Game 86 Preview & Thread: Reds vs. Cardinals (7:10 EDT). Latos vs. Wainwright.

Loading Scores


Next Game

St. Louis Cardinals
@ Cincinnati Reds

Friday, Jul 13, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Great American Ball Park

Adam Wainwright vs Mat Latos

Coverage

TV: FSO-HD, FSMW-HD; RADIO: WLW, KMOX; WEB: MLB.tv, Gameday Audio, Gameday

Weather

Partly cloudy,rain. Winds blowing in from right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 80.

Complete Coverage >


It's still hard to believe the Reds got off the West Coast with a winning trip. But they did and now everyone is well-rested, even the All Stars (though their egos may be slightly bruised).

I hesitate to call this a Big Series, even though it's being billed that way by everyone from the local press to ESPN (with requisite 2010 brawl clips for their Sunday night broadcast). There are virtually no "big games" in the MLB regular season and slightly more Big Series. Even if the Reds are swept, they'll only end up 1.5 games behind the Cardinals. We don't know what the Pirates are going to do, but I suspect I'll be slightly annoyed by it.

The Reds have gone 17-22 against the Cardinals since the beginning of 2010, with a 9-10 record at home. That's not quite as bad as I thought and around what you'd expect, considering the fact that the Cardinals - let's admit it - have been ever so slightly better than the Reds over that 2.5 year stretch. But this is the rubber season. 2012 is ours. The summer of George (Grande).

Mat Latos looks to continue what's been a very dominant Last Three Starts: 25 IP, 2 CG, 2 ER, 28 K, 4 BB. That's one in ten thousand simulations type numbers. Something else fun and cool about Latos is that his 101 ERA+ now exactly matches what he put up last season. Adjusting for parks (but not recreation) and run environment, Latos is the pitcher you'd expect him to be based on last season. With the way he's been pitching lately, he could be just as ace-worthy as he was in 2010. It just requires looking at his regular ERA through the jaundiced eye of a GABP junkie.

Lineups and junk, after the hump.

Mat Latos
Stats Adam Wainwright
4.13 (101)
ERA (ERA+) 4.56 (85)
1.204
WHIP 1.354
3.27
K/BB 3.38
4.22
FIP 3.33
3.74
xFIP 3.08
3.63
SIERA 3.29
104.2
IP 102.2

Lineups

REDS (47-38)

Zack Cozart (R) SS
Drew Stubbs (R) CF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
Jay Bruce (L) RF
Ryan Ludwick (R) LF
Todd Frazier (R) 3B
Ryan Hanigan (R) C
Mat Latos (R) P

CARDINALS (46-40)

Rafael Furcal (S) SS
Jon Jay (L) CF
Matt Holliday (R) LF
Carlos Beltran (S) RF
Allen Craig (R) 1B
Yadier Molina (R) C
David Freese (R) 3B
Skip Schumaker (L) 2B
Adam Wainwright (R) P

Bullpen Log

Reliever 7/8 7/9 7/10 7/11 7/12
5 day totals
Aroldis Chapman 1.0, 16p

0.1, 12p


1.1 IP, 28 pitches
Sean Marshall 1.2, 19p

*


1.2 IP, 19 pitches
Logan Ondrusek

SOME


0.0 IP, 0 pitches
Jose Arredondo

*


0.0 IP, 0 pitches
Sam LeCure 0.2, 20p

STARS


0.2 IP, 20 pitches
Alfredo Simon

*


0.0 IP, 0 pitches
Bill Bray

GAME


0.0 IP, 0 pitches

Bullpen notes:

  • For whatever reason (math accident?), Chapman is worst this season with exactly 2 days rest. But I'll take a 3.55 ERA.
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Red Reporter

You must be a member of Red Reporter to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Red Reporter. You should read them.

Join Red Reporter

You must be a member of Red Reporter to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Red Reporter. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker