The Draft: Texas A&M RHP John Stilson
(AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)
With the MLB Draft coming up June 6-8, let’s take a look at some of the players the Reds might have a chance to select.
Predicting which players might be available with the 27th pick is much more tricky than prognosticating the No. 12 selection, or higher, where Cincinnati usually resides. We’ll take a shot, though, with the understanding that a great deal can change between today and draft day.
Baseball America’s first mock draft predicts the Reds to take Texas A&M RHP John Stilson. Our buddy nycredsfan probably would like that selection, as he favors a college pitcher who can move quickly to the big leagues.
Stilson (6-foot-4, 195 pounds) is a junior and a native of Texarkana, Texas. A pre-season first-team All-American, Stilson is 5-1 with a 1.59 ERA in 14 games, 12 starts, this season. In 85 IP, Stilson has allowed 69 hits, struck out 89 and walked 22. Opponents have batted .225 and hit only one home run against him. He has thrown one complete game and has one save.
In 2010, Stilson was a dominant reliever, going 9-1 with 10 saves. In 79 innings, he struck out a whopping 114 batters and walked 23. His 0.80 ERA led the nation and his 12.99 strikeouts per nine innings ranked second nationally. Stilson allowed 5.81 hits per nine innings and a .181 opponents batting average. He was the Big 12 newcomer of the year after transferring from Texarkana JC.
A 19th-round pick of the Minnesota Twins out of junior college in 2009, Stilson features a fastball that sits in the 92 to 94 range and touches 95, up from 88 when he arrived on campus. He gets plus movement in the 90 to 92 range. Some reports had Stilson hitting 99 last year in a relief stint against Miami.
Stilson benefited from A&M’s weight program, adding strength and velocity. His 81-83 m.p.h. changeup is impressive, particularly after being non-existent just two seasons ago, and is a true weapon against left-handers. Stilson also throws a true hard slider that at times is extraordinarily impressive, a splitter and a curve. He can work off the fastball, but sometimes pitches backwards to set up his heater. He works quickly.
Stilson is a strike thrower who pounds the zone. His stuff is near major league ready and some say he could help a major league bullpen now. Stilson has closer potential, but has the stuff to be a very good starter. Stilson has a strong work ethic and drive to improve. If he has a weakness, it’s that he sometimes gets out of sync and doesn’t repeat his mechanics, flying open too soon from an over-the-top delivery.
Stilson, 20, competes well, is a tireless worker and an excellent athlete with middle infield athleticism and some pop in his bat. He didn’t pitch in high school and was recruited as a shortstop, leaving him with a very fresh arm. He has some effort to his delivery, but has smoothed it considerably since coming to the Aggies. He has fully recovered from 2008 shoulder surgery to repair a football injury.
A Wildlife & Fisheries major, Stilson was excellent in an early season outing against a strong-hitting Utah club, striking out 10 in six innings. His lone loss this season was a 1-0 defeat to then-No. 2 Oklahoma. He beat a strong Baylor team, limiting the Bears to seven hits, and allowed 15th-ranked Oklahoma State just four hits.
Fast-rising, some project Stilson to go in the top 15, with the Mets reportedly showing interest at No. 13. He figures to be a relatively easy sign.
A basketball and football standout in high school, Stilson was a junior college All-American.
17 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
ive already forgotten whom im rooting for the reds to select this year
Dangit
"the only place they lost was the scoreboard"
by Ewok on May 16, 2011 2:53 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Texarkana! He and Stubbs can hang out!
This guy sounds like Mike Leake with more size and velocity but less experience/domination as a college starter.
I doubt he falls to 27 but I’d be all over it if he does.
Billy Hamilton: Snax
Devin Mesoraco: Snacks
certainly has more velo than Leake, but I like the polish
anyone know if the 92-95 is reliever or starter velo?
Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"
I like the idea of a polished college pitcher too
While it doesn’t make a lot of sense to draft for need, I think you can draft for ETA. And possibly pick up a player who would be a good deadline trade chip as well as MLB-ready in the near term.
"OVERCHARGE, v. To ask a higher price than you can get." -Ambrose Bierce
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on May 17, 2011 9:07 AM EDT reply actions
Sounds like the kind of guy that the Reds relegate to the 'pen
Hey, Turtle!
When you come to the fork in the road, take it.
by poojols on May 17, 2011 11:12 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
I don't know. He's got 5 pitches, 3 of which could be above average.
If he gets his innings up as a starter this season and shows he can maintain the velocity, I don’t see why he should need to be a reliever.
Billy Hamilton: Snax
Devin Mesoraco: Snacks
Probably just my knee-jerk reaction influenced by the Boxberger situation
But isn’t this their only pick in the first sixty-some? I’d hate to see that become a reliever. Seems like a waste. Of course, the Orioles blew a 6-0 lead at Fenway last night. Bullpens are important.
When you come to the fork in the road, take it.
by poojols on May 17, 2011 11:47 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
This guy isn't Boxberger though.
Boxy really only has 1 above average pitch, and his numbers as a starter at USC were good, not great. The biggest questions with him were (and still are) his command and his secondary pitches.
Those 2 things seem to be this guy’s strength.
Billy Hamilton: Snax
Devin Mesoraco: Snacks
Yeah, from what you guys have written about Boxberger
is that he will be a bit of a project to turn into a starter, where he can move quickly as a relief pitcher. Hard thrower without secondary pitches.
Who are you people, where is my horse?
by Yossarian22 on May 17, 2011 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions
the biggest question I remember hearing was his stamina late in games
and as a result of that I’m assuming late in the season too (both as a starter). Thats why many saw him as an eventual reliever.
eyeliner
what’s with all the eyeblack? I don’t think I’ve seen that very often on pitchers.
by DevilsAdvocate on May 17, 2011 11:46 AM EDT reply actions
He's a sad tomato
When you come to the fork in the road, take it.
by poojols on May 17, 2011 11:48 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
A Wildlife & Fisheries Major
So he’s a Homer Bailey-type.
Born Small... Now Huge... Winning... Bring it..!
looks like a changeup in that picture
"To me, boxing is like a ballet, except there's no music, no choreography, and the dancers hit each other." - Jack Handey
mymlbdraft.com
also has the Reds taking Stilson.
We Are ... Marshall!
by Thundering Turtle on May 18, 2011 1:24 PM EDT reply actions
Stilson reportedly has a torn labrum.
That takes him out of the first round and maybe out of the draft. Someone likely will select him and make a low-ball offer. It will be interesting to see what happens. I feel bad for the kid.
We Are ... Marshall!
by Thundering Turtle on May 28, 2011 4:49 PM EDT reply actions































