: 16-13 5.20 ERA, 1.51 WHIP

If you go with Pitcher B because of the wins, you just selected Ramon Ortiz (2003) over Steve Carlton (1973).

We Are ... Marshall!

by Thundering Turtle on Feb 22, 2008 8:08 AM EST reply actions  

NIce work.
The only problem with your presentation is that now you've got explain WHIP to Dr. Feelgood and all his addled and dependent patients.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 8:15 AM EST up reply actions  

AnalyzeThis!
People are sometimes confused by the differences between cause and effect.

The so-called observed "effect" of winning (as a pitcher) in baseball are illuminated by all the pertinent "causal" statistics: WHIP, ERA, W/9 innings, etc.

The idea of all the sabermetrics was to identify value independent of "winning and losing"; to find a diamond in the rough, so to speak. Obviously, there are good pitchers on poor teams that have losing records (win/loss) because they are surrounded by a poor team: poor run support, poor defense, bad bullpen, etc.

It's sometimes a fluke in baseball, when a pitcher has a winning record, but poor Sabermetric stats (think Eric Milton, 2004). The causal stats can't be refuted long term, and they will be more telling of a career, than simple variations of wins and losses that "luck" may deliver to a pitcher. If the statistics are reliable, the wins and losses will come, but usually accruing to the team (somewhere), and not always the individual pitcher.  "Hard luck" pitchers are on every team; guys who pitch well but aren't rewarded with a winning record.

There is no substitute for winning, but understanding how you get there is something that apparently Paul Daugherty doesn't have a firm grasp on.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 22, 2008 10:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Hard luck pitchers
I normally don't care enough to check stats, which makes me something of a Neanderthal around here.  Ok, one of the things.  Anyway, my suspicion is that Bronson was one of those hard luck pitchers last year.  I remember many of his games being blown by the pen.  Of course, he also believed his own hype of having a rubber arm, but after Narron abused it in two consecutive games, he went through like a ten game winless stretch.

My point is, he still pitched pretty decently last year, and we should expect to see him rebound.  And hopefully the bullpen will be more stabilized this year so that Dusty will be inclined to go to them rather continuing to believe that Bronson can throw 150 pitches with no ill effects.

I've just heard people get down on Bronson after his 2007 season because it wasn't as phenomenal as his 2006 season.  I still have great confidence in him and am expecting a big year.

by Brendanukkah on Feb 22, 2008 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Bronson
I think overall Bronson was where I expected him to be.  I think an ERA in the low 4's suits him.  Maybe a 3.90, over 200 innings.  I don't look at last year as a bad year for him, he was pitching over his head in 2006, it was the only season he posted an ERA under 4.  
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 22, 2008 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Bronson
In 2007, Bronson had 6 games where he left the game with a quality start and lost (one time there were 2 men on base, both scored eventually).  He also had 4 starts where he left the game with a lead and the Reds ended up losing.

Looking at some of the other Reds:
Harang did not take a loss in a quality start last year.  He had 2 starts where he left with the lead, but the Reds lost.

Belisle lost one quality start.  He had 3 games where he left in line for the win and ended up losing.

Lohse lost 3 quality starts but never left the game with a lead only to have the Reds lose.

There are other game types that I've left out (games where they were in line for a win, but didn't get it despite the Reds winning, etc.), but I think this is a good indicator of how unlucky Arroyo was last year.  Give him the same kind of "win luck" that Harang had last year and he could have been 17-9 instead of 9-15.  I wonder how different people's perceptions would be of him in such a situation.

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 22, 2008 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Wow
That's pretty significant.  6 losses in quality starts versus none for Harang.  I was really ignoring his W-L from last year (as I do most of the time), so my perception of him wasn't as bad as some (like probably Paul Daughtery), but this still surprised me.  Thanks for the research, Dr. Slyde.
"Just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it." - George Costanza

by beasleymachine on Feb 22, 2008 11:34 AM EST up reply actions  

I was thinking of Bronson, among others
But Dr. Slyde provided the facts.

