Hopefully, the recriminations about the Reds' medical staff have died down a little. Joey Votto played hurt. And maybe all involved took what they thought was soreness or inflammation too lightly. Maybe, in hindsight, he shouldn't have played in the All Star Game. But teams don't MRI everything. Even when they do, it doesn't necessarily tell you anything definitive until it's too late and there's already a discernible tear. The speculation is mostly pointless and, speaking for myself at least, ill-informed.
I don't expect to be able to reconstruct any of these details any more than I can reconstruct Votto's meniscus. At least until I finally become really, really good friends with Votto and we're hanging out in his loft downtown (in this fantasy world, he lives in Cincinnati and there are cool lofts in Cincinnati), drinking and he's like, "Hey, man, do you want to peruse my medical records?"
The Reds now have to set about replacing as much of Joey Votto's production as possible over a 3-4 week period. Of course, those estimates are often low-balled. Berkman, who admittedly is older and had a more acute injury, was out for close to eight weeks with his meniscus surgery. But, hey, the original estimate was 8-10 weeks. So sometimes those things aren't just a random number generator.
The Reds cannot replace Joey Votto 1-for-1. With their current roster and minor league depth, they can't fully replace him in the aggregate. Aside from hoping he comes back as soon as possible. Their best hope, for the immediate future, is for Todd Frazier and Scott Rolen to hit their hearts out. Here's how they can make up for his absence, in two parts:
Call up someone who's kinda good, then optimize the lineup
BK speculated in Farmer's Only today on who would get the call-up. There aren't any thrilling options, but for me it's either Henry Rodriguez or Dioner Navarro. Navarro, as a catcher who's only played 1B a couple times in AA, is far from an obvious choice. Henry Rodriguez makes more sense from a positional standpoint. But, as BK points out, he only has 10 games above AA.
One thing I think the Reds need to accept is that Miguel Cairo isn't a suitable part-time corner infield starter. He's hitting .145/.169/.217 in 71 PAs during his age 38 season. I think that will get better, but not nearly better enough to begin to help fill the Votto gap.
Here's how the two call-ups play out in my mind - which, admittedly, is not the mind they use to make this decision.
Henry Rodriguez has roughly the defensive skillset of Cairo (2B-3B), but hopefully offers more hope of offensive production. He's still just 22 and recently arrived to AAA, but if he's hit at every level. If he can keep up his contact in the majors, he'd be a helpful piece. Frazier mans first and H-Rod spells Rolen at 3B.
The Reds call up Dioner, who switch-hits and is currently slashing .339/.408/.468 in Louisville. He's been terrible in the majors in recent years, but he's only 28 and gives the Reds flexibility at catcher. Frazier can start at 3B when Rolen rests, at 1B when Rolen is in the lineup and the Reds could opt to have two of their catchers in the lineup (one at 1B), depending on match-up, when Frazier isn't occupying 1st.
Ramon Hernandez made 26 starts in '09 at 1B when Votto was out, after having scant experience at the position. One of these three catchers could probably fake it there for a month of scattered starts.
Be more aggressive on the trade market
* Bonus idea: do something wacky
Signing Manny or Vlad to play 1B and dumping them after Votto comes back comes to mind. Although this thinking could lead the Reds to Melvin Mora.