2014 Community Prospect Rankings: Daniel Corcino is Your #12 Prospect

USA TODAY Sports

Let's see more Lil' Cueto than Lil' Volquez this season, mmmkay.

Daniel Corcino ain't dead yet. After a year where the wheels completely fell off, and all his peripherals took a nose dive, Cuetinho drops from #4 to #12 on this season's list. He's doesn't turn 23 until August, so there's still time left, but if he can't figure it out, a trip to the bullpen seems inevitable. A familiar face joins the list today.

CARLOS CONTRERAS, 23, RHP
Highest 2013 Level:
AA (Pensacola Blue Wahoos)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
9.6 K/9 in Bakersfield last year.
Most Worrisome Fact:
Walks, and lots of 'em.
Alias(es):
Mary Mary Quite Contreras

Another interesting prospect here, Contreras was signed out of the Dominican Republic as a teenager, and the Reds have been very slow with his development, keeping him in short season rookie leagues for his first four years. His first full season came in 2012 where he tossed 60 innings of 3.12 ERA out of the bullpen with a 9.3 K/9. Carlos made the transition to the rotation in 2013, where he kept up his high K rate (9.6 K/9) in Bakersfield, but saw his BB/9 rise to 4.1 with a 3.80 ERA in 18 starts. His last 8 starts of the year came in Pensacola where his K/9 plummeted to 5.5, but despite the lack of strikeouts, his ERA dropped to 2.76 over his final 42 innings. Contreras has an above average fastball that can touch 97, but sits in the mid 90's. His change-up shows potential, but his breaking ball needs a good deal of improvement. His mechanics are a little sloppy, and make it difficult for him to have a consistent release point, which leads to the lack of command and high walk rate. If he can improve his control and refine his breaking ball, Contreras could find himself in a big league rotation someday. But his fastball/change combo would easily play well in the bullpen.

JON MOSCOT, 22, RHP
Highest 2013 Level:
AA (Pensacola Blue Wahoos)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
8.6 K/9 over 2 levels in 2013
Most Worrisome Fact:
1.302 WHIP and 8.8 H/9 in 2013
Aliases:
Gopper, Sweet White Wine

The Pride of Pepperdine followed up a solid rookie league campaign, posting a 4.30 ERA in 146 innings between Bakersfield and Pensacola. His ERA was inflated a bit by 115 innings in the California League, but he dropped his ERA to 3.19 in 6 AA starts. Moscot has a four pitch repertoire, and coaxes a lot of ground balls. He was a little more hittable in 2013 than he was in his first season, but if he can keep the walks down, he could settle in as a mid-rotation starter, or as a Sam LeCure-esque bullpen arm.

CHAD ROGERS, 24, RHP
Highest 2013 Level:
AAA
Eye-Poppingest Fact: Survived a shark attack
Most Worrisome Fact: 6.6 K/9
Aliases: Sharkbait, Mr. Rogers, Hangin' Chad

A nice value pick in the 28th round of the 2010 draft, Chad Rogers started his career as a reliever in Dayton before being converted to a starter in 2012. His ultimate path to the bigs (besides catastrophic injuries to current starters) may still be as a reliever, but he's shown an ability to keep the ball on the ground and in the ballpark, while limiting his walks. He's by no means a flashy prospect, but he could very well be a contributor at the big league level as a long man, fill-in starter, or reliever. Again, not sexy, but certainly necessary. Also, he survived a freakin' shark attack. That gets points in my book.

JOSE ORTIZ, 20, C
Highest 2013 Level:
Rookie (Billings Mustangs)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
.232 ISO in 2013
Most Worrisome Fact: .525 OPS in Billings, 1.076 on the road
Aliases: Lil' Papi, Puerto Rican Johnny Bench

It looks like the Reds may have grabbed a major steal in the 17th round of the 2012 draft. There were doubts at the time that Jose Ortiz would sign, but he did, and went on to tear up the competition in the AZL in 2012: .359/.469/.538 in 49 PA. Ortiz spent this past season in Billings where he continued his dominance at the plate, slashing .262/.321/.494 with 8 wangers and 14 doubles. Power hitting catchers are a very rare breed, but by all accounts, he has the defensive chops to stick behind the plate. Ortiz should get his first taste of full season ball this season in Dayton, and I'm super excited to see the kid play.