The problem with writers like Daugherty is that they are sometimes too close to the problem; something like Field Managers and GM's.
Their personal opinion of the player or players clouds their perception of just how good or bad the player actually is.

Dusty is still convinced that Corey Patterson would be a good lead-off hitter, because he "knows" him, and has seen him play.  The facts of his lifetime OBP, BA, and slugging percentage, etc., fundamentally refute Patterson's value.

This is the long version of saying that Dusty may be nucking futs over Patterson and other issues, but hey, that what the intertubes are for.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 22, 2008 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Here's something...
..for the Neanderthal in you.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Hey Boobs,
Didja know that your boy C Trent is double-dipping in the blogosphere?

Red Reporter's resident** stat geeks might find it interesting that his PECOTA post is his new indie site's least commented-upon.

(** Can one truly be a resident of Red Reporter if one resides in one's mother's basement?)

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 22, 2008 8:28 AM EST reply actions  

Rosenthal likes the Fogg and Affeldt signings.
TAMPA, Fla. - At the start of the season, few would have imagined that a team could sign two free-agent pitchers from the NL-champion Rockies for a combined $4 million.

General manager Wayne Krivsky, mining the bottom of the free-agent market, secured left-hander Jeremy Affeldt with a one-year, $3 million contract and right-hander Josh Fogg with a one-year, $1 million deal.

"There was no real strategy. It's just the way things played out," Krivsky says. "We're looking for quality guys to bring in at any point during the off-season. Whether it's December, late February or March, it doesn't really matter."

Affeldt, 28, and Fogg, 31, aren't Koufax and Drysdale, but they're major-league pitchers. In fact, both could end up in the Reds rotation, which features only two proven starters, Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo.

Yet, Affeldt and Fogg are guaranteed only 1/12th of what the Mariners will pay right-hander Carlos Silva over the next four years.

Affeldt, coming off a breakthrough season as a reliever, began the off-season looking for a four-year, $16 million contract, according to sources. Fogg, a winner of 10 or more games in five of the past six seasons, was believed to be seeking a three-year, $21 million deal.

The Reds landed a pair of bargains. Affeldt and Fogg got nowhere near $37 million combined.

We Are ... Marshall!

by Thundering Turtle on Feb 23, 2008 10:21 AM EST reply actions  

There's some flawed logic here.
Just because Affeldt and Fogg got nowhere near $37 million combined doesn't necessarily mean that the Reds landed a pair of bargains.

The fact that Affeldt and Fogg signed one-year prove-your-worth contracts with a middling team playing in a hitter's park for a combined $4 million should tell us what Affeldt and Fogg are worth.  Affeldt and Fogg are the kind of players that are worth exactly what the market will bear.  And the market ain't bearing $37 million.

So while these signings might not be the worst thing in the world, let's not pat Wayne on the back for saving the club $33 million.  We can offer Wayne our congratulations for not planting gold coins in a hole in the ground and expecting a gold coin tree to grow overnight.

Nicely done, Wayne.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 23, 2008 11:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Pinocchionomics.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 23, 2008 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

Affeldt, Fogg, and ....
"There was no real strategy. It's just the way things played out," Krivsky says.

Maybe Krivsky is being falsely modest.  Maybe he is being bluntly honest.  Maybe he really has no clue.
Regardless, this seems at some level to be a telling remark. I wish he had a strategy, but he seems to be making it up as he goes along.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 23, 2008 1:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I was waiting for someone to jump
on that. It made me wince a little, too.
We Are ... Marshall!

by Thundering Turtle on Feb 23, 2008 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

PLAN IS A FOUR LETTER WORD.
I love sports. Whenever I can, I always watch the Detroit Tigers on the radio. Gerald R. Ford

by Madville on Feb 23, 2008 2:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm guessing that..
..by "no real strategy," Wayne meant: "We'll wait to see what shit free agents fall into our lap in Febraury and if that doesn't work we'll try Maloney or Shearn as our fifth starter in April and if that doesn't work we'll overpay in the trade market in May."

So you see, he had some semblance of a stategy.  It just wasn't a real strategy.

(And once again I think we owe Wayne some tepid congratulations.  He has executed and completed his no-real strategy before the end of February.)

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 23, 2008 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

He's at it again
Not down with OBP: Baker has repeatedly talked about the desire to have a do-it-all leadoff hitter with speed. What kinds of hitters is he looking for further down the lineup? Does he want guys with lofty on-base percentages? The answer will likely not sit well with fans of the book "Moneyball," because Baker said he believes the OBP statistic is overvalued.

"I'm big on driving in runs and scoring runs," Baker said. "Guys in the middle should score about close to equal to what they drive in. On-base percentage, that's fine and dandy. But a lot of times guys get so much into on-base percentage that they cease to swing. It's becoming a little bit out of control.

"What you do is run the pitcher's count up, that helps," Baker said. "You put him in the stretch, that helps. But your job in the middle is to either score them or drive them in. The name of the game is scoring runs. Sometimes, you get so caught up in on-base percentage that you're clogging up the bases."

Reds.com

The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 23, 2008 2:37 PM EST reply actions  

Oh. My. God.

Can you say: Messiah Complex?

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 23, 2008 3:06 PM EST up reply actions  

does he say that like
he doesn't want slow people with high OBS but a low slugging percentage?  Like Sean Casey?  I doubt it.
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 23, 2008 3:23 PM EST up reply actions  

there's a romor going 'round
that Dustball wants to manage from the paddlewheel atrocity at GABP. complete with binocular sunglasses.
"I'm trying to be a wine dude," Dustball Baker

by Madville on Feb 23, 2008 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

er that's RUMOR
"I'm trying to be a wine dude," Dustball Baker

by Madville on Feb 23, 2008 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Correct me if I'm wrong, but...
It sounds to me like he's not very enthused about walks.  Like he thinks hitters are too focused on walks and playing for one base at a time, rather than swinging away and either getting multiple bases or multiple guys in (or multiple outs).

But, he's a fan of extending the count and making pitchers pitch out of the stretch.

Now, wouldn't a walk require a pitcher to throw at least four pitches per batter, as well as put men on base so that he would have to pitch out of the stretch?  Does Dusty even know what he's against?

by Brendanukkah on Feb 23, 2008 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

It's going to be like that Cubs trash talk
Dunn will be ordered to swing the bat.  Even when they are trying to intentionally walk him.  ;-)
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 23, 2008 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

In all honesty...
I would tend to agree with that, in the nature of the Reds' roster as of today.

Who would you rather have lead off?
Norris Hopper
Ryan Freel
Brandon Phillips

Me? I'd rather have Brandon leading off with Bruce starting in CF, batting 2nd.  NoHo is catching splinters on the bench as a backup outfielder (and plays CF against lefties).  Freel is your super-sub and #1 RH pinch hitter and pinch runner.

But I don't think that's what Dusty means.  I think he lusts for Corey Patterson to play CF for the Reds this year.  All around player and all that.
Time will tell.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 23, 2008 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

BP is no lead off guy.
#3 yes, #6 yes, maybe even #2. No reason why Jay B---- can't start out there (leadoff), learn some MLB patience and work on OBP.
"I'm trying to be a wine dude," Dustball Baker

by Madville on Feb 23, 2008 4:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I understand what you mean
but in the reality of the Reds's roster, choose one lead-off guy:

Hopper?
Freel ?
Phillips ?
or get
Lofton
or
Patterson

or
Pick somebody else

I WANT Bruce to stick this spring and play CF, I just don't want to put the pressure of leading off on him.  He really hasn't done that too much. Maybe he does it and is great at it, and I'm totally wrong, and good for the Reds.  But I'm just trying to be realistic, and hoping that they DON'T go out and get Lofton or especially Patterson.

