Game 127 Preview & Thread: Reds vs. Cardinals (7:10 EDT). Latos vs. Lynn.

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St. Louis Cardinals
@ Cincinnati Reds

Friday, Aug 24, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park

Lance Lynn vs Mat Latos


TV: MLB Network (Subject to blackout), FSO-HD, FSMW-HD; RADIO: WLW, KMOX; WEB:, Gameday Audio, Gameday


Mostly clear. Winds blowing in from right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 90.

Complete Coverage >

This series didn't look quite as critical about a week a go, when it was the Pirates in second place. But last night should have been a little humbling for the Reds. So should the fact that a sweep this weekend would reduce their lead to 4.0 games. That would be far, far from the end of the world, but it somehow sounds like a lot less than 7.

If the games this weekend are close and the division lead shrinks, marginal details will start to matter more. I think it's pretty clear that most managers misuse their bullpens and rely to heavily on textbook roles, but that doesn't make it any more frustrating. There are a few things I don't think Dusty has acknowledged that, if ignored, have the potential to hurt the team in a closer race (and in the playoffs):

  • Sean Marshall is the second-best reliever on the team
  • Sam LeCure shouldn't pitch in high-leverage situations
  • Miguel Cairo shouldn't be starting at 1B every three days on a contending team.

In any case, the Reds are still in great shape. They could be in greatest shape by Sunday. There isn't a better backdrop for ecstasy than at home against the Cardinals.


Mat Latos
Stats Lance Lynn
3.56 (119)
ERA (ERA+) 3.73 (104)
WHIP 1.300
K/BB 2.70
FIP 3.54
xFIP 3.67
SIERA 3.64
IP 142.1


Zack Cozart (R) SS
Drew Stubbs (R) CF
Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
Ryan Ludwick (R) LF
Jay Bruce (L) RF
Todd Frazier (R) 1B
Scott Rolen (R) 3B
Ryan Hanigan (R) C
Mat Latos (R) P


Jon Jay (L) CF
Carlos Beltran (S) RF
Matt Holliday (R) LF
Allen Craig (R) 1B
Yadier Molina (R) C
David Freese (R) 3B
Skip Schumaker (L) 2B
Rafael Furcal (S) SS
Lance Lynn (R) P

Bullpen Log

Reliever 8/19 8/20 8/21 8/22 8/23 5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman 1.0, 9p
1.0, 10p 1.0, 20p
4.0 IP, 55 pitches
Sean Marshall

0.2, 16p
0.2, 15p
1.1 IP, 31 pitches
Jonathan Broxton

1.0, 17p

1.0 IP, 17 pitches
Jose Arredondo
1.0, 18p

1.2, 29p
2.2 IP, 47 pitches
Sam LeCure
0.2, 18p

0.2, 16p
1.1 IP, 44 pitches
J.J. Hoover

1.0 (AAA)
2.0, 37p
3.0 IP
Alfredo Simon

0.1, 16p
0.1 IP, 16 pitches
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