Trade Rumors (for realsies this time): Jair Jurrjens jumping to Jincinnati?
With the GM meetings in Milwaukee this week there has been a goodly amount of chatter on the wires. Aside from the incredible, astonishing, unbelievable, breath-taking, earth-rattling, bone-shivering, blood-chilling revelation that Joey Votto isn't going anywhere, the most interesting Reds-related rumor involves Braves pitcher Jair Jurrjens. It really should come as no surprise though, as the Reds are known to be looking for pitching and the Braves are known to have made Jurrjens available. It's kizmet, right?
Well, here's what we know. The Braves are asking for quite a lot for their young hurler, as Jon Heyman reports they are seeking a "Zack Greinke-like deal" in return for him. Pardon the editorial scoff, but pffffff cough cough cough. Comparing Jurrjens to Greinke is quite a stretch, as Greinke had won a Cy Young award, posting a 9 WAR season and two other 5+ WAR seasons before being traded. Jurrjens, on the other hand, is coming off two straight injury-shortened seasons, posting a roughly league-average FIP when healthy. He'll likely make $5 mil next year, his second go-around in arbitration.
FanGraphs thinks he's not worth a top prospect. Citing the injury history and an unsettling drop in velocity, they advise prospective suitors to proceed with caution. All this put together, I'm not terribly thrilled by Jurrjens. Sure, he was a great pitcher in '08 and '09, but I doubt he's still that pitcher. The Braves may already know this, which would give them good reason to try and pawn him off. Of course, their stated reason for shopping him is that they have an embarrassing number of stars-in-waiting ready to pitch in the big league rotation and they just need room for them all (jerks). But one has to wonder. Anyway, if he had pitched this past year like he had in '09 I'd be more likely to give up some of our best prospects for him. If he had, he'd look an awful lot like Johnny Cueto, actually. If he looked like Johnny Cueto I'd be really interested in bringing him on board. But he doesn't. So I'm not.
Of course, the Braves could just be posturing with all the "Greinke-like deal" spiel. So let's suppose they actually are open to a realistic deal for him. What would that look like? Despite the Hamlet-level tragedy that was their September collapse, the Braves are a good looking team with pieces in place to make a World Series run next year. They are in search for a left fielder though, as Martin Prado didn't play so well there last year and is on the trade block. Kevin Mitchell is Batman floated the idea of offering Chris Heisey as the main piece in a Jurrjens swap. I really don't think that would be enough though. I could see them asking for Billy Hamilton as well, which is a bridge too far.
So what do you think? Can the Reds put together a package to land Jurrjens? What would it look like? Should they even bother? Also, don't forget to make your roster predictions for the off-season by tomorrow night. You could win some crap or something.
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I wouldn't hate get Jurrjens
but I would hope he wouldn’t be the “impact” move of the off season.
But if he and Cueto could probably combine for about 300 innings of decent pitching.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
If you're expecting a bigger move than getting a 25 year old All Star starting pitcher, you're probably going to be disappointed
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 10:07 AM EST up reply actions 3 recs
The same could be said about Cueto, and we love him
If they would be willing to part with Jurrjens for Heisey and Homer, I do it in a heartbeat.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
For me, it's this
Average FB velocity:
2007: 92.6
2008: 91.9
2009: 91.2
2010: 91.1
2011: 89.1
That, combined with the injuries, is a huge red flag for me.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Jurrjens is fools' gold.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 10:59 AM EST up reply actions
Maybe this has been mentioned
He also had a lowish BABIP last year and the highest LOB% of his career. The red flags are almost too many to count. And his name is impossible to say and spell.
If healthy, though, he has decent control and seems to outperform his peripherals. That could easily make him a 2/3 starter in the Reds’ rotation. He’s not the Big Solution, but paired with another acquisition it could drastically remake a rotation currently filled with 4/5/spot starters.
Mgr., Red Reporter
"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 16, 2011 12:59 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
A good assessment
But I kinda don’t want to trade for a guy who, if everything goes just right, can maybe be a #3 starter.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Can't we just consolidate three of our #3's into an ace?
That’s logical, right?
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 1:04 PM EST up reply actions
I suppose I'll need something like this...

A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 1:10 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
That guy(?) is surprisingly stoic
I guess that might be because he’s dead.
Mgr., Red Reporter
"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 16, 2011 1:22 PM EST up reply actions
x

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
by Cy Schourek on Nov 16, 2011 4:02 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I dream that Mike Leake will be the next Greg Maddux
and I am delusional enough to believe it.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
I'd like Al Leiter
I’d be a little disappointed if he was just Steve Trachsel. I’d be ecstatic with Kevin Appier.
Greg Maddux is insanity beyond my knowledge to express.
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
I dream he's just Greg Maddux-esque for about 3-4 years
the entire career is a complete pipe dream.
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 8:52 PM EST up reply actions
OK OK
for 2 or 3 years he could be 1999 Greg Maddux
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
HE WILL WIN 15 GAMES FOR 20 YEARS THERE WILL BE NO ARGUMENT!*
*not intended to be a factual statement
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
15 games in 20 years
is not very good.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
Don't jinx him with your love
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
A more thought out version of what I said.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
Like I said I wouldn't hate it
but I would want more than that because realistically all we can expect from him is about 150 innings. The problems with shopping on a budget is it is hard to find the combination of great and healthy.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
this
I don’t think there’s a fit between the Braves and the Reds, but I don’t see us getting anyone better than Jurrjens.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
Obviously we have the pieces to make a fair offer
I’m not particularly interested in Jurrjens, but he would be an upgrade to our rotation. I would offer something along the lines of END + Sappelt. Since the Reds won’t trade END, a realistic proposal might be Ryan LaMarre + Brandon Hynick + Matt Klinker.
Or, I’d do Travis Wood plus a lower-level prospect.
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
well I think they're looking for a bat as the centerpiece
so something like Heisey and Jeremy Horst is about all I’d consider. I’m with ‘creds and GBSAMBB, I’d honestly rather stand pat if you have to give up someone major.
Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"
yeah
They don’t need pitching. They want offense. MLB-ready offense, because they plan to contend next year. As usual.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
wait one cotton pickin' minute!
I didn’t suggest Heisey, I merely cited places where I’d seen Braves fans suggest Heisey! That’s different-ish!
Also, the’ve got Pastornicky as their up and coming SS, but maybe they’d like to have Hamilton to take over 2B from Uggla 12 years and eleventy bajillion dollars from now.
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 8:12 AM EST via mobile reply actions
I would trade two B level prospects for him
And definitely not Hi-Z
Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun
Of all the superfluous outfielders we have...
heisey is my favorite. Probably the most versatile as well.
Jurrjens is pretty sweet though.
What are the park comparisons between GABP and Turner? Is this a similar field, as far as hitting / power numbers for a pitcher? If he is moving from a similar field and can still do the 3.ish ERA, then it’s a worthy trade.
Turner's dimensinos are pretty similar to GABP
Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
by -ManBearPig on Nov 16, 2011 12:37 PM EST up reply actions
It plays much bigger, though.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:49 PM EST up reply actions
which is strange to me, because the elevation in Atlanta is higher than Cincy
wasn’t old Fulton County stadium a hitter’s park?
Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
by -ManBearPig on Nov 16, 2011 12:53 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah, it wasn't called the Launching Pad for nothing
But I don’t think elevation is a big factor for any park outside of Arizona and Colorado.
I remember reading something a while ago that said
that Fulton County was at the highest elevation of all MLB parks before the Mariners came to be. And their theory was that is why it was a HR friendly park. I guess that was bullshit, since Turner is right next to where FCS was.
Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
by -ManBearPig on Nov 16, 2011 12:58 PM EST up reply actions
I'd bet it has something to do with the humidity.
Atlanta in July is like wearing a wet blanket that’s on fire.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:55 PM EST up reply actions 4 recs
GABP is more of a hitter's park
basically you have Coors, Chase, Citizens Bank, Fenway, Arlington, US Cellular for parks that are not better pitcher’s parks than GABP.
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
Hi-Z is marginal starter
This is better than the B level prospect he used to be, but let’s not fool ourselves about his value.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 11:01 AM EST up reply actions
That may or may not be true
But you shouldn’t fool yourself that your personal opinion of him is how all GMs view him as well.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
If opposing GM's prized Heisey, we'd know about it.
He’s not a best kept secret.
Nobody is out there trying to trick the Reds into giving him up for cheap.
He’s just a 4th outfielder. Get over it.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:34 PM EST up reply actions
Why so angry?
We don’t know who values whom. I don’t know what GMs might want him. What I do know is that a lot of scouts have really liked him for a long time, and that he racked up a lot of homers in limited PAs this year. It’s entirely possible that is making some GM think he can be a starting CF or LF.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Maybe because there is never any hot stove mention of him.
That doesn’t mean nobody’s interested, but it’s rare there’s fire where there’s no smoke.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:47 PM EST up reply actions
Fair enough.
But I haven’t seen much hot stove talk around Grandal, Alonso, Hamilton, et al either. That doesn’t mean teams wouldn’t want them.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I suppose we should wait until the winter meetings before trying to assess who wants whom.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:51 PM EST up reply actions
Indeed.
In the meantime, let’s all make dogmatic statements about things we know little to nothing about!
/looks at self, winks
It feels so nice to be back to normal
IT IS BETTER TO DESTROY THAN TO CREATE WHAT IS MEANINGLESS
Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"
That's the most beautiful sentence I've ever read, despite the caps.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 1:05 PM EST up reply actions
Redreporter: make dogmatic statements about things we know little to nothing about!
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
well, that's just because the reds have no money and are talking to no one
by 'tHan on Nov 16, 2011 1:09 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
idgi
"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
by Cy Schourek on Nov 16, 2011 11:36 PM EST up reply actions
the only value from another GM I've heard
is when Towers offered Gerardo Parra for him. That doesn’t thrill me, really
Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"
I guess I could like picking up ol' Jair
if he’s the equivalent of the Brewers picking up Marcum (meaning there’s still a Greinke-level trade in the works).
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 8:25 AM EST via mobile reply actions
How is Heisey their answer in LF
… when he’s not really considered an answer in our LF?
The season doesn't start until the Cincinnati Reds take the field! Reclaim The Opener!!
we played Gomes as our LF "answer" for almost 2 full years.
Its likely that other teams may notice that we don’t know what we’re doing all the time.
Speaking of, anyone else up for Andruw Jones as the RH portion of our LF spot (if Heisey gets traded)?
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 8:33 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Hmm
I’d do Heisey and Matt Maloney errr… Matt Klinker? Would they do that?
"Aroldis Chapman is a seven course meal followed by four hours of sex on the table with a nymphomaniac model heiress who owns her own brewery." - jch24
Would you trade Cueto for Heisey and Klinker?
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Cueto=/=Jurrjens
Mainly because they are trending in opposite directions.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Funny
Unless you want to knock Jurrjens because he succeeds in a different way, which is certainly your right. It would be wrong, but it’s your right. :)
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Like I said, they are trending in opposite directions
Jurrjens velocity and strikeouts tanked this year, and while Cueto also strikes out fewer, he’s replacing those with a shitton of groundballs, while Jurrjens is basically a flyball pitcher.
Cueto has a much better GB rate, a better K/BB rate, a significantly lower WHIP, and most importantly, his stuff isn’t diminishing and he doesn’t look injury prone.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
i disagree that cueto doesn't look injury prone
he missed the beginning and end of last season.
and it seems like he was injured often in the seasons before last
Maybe,
but he has still average 10 more IP over the last three years than Jurrjens, and over the last 2 years he’s averaged almost 35 IP a year more.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
As an average.
He’s pitched 30 more innings total. Which still isn’t much, you are correct.
But looking at more recent history, over the last 2 years he’s thrown a total of about 70 more innings, which I think is pretty significant.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I have a feeling you're viewing them through Rose colored glasses
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
That's your right, but you are wrong.
How am I viewing cold hard facts through rose colored glasses?
