Reds vs. Cubs, Game 3: Preview/Prediction Thread

Andy Lyons


Next Game

Chicago Cubs
@ Cincinnati Reds

Wednesday, Apr 24, 2013, 12:35 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park

Jeff Samardzija vs Mat Latos

Mostly cloudy,rain. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 45.

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Well, you can't expect to win every game when you go down by 2 runs in extra innings. Last night was rough, of course, but I think if you had told me at the start of the series that we'd go down by 2 runs in the extra innings of both games and that we could win one of them, I'd have been just fine with it. In the end, it's the same thing it always is. Shoddy bullpen management. Manny Parra had no business being out there in the 10th inning of a tie game, and a professional manager should have known better.

Either way, yesterday's gone so getaway day is all that matters. It's more important than most getaway days we see, as I think everyone involved would like a win tonight to claim the series. An 8-2 homestand is much more impressive than a 7-3 one.

The Cubs aren't pulling punches, sending their ace in Jeff Samardzija to the mound. He's got an ERA over 4 and a half against the Reds in his career, and is slightly worse in day games than he is night games.

The 'Legs counter with Mat Latos, who is in the process of having an uncharacteristically great April. If his arm gets hot by the middle of this season like it did in 2012, look out. Mat has a 3.16 ERA in 5 career starts against the Cubs, and is slightly better in the day than his counterpart. Which should help.

The upside to boneheaded bullpen usage is that the Reds have their best 4 relievers available for this one. Why they weren't used last night in a tie ballgame is beyond me, but there you go.

Hopefully they can get this one in and the weather will cooperate. Either way, WOOO REDS!

Bullpen Log

Reliever 4/19 4/20 4/21 4/22 4/23 5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman 1.0, 16p 1.0, 10p
1.0, 13p
3.0 IP, 39 pitches
Jonathan Broxton 1.0, 9p

0.2, 7p
1.2 IP, 16 pitches
Sam LeCure
2.0, 14p
1.2, 47p
3.2 IP, 61 pitches
J.J. Hoover
1.0, 20p
1.1, 24p
2.1 IP, 44 pitches
Logan Ondrusek

1.0, 17p 0.1, 6p 1.0, 18p 2.1 IP, 41 pitches
Manny Parra

1.0, 21p
1.1, 45p 2.1 IP, 66 pitches
Alfredo Simon
1.0, 14p 1.0, 10p 1.0, 15p 0.2, 5p

3.2 IP, 44 pitches

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