Playoff match-ups: SF Giants

Frank Victores-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire

The Reds are likely to get the Giants in the NLDS. But do they "get" the Giants?

The Reds are still on course to play the Giants in the first round of the playoffs - a team 23% of you said you wanted to see in the NLDS in that poll.

They have a slight edge over the Giants in their season series, taking 4 of 7 and outscoring them 28-21. It's different in the playoffs, of course - not just because of the wall-to-wall bunting. The Reds faced April editions of Matt Cain, Barry Zito and Ryan Vogelsong and then got Bumgarner, Cain, Zito and Vogelsong on the West Coast trip in the middle of the summer.

While the Giants are taking all 5 starters to the playoffs, in a short series the Reds will almost certainly see Cain first, then Bumgarner. There's an argument to be made for Bruce Bochy to save one of his aces for GABP, given that Vogelsong and Lincecum have pitched a lot better at home this season. But that's probably as likely as Dusty running Homer out 2nd.

After the first two, it gets a little murky. Vogelsong seems to be tumbling down a cliff. Lincecum blew up again after showing signs of selfhood over the last two months. Barry Zito is, if nothing else, on the playoff roster.

The Reds need to split the two games in San Francisco not to have their backs against the wall when they get back to Cincinnati. I hate the playoff format when I say that out loud, but that's just how it is.

Taking a "whatever" stance on Zito/Lincecum/Vogelsong, let's look at how the Reds match up against the Giants' aces and their team as a whole.

30,000 ft.

2012 record: 4-3

Runs scored: 28

Runs allowed: 21

2010-'12 record: 12-9

Reds offense vs. Giants ('12): .254/.316/.414

Reds pitching vs. Giants ('12):
2.63 ERA, 1.249 WHIP, .258./.321/.373 opp-line

Giants' offense

vs. RHP: .269 .333 .388
vs. LHP: .271 .318 .416

A likely lineup:

Angel Pagan (S) CF
Marco Scutaro (R) 2B
Pablo Sandoval (S) 3B
Buster Posey (R) C
Hunter Pence (R) RF
Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Gregor Blanco (L) / Xavier Nady (R) LF
Brandon Crawford (L) SS

Matt Cain

2012:

PA BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Mike Leake 3 0 1 .667 .667 1.667 2.333
Jay Bruce 7 1 0 .833 .857 1.167 2.024
Ryan Ludwick 6 0 2 .333 .333 .833 1.167
Zack Cozart 7 0 0 .286 .286 .857 1.143
Brandon Phillips 7 0 1 .286 .286 .714 1.000
Joey Votto 7 1 2 .333 .429 .500 .929
Drew Stubbs 7 1 1 .200 .333 .400 .733
Scott Rolen 6 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Ryan Hanigan 3 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Devin Mesoraco 3 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Mat Latos 2 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 58 3 14 .296 .333 .611 .944

Career:
PA BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Brandon Phillips 30 0 8 .233 .233 .500 .733
Ryan Ludwick 27 3 6 .364 .444 .818 1.263
Joey Votto 27 4 3 .304 .407 .391 .799
Jay Bruce 17 4 1 .462 .588 .615 1.204
Scott Rolen 13 0 3 .231 .231 .462 .692
Drew Stubbs 13 1 4 .091 .167 .182 .348
Zack Cozart 7 0 0 .286 .286 .857 1.143
Mat Latos 6 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000
Chris Heisey 5 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000
Xavier Paul 5 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400
Bronson Arroyo 3 0 0 .333 .333 .667 1.000
Miguel Cairo 3 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167
Ryan Hanigan 3 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Mike Leake 3 0 1 .667 .667 1.667 2.333
Devin Mesoraco 3 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Homer Bailey 2 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
Sam LeCure 2 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500
Sean Marshall 2 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Dioner Navarro 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 172 13 37 .263 .322 .487 .809


Madison Bumgarner

2012:

PA BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Zack Cozart 4 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Drew Stubbs 4 2 1 .000 .500 .000 .500
Jay Bruce 3 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Miguel Cairo 3 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Todd Frazier 3 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000
Ryan Hanigan 3 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .667
Scott Rolen 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Joey Votto 3 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Johnny Cueto 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Chris Heisey 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 29 2 8 .038 .107 .038 .146

Career:

PA BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Ryan Ludwick 17 1 3 .063 .118 .125 .243
Drew Stubbs 12 3 3 .222 .417 .444 .861
Joey Votto 11 0 4 .273 .273 .545 .818
Jay Bruce 9 0 3 .111 .111 .111 .222
Brandon Phillips 8 1 0 .429 .500 .429 .929
Scott Rolen 8 0 0 .250 .250 .500 .750
Ryan Hanigan 7 2 1 .400 .571 1.000 1.571
Miguel Cairo 6 0 1 .200 .333 .200 .533
Johnny Cueto 5 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Chris Heisey 5 0 0 .200 .200 .200 .400
Zack Cozart 4 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Todd Frazier 3 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000
Mat Latos 3 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Wilson Valdez 3 1 0 .000 .333 .000 .333
Mike Leake 2 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Homer Bailey 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Xavier Paul 1 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 105 8 24 .170 .243 .287 .530
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/28/2012.
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