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 23, 2008 5:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Jay Bruce is not the best choice
as a lead off guy, but then neither was Hobbs. If Keppinger was to play everyday (big IF) then i would look at him to lead off. I know he's not swift of foot but then neither was Pete Rose.

If not Bruce or Kepp - then we're kinda fucked. Freel/Hopper = lack of patience meets the bunt King.
Lofton will not be here,Crawford will not be here - I don't much about Patterson.

I don't think that Bruce is immune to pressure but I also think that getting to be the 1st batter of the game only happens once and that shouldn't freak the kid out - he's the next Jr.

"I'm trying to be a wine dude," Dustball Baker

by Madville on Feb 23, 2008 6:54 PM EST up reply actions  

With Dusty
there's a good chance that Keppinger might not make the team, as he has Castro behind Gonzalez on the depth chart (anecdotal remarks by Dusty).

My Line-up             Projected Dusty line-up
Brandon Phillips         Hopper/Freel/Lofton
Jay Bruce                Alex Gonzalez
Adam Dunn                Ken Griffey
Ken Griffey              Brandon Phillips
Edwin Encarnacion        Adam Dunn
Joey Votto               Edwin Encarncion
Alex Gonzalez            Hatteberg/Votto
David Ross               David Ross
Pitcher                  Pitcher

I can't wait for Opening Day to be either vindicated in my guesses about Dusty or be proved totally wrong (and happy about it).

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 23, 2008 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

George your line up easily beats Dustballs.
Mine as of this morning would be:

Bruce      or    Keppinger
Phillips         Bruce
Votto            Phillips
Dunn             Dunn
EdE              EdE
Griffey          Griffey
Ross             Votto
Gonzalez         Ross
Pitcher          Pitcher

There is no place for old men:
(Lofton etc.) or utility players (Fropper)if this team is to progress at the MLB level. What more does Votto and Bruce have to prove at AAA.

"I'm trying to be a wine dude," Dustball Baker

by Madville on Feb 24, 2008 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I died a little bit inside while reading that
I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Feb 23, 2008 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm praying for a Dusty heart attack.
My lord this is gonna be a terrible next couple of years.

by Geki on Feb 23, 2008 4:35 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not just Dusty
I think it goes deeper than that.  Jocketty is old school, and apparently downright hostile to the stat types.
Supposedly Jocketty deeply pissed off his bosses - owner Bill DeWitt and team president Mark Lamping - for failing to develop an amicable working relationship with VP of player development (and stat maven) Jeff Luhnow.   Supposedly Luhnow lived in fear of being seen around Busch Stadium, especially with reporters, for fear it would get back to Jocketty.  And the Jocketty wing of the organization - the old-school scouting types - generally treated Luhnow, according to one source, "like a war criminal."

You have to figure Castellini has heard all this.  He must be okay with it.  

Mark Twain's words come to mind: "When the end of the world comes, I want to be in Cincinnati because it's always twenty years behind the times."

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 23, 2008 6:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Flashback!
http://www.redreporter.com/comments/2007/10/13/224941/15/105#105

This contingent of the Cardinals' camp arriving in Cincy still troubles me, but now I think my comment was incomplete to the point of spuriousness. I've since heard insiders insists that every front office employs 'saber-types' even if the public doesn't know their names.

by Red Menace on Feb 25, 2008 2:05 AM EST up reply actions  

now we know the truth
bubbafan is a plagiarist. and i am shiva, the god of death.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 25, 2008 2:30 AM EST up reply actions  

wizard.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 25, 2008 3:19 AM EST up reply actions  

I kept saying this during the Oscars
My roomate hadn't seen SNL, so it was disturbing him greatly.  Good times.

by Brendanukkah on Feb 25, 2008 9:39 AM EST up reply actions  

In that case...
...I call foul!  The god of death should not be allowed to participate in a death pool.  It's a conflict of interest!
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 25, 2008 6:35 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm sure they do
The question is how much they listen to them.  

I find it a little unnerving that they would hire someone who was that hostile to sabermetrical types (if that account is true).  

But baseball is nothing if not traditional.  In other sports, like football, they are eager to make changes and try new things.  Baseball clings to their traditions and is much slower to change.

Given that conservative culture, I can imagine that many of the older people in positions of power think sabermetrics is still unproven.  It's not like it's an instant ticket to the World Series, after all.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Feb 25, 2008 7:05 AM EST up reply actions  

damn
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 23, 2008 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

those fuck joe morgan guys
really need to get on this.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 23, 2008 5:20 PM EST up reply actions  

They kind of owe us
What with all the Office love we've been giving them lately.

by Brendanukkah on Feb 23, 2008 5:22 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah
i wonder if theyd like to weigh in on pam vs. karen
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 23, 2008 5:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm hoping
that the hitters mostly ignore him.  This is probably blind, stupid hope, because players seem to like him.  But if everybody says "Yeah, sure Dusty, I'll take fewer walks and swing at everything that comes my way" but really, just go out there and be more patient, what can he do?  Leadoff with Wan Casto, I guess.
"Just remember, it's not a lie if you believe it." - George Costanza

by beasleymachine on Feb 23, 2008 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Dusty has magic sunglasses.
http://cincinnati.reds.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080222&content_id=2384603&vkey=spt2008 news&fext=.jsp&c_id=cin

"Because as soon as I go to this field, I'm missing what's happening on that field," Baker said. "Then you run back and forth and you're missing stuff in between. I want to see as much as I can. I can see who's doing BP fooling around. I love my sunglasses, because I can look this way and be looking back that way."

PLUS THEY MAKE ME LOOK REALLY REALLY COOL.

Somebody please make him stop talking. Please.

by Geki on Feb 23, 2008 6:14 PM EST reply actions  

I reiterate:
The rumor:Dustball wants to manage from the center fieldpaddlewheel atrocity at GABP. complete with binocular sunglasses.
"I'm trying to be a wine dude," Dustball Baker

by Madville on Feb 23, 2008 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

"I love my sunglasses."
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 23, 2008 8:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I went looking for..
..a nice pic to post of my gal Salma wearing a nice pair but I couldn't find any sunglasses.

WwwwOW!

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 24, 2008 2:48 PM EST up reply actions  

well,
they finally got around to satirizing our dolt, but they gave us NO FUCKING CREDIT. that is teh rude. i'm not reading their site for the next six hours.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 24, 2008 4:14 AM EST reply actions  

there
now theyve made the appropriate amends.
Marty may have a shirt on, but Billy Beane just ripped his off and is squeezing his nipples. - Brendan's ukkah

by boobs on Feb 24, 2008 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

I was at Dougs site
and he mentioned something that made some sense.  The signing of Josh Fogg will limit the innings of the Reds four big pitching prospects.  Lets just say that the Reds begin the season with a rotation of Harang, Arroyo, Belisle, Fogg, Affedlt.  Fogg and Affedlt can hold down spots in the rotation until June or so.  If they suck they can be demoted to the bullpen and replaced by whoever is pitching the best in Louisvile; Bailey, Cueto, Maloney, or EV.  If they pitch well than those 4 will get an extra year of seasoning, and I am sure atleast two of them can see big league time this year, with injuries and what not.  Since Affedlt and Fogg are on one year contracts it isn't a situation in which the rotation will be clogged with mediocore presence for the next 3 or 4 years.  The depth is impressive, it is nice to know if the entire starting rotation where to be injured it could be replaced by Bailey, Cueto, Maloney, EV, and Gardner.
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 24, 2008 2:09 PM EST reply actions  

You make Tom Shearn saaad.
Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 24, 2008 2:35 PM EST up reply actions  

If Cincinnati didn't have Fogg
I wouldn't mind Shearn as the long man in the bullpen.  I honestly think by June, especially if Bailey, EV, Cueto, and Maloney are dominating, he will be a long reliever.
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Feb 24, 2008 2:52 PM EST up reply actions  

If all four of them are dominating in June...
...It'll be great.

