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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Trade Targets - NL West

I'm convinced Halloween is a conspiracy, designed to send us all into sugar highs to distract us from the fact that baseball is over.  I think its Mars Incorporated's way of taking the focus off the fact the Chicago Cubs are once again not hosting home playoff games at Wrigley, and on to the fact that there are millions of chocolate bars that our kids need to eat.  Go figure!  What smashed pumpkins, frost advisories, and the trending of #ScottBoras mean, though, is that it's officially Trade Rumor season. 

Given that the Reds have miniscule money/targets for free agents, I'll be breaking down trade targets division by division until Walt Jocketty and the Reds track down a few impact players, while most certainly using my usual bias and factless hunches to identify my personal preferences.  Keep in mind I'm assuming the Reds and their front office are in the mood to win "now."

 

Tonight, we start with the NL West, they of 3 great pitching parks and the most hitter friendly field of our generation.  Nothing like complicating the issues. 

 

Onwards and upwards, Walter!

Star-divide

San Francisco Giants

The Giants are a really interesting potential trade partner.  Though they're rich in pitching, they also feature a stud young Catcher, a highly regarded MLB ready 1B, and an established stud at 3B; in other words, they're good at what the Reds need, but they're also loaded at the positions where the Reds best prospects play (Mesoraco, Alonso, END, Frazier).  They obviously need an upgrade in CF/leadoff, and I just tend to think Drew Stubbs is the kind of player they'd be targeting given the park in which they play.  Would Stubbs+Bailey be a big enough package to land Madison Bumgarner?  Doubtful.  One arm Stubby could probably land in return, though, is Sergio Romo, a guy who I think could be our closer for 2012 and beyond. 

 

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are a mess.  With the emergence of Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp, and Clayton Kershaw, the landscape of their short term and long term payroll was going to change the path of this great franchise alone, but the pending bankruptcy and potential sale of the team parlay this into some tawdry affair.  Yuck.  I just don't see them getting rid of any of those three this year, though.  Chad Billingsley would certainly be an upgrade to a part of the rotation, but if the Reds were going to take on his kind of salary I'd rather get a #1/#2 type starter...I think he's more of a #3 type guy.  Alonso would be a great fit for them given James "Lonely" Loney's impending non-tender, and I think I could be persuaded to believe an Alonso (et al) deal for Billingsley dead is OK.

 

San Diego Padres

Comparing a roster built to play in PetCo Park to one built to play in GABP is tough.  PetCo is notoriously gap friendly, and to the Padres' credit, they've built a roster around the ability to pitch, cover ground, and play defense.  Their offense, however, is and has been pitiful.  Since they picked up Anthony Rizzo in the Adrian Gonzalez trade, they seem to be set with their 1B of the future.  While Nick Hundley has shown glimpses of promise, I'm sure they'd still covet Devin MesoracoMat Latos would look pretty damn nice as a piece of the Reds 2012-2015 rotation, don't ya think?

 

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have their best two yound stars (Tulowitzki, Gonzalez) locked up for the rest of the decade, they traded their best young pitcher (Ubaldo Jimenez) last year, and have C Chris Ianetta and 1B Todd Helton signed for 2 more years for a lot of money, so they don't match up great on paper with the Reds.  Seth Smith seems like an expensive marginal upgrade from Alonso at best, and I doubt Dexter Fowler could be acquired for a reasonable bounty.  I see no reason to believe the Rockies would surrender Jhoulys Chacin for anything less than a package of Mesoraco and Slyde's magic TI-1990 stat-u-lator, and that's a hell of a lot to give up.  Maybe the Reds make a play for Huston Street and his tailing fastball to be their closer, but sure as hell not for Mesoraco.  For END and Volquez.....?

 

Arizona Diamondbacks

After the season Justin Upton just posted, I'm confident he's no longer considered in any trade talks.  Steven Drew bent his ankle in an all-to-graphic ode to Robin Ventura and Jason Kendall, and there's no guarantee he'll be a serviceable SS anytime soon.  They've got Paul Goldschmidt as their 1B of the future/now and Miguel Montero as effective catcher (though he is in his last year of arbitration and is looking at a solid raise from his 2011 salary of $3.2 million).  Ian Kennedy and Daniel Hudson are going nowhere, and I'm pretty confident Micah Owings has seen his last game as a Red.  A trade for J.J. Putz may be the only thing feasible here that helps the 2012 season.

Poll
Which NL West trade target makes the most sense for the 2012 Cincinnati Reds?
Sergio Romo
46 votes
Chad Billingsley
156 votes
Mat Latos
197 votes
Huston Street
44 votes
J.J. Putz
20 votes

463 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 228 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Jesus, mads

"Good luck, National League managers – I have no idea how you’re supposed to get this guy out." - Dave Cameron on Joey Votto

by Grahamophone on Nov 2, 2011 1:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

overwhelming boobs should always win

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 2, 2011 7:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Apparently, she received a lovely pink flower as a prize

Why do women tilt their heads like that when they have a picture taken? Is that something that they learn, or is it instinctual? If I came upon a table of women with. Listing heads, I think I’d keep going. Should I start tilting my head?

by poojols on Nov 2, 2011 9:49 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

who is the one on the far left?

and the two on the right?

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 2, 2011 8:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

McCourt

has agreed to sell the Dodgers.

Frank McCourt agreed Tuesday to sell the Dodgers, abruptly surrendering the team after fighting to retain it over two years and in two courts.

McCourt and Major League Baseball have agreed to seek approval from the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for an auction of the Dodgers. The sale is expected to include the team, Dodger Stadium and the surrounding parking lots, a package bought by McCourt for $421 million in 2004 and likely to sell for two to three times as much now.

Mark Cuban is reportedly interested, but only if the price drops to below a billion.

Dunno what this means for the Dodgers payroll.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 2, 2011 2:40 AM EDT reply actions  

I'd say they're screwed as far as free agents go

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 2, 2011 7:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

seems odd to me that they're going to do an auction

i would rather cuban get a team closer to here, but i don’t see how mlb can keep him out this time.

by 'tHan on Nov 2, 2011 8:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

everytime I see a sentence with the words "cuban" and "closer" in it,

I cringe and think how Walt is going to screw Aroldis over.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 9:08 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

They can and they will

He’s never going to get a team until Bud retires or he’s willing to challenge MLB in court.

by ken on Nov 2, 2011 9:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

agreed, and it will probably be the second scenario

MLB owners watched as he shook up the NBA and challenged the authority of the good old boy network there. They want no part of that if at all possible.

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 2, 2011 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Man, I would really hate to see the Dodgers switch leagues

I think of them, the Reds, Giants, Braves, and Cardinals as the essential Senior Circuit teams. Maybe Pittsburgh too. Any of the rest of them could switch and I wouldn’t care.

by ken on Nov 2, 2011 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

we should move them to the Pacific Coast League.

If freakin’ Steve Garvey buys them, my hatred will be complete.

"The USA despite its flaws and corruption and overall messiness is still a great and powerful instrument of freedom and hope for the entire world." - Madville

by bbjones on Nov 3, 2011 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Uh.....aren't you in Philly? You might have missed someone there. :)

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 3, 2011 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

Eh, they've been horrible for the vast majority of their history and were the last team in the NL to integrate

In my very subjective view, they could be an AL team and it wouldn’t make much of a difference.

by ken on Nov 3, 2011 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Alonso for Billingsley?

No way. Bills looks a lot like Burnett, to me.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 2, 2011 8:10 AM EDT reply actions  

no, no, no, you got it all wrong.

I said Alonso for Billingsley dead! Zombie Billingsley is way better than Burnett!

PS. I hate when my typos spell other real words, so spell check won’t catch them…

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 8:19 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I'm not sure I would take him for a bat rack.

Too expensive, not that special. I’d rather take my chances that Homer or Wood will become a decent pitcher.

Latos is a whole different ball game. I have no idea what it would take to get him, but I’m guessing a hell of a lot.

by MatthewH on Nov 2, 2011 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Mesoraco, Stubbs, Zack Cozart. He's yours. Cozart's injury complicates things considerably.

We’ve got options at first base so Alonso doesn’t make too much sense for us. I know it’s a lot to ask but fair considering Latos is an Ace under control for a long time.

On another note, any interest in Chase Headley? I could see us trading him for Mesoraco or Grandal.

"When you find your way. Then you see it disappear."

by padmadfan on Nov 7, 2011 4:13 AM EST up reply actions  

No.

He’s only been an average player once. This season. I’m not giving up an elite catcher for 3 years of a below average corner outfielder.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 7, 2011 10:07 AM EST up reply actions  

What? Chase is an elite 3rd basemen, not COF.

Actually, I’d probably prefer Grandal. I think it’s a pretty good deal. I’m just not sure how you all felt about Frazier as a 3rd basemen so I thought there might be some interest in a young cost controlled premium defender like Headley.

"When you find your way. Then you see it disappear."

by padmadfan on Nov 7, 2011 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

our third baseman of the future

Is Juan Francisco. I think the Reds pretty clearly see Frazier as a utility guy.

I am not convinced Francisco can make it as a big league player, though his arm and his power are certainly intoxicating. So I would be interested in Headley. Fangraphs likes his defense at 3B. Dunno if I’d trade Grandal for him, but I’d think about it.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 7, 2011 12:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Right.

The Reds don’t need him/wouldn’t want him as a 3B, so to us he’s a below average corner OF.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 7, 2011 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I think I'd seriously consider that deal for Latos

I hate to give up those players, but you have to give to get, and all that. Though I’m kind of surprised those are the players you want. Many Reds fans have doubts about them.

Cozart’s injury shouldn’t complicate things. He’s a position player, not a pitcher, and the TJ surgery was to his non-throwing arm, anyway. He’ll be fine.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 7, 2011 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Not knowing Latos' contract situation (I doubt he even has one at this point)

I’d do it. That seriously hurts the Reds’ up-the-middle defense, but I think it’s worth it.

I’d love Headley, but I don’t see the Reds pursuing that with holes at SS and LF.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 7, 2011 2:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Latos is pre-arb still

I’d seriously consider this one, especially since it includes Mesoraco!

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 7, 2011 4:50 PM EST up reply actions  

the thing is

the Reds are going to sign a veteran SS anyway. If Cozart is traded, it will have to be someone who can play everyday, not a Renteria type. But I think that is probably going to happen anyway. Walt was trying to Dusty-proof the roster by signing a part-time player like Renteria, but got burned on it. Probably won’t do it again, at least without more depth at SS than he’s currently got.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 7, 2011 6:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder if they'll make a play for Hardy/Reimold or somesuch

and I wonder if such a play would be a good thing.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 7, 2011 8:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I dont know your system as well. I wanted Alonso, but I heard you guys say he couldnt run a route to save his life.

A credible deal would probably be built around Grandal and Alonso. But with the logjam at first, we’ve got no place to put Alonso and we desperately need his bat. My offer was basically a poorly thought out reaction to that. Just trying to get a read of what Reds fans think would be a fair offer.

"When you find your way. Then you see it disappear."

by padmadfan on Nov 7, 2011 9:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I think, at one point, I proposed Mesoraco, Heisey, and Wood.

For a pre-arb pitcher with his track record, I think that’d be a pretty reasonable offer.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 7, 2011 9:16 PM EST up reply actions  

what's the deal with Kyle Blanks?

Is he just not that much of a prospect after all?

Alonso in PETCO’s LF would be frightening, but if it was him or Blanks, I don’t know…

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 7, 2011 10:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd still take Blanks

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 8, 2011 7:48 AM EST up reply actions  

You might be insane

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Nov 8, 2011 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Alonso has only recently started playing LF

I don’t think he’s that bad on routes. He’s inexperienced, but I think his instincts are good.

The real problem is his footspeed. He might lose a race to a Molina brother. He’s trying to fix that by losing weight this winter. We’ll see how it goes. I don’t think he’s worse than Adam Dunn in LF.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 8, 2011 1:30 AM EST up reply actions  

This lady is right

You could teach Alonso to be respectable when it came to judging balls, routes,s etc. You’re not going to make him average speed-wise. He’s amazingly slow.

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 8, 2011 7:49 AM EST up reply actions  

This is a cool idea for a series

Although I have a feeling I’m going to have a hard time reading them since you’ll be including Mesoraco in every trade proposal.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 2, 2011 8:36 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

ha!

The NL west was particularly tricky, since almost the entire division is composed of teams on the cusp of a playoff season, with no clear rebuilding efforts. Seems like for any deal to work, they’d want an MLB ready player, so Mesoraco kept coming up.

And proofreading is for the birds!

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 8:54 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Definitely.

