Tuesday, Aug 14, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park
TV: FSO-HD, SNY-HD; RADIO: WLW, WFAN, WQBU; WEB: MLB.tv, Gameday Audio, Gameday
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 80.
There's been some trepidation about the innings' counts in the Reds rotation. While I think it's more important to look at physiology, mechanics and age curves, I don't really have access to most of that information - and wouldn't know what to do with it if I did. So at least innings give us a number to work with.
Mat Latos has thrown 141.2 innings and is on pace to make 10 more starts (including today), though it'll probably be 9 with some spacers or skipped starts in there. At his current rate of innings consumption, 9 more starts would put him at a little over 191.1 innings. If you assume instead he makes all 10 starts - and pitches a little better than he has to date - he's probably over 200. That's not much of a red flag, considering he threw 194.1 last season.
At 24, Latos is something of a border case on the aging vs. injury risk. He had a sore shoulder that sidelined him to start 2011. He's also never been in the playoffs. But he's fully capable of throwing around 200 innings and is showing no after-effects of last year's injury. If he's kept to 9 starts and not pushed too hard in September, he should be fully ready for the playoffs.
||ERA (ERA+)||4.87 (79)
|Reliever||8/9||8/10||8/11||8/12||8/13||5 day totals|
|Aroldis Chapman||1.1, 20p||1.0, 13p
||3.1 P, 50 pitches
|Sean Marshall||1.0, 25p||0.1, 14p||-
||1.1 IP, 49 pitches
|Jonathan Broxton||0.2, 21p||-
||0.2 IP, 21 pitches|
|Logan Ondrusek||0.2, 13p||-
||0.2 IP, 13 pitches
|Jose Arredondo||0.1, 11p||0.1, 6p||-
||0.2 IP, 17 pitches|
|Sam LeCure||0.2, 8p||-
||0.2 IP, 8 pitches|
||0.0 IP, 0 pitches|
Bullpen at Rest.