Game 25: Reds @ Pirates (7:05 EDT). Cueto vs. Correia.

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Cincinnati Reds
@ Pittsburgh Pirates

Friday, May 4, 2012, 7:05 PM EDT
PNC Park

Johnny Cueto vs Kevin Correia



TV: FSO-HD, ROOT-HD; RADIO: WLW, KDKA; WEB:, Gameday Audio, Gameday


Mostly cloudy, rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 75.

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Yesterday's gift-wrapped victory could make a serious psychological difference for the Reds. Rather than closing out a .500 homestand as victims of a 2-game sweep by the Cubs and hitting the road with a losing record, the Reds are back to .500 and riding the walk-off wave.

They also have their ace on the hill. Cueto is currently second among pitchers in the NL in BBRef WAR, though he's not even on the first screen for FanGraphs. FanGraphs distrusts the fact that Cueto puts the ball in play so often (and gives the defense more credit), but I think we've got enough evidence to know that whatever Cueto is doing is baffling hitters well beyond the shadow of a league-average pitcher on a good luck streak.

Cueto will face Kevin Correia, who - according to a real fact - was a 2011 All Star. He seemed pretty stingy against the Reds last season from what I remember, but the bats were able to knock out a few well-placed home runs. Correia's slider could be trouble for this edition of the Reds, who need to be able to get to his very hittable fastball. As always, this could be the series they start playing like a "warm-weather team."

As ugly as the offense has been in more than a few games, they're still only 3rd-worst in their own division on a runs-per-game basis. The team they play tonight is last in the NL.

Go Reds! Let's play the game and win the game.

Johnny Cueto
Stats Kevin Correia
1.39 (276)
ERA (ERA+) 2.42 (152)
1.052 WHIP 1.030
3.14 K/BB 1.13
3.52 FIP 3.82
4.19 xFIP 4.03
3.94 SIERA 4.17
32.1 IP 22.1


Zack Cozart SS
Jose Tabata RF
Drew Stubbs CF
Alex Presley LF
Joey Votto 1B
Nate McClouth CF
Brandon Phillips 2B
Neil Walker 2B
Jay Bruce RF
Pedro Alvarez 3B
Scott Rolen 3B
Garrett Jones 1B
Chris Heisey LF Clint Barmes SS
Ryan Hanigan C
Rod Barajas C
Johnny Cueto RHP Kevin Correia RHP

Bullpen Log

Reliever 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2 5/3 5 day totals
Sean Marshall 1.0, 10p -
1.0, 20p 2.0 IP, 30 pitches
Aroldis Chapman - - 1.0, 16p 1.0 IP, 16 pitches
Logan Ondrusek 1.0, 13p -
1.0, 12p
2.0 IP, 25 pitches
Jose Arredondo 0.2, 13p -
- 1.0, 10p
1.2 IP, 23 pitches
Sam LeCure -
- 2.0, 26p
2.0 IP, 26 pitches
J.J. Hoover - -
1.0, 12p
1.0 IP, 12 pitches
Alfredo Simon - -
0.0 IP, 0 pitches
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