Trading the consensus future star, MLB ready guy in favor of a guy who has yet to hit in AAA is always a sound strategy.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 2, 2011 9:45 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

BOOM!

Snark via mobile is the best kind of snark!

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 10:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Grandal's hit in AAA

to the tune of .500/ .667 / .667 / 1.334

(sample size may be small)

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 2, 2011 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

This is an underrated snark rebuttal

"the only place they lost was the scoreboard"

by Ewok on Nov 3, 2011 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

I hit .500 my freshman year in high school

………I was 1-2 with a walk………

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Nov 3, 2011 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

um

I specifically said “sample size may be small.”

You said he had “yet to hit in AAA.” That is incorrect. He has hit in AAA.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 3, 2011 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Point to the lady

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 3, 2011 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Are you always this literal?

If we both know the sample size is meaningless, why even quote it?

My guess is just to be difficult.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 3, 2011 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

you're not exactly in a position to be calling other people difficult

I’m just saying you’re wrong. “Yet to hit in AAA” has two possible meanings. One is that he has yet to get a single at-bat in AAA. One is that he has, but hasn’t hit well. Neither is true.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 3, 2011 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or,

it’s that he hasn’t demonstrated an ability to hit there for any length of time to demonstrate that he can handle the level.

18 PAs is the very definition of a meaninless sample. Yes, literally, he hit there. But in the context of that making Mesoraco expendable, he hasn’t hit in AAA yet.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 3, 2011 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

that's not a standard use of the term

And I think it’s misleading, which is why I corrected it.

If I said “Zack Cozart has yet to hit in the big leagues,” you’d be all over me like white on rice. And justifiably so, because that is not correct.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 3, 2011 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is correct, if the context was

“There is no reason to even think about the SS position, because Zack Cozart has proven he can hit in the big leagues”

It’s true that he hasn’t proven he can hit in the big leagues, just like Grandal hasn’t proven he can hit AAA pitching, which is clearly what I meant. I’m sorry that you misunderstood.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 3, 2011 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think you need to get laid, dude

Tension breaker time!

"the only place they lost was the scoreboard"

by Ewok on Nov 3, 2011 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

So many options here.

There could be something about asking your wife whether I need to get laid. Or asking your mother.

I’ll just go with how I can always count on you to provide the patronizing, vague, “can’t quite put my finger on why you are so arrogant, but you are” comment.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 3, 2011 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree

let’s have a RR fundraiser

’creds coitus collection

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 3, 2011 11:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you insist on trolling, you should at least be original

OBWOK, at the least, comes up with his own ways of being annoying.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 4, 2011 9:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

There are literally thousands of sites on the Internet where you can be an unimaginative troll

You are welcome to go have “fun” on one of them.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 5, 2011 4:26 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I appreciate things that are funny, even at my expense

jch is very good at this. If you want to be derivative, you should follow his lead.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 9:44 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

nah, you don't get it

it’s cool

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 10:25 AM EST up reply actions  

Nah, you're just not funny.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 11:07 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

yeah, that's it

last time I checked there are people that will agree with you, more people that will disagree with you

but at the end of the day, it doesn’t matter that you don’t realize you’re part of the problem of this site, or maybe you do and you just don’t care

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Wait, am I just a part of groupthink, or am I in the majority?

And if you don’t like it here, no one is forcing you to post.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

redundant, no?

groupthink typically implies majority

combating groupthink and people like you forces me to post here!

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 2:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Oops, I meant minority

Maybe I’m part of the problem because I can’t type.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

x

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 4, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

so here's the deal....

Mesoraco won’t see meaningful time in Cincy in 2012, so why have him take PAs from Grandal in Louisville?

Trade Mesoraco and others for something that’ll actually help the MLB club, while we can live with Clutch Man Monie and Hanigan for another year til we have Grandal and Hanigan in Cincinnati

Sounds like a plan to me

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 3, 2011 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

You lost me at

“Mesoraco won’t see meaningful time in Cincy in 2012”.

If you really believe that, then there isn’t really anything to talk about.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 4, 2011 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hernandez didn't get traded and Hanigan got an extension...

that’s actually not that far from a reasonable thought process.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 4, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

KMIB said it pretty well

We extended Hanigan, we didn’t trade Hernandez.

