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Willy Taveras

#0 / Center Field / Cincinnati Reds

6-0

160

R

R

Dec 25, 1981

One more look at the available outfielders

First of all, Happy New Year!  I know we're way into 2009 already, but I wanted to make sure I said it.

Secondly, I've been looking at the list of available free agents trying to figure out if there is a way the Reds can start to sniff a playoff spot by picking up one player.  It's unlikely, but what else do we have to talk about?

Before we look at the available players, let's look at the projections we currently have for the Reds outfield:

Player PA WAR
Dickerson 462 1.1
Taveras 525 0.8
Bruce 602 2.5
Hopper 420 0.8
Nix 175 0.0
Total 2184 5.1

I haven't looked at other outfields, but I'd guess that getting only 5 wins from your outfield isn't all that good.  Clearly, the Reds need some help.

Can anyone bring that help?  There has been talk about Rocco Baldelli (0.7 WAR over 300 PA projected), Ty Wigginton (1.5 WAR/500 PA), and Pat Burrell (1.6 WAR/560 PA), but none of those players would be the significant upgrade that the Reds need to be contenders. 

In fact, the way I see it, only two remaining free agents could bump the Reds up enough to make a serious impact toward this season.  The first is unrealistic given his expected price tag.  Manny Ramirez (3.1 WAR / 595 PA) is going to get $20+ million a year and there is no reason the Reds should or could pay that.

The other player is someone that I've hesistant about, but now I think might be worth it.  If Milton Bradley (3.1 WAR / 462 PA) can play decent defense in LF, he may be worth the 3yr/$30 million that he is asking for to the Reds.  If you give him Dickerson's at bats and then bump everyone down to the next level in playing time, the outfield goes from a 5.1 win OF to 7.7 win OF.  This would also bump the Reds as a team up to a 82-win projection.

I know 82 wins is not much to get excited about, but I think we're starting to get within range of the playoffs in the "if everything goes right" scenario.  This is especially true if you consider that the Reds have two serious break-out candidates in Jay Bruce and Johnny Cueto.  If both of those players reach their 70th percentile CHONE projections, the Reds will pick up another 2-3 wins.  Given a little luck (say, Bradley reaching 600 PA or EdE also breaking out big time), we could be in the hunt for the playoffs.

Or maybe the liquor hasn't worn off from New Year's Eve.

155 comments | 1 recs | Digg!

Start drinking heavily open thread: Reds Sign Taveras to 2 year deal

It's official, people.  Your new centerfielder and leadoff man is Willy Taveras.  Financial terms have not yet been disclosed, but it's a 2 year deal.

Courtesy of the Cincinnati Reds official website.  Let's just hope his OBP is a lot closer to 2007 .367 than his .308 of last year.  And, uh, hope you like stolen bases.  He should at least be better than Freel or Patterson.

I was thinking of going to the Reds Hall of Fame today.  I didn't realize that I would be missing the past quite this much.

275 comments | 0 recs

An open thread for the rest of us: "I've got a lot of problems with you people!"

Frank-costanza_medium 

Happy Festivus, RRs!  Since Red Reporter has no official religious affiliation, it would only be prudent that we celebrate the greatest of non-affiliated late December holidays.  If you're not familiar with Festivus, the traditions are below:

Continue reading this post »

263 comments | 2 recs | Digg!

Water Cooler Wednesday

What are Reds fans discussing at the water cooler on a Wednesday morning in December?  Use this as an open thread for today.  If you haven't listened to the Hot Stove league thing in obc's diary, it's worth checking out, if only because Marty kind of comes off as a blowhard and cream-of-the-crap Reds fans are calling in suggesting that Roger Clemens and David Eckstein are the answers to the Reds problems.

A few links:

  • Fay has an article up about the free agents that the Reds are/should be pursuing.  Nothing new there, but it's kind of a primer on what the Reds may be up to.  Names mentioned: Jerry Hairston Jr., Willy Taveras, Ty Wigginton, Pat Burrell, Milton Bradley, Rocco Baldelli, and Gabe Kapler.
  • Doug has a good article up on RML about the future of the Reds LF.  Also, the Hawaiian Winter League is no more.
  • JinAZ has a detailed look at the Freel/Hernandez trade (linking it a little late, I know, but it's worth checking out).
  • C. Trent has a Dominican Winter League update from Rob Butcher on his blog today.

    Juan Francisco has 9 home runs for Cibao, a new Dominican Winter League record for a lefthanded batter. The previous record for HR by a LH batter in the DWL was 8, established by Rafael Batista in 1974 and tied by Batista in 1975.

Unfortunately, the Reds have been pretty quiet this week.  A few other non-Reds related links:

If you guys see anything else worth posting, feel free to post them in the comments.

45 comments | 0 recs



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