What I think the spring training roster is (with color-coding)

You can measure the beginning of spring from any number of starting points. But those who wisely refuse to wait for the equinox or last outfielder to book their flight will mark it February 19 this year. That's the voluntary report date for pitchers, catchers and an oft-overlooked third class of early bird: the injured player. They already have the disabled list, so we're not going to start calling mid-February the Festival of Injured Players Report.

Now that we're inside of two weeks before the ceremonial opening of Spring Training, it's worth giving the class list for major league camp a once-over. Although my research could be shoddy, I don't think I've seen this anywhere else.

I've coded the invites into four groups:

Italic, Bold and Red - locks to make the Opening Day roster, barring injury or trade

Red, Bold, plain text - Likely to make it

Red plain text - Bubble players

Black plain text - Little or no chance

#

All told, there are 21 spots that seem 100% locked-up to me. On a standard modern NL roster, that's 10 of 12 pitchers, 6 of 6 infielders, 4 of 5 outfielders and 1 of 2 catchers - though the team looks poised to carry only four outfielders by adding Francisco. And it could possibly carry one less pitcher for the first week of the season or so.

WilsonValdez and Devin Mesoraco should probably go ahead and be #22 and 23, but I see some possibility (however remote) of a surprise move displacing them. In all likelihood, however, there are only two spots up for grabs if everyone stays healthy. And those spots are probably in the bullpen. They are also only slightly more open than Mesoraco's claim to the Ramon Hernandez Chair for Cooperative Catching - which is to say: nearly closed.

Logan Ondrusek and Sam LeCure have earned their spots in the 'pen, but it's not impossible that the Reds choose (unwisely) to use LeCure for starting pitching depth or that Logan's health and/or a strong showing in Spring by a pitcher like Josh Judy lands 'seks back in Louisville.

Full roster after the jump.


Spring Training Roster, updated 2.19.12

pitchers # Pos. DOB W H B T
Jose Arredondo 33 RP 3.30.84 175 6-0 R R
Bronson Arroyo 61 SP 2.24.77 195 6-4 R R
Homer Bailey 34 SP 5.3.86 210 6-3 R R
Andrew Brackman 50 SP 12.4.85 230 6-10 R R
Bill Bray 45 RP 6.5.83 225 6-3 L L
Aroldis Chapman 54 SP 2.28.88 195 6-4 L L
Nick Christiani 80 RP 7.17.87 180 5-10 R R
Daniel Corcino 81 SP 8.26.90 165 5-11 R R
Johnny Cueto 47 SP 2.15.86 210 5-10 R R
Carlos Fisher 46 RP 2.22.83 225 6-4 R R
Jeff Francis 26 SP 1.8.81 220 6-5 L L
Sean Gallagher
64 RP 12.30.85 220 6-2 R R
Donnie Joseph
79 RP 11.1.87 190 6-3 L L
Josh Judy 56 RP 2.9.86 200 6-4 R R
Mat Latos 55 SP 12.9.87 225 6-6 R R
Sam LeCure 63 RP 5.4.84 205 6-1 R R
Mike Leake 44 SP 11.12.87 185 6-1 R R
Kyle Lotzkar - SP 10.24.89 200 6-4 L R
Ryan Madson 51 RP 8.28.80 200 6-6 L R
Ron Mahay 58 RP 6.28.71 190 6-2 L L
Sean Marshall 46 RP 8.30.82 220 6-7 L L
Nick Masset 40 RP 5.17.82 240 6-4 R R
Logan Ondrusek 66 RP 2.13.85 230 6-8 R R
Chad Reineke
52 SP 4.9.82 210 6-6 R R
Jordan Smith 62 RP 2.4.86 220 6-4 R R
Clayton Tanner
75 SP 12.5.87 205 6-2 R L
Kanekoa Texeira
65 RP 2.6.86 190 6-2 R R
Brett Tomko
31 SP 4.7.73 220 6-4 R R
Pedro Villarreal 76 SP 12.9.87 215 6-1 R R
Clay Zavada
82 RP 6.28.84 190 6-1 L L
catchers # Pos. DOB W H B T
Tucker Barnhart
78 C 1.7.91 175 5-8 S R
Brian Esposito
77 C 2.24.79 210 6-1 R R
Ryan Hanigan 29 C 8.16.80 200 6-0 R R
Devin Mesoraco 39 C 6.19.88 220 6-1 R R
Corky Miller
37 C 3.18.76 255 6-1 R R
Dioner Navarro 30 C 2.9.84 205 5-9 S R
infielders # Pos. DOB W H B T
Miguel Cairo 43 2B 5.4.74 220 6-1 R R
Zack Cozart 2 SS 8.12.85 195 6-0 R R
Juan Francisco 25 3B 6.24.87 240 6-2 L R
Todd Frazier 21 3B 2.12.86 220 6-3 R R
Didi Gregorius 68 SS 2.18.90 175 6-1 L R
Paul Janish 7 SS 10.12.82 200 6-2 R R
Donald Lutz 73 1B 2.6.89 235 6-3 L R
Kris Negron 71 SS 2.1.86 180 6-0 R R
Brandon Phillips 4 2B 6.28.81 205 6-0 R R
Henry Rodriguez 74 2B 2.9.90 150 5-10 S R
Scott Rolen 27 3B 4.4.75 245 6-4 R R
Neftali Soto 69 1B 2.28.89 180 6-2 R R
Chris Valaika 3 2B 8.14.85 215 6-0 R R
Wilson Valdez 15 SS 5.20.78 170 5-11 R R
Joey Votto 19 1B 9.10.83 220 6-3 L R
outfielders # Pos. DOB W H B T
Jay Bruce 32 RF 4.3.87 225 6-3 L L
Willie Harris
9 UTL 6.2.78 195 5-9 L R
Chris Heisey 28 LF 12.14.84 225 6-0 R R
Daryl Jones
70 OF 6.25.87 180 6-0 L L
Ryan Ludwick 48 LF 7.13.78 215 6-3 R L
Donald Lutz 73 OF 2.6.89 230 6-4 L R
Denis Phipps 23 CF 7.22.85 176 6-2 R R
Drew Stubbs 6 CF 10.4.84 200 6-4 R R


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