Sure, there’s the whole arbitration situation and maybe chances are we offer, he somehow magically declines and we get some compensation and he no longer is on the team and then sure, Mesoraco and Hanigan will split time.

But I have a feeling that The Dusty wants him some more Clutch Man Monie in 2012.

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 5, 2011 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hanigan's contract

makes him attractive trade bait.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 5, 2011 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I suppose

but really only as a back up, IMO

I don’t see any team wanting him to be the 70% catcher, and I don’t think he’s a good fit for us there either

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 8:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Hernandez hasn't been offered arb yet

There has been zero indication that they will negotiate a contract, and he is officially off the 40 man roster.

I see zero reason why you’d have any confidence Mesoraco won’t see significant time in 2012, other than the irrational bias you have against him.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 5, 2011 4:24 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

it's not irrational bias

just stating observation, but clearly you’re always right massa, so I will get back in line with the groupthink

I just want my 40 acres and a mule

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 8:32 AM EST up reply actions  

It is actually the very definition of irrational

Because there is lots and lots of evidence to support him being a good player, and basically none against it, yet you insist he sucks.

I’ll use one of you and your little crew’s favorite sayings. Show your work.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 9:46 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

show my work, you say?

Devin Mesoraco, thanks to Fangraphs

Mesoraco didn’t do anything until 2010 in A+ and AA, but then stunk up the joint in 14 games in AAA.

Then he had a great 120 games in AAA in 2011, then got his cup of coffee in the show and wow did he impress! Those were some memorable 18 games!

My concern is, the first 233 games of Mesoraco’s career in the minors, wow was he forgettable.

Since then, he’s only put together a damn good 219, although with 32 not included where he again stunk up the joint.

So, do we know the true Mesoraco? Am I right? Are you right? I’m not saying he’ll be a bust, but let’s not proclaim him the next best thing since sliced bread.

But, show your evidence to support this good player, b/c right now I see evidence that supports we don’t know what we have.

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

This is a very wrongheaded argument

First, more recent performance is always given more weight than older performance. Always, and by everyone. Scouts, saber-y types and their projection systems, GMs when offering contracts, everyone.

This is doubly true when talking about prospects, who tend to develop at different paces, and triply true when talking about HS cold-weather catchers.

Basically, you are denying that a teenage catcher from a cold weather state who spent most of his 2 first seasons battling injuries could have possibly turned a corner and made a breakthrough.

After last year there was some reason for skepticism, but he followed last years breakout (and he didn’t stink in AAA. He OPSed .772, which was above average for the league.) with another excellent 2011. So you are caring more about 3 seasons ago where he had hand injuries and was playing in a league (the FSL) that made all Reds hitters not named Jay Bruce suck hard, yet ignoring his AAA performance where he played well, which many recent prospects have not done, and was young for the league.

Also, to compare him to Grandal, they are almost the same age (5 mths apart) yet Meso hit better in AAA than Grandal did in AA this year. Meso hit better in both A+ and AA as a younger player last year than Grandal did this year, even though Grandal got to play in the most hitter friendly league in baseball.

You are welcome to not like Meso or to think he’ll suck, but don’t pretend there is any kind of legit evidence to back up the opinion. He could suck, but there certainly isn’t reason to assume so, and certainly no reason to assume he’ll suck and Grandsl will be awesome. (side note, I think theyll both be very good and would like to keep both.)

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 11:37 AM EST via mobile up reply actions   1 recs

so we're going to just brush it off as "he had a thumb injury, and he's cool now"?

I don’t buy it

I like that you just gave me a true, doubly true, and triply true. I mean really? Get. off. your. high. f’n. horse.

I’m not denying that maybe Mesoraco turned that corner, but show me more. He’s still young, he still has plenty to prove, so let’s not give him the key to the city and have parades for him quite yet, k? All I know is that at the end of 2010, Mesoraco didn’t do well in AAA. He had a great 2011 in AAA, but I’m more concerned with your pronouncing him the next great thing when he’s all of what, 23? What has he done at age 23 in professional baseball to prove to any of us beyond a shadow of a doubt that he’s legit, and it’s not just mere conjecture?

I question your reading comprehension skills when I said that Mesoraco’s had a damn good 219 games, including those 120 last year in AAA. I don’t know how I can make it any more clear for you. I don’t hate the kid, I just hate overhyped prospects, as they bust more than they blossom.

