FanPost

Home Sweet Homer


Homer Bailey is probably the number four pitcher in the Red's rotation, behind Johnny Cueto, Mat Latos and Bronson Arroyo. My third favorite thing about Homer is his name, it's a great name. My second favorite thing is that he is good, really good. Considering he's a number four starter I'm gonna go ahead and call him fantastic. My favorite thing about Mr. Bailey, since I'm guessing you are all on the edge of your seats waiting to find out, is that he keeps getting better.

Graph time:

2nglz0g_medium

via i.imgur.com

Let's ignore 2007 and 2008 numbers since he had under 50 innings pitched in each. Also please ignore this graphs description of what is "good" because I think calling pitchers with a 3.1-3.5 ERA just average is a little ridiculous. Going further, throw in the fact that he pitches in a very hitter friendly ball park and low ERAs become even more impressive. Also, before everyone starts screaming about sample sizes, Homer Bailey is most definitely getting better since, through this point last season his ERA was around 3.7, and it was even higher through 60 innings in 2011. This improvement makes sense considering Homer Bailey's success in his last 3 years of minor league play, ( ERA ranging from 2.7 to 3.13), and considering Homer Bailey is now 27 so he should very much be entering his prime.

In this span of time, a lot of good things have happened to his game. He has increased his k/9 by approximately 2, from the league average, to an impressive 8.8. He walks just over 2/9, a good number for any starter. However, most impressively this year has been his ability to keep the ball in the yard. In fact, in 30 home innings, he is yet to allow a home run. Balls fly out of Great American Ballpark hen anyone else pitches there, but not when it's Homer on the mound. This has been key in giving him a 2.32 Home ERA for the year. In fact, only 7.4% of fly balls he has allowed have gone for homeruns, that's less than any season in his career. Some would say that his ERA is bound to go up soon enough as the season wears on, however his 2.8 Fip suggests otherwise. Fip eliminates factors that are beyond the pitchers control, hence the name fielder independent pitching, and uses league averages on balls in play to estimte what a pitchers ERA should look like if he weren't getting so lucky or unlucky. Basically, If Homer keeps this up and continues to prevent the long ball, the future is bright for Homer Bailey as he looks for another 200+ inning season and perhaps career best statistics. The Reds have a lot to be excited about in terms of pitching... and everything else..

Bailey-bale_medium

Is there anything he can't do?

via fairbaseballist.files.wordpress.com

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Red Reporter

You must be a member of Red Reporter to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Red Reporter. You should read them.

Join Red Reporter

You must be a member of Red Reporter to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Red Reporter. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker