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Farmers Only Farmer's Market: The D-Train is back on the tracks

It's Monday morning, meaning it's time for our weekly roundup of fresh and stale Reds prospects of the week.  SInce this was the first week of rookie ball, we'll start to keep track of how those guys are doing here too.  Here we go...

Up_medium_medium Ph_425883_medium Ph_519304_medium

Dontrelle Willis

He's back off the DL and back to pitching his ass off.  In the 26 innings he's pitched since being on the DL, D-Train has a 2.77 ERA and 24 strikeouts to only 5 walks.  That's livin', and if the current starter woes continue in Cincinnati, I'd find it hard to believe that he couldn't help us out eventually.

Neftali Soto

Look who's back on the list!  Soto got off to a nice start to the season, but really tailed off in the beginning part of June.  He's put up a .997 OPS in his last 10 games, including 3 homers in his last 4 games.  Let's hope this is a sign of more to come, he's still only 22 and has time to develop into the prospect we all expected a few years ago.

Juan Perez

Not a lot was known about the Reds' 26th round pick from this year, but he's starting to show the Reds that they made a good decision based on his first week of rookie ball.  The shortstop out of the College of the Canyons, Perez is putting up an absurd .643/.706/1.000 line so far in the AZL (with 3 stolen bases in 4 games).  That's production.

Down_medium_medium Ph_446359_medium Ph_548348_medium Ph_570616_medium

Zack Cozart

It may be a bit of a surprise to see the guy that Reds fans have been clamoring for in this list, but his bat has seriously tailed off lately.  His line from the last 10 games is a paltry .227/.261/.364.  Even though he's still probably a better option than the Reds are currently employing, maybe the pressure of the speculation regarding his callup is starting to get to him?

Donnie Joseph

The season from hell keeps getting worse for DoJo.  He blew another save over the weekend, and has lost his spot as the Mudcats' closer.  His ERA on the year is up to 8.80.  Hopefully this new role will take some pressure off and he can put together some good innings, but this is a pretty bad sign for the 23 year old.

Junior Arias

The kid who put up a .819 OPS in the AZL last year hasn't translated to Billings.  The player that you all ranked as our 21st ranked prospect is hitting .125/.176/.184 so far this year, with just 2 hits in 16 AB.  Slow start, let's hope he can get moving in the weeks to come.

And now on to this weekend's games:

Star-divide

  • Louisville took 2 of 3 from Toledo.  They won Friday night 5-4 behind another good start by the D-Train.  Dontrelle Willis went 8 innings and gave up 4 runs with no walks and struck out 7, and Nick Christiani pitched the 9th for his 5th AAA save.  Jeremy Hermida went 3-for-4 with a homer, and Yonder Alonso and Todd Frazier also went deep for the Bats.  On Saturday, they won 9-2 behind homers from Daniel Dorn and Juan Francisco.  Chad Reineke had a good start, giving up 2 runs in 6 innings, and Tom Cochran and Justin Lehr retired the final 9 batters to seal the win.  Sunday's game wasn't as good, as they lost 4-2 on Travis Wood's first start in AAA of the year.  Wood went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs with one walk and 8 strikeouts.  Up next: Daryl Thompson takes the hill at noon.
  • Carolina lost 2 of 3 against Huntsville over the weekend.  On Friday, the Mudcats took a 5-1 lead into the 9th inning, but lost 6-5 thanks to a blown save by Donnie Joseph.  DoJo gave up a hit and walked 3 without recording an out, and all of them scored.  James Avery had a good start, going 6 innings and only giving up 1 run.  Jose Castro and Denis Phipps had 2 hits each, and Neftali Soto hit his 7th homer of the season.  On Saturday, it took 10 innings but the Mudcats were able to get a 6-4 victory thanks to a walk-off homer by Neftali Soto.  Denis Phipps was 4-for-4.  Tim Gustafson got the start, giving up 2 runs in 5 innings.  Another blown save was to blame for Sunday's loss too, this time at the hands of Tim Hamulack as the Mudcats lost 10-6 in 10 innings.  The top three Carolina hitters (Phipps, Henry Rodriguez, and Mike Costanzo) went a combined 9-for-17 with 3 RBI.  Kyle McCulloch started the game and gave up 5 runs in 5 1/3 innings.  Up next: Pedro Villarreal takes on Huntsville at 7:15.
  • Bakersfield won 2 of their 3 games over the weekend.  They lost 15-7 on Friday, mostly due to a forgettable pitching performance.  Didi Gregorius was 3-for-5 with a triple.  Saturday was better as the Blaze recorded a 6-1 win.  J.C. Sulbaran was awesome again, pitching 6 1/3 of 3-hit, shutout ball with 10 punchouts, making it 19 in his last 2 games.  Alex Buchholz was 2-for-4 with a homer.  Sunday's game was a wild one, as our guys pulled out a 6-5 win.  It was a 2-2 game going into the top of the 9th, when Mace Thurman gave up 3 runs.  All looked lost, but Alex Buchholz got thing started with a solo shot (his 5th) and pinch hitter Stephen Hunt came up with 2 on and a 2-run deficit and homered for the walk-off win (his 6th of the year).  Up next: Josh Ravin takes on Stockton at 10:05.
  • Dayton won 2 of their 3 games against Bowling Green over the weekend.  They lost 5-2 on Friday, despite a decent start by Daniel Renken.  Renken went 5 innings and gave up 2 runs with 7 strikeouts.  Theo Bowe and Billy Hamilton had 2 hits each.  On Saturday, they won 4-3.  Kyle Lotzkar got the start, and went 5 2/3 innings of 2 run, 5 strikeout ball.  Italian lefty Luca Panerati made his class-A debut after that and pitched 2 1/3 shutout innings to earn his first win in Dayton.  Drew Hayes pitched a hitless 9th for his 9th save.  Billy Hamilton went 2-for-4 and stole his 54th base.  The Dragons overcame a 4-0 deficit on Sunday to win 5-4.  Josh Smith gave up 4 runs in 5 innings, and Ronald Torreyes went 2-for-4 with 2 RBI.  Up next: Daniel Corcino takes the hill against Lansing at 7.
  • Billings won 1 of their 3 games against Helena over the weekend.  They lost 7-6 in extras on Friday.  Devin Lohman was 2-for-5 with a 3-run homer, and Juan Silva had 3 hits.  Ismael Guillon had a rough start, giving up 4 runs in 2 1/3 innings with 6 walks.  Saturday was even worse, as Wes Mugarian got tagged for 5 runs (4 ER) in 5 innings in an 8-5 loss.  Nick O'Shea had his first professional homer, as he and Dayne Read both had 2 hits.  Sunday's game was better, as the Mustangs won 7-1 behind a masterful pitching performance by Stalin Gerson.  Gerson went 6 innings of 1 run ball, with 5 strikeouts.  Carlos Contreras and Brooks Pinckard combined for 3 hitless innings of relief.  Drew Poulk hit his 2nd homer on the offensive side, and Dayne Read was 3-for-5 with 3 RBI.  Up next: Mustangs take on Missoula at 9:05, starter is TBA.
  • The AZL Reds won 1 of their 3 weekend games.  They beat the AZL Padres 5-3 on Friday, behind a good start by Daniel Tuttle, who gave up 1 run in 5 innings while striking out 5.  Juan Perez was 3-for-4.  They lost to the AZL Mariners 8-6 on Saturday due to a rough start by Abel de los Santos.  Juan Perez was 3-for-3.  They lost to the AZL Giants 6-5 on Sunday.  Oak Hills grad Joel Bender gave up 3 runs (2 ER) in 4 innings in his start, and Xavier's Phillip Bauer hit his first homer of the year.  Lucas O'Rear gave up 3 runs in 3 1/3 for the loss.  Up next: Off day today, they'll be back in action on Tuesday.

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Cozart

Maybe that Fangraphs guy is right, and the six weeks or so of raking wasn’t real?

Cozart’s career stats are pretty similar to Janish’s minor league numbers; it’s probably not realistic to assume he’s a much better player just because he had a good month or two.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 10:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Cozart has more pop, but otherwise you're more or less right

though I do have more faith in his bat than Janish’s, if only because Janish’s is a known quantity

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jun 27, 2011 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cozart does have more pop

But their OPS’s are similar, because Janish has a lot more patience. Not that it’s shown much this season so far.

I still think he can rebound there, given the chance to make the adjustment.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

i tend to agree

he isn’t AS bad as he’s been

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jun 27, 2011 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cozarts minor league numbers are much better

age 24 AAA wOBA .326/ age 25 wOBA 378- isolated power pretty consistent around .170
Janish AAA age 25 WOBA .274 and AAA age 26 WOBA 319. Isolated power one decent year in the Minors at .135.
That is a pretty significant difference and is line with scouting reports.

by davidmac84 on Jun 27, 2011 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

that is also a pretty small sample size

Janish never had a full year in AAA. I think they rushed him a bit, because he missed a year due to TJ surgery.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Perhaps, but he'll never come close to that ISO

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jun 27, 2011 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

no doubt

Cozart definitely has more power.

But Cozart probably isn’t going to come close to Janish’s >10% walk rate, either.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well

Neither is Janish, apparently.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 27, 2011 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah

And patience usually translates to the big leagues better than power.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Janish needs to adjust, and soon.

Clearly, he doesn’t have enough power to produce many (any) doubles. Failing that, he needs to take more walks. Easier said than done if he’s in the 8 spot. But I do think that until that part of the offense is upgraded, the Reds will continue to be an up-and-down team.

That’s mainly because our leadoff situation is so bad.

The baby under the basket is a very powerful talisman, only to be used in times of great distress.

by johnu1 on Jun 27, 2011 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

he's never been a power hitter

But his lack of power this year is mystifying. What happened to Janish the doubles machine? I don’t think it’s that he’s been figured out, because it was the same in spring training. Good average, but hardly any extra base hits (or walks, for that matter).

Creds said power is down throughout MLB this year, so perhaps that explains it. OTOH, if that’s true, maybe expecting Cozart to come up and hit for power is not realistic.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Part of it may be the way they play him in the outfield

He’s not a good enough hitter to adjust.

The baby under the basket is a very powerful talisman, only to be used in times of great distress.

by johnu1 on Jun 27, 2011 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think that's it

Because it was the same in spring training. No walks, no extra base hits. They don’t put that much effort into scouting during spring training games, and a lot of the players are minor leaguers anyway.

I think he’s doing something different. Either that, or it’s a fluke.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

fake tweet from dontrelle
D-Train back on the tracks baby! #flocka

BRUUUUUUUUUUUUUU

by BigStein on Jun 27, 2011 10:26 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

With the second tweet something along the lines of:

“Why does everyone keep asking what #flocka means?”

[how do you do that cool formatting???]

by Cuetotally Amazing on Jun 27, 2011 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Highlight the desired text

and then hit the little quotation mark button between the subject box and the comment box.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 27, 2011 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

DoJo threw a scoreless inning yesterday

It is pretty insane how up and down he is this year. Hopefully the change from closer does take the pressure off of him and he is able to go back to his 2010 form.

LTP is for Stubbs only!

by OGC Reds on Jun 27, 2011 11:30 AM EDT reply actions  

I can't stop watching this

Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun

@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Jun 27, 2011 12:12 PM EDT reply actions  

or this

Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun

@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Jun 27, 2011 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

this one

Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun

@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Jun 27, 2011 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh the site

www.animalsbeingdick.com

Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun

@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Jun 27, 2011 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

whoa...add a "s" at the end

Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun

@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Jun 27, 2011 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm surprised it's not a Tumblr site

Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."

by ChiDa on Jun 27, 2011 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reds going to be in the Trop tonight

Man, I hate that stadium. They’ve got weird rules about which catwalks count as home runs if you hit them. And the white roof makes catching fly balls a pain, even without the catwalks.

But they do have the rays tank, which is kinda cool. I’m hoping Joey gives the rays a souvenir or two.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jun 27, 2011 12:37 PM EDT reply actions  

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