KEVIN FRANKLIN, 19, 3B
Highest 2013 Level:
Rookie (AZL Reds)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
More raw power than Iggy Pop
Most Worrisome Fact: 20 errors in 37 games
Aliase(s): Franklin Comes Alive

The Reds reached a little bit in the 2013 draft picking Kevin Franklin in the 2nd round to lure him away from Arizona State. Franklin provides big time power, which the system is currently lacking, but comes with the contact issues found in a lot of sluggers. If he's able to shorten his swing and improve his pitch recognition, he should still have power to spare. On defense, Franklin is athletic enough to stick at 3B for now, but if his struggles continue he may end up being moved to a corner OF position or 1B later on. He's a bit of a project, but at 19, he has a lot of upside and plenty of time to figure it out.

JUAN SILVA, 23, OF

Highest 2013 Level: High-A (Bakersfield Blaze)
Eye-Poppingest Fact:
.386 OBP in 2013, .376 career OBP
Most Worrisome Fact: .413 career SLG and durability concerns
Alias(es): High Ho Silva

Not actually property of the Dodgers (thanks, MiLB.com), Juan Silva seems to be one of the more underrated prospects in the Reds system. Injuries have slowed his development, but the kid knows how to get on base. He's played all over the outfield, more in LF than anything else, but he logged 33 games in CF in 2013. His offensive game would profile well in center, but you'd like to see more power if he ends up getting moved to a corner spot. After a full season in Bakersfield, this will be a big year for Silva making the jump to AA.

JUNIOR ARIAS, 22, OF
Highest 2013 Level:
High-A (Bakersfield Blaze)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: 15 HR/60 SB over 2 levels in 2013
Most Worrisome Fact: .14 BB/K ratio in 2013
Alias(es): Jodi, Junya 2

One of two guys in the system named Junior Arias, this speedy outfielder split the 2013 season between Dayton and Bakersfield. He hit .284/.323/.469 over 72 games in Dayton, those numbers dropping to .257/.283/.396 over 53 games in the California desert. Arias has both speed and power, easily setting career highs in home runs (15) and stolen bases (60) this past season. As is the case with many prospects in the Reds system, Arias refuses to take a walk, and his 4.4% rate in Dayton dropped to a laughable 2.2% in Bakersfield. Couple that with a 25-ish% K-rate, and an OBP-monster he is not. Still, his bat has potential, so look for him to keep slugging and running in Bakersfield to start the year.

ISMAEL GUILLON, 21, LHP
Highest 2013 Level
: Low-A (Dayton Dragons)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: 9.94 K/9
Most Worrisome Fact: 7.07 BB/9 (!!)
Alias(es): Call Me Ismael, The Guillon-tine, Ismael Afarta

After a promising 2012 which saw Guillon rocket up prospect lists, the power lefty lost all semblance of control as in his first year as a full-time starter in Dayton. His walk rate climbed by almost 5, although he continued to strike guys out an a good clip. If there's any silver lining, it's that Guillon finished out the season with a very good August, going 3-1 with a 1.32 ERA in 34 innings over 6 starts, striking out 27 and walking 15. Maybe he just needed a year to adjust to the rotation, but 2013 was certainly an expectation-tempering season. I would assume that Guillon will start the year in Dayton's rotation again, hoping to carry the August success into a better 2014.

DONALD LUTZ, 25, OF

Highest 2013 Level: MLB (Cincinnati Reds)
Eye-Poppingest Fact: .807 career MiLB OPS
Most Worrisome Fact: Lack of power since making the jump to AA
Aliases: The Knockwurst, Herr Lutz, Brauner Hulk

A lot of folks say that the most difficult transition in the minors is the jump from A-ball to AA, and Donald Lutz is no exception to that rule. The Knockwurst blitzkrieg'd his way through Dayton and Bakersfield in 2011 and 2012, before getting a promotion to Pensacola, where he has struggled at the plate in two partial seasons. With his unique path to professional ball, it's not all that surprising that Lutz has taken longer to develop than most, but entering his age 25 season, he needs to take a step forward this year.

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