Cueto KK/B: 2.21
Jurrjens KK/B: 2.05
Cueto WHIP: 1.09
Jurrjens WHIP: 1.22
Cueto GB%: 54%
Jurrjens GB%: 42%
Cueto FIP: 3.45
Jurrjens FIP: 3.99
In 2010 at least, Cueto was a superior pitcher in every way. Then there’s the velo loss. As soon as a pitcher gets below 90 mph on their fastball, I get worried.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Not gonna get into this today, sorry

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
So you are saying you agree that Cueto is currently a superior pitcher?
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I'll agree that you're the King of England if it means you'll stop being incredibly selective in the stats you choose to compare two pretty equal pitchers
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
he can easily do it with...
Selective Endpoints™!
by 'tHan on Nov 16, 2011 10:52 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Or in 2010 for that matter.
I’ll concede that Jurrjens was much better in 2008-9, but like I said, they are trending in the opposite direction, and Cueto has been much better over the last 2 seasons.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Well...
When Johnny Cueto started a game, the Reds had a record of 16-8.
When Jair Jurrjens started a game, the Braves had a record of 16-7.
I’d say that’s pretty even.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Hahaha, stupid team wins. No one ever looks at that.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Look up the definition of "irony" in the dictionary
and your argument in this thread will come up.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Irony
Being like a metal appliance with a handle and a weighted flat bottom, used when heated to press wrinkles from fabric.
by crolfer on Nov 16, 2011 12:05 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
But you have to be using that appliance as an adjective
The season doesn't start until the Cincinnati Reds take the field! Reclaim The Opener!!
Sweet, you got it
Why do your randomly selected stats matter more than my randomly selected stats?
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Totally
The Mariners were only 17-16 in games Felix Hernandez started. They should be looking to give him away!
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Seriously though
Pick a stat from 2010-11, and it favors Cueto
ERA: Cueto
IP: Cueto
ERA+: Cueto
FIP: Cueto
H/9: Cueto
K/BB Ratio: Cueto
HR/9: Cueto
GB%: Cueto
The only way they are the same is their W/L record. And yet I’m the one cherry-picking stats.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
You two keep arguing and I'll post the ginger pic again
Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun
by btcoop71 on Nov 16, 2011 12:26 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I'll go ahead and do it.

Still not a candidate.
by Gray on Nov 16, 2011 12:27 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
It lasted about a full Pitino before being deleted
Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun
by btcoop71 on Nov 16, 2011 12:28 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
x

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 1:42 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
#UnspeakableHorror
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 2:53 PM EST up reply actions
No no no no no no no no no...
no no maybe(after a 6 pk) no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no….
Yes you are, by using 2010-2011 instead of 2008-2011
You know it, I know it, and anyone that compares them on bbref will know it. The reason you chose 2010 as the cutoff is because it was a shitty year for Jurrjens.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 12:28 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
And the thing to remember is that I'm not arguing that Jurrjens is better
I’m arguing that he’s very similar to Cueto, and that an offer of Heisey + craptastic minor league arm won’t get a deal done.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
And what I'm arguing, if you'd pay attention
is that they are trending in opposite directions, and that while Jurrjens was much better in 08-09, Cueto has been much better in 10-11.You don’t think GMs pay more attention to more recent results?
And I don’t presume to know what it would take to get Jurrjens, but Cueto absolutely, 100% has much more trade value than he does right now.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I guess it must be lonely when you're always right
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 17, 2011 2:05 AM EST up reply actions
oh
kitty’s got claws
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:06 AM EST up reply actions
Given Jair's injury history, I don't think a 2010-2011 comparison is unfair
He’s not the same pitcher anymore.
Would you say that Cueto has an injury history?
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Cueto is owed $23 million, Jurrjens is owed nothing
Does that make a difference?
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Well if Jurrjens is free then heck yeah and make a run at him
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
Yep
For me, it adds to Cueto’s value. He’s under team control for 4 more years, but only 3 of them are guaranteed. Jurrjens is under control for 2 more.
If I’m trading for a guy, I’m assuming he’s going to be good and I want to use him. If I’m trading for someone assuming I’ll non-tender them, that seems to indicate what their trade value is.
Also, Jurrjens will likely make something similar in 12-13 through arb to what Cueto is signed for.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
If that was true, it would
Cueto and Jair will make about the same in ‘12 and ’13 after Jair’s arbitrations can resolved. Cueto then gets $10M, and then there’s the team option. Cueto’s contract is not an argument against him at all.
Jair, on the other hand, would be too expensive in two years if he does well. And if he doesn’t, then we’ve just endured two years of suck.
The point being that if Jurrjens gets hurt, you can walk away and owe nothing
Not so with Cueto.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Maybe they have insurance on Cueto's deal. I dunno.
FTR I’m not against acquiring Jair for the right price. I don’t think he’d slot in as our no. 1, but he could easily be our no. 3 or 4. He doesn’t K many but he keeps the walks and HRs down.
Same. I'd take him
But if that’s the only pitcher they got, or if they gave up a top prospect for him, I wouldn’t feel too thrilled about 2012.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I'd say you can co-plan the pity party with Justin, then
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 1:16 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
You aren't very nice to be around when you've been proven wrong.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
You aren't very nice to be around, period
Fuckface!
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
We're running out of room for insults
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
But luckily there's still plenty of room for your penis
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
damn you cuntfag fuckfaces!
Can’t you just argue in nice, concise 4 or 5 comment spurts so the thread doesn’t turn into one word per line gibberish on my phone?
Gahh, the nerve of these nutsuckers!
#common, #RRcatchphraseday, #jch’credsslapfightlovechild
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 1:32 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I don't see what the issue is
i like Jurjens and think he could be useful but if a guy who hasn’t thrown 300 innings in the last two years combined is the best we can find I will be a bit disappointed.
But then again adding Jurjens to the rotation is better than adding nobody.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
wonder why they'd be making roughly the same money through their arbitration years?
seems like that might indicate they are roughly the same pitcher
by 'tHan on Nov 16, 2011 1:12 PM EST up reply actions 4 recs
I DEMAND THAT THIS GO GREEN
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 1:15 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
needs one more
I did my job
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 17, 2011 2:07 AM EST up reply actions
Or that the Reds were smart enough to sign Cueto
before he really broke out.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
by nycredsfan on Nov 16, 2011 1:15 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
They're similar pitchers, sorry
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
I wouldn't trade Heisey for Cueto.
That would be stupid. They’re both on the same team already, you’d accomplish nothing.
by crolfer on Nov 16, 2011 1:31 PM EST up reply actions 3 recs
you're just being silly
I think if you did a straw poll of objective baseball fans (ie. not Braves or Reds fans) the overwhelming majority would want Cueto more than JJ.
Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
casual fans or hardcore fans?
i think JJ has more name value nationally.
by 'tHan on Nov 16, 2011 1:32 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Well, we were talking about trades
I’d like to think GMs are more than casual fans.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I know, but I don't care what baseball fans think
I feel pretty confident GMs would value Cueto more.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
so, you should be correcting manbearpig
by 'tHan on Nov 16, 2011 1:59 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I probably should.
Although I’m guessing most fans would rather have Cueto too.
After the kicking incident, I’m guessing his national profile is bigger than you think.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
that's not a positive bump though
i’ll always assume the all star pitcher from atlanta with the funny name has more name value than the guy that kicked a cardinal
Could be.
And most fans are probably like JCH in that they remember his awesomeness from a few years ago and don’t realize that Johnny has passed him by.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I didn't necessarily mean casual fans
but rather people that have at least a modicum of intelligence on the subject. So, GM’s, stat nerds, baseball writers, players, et al would rate Cueto higher than JJ at this point in their careers for the reasons that ’creds pointed out above.
Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
I think more objective baseball fans have probably heard of
JJ than Cueto
#brandrecognition
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 17, 2011 2:09 AM EST up reply actions
My favorite thing about this
is that you insist I’m the one who can’t admit it when I’m wrong.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
If Cueto is a significantly better pitcher in 2012, I'll happily admit I'm wrong
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Significantly better? I disagree.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Ha!
JC: 9-5 W-L record, 2.31 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 169 ERA+, 0.5 HR/9, 6.0 K/9.
JJ: 13-6 W-L, 2.96 ERA, 1.224 WHIP, 128 ERA+, 0.8 HR/9, 5.3 K/9.
One player is better on every dimension but W-L record, and definitely significantly better if you look at ERA, ERA+, or WHIP.
But I guess you’re just arguing for the sake of arguing at this point.
Still not a candidate.
Totally, I do it in the hopes that all you smart people will somehow pass your genius on to me
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Yes yes, that's exactly it
It has nothing to do with people condescending pricks.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
I'm sorry
how is citing every stat possible to demonstrate one’s argument being condescending?
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I wasn't talking to you
And as far as ERA and WHIP go, they suck as a stat until they support an argument, right?
And if I’m so blinded in this argument, why does Bill James predict that Jurrjens will have a better year in 2012 than Johnny Cueto will?
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
I'm not sure what you're arguing any more
but you said that you disagreed with me when I said that Cueto had a significantly better 2011.
The statistics that I gave you supported what I said. So what are you arguing about?
Still not a candidate.
We've run out of room, I'll address this below
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Did you just call somebody else out for being a condescending prick?
If you’re expecting a bigger move than getting a 25 year old All Star starting pitcher, you’re probably going to be disappointed
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
FIP too,
but I’m sure that and all the things you cited are just random stats we are cherry picking.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
if the shoe fits....
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 17, 2011 2:10 AM EST up reply actions
You didn't ask me, but of course I'll answer anyway!
I’d say he does, but like I said earlier, he threw 70 innings more than Jurrjens over the last 2 years, and his FB velo hasn’t dropped like Jurrjens’ has. There is a LOT more to be concerned about with him, IMHO.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Agreed
Even if salaries were not an issue, I’d still take Cueto over Jurrjens. Every pitcher is a health risk, but Jurrjens is only 25 and has lost a ton of velocity. Can’t take a chance on that.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:54 PM EST up reply actions
Rose colored glasses?
So they make everything look loud and garish and tacky?
by the finest muffins on Nov 16, 2011 12:22 PM EST up reply actions
Jurjens loss in velocity is very real.
Cueto’s strikeouts dipped last year but his fastball stayed the same.
That makes me more concerned about Jurjens’ long term durability.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
Am I the Braves?
Then sure, fuck that team! (No, I would not like the Reds to trade Cueto, but I’m not sure it’s a super great comparison because I don’t think it will take as much to get Jurrjens as it would Cueto)
"Aroldis Chapman is a seven course meal followed by four hours of sex on the table with a nymphomaniac model heiress who owns her own brewery." - jch24
by BK on Nov 16, 2011 10:19 AM EST via iPhone app up reply actions
I think having Minor/Beachy/Delgado/Teheran
instead of Wood/Klinker/… helps a lot, too.
"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
by Cy Schourek on Nov 16, 2011 11:18 AM EST up reply actions
Are you kidding? I'd absolutely take Starlin.
I just don’t think he’s going to be a superstar. A very good shortstop, but not a superstar.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I'd bet that he has a better career than any SS currently in the Reds system
Even Billy Hamilton. And apparently, Didi Gregorius needs to be mentioned because BA realllllly likes him.
"Aroldis Chapman is a seven course meal followed by four hours of sex on the table with a nymphomaniac model heiress who owns her own brewery." - jch24
by BK on Nov 16, 2011 10:20 AM EST via iPhone app up reply actions
/Fanshot'd
But yeah, it’s interesting to me that they really highly regard bot DiDi and Hamilton, indicating that they love tools, yet Yorman is off of their list entirely.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Weird.
I got ripped (I can’t remember how badly, but enough) for saying positives about Starlin a while back.
by supergrover on Nov 17, 2011 12:15 PM EST up reply actions
Kinda matters how positive were those positives...
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
The Braves' biggest hole is at SS
Pastornicky is not ready yet. A-Gon is a free agent.
They also have holes in LF and third base.
They’re not really a match for the Reds, because the Reds have the same holes.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
Raven Riley plays SS, too?
Damn, she really does get around!
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 10:46 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
DO NOT TRADE WITH THE BRAVES
They player(s) they give us will contract leprosy.
The player(s) we give them will become all-stars.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 10:58 AM EST reply actions
Reitsma for Bong
Mercker for Belisle
Neagle for Reith (and Drew Henson and Jackson Melian, to be fair)
Brett Boone/Remlinger for Rob Bell, Neagle, and Mike Tucker
It’s pretty impressive to trade for 4 Braves pitchers and have each of them blow up in the Reds’ faces.
"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
by Cy Schourek on Nov 16, 2011 11:21 AM EST up reply actions
The Braves have always hated us, back from the ol' NL West
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:36 PM EST up reply actions
Apparently we learn about BP's deal soon
DatDudeBP Brandon Phillips
GoodMorning… Today is the day I find out my future w/ the @Reds! Either it’s going to be a GREAT day or BAD day… #FingersCrossed
BP is like a middle school girl on twitter, I'll believe it when I see a report from somebody credible
You know, like @JohnFyaman.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Realistic too
Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."
He is making 12 million next year no matter what and not getting an extension is a "bad day"?
I love the guy, but that’s more than a little nuts.
by Cuetotally Amazing on Nov 16, 2011 11:45 AM EST up reply actions
No, I get that part.
But you have to at least project a public appearance of level-headedness.
by Cuetotally Amazing on Nov 16, 2011 11:48 AM EST up reply actions
If he really wants to stay in Cincinnati,
he’s welcome to give a #homeboy discount
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I'm guessing it's another 4/48
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:37 PM EST up reply actions
Yup
He’s not going to take a pay cut. Why should he? He’s worth it.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:42 PM EST up reply actions
That would be better, but I still don't want 4 years
If that 4 includes 2012, then maybe, but even then I’d prefer 2012 plus 2 more.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Yeah, my assumption is a three year extension
It’s probably on the low side in dollars. I don’t think he does a two-year extension. He would be better off waiting.
Pay him $4M dollars a year until he's 40?
Mgr., Red Reporter
"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 16, 2011 12:45 PM EST up reply actions
I just did
Mgr., Red Reporter
"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 16, 2011 12:46 PM EST up reply actions
Picea glauca is white spruce.
Juniperus is Junipers. Pinus is pines. Cornus is still dogwoods, Thuja is arborvitae. I’m readyish for this quiz.
Are you studying for that Rush song about trees?
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 1:00 PM EST up reply actions
that's an underrated song
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 17, 2011 2:14 AM EST up reply actions
i've recently become a fan ...
Individuality: Always remember that you are unique. Just like everybody else.
of Rush?
or The Tree?
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:07 AM EST up reply actions
er, The Trees
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:07 AM EST up reply actions
Ummm... whoa
m_sheldon Mark Sheldon
Reports from various outlets, including AP, say #reds 3B Juan Francisco was robbed at gunpoint in Dominican. He was not injured.
jeez
Kidnapping in Venezuela, armed robbery in the DR.
This news is not exactly encouraging tourism.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
Only if people have been living under rocks for years
Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."
He's fine, END threw a rock at him but it sailed into the stands
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 12:42 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
But not before he picked up a bat and swung at it.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
by nycredsfan on Nov 16, 2011 12:43 PM EST up reply actions 4 recs
not fair
END has a great arm. He’s no EE.
Negron, now…
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
strong
but he had a tendency to throw the ball into the stands. E5 actually has pretty good range and gets to balls. He just throws them away once he gets them.
END doesn’t do that, at least that I’ve ever seen. Negron does, but not END.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
Hmm, I thought that was an END problem as well
at least watching him in AAA it seemed to be a recurring issue.
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
I was underwhelmed by his defense in the past
But he really made an effort to improve this year.
I don’t remember seeing him throw the ball away, though, even in previous years. Pastadiving, and dropped balls on occasion, but I don’t remember ever seeing him do that EE thing and throw it away.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
That's always been the biggest knock on his defense, along with his limited range
He committed 39 errors at 3B in 2009. They definitely weren’t all fielding errors.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
So...
did I miss some earlier clues about the Astros jumping to the AL West? I just read an article that mentioned it in passing today. Huh.
Still not a candidate.
I mean, I've been arguing that the divisions need equal numbers of teams for a while, but...
it’s odd that I managed not to hear about this happening before today.
Still not a candidate.
It's been mentioned off and on since June or so.
I haven’t seen an official announcement anywhere, but the word on the street does seem to have a greater air of certainty to it.
by the finest muffins on Nov 16, 2011 12:37 PM EST up reply actions
There was an article on mlb.com late last night
saying that the new Astros owner will be reimbursed $70 million for moving the team to the AL West, for whatever reason.
Still not a candidate.
I don't think anything official will come out until the new CBA is announced
But it certainly seems to be happening at this point.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I read it only as $50 million
And it could become official this week at the GM meetings
Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."
Aren't they getting rid of divisions too, or did I imagine that?
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
There was some talk of that
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:43 PM EST up reply actions
It doesn't make any sense.
Why not just send the Brewers back?
50 years of NL history vs. 15
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:40 PM EST up reply actions
Because the Brewers have some leverage and the Astros don't
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Yeah, the Brewers have direct ties to the Commish
and the Astros are under new management. Also, it’s the AL West that needs to add a team.
Mgr., Red Reporter
"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 16, 2011 12:42 PM EST up reply actions
It has always upset me that no one seems to care about the obvious conflict of interest
with Selig and the Brewers.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 12:43 PM EST up reply actions
Because they need someone for the AL West
and the Astros are further west?
by the finest muffins on Nov 16, 2011 12:41 PM EST up reply actions
There had been talk of sending KC to the AL West and the Brewers to the AL Central
But no way does Selig allow his team to lose out on the gate from all those Cubs games.
Houston is farther West
though it’s kind of negligible vs. Milwaukee given the invention of the plane. I think they want Texas and the Stros to play in the same division though.
Mgr., Red Reporter
"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 16, 2011 12:43 PM EST up reply actions
There are lots of great reasons for the Astros to move to the AL West.