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 24, 2008 3:12 PM EST up reply actions  

To add to that..
If by complete chance that either or both of them don't suck, but the offense or other starters suck by the deadline, they are flippable. A mediocre Fogg at the trade deadline might be worth something..
"Sometimes, you get so caught up in on-base percentage that you're clogging up the bases." - our very own D. Baker - Oh my..

by snohio on Feb 24, 2008 2:36 PM EST up reply actions  

It will be interesting...
..if Fogg pitches like a solid #3 or #4 and if the Reds are hanging around the .510-to-.525 win percentage necessary to compete in the division and the trade deadline approaches.

Do you trade Fogg then?  Do you then ask one of "the kids" to help you stay within striking distance of the Cubs and/or Brewers so Fogg can be shipped to Philadelphia for a new Maloney?

Take a look around this dump. You're just a tourist with a typewriter. I live here.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Feb 24, 2008 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

If Fogg is pitching that well
and the Reds are in the race, then you keep him and hope he helps you win it.

Along the same line of thinking, if Fogg really pitches that well, then he could well bump himself into the status of a Type B free agent, which would mean a nice draft pick as compensation when he signs elsewhere for 2009.

We Are ... Marshall!

by Thundering Turtle on Feb 24, 2008 7:36 PM EST up reply actions  

this is the beauty of these signings
its win-win.  if they stink, then no big deal.  you aint paying them much.  if they are good and you are competing, then right on.  if they are good and you arent competing, then you can trade them.  i have to say, im very impressed with our boy wayner this winter.  the worst thing he did in the past 4 months was let cantu go.  thats pretty damn good.
is it April yet?

by Charlie Scrabbles on Feb 24, 2008 8:27 PM EST up reply actions  

To be fair to Wayne
with respect to Cantu, he (Cantu) wanted more than what the Reds' thought he was worth, and indeed ended up signing for much less than he wanted (much like Fogg).

I'm not sold on aquiring Fogg, but there is a logic to the situation, even though Wayne declaims any "planning".

"Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day" - Harry S. Truman

by Lonesome George on Feb 24, 2008 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey what is going on with fantasy baseball
I will like to join RR's game. My draft board is set for the most part.
I Misremember lots of things

by Zach K on Feb 25, 2008 5:26 PM EST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Cincinnati Reds. Community Guidlines

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

Brandon Phillips in Decline?
You say, "Zavada" I say, "Rapada"...
Glenn Braggs Strike Two Broken Bat
Let the Schoenfield Hating Begin!
Adrian Cardenas just got DFA'd.
Mat Lato's Caravan Interview (Video)
Reds reach Minor League deal with Jeff Francis | reds.com: News
"He’s a guy I’ve always liked," Baker said. "I think he’s a great addition...
Johnnie B. Baker and the Legend of Knifey-Spoony
Reds sign Ryan Ludwick

+ New FanShot All FanShots >


Bench Coaches

Img00487-20110618-1949_small jch24

How-thomas-the-tank-engine-works-11_small BK

Ken_fish_called_wanda_small ken

Zombie-mlb_small Charlie Scrabbles

340x_charliesheen_small Kevin Mitchell is Batman

Untitled_small nycredsfan

5851799_small FordhamRam

Lurch_small UncleWeez

Beat Reporters

Jinaz-reds-avatar_small JinAZ

Turtle17_small Thundering Turtle

Small riverfront76

Piñata_small kcgard2