Game 151: Reds vs. Dodgers (7:10 EDT). Arroyo vs. Blanton

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Los Angeles Dodgers
@ Cincinnati Reds

Friday, Sep 21, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park

Joe Blanton vs Bronson Arroyo


TV: FSO-HD, PRIM-HD; RADIO: WLW, KLAC, KTNQ; WEB:, Gameday Audio, Gameday


Cloudy. Winds blowing in from right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 70.

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This is Clinch Weekend. It could even be Clinch Night. Marty and Dusty have gotten plenty of guff over the years, but it's a real shame they might both end up missing the celebration.

In half of the possible outcomes for this series with the Dodgers, the Reds win the division regardless of what the Cards do. Even if the Reds win less than two games, they still clinch in most scenarios. And even if they get swept, the Cardinals have to take at least two out of three from the Cubs. Although, I guess maybe that should be the "given" in this equation.

There are only 6 out of 64 scenarios where the Reds do not clinch this weekend - and only three of those involve the Cardinals not sweeping the Cubs. So all else being equal, the Reds have an over 90% chance of sweeping the Cards.

Needless to say, Reds' magic number is 2... Lineups, bench and Hyrdocorti-Mega0BullP.E.N. log 10.5.1 after the jump.

Bronson Arroyo
Stats Joe Blanton
3.74 (113)
ERA (ERA+) 4.97 (80)
WHIP 1.522
K/BB 4.67
IP 179.1



Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
Zack Cozart (R) SS
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Scott Rolen (R) 3B
Jay Bruce (L) RF
Drew Stubbs (R) CF
Xavier Paul (L) LF
Ryan Hanigan (R) C
Bronson Arroyo (R) P


Devin Mesoraco (R) C
Dioner Navarro (R) C
Miguel Cairo (R) IF
Todd Frazier (R) 3B,1B,LF
Henry Rodriguez (S) 2B,3B
Wilson Valdez (R) SS
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Chris Heisey (R) OF
Ryan Ludwick (R) LF
Denis Phipps (R) OF


Bullpen Log

Reliever 9/16 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman

0 IP, 0 pitches
Jonathan Broxton 1.0, 22p -
1.0, 14p 1.0, 16p
3.0 IP, 52 pitches
Sean Marshall 0.2, 17p -
0.2, 13p
0.2, 6p
3.1 IP, 47 pitches
Jose Arredondo
1.0, 18p 0.1, 11p
1.1 IP, 20 pitches
Sam LeCure 1.1, 16p -
1.1, 18p
2.2 IP, 34 pitches
J.J. Hoover

0.2, 26p
1.2 IP, 47 pitches
Alfredo Simon

1.1, 26p
1.0 IP, 10 pitches
Logan Ondrusek
0.1, 6p -
1.0, 27p 0.2, 17p
1.1 IP, 33 pitches
Tony Cingrani


1 IP, 32 pitches
Todd Redmond

0 IP, 0 pitches
Pedro Villareal

0 IP, 0 pitches
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