They will now play their in-division road games during prime time television instead of 5 p.m. local time, which is a major revenue boost.
They will have a natural rivalry with the Texas Rangers that should translate into a good couple of dollars over time.
The NL Central needs to lose a team, the AL West needs to gain a team.
The Astros do not have a long-standing owner of the Astros to battle with on this issue.
Travel for all NL Central and AL West teams was just made shorter, greener, and easier.
No more NL Central in-division games will start after 8 p.m. ET, while no AL West in-division games will start before 6 p.m. PT.
The Astros are the westernmost NL Central team.
A hot dog at the ballgame beats roast beef at the Ritz. ~Humphrey Bogart
by PeteyHendrix on Nov 16, 2011 6:04 PM EST up reply actions
Won't the St. Louis games still start after 8?
Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."
I dunno about the distance and TV arguments
Houston to Seattle is 2300 miles, to LA 1500. It’s also about 1000 miles to Cincy and 1300 to Pittsburgh. I’m not going to check the distance for every city, but it seems like proximity favors keeping them in the NL Central.
Since Houston’s in the Central Time Zone, they’re better off with the status quo. Road games in California and Washington will start at 9 for them.
But the only thing that matters is MLB has the leverage since they can approve or deny the new owner. I’m gonna miss having them to kick around, but they really should be much, much better with that market all to themselves. If they get some good management, they could be a monster.
they were the class of the division for a decade.
And yeah, if they ever get sense to go along with their money, they’d cause trouble.
"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
by Cy Schourek on Nov 17, 2011 10:51 AM EST up reply actions
For 'creds, MBP, and Gray
I do not believe that Johnny Cueto is a significantly better pitcher than Jair Jurrjens, in fact I find them to have quite similar results, even if they acheive them in different ways. Could they be trending in opposite directions? Sure. Could they end up putting up nearly identical stats next year as well? I think it’s likely. So does FanGraphs.
I also believe that Chris Heisey and (insert one of a poo poo platter of AAAA pitchers) is not enough to obtain Jair Jurrjens.
Lastly, I believe that insinuating that someone is arguing for the sake of arguing because they disagree with you is a load of shit.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
I'll agree with your second point.
I really don’t see the Reds matching up with the Braves very well anyway, because what the Reds have a surplus of (1B, C, mediocre SP depth) the Braves don’t really need.
Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
Red Reporter - Shit wagons since 2005!
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 2:41 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I really want to GIS "shit wagons" and post the reult, but I'm at work
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
we've got 2 of them hauling heavy loads around here on the farm!
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 2:52 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
seriously though, I agree with both sides of this ridiculousness.
Jurrjens and Cueto are similar in that they’ve both been a bit inconsistent, but at their best they can post seasons that would place them in the upper echelon of all NL pitchers.
The point I think ‘creds is making is this: if they were both in contract seasons in 2011, who would be staring at the biggest next deal? I think it goes without saying that Cueto would be. Much like Matt Kemp’s extension following his monster 2011 is now much bigger than it would have been following his mediocre 2010.
Point being, if the quantity/quality of how much a player would be worth on the open market is to be extrapolated into how much they’d be worth in a prospect haul (current conract status included), its likely that it would take more to trade for Cueto than Jair.
That said, I think its perfectly within reason to think Jair could be the better pitcher in 2012…you’d just probably get greater odds on it in Vegas than on Cueto.
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 2:49 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 3 recs
This is a pretty good assessment
But I’d also like to add that while Cueto has been “inconsistent” what’s really been happening is that he has steadily improved each year.
I’ll definitely take that over a guy whose fastball just keeps getting slower.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Ok, so you could define "significantly" any number of ways
But every single stat, both traditional (ERA, Strikeouts) semi-traditional (WHIP) and new (FIP, K/BB, GB%) indicate that Cueto was better.
And I’d argue that a half run difference in both ERA and FIP, as well as a 40 point difference in ERA+ absolutely counts as significant.
Now, to who will be better in 2012, I’d bet a fair amount that Cueto will be. I don’t know why Bill James thinks otherwise, but there really is no arguing that Cueto hasn’t been much better the last 2 years. And if I’m a GM, I care a hell of a lot more about the last 2 years than the 2 before that, especially with young pitchers, and doubly so if the pitcher “in decline” is also losing significant velocity.
As such, without getting into specific players, because I have no idea, Cueto absolutely, 100% has much more trade value right now. (and that’s ignoring the contract situation, which I think also favors Cueto).
It feels so nice to be back to normal
The unearned runs difference is massive between them, I wonder why? (serious question)
Jurrjens gave up 52 (50 earned) runs in 152 IP, Cueto gave up 51 (40 earned) runs in 156 IP.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
Dunno.
But I agree that is interesting and makes them a bit closer in 2011.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
Also, I don't really know what "similar results" you are seeing
Sure, if you count their entire career totals, but again, I see two pitchers going in completely opposite directions, and my guess is most GMs would see that too.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I hope if I go to jair, someone posts bair!
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:10 PM EST up reply actions
My skil is really dry. I could use some jurrjens.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:14 PM EST up reply actions
Well
If you say so. (Linked because it’s huge, sexual, and possibly NSFW. Just like y’alls moms)
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 16, 2011 3:17 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Jair are no rules!
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:22 PM EST up reply actions
there should be
it’s bad enough that ever thread devolves into an argument
i can’t take every thread also devolving into this nonsense.
Yair a liar!
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 3:31 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
That's the spirit!
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:13 PM EST up reply actions
Yair not doing it right.
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 3:16 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Now I'm really confused about how to pronounce "Jair."
by the finest muffins on Nov 16, 2011 3:27 PM EST up reply actions
From Wikipedia
Jair Francoise Jurrjens (pronounced /ˈdʒaɪ.ər ˈdʒɜrdʒənz/ jy-ər jur-jənz; born January 29, 1986 in Willemstad, Curaçao, Kingdom of the Netherlands is a starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves of Major League Baseball.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
So your rhyme works the best, right?
