After watching the Reds look a little lost against rookie pitchers in two straight games - and having a few more similar performances rattling around in the back of my memory - I thought it might be worth a look to see if facing starting pitchers with "no book" has been a consistent problem for the Reds.
Here are the rookie starters the Reds' have faced this season (minimum 30 big league innings pitched):
|Pitcher||Age||IPvReds||ERAvReds||opp-linevReds||'12 ERA||'12 opp-line|
|Drew Smyly||23||3.0||9.00||.308 /.357/.692||4.31||.256/.310/.454|
A total of five pitchers (out of 11) above were noticeably better than their season numbers in games against the Reds: Mike Fiers, Lucas Harrell, Matt Harvey, Randall Delgado and Joe Kelly.
In the case of Harrell at least, I think the Reds may have been a little unlucky with how they've scattered their hits. Also, all of these five pitchers are right-handed. That might have something to do with it.
I don't think there's anything that adds up to a pattern here. Rookie starters have allowed a 4.24 ERA against the Reds, where NL starters in general are allowing a 4.01 ERA. I do, however, think that the Reds lineup is especially vulnerable to tough righties right now with Votto out and Stubbs still starting (and hitting at the top of the order) full time.
I guess it just kinda sucks sometimes when a some greenhorn takes you to the cleaners.