That’s what I thought. It’s good to be (kind of sort of maybe sure that I’m) right.
by the finest muffins on Nov 16, 2011 3:34 PM EST up reply actions
Jair rhymes with pubic hair.
Controversy concluded.
A hot dog at the ballgame beats roast beef at the Ritz. ~Humphrey Bogart
by PeteyHendrix on Nov 16, 2011 6:08 PM EST up reply actions
If I ever need someone to instigate a semantic kerfuffle or keep an existing one going indefinitely, ,
there’s only one guy for the job.
That guy is ’Creds.

A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:08 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
jch, you were wondering who would be the first person to call someone else "retarded"
does this qualify?
I find that very offensive.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:11 PM EST up reply actions
Also my avatar is a large dead penis.
A dope trailer is no place for a kitty.
by GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Nov 16, 2011 3:11 PM EST up reply actions
Yep, I believe we have a winner
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
You know, it takes 2 to argue.
But only 1 to be an asshole, and you’ve done it!
It feels so nice to be back to normal
I don't see how it's condescending to take your words at face value...
but okay.
Look, I said this:
“…he was significantly better in 2011, right?”
You responded:
“Significantly better? I disagree.”
I pointed out multiple ways in which he was significantly better in 2011. If you don’t think that a 169 ERA+ is significantly better than a 128 ERA+, or that a WHIP of 1.09 is significantly better than a WHIP of 1.224, I don’t know what to tell you.
I guess now you’re either arguing about the definition of significantly or willfully ignoring that we were specifically talking about 2011. So yes, other than arguing semantics or switching to a different point than the one I specifically asked you about, I really don’t see what you’re arguing about.
Still not a candidate.
I shouldn't have snapped at you; for that I'm sorry
I addressed the ERA and WHIP above by pointing out the odd difference between the number of unearned runs they gave up.
I am arguing about the usage of the word significantly. Cueto is a little better than Jurrjens but in my mind the statistics don’t point to him being significantly better.
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
I think he's meaningfully better, if not significantly
#semanticsarefun
by ken on Nov 17, 2011 9:36 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Thanks for clearing that up, I'll add you to me "wrong" list
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
So...good day in Cincy?
Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."
damnit, where's ManBearPig with the confirmation?
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 16, 2011 4:03 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
He's not gonna reach that telephone.
It feels so nice to be back to normal
by nycredsfan on Nov 16, 2011 4:11 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
you are

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
by Cy Schourek on Nov 17, 2011 12:41 AM EST up reply actions
and there is one person to blame
remember when RR used to be fun?
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 17, 2011 2:21 AM EST up reply actions
Sigh
It’s not just one person. Many people seem raw and are quick to talk passed each other. I think this kinda thing happens every off-season. We get tired of arguing the same points over and over again and there’s no new baseball to distract us. But it’s way too early for that to happen. We usually wait until at least January before we start ripping into each other.
I don’t know why this is going on so early this year, but we gotta try to keep it together. We’ll never make it to April.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 17, 2011 8:05 AM EST up reply actions
the Kershaw trade should liven things up a bit.
They must just be waiting until after he wins the Cy Schourek award to trade him, right?
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 17, 2011 8:37 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
I think you mean past, you idiot

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
I agree and disagree
Yes, this happens every offseason.
Where I disagree is that all of us just get so intimate with our views that we hold them as fact, and almost refuse to see the other side of an argument. At times I feel like some people would really fight like Hell on here to convince people the Sun rises in the West.
I’m also not convinced that it’s arguing the same points over and over, but I honestly think that there is legitimacy to the masses frustrated that others don’t buy into the groupthink. There’s nothing wrong with challenging a stance or position, but once it challenges the perceived groupthink, look the fuck out.
I have a feeling it’s happening so early b/c the Reds sucked something awful in 2011, and they’ll probably suck something awful in 2012 b/c they ain’t got no money, and they ain’t talkin’ to nobody.
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:23 AM EST up reply actions
"Groupthink", huh?
Keep tilting that windmill, champ.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 19, 2011 12:42 PM EST up reply actions
when does opinion transition to fact?
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 1:24 PM EST up reply actions
I don't know what that means
by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 19, 2011 1:55 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions
when people think / believe something different than everyone else
and then it turns out to actually be true
aka when people challenged Earth not being the center of the Universe, or when people said the Earth wasn’t flat
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 4:57 PM EST up reply actions
Science has nothing to do with opinions
by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 19, 2011 10:38 PM EST up reply actions
but they were originally opinions
facts start as theories, and then are proven or disproved….
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 10:19 AM EST up reply actions
Right
But the definition of an opinion is something that by it’s nature cannot be proven as true or false. Like the Reds being the most radical baseball team or ham and cheese being the most delicious sandwich. Geocentrism isn’t an opinion, but rather a belief that can be verified as true or false in a scientific sense. Many people thought it was true, but then further scientific evidence proved it untrue. So I guess I’m just arguing semantics and I kinda feel like a petty asshole about it now. Sorry about that.
But more to your point, it’s a little much to compare yourself to Copernicus, isn’t it? And even more to your point, just because someone disagrees with you doesn’t mean it’s because they have fallen under some pernicious spell of groupthink. Disagreeing with what most people around here think regarding Drew Stubbs or Devin Mesoraco or the value of defense doesn’t make you some kind of revolutionary, bearing the torch of Truth in the darkness of ignorance. It just means you disagree. Which is fine. None of us are working with complete information here, so we’re all just making the best of it. There’s no need to make any more of it than that.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 20, 2011 3:21 PM EST up reply actions
I think you overstated my point, which is fine
I’m just saying, and I think you originally agreed with me, that all of us are wrong, and at times all of us are right, but we need to challenge each other to re-evaluate our positions, and not just dig in and hold true to whatever we believe to be true.
I really never tried to compare myself to Copernicus, or anyone else important in science history, but rather to say that we can learn from it. At the end of the day I’d hope we can learn from each other here, as opposed to just point fingers and say “I’m right, and you’re wrong, and either accept my position or continue to be wrong.” That’s where groupthink comes into play. It’s real, and it’s dangerous.
I’m not trying to be revolutionary at all, but rather just looking at things holistically and understanding that sometimes things aren’t always as they seem, especially when it comes to prospects and unproven commodities. As long as all of us try to look at things with all available information, as opposed to viewing things with the rose colored glasses then the level of discourse and rhetoric remains as optimal as possible, as opposed to anarchistic and borderline mayhem.
Let’s just hope the Reds find some money, start talking to people, sign someone, and trade some of those prospect chips to get some fucking pitching.
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 8:21 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
A - fuckin' - men, yo!
Tequila and pancakes, anyone?
by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 20, 2011 8:35 PM EST up reply actions
careful
agreeing with me might brand you a heretic
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 8:58 PM EST up reply actions
Or an apostle, you big martyr you
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
if you have time to respond to this
you have time to do whatever you need to do to post my Quatman’s review I submitted to your site :)
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 10:30 PM EST up reply actions
This is what frustrates me the most
I agree with everything you said, aside from the groupthink slight, of course. It feels like the groupthink bullshit only comes up when someone disagrees with you. And I take personal offense to the accusation that I would only believe what I happen to believe simply because others believe it. And I imagine everyone else – you included – would be offended by that as well. It insults my intelligence.
One of the reasons that many of us are attracted to this forum is because of the high level of discourse. It’s rare to find such a rigorous and intellectual public space to discuss baseball on the internet. It’s why I spend my baseball time here rather than anywhere else. And it wouldn’t be such a rigorous and intellectual forum if we were all unoriginal lemmings. It’s just plain untrue, and I suspect that deep down you know it’s untrue.
But yeah, right on, man. The best thing about this place is that we challenge each other’s positions and continuously push our collective understandings in a positive direction. You know this, and I suspect that, just like me, it’s the reason you keep coming back. But you have to understand that the groupthink canard only serves to derail the discourse rather than move it forward.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 20, 2011 8:53 PM EST up reply actions
groupthink is not aimed at you specifically
so if I came across that way I truly sincerely apologize
When I say groupthink, I say it with the broadest of generalization. We’re all guilty of groupthink. You, me, everyone on this site. We’ve all bought into some ridiculous brainwashed notion at one time or another, and it’s a fascinating phenomenon, really. The reason we do it is b/c it’s comfortable, it feels right, and for whatever reason it makes sense. If everyone else believes it, it might be true, right?
Our favorite team has some very polarizing players / characters, and that’s where the groupthink comes into play, and you really have “camps”. People take sides.
Whether it’s any of the following:
Arroyo
Bailey
Chapman (what to do with him)
Volquez
Grandal
Mesoraco
Francisco
Janish
Alonso
Heisey
Stubbs
That’s a group of very polarizing players, for their varying reasons. People love them, defend them, put the blinders on, what have you. People hate them, irrationally (I’m raising my hand here b/c I’m guilty at times), and find ways to point out all their flaws.
Regardless though, when you see that other people agree with you, you then take comfort that, and then have a false sense of security in your position, right or wrong, thus groupthink, and then it grows momentum.
But again, I wasn’t aiming this at you. We’re all guilty of it. Groupthink works both ways.
Sometimes the reason I keep coming back is to read predictability, as people really do just fall into patterns, and I’m guilty of this as anyone. Other times the reason I come back is for the non-baseball stuff. Other times I like to read people just making fun of each other. Ultimately, it might just be for the burgers and beer reviews.
But remember, Yuengling Lager is turrible, and anyone else that thinks otherwise is guilty of groupthink ;)
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 9:27 PM EST up reply actions
I am not sure what ot think about groupthink at rr
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
by Yossarian22 on Nov 20, 2011 11:02 PM EST up reply actions 4 recs
late nominee for comment of 2011!!
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 11:50 PM EST up reply actions
I don't get the whole "meow groupthink meow" thing.
I disagree with most of the mods and posters here about most things. I’m also wrong a LOT. They’re also wrong a LOT.
There’s no point in trying to figure out who started it and who is being a jerk. We’re all jerks. You. Me. This jerk. Just have fun with it and don’t take it personally (and yes, I need to learn this too).
"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
You disagree with the mods and most posters here about nothing!
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
in the metaphysical, "what is sports, after all?" sort of way, I suppose you're correct.
"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."
I do want to have fun with it
Just seems like a lot of thin skin lately for whatever reason, and I’m sure I’m guilty of it as well
I just use RR as a release / escape from reality
however, groupthink does exist in real life, and it does exist here
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 5:01 PM EST up reply actions
You might be right
Hopefully a few other people will comment so I know what to think.
"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone
by Yossarian22 on Nov 20, 2011 10:09 AM EST up reply actions
this is Lee Maye

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.
Crum-Bum Beat
by -ManBearPig on Nov 17, 2011 11:58 AM EST up reply actions
I'm more curious how he rose to the rank of General
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
they don't look that major to me
Mads
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:30 AM EST up reply actions
well, sorta....
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:29 AM EST up reply actions
I was actually referring to the lack of daedalus
while I don’t think you’re an ass (I mean you like DMB, how can you be?), you just seem to play one well on the Internet, but then again who doesn’t just log into the Interwebz and say whatever they want?
At times you just come across to me as loving to play Devil’s Advocate, but I could be way off base. You could believe some of the shit you type. Good for you either way.
But I miss daedauls, b/c she said some shit so far out there it just blew my mind and made just have to reply. Just have to. That was fun to me and for me.
Arguing about Mesoraco and what he will be or won’t be, eh. That’s not as much fun as hearing about how buying a cell phone kills Africans.
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 19, 2011 8:28 AM EST up reply actions
There actually is a Devil's Advocate (occasional) poster around here
Him and ’creds have yet to be spotted together.
the plot thickens....
The ends justify the means
by Highlifeman21 on Nov 20, 2011 10:27 AM EST up reply actions
x
Almost every argument on Red Reporter, summed up in 16 seconds.
/Pitino’d
"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow
by jch24 on Nov 17, 2011 9:23 AM EST up reply actions 2 recs
I just wanted to post something to put this over 300 posts.

You had me at meat tornado. ~ Ron Swanson

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