Honestly, it’s not fair to compare Mesoraco to Grandal at this point b/c they are at different stages of their careers even though they are similiar in age. Some people will prefer Grandal, some will prefer Mesoraco. That’s fine. I just don’t see this compelling evidence that Mesoraco is the next big thing at this time of his career. He could be, but he just doesn’t have the body of work to this point to really convince me, and I don’t think I’m alone.

But maybe I am?

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 12:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Talk about a straw man

No one is anointing him the next Bench. (at least, I’m not) I just think he’s done everything he needs to be given a shot in the bigs, he’s currently the best C prospect in baseball, and he has both the tools and minor league performance to warrant a fair bit of optimism. And if the Reds really are in win-now mode, trading him in favor of Grandal would be really dumb.

But by all means, just keep throwing around insults.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

pot, meet kettle

and I believe you made reference to Mesoraco re: Bench

Are the Reds in a win-now mode?

Doesn’t seem like it

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 2:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, that Bench was also a HS catcher

And dismissing him because of that would be dumb.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Also, it wasn't just the injury.

It was that, the extreme pitchers league, and a HS cold weather catcher being slow to develop.

All of those, combined with the last 2 years of elite performance, combined with scouting consensus that elite tools are there, means that it’s unfair to kill him for his first 2 seasons like you are doing.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

so what happened to him @ AAA in 2010?

and then @ the MLB level in SSS this year?

you said we should care more about his more recent performance, no?

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 2:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously?

He OPSed .772 in AAA in 2010 in a tiny sample. He walked, hit for huge power, and had a crazy low BABIP. He did just fine.

In his tiny MLB sample his BABIP was .188 or something crazy. I think you and BF need a lesson in why we ignore samples that small.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 2:36 PM EST up reply actions  

but conversely, if he had a great showing in that same sample size....

people would be even more so all over his nuts

so, selective end points work both ways

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 4:10 PM EST up reply actions  

No they don't.

If he had sucked all of 2010 but had a fantastic final 60 PAs we wouldn’t have considered it a breakout. Why? Because his total yearly numbers still would’ve sucked.

So when you take his 2010 AAA numbers (which were still pretty decent) as part of his overall season numbers, you see he had a great year.

If he had had those exact PAs to end the year in AA you wouldn’t even have noticed them, but because the level separates them on FG, you can cherry-pick them as “proof” of his struggles. But there is so much noise in a sample that small, isolating it is basically meaningless. If 60 PAs were proof of anything, you could find stretches of performance to prove anyone sucks, or is awesome.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 6:37 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

no cherry picking

just showing the breakdown of Mesoraco’s stats at each level was all

I want to see him put up what he did in 2011 @ AAA in Cincinnati in 2012, however that would require at least no CMM or no Hanigan, and I really hope the Reds don’t get rid of Hanigan

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 8:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Also, I thought Meso looked good in Cincy this year.

He had good ABs, played good defense, and handled the staff well. He was weighed down by a ridiculous BABIP that was below .200

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 11:38 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Interesting. How so?

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 12:30 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

his swing more than his numbers, really.

They both have pretty compact swings. It was the first impression I got from watching Mes, and every time afterwards it still resembled Ross…not that its a terrible thing (Ross has turned out to be OK), but for the value we place on him I hope its just a coincidence.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 6, 2011 1:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

while D. Ross never hit for a great AVG

.768 OPS from a catcher isn’t the worst thing in the world, but we clearly want more from Mesoraco

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

That's reasonable, but

Meso has already shown more power than Ross ever did.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 1:46 PM EST up reply actions  

me too

I’m still not sure what happened when he got DFAd. He was still hitting pretty well, but he just clearly did not give a fuck anymore. It seemed like every throw in from the outfield he would drop. I think there was a story there that we just didn’t hear.

And yeah, Mesoraco turning into a ~2 win catcher is, I think, the safe expectancy 50th percentile sort of thing.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 6, 2011 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

we need a bell curve!

show us some standard deviation!

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 4:12 PM EST up reply actions  

and there's a lot of value to non-offense for a catcher

handling pitchers, plate defense, throwing, all that stuff, I can’t put an accurate price/value on that, and I really do appreciate that Mesoraco I feel upgrades the Reds in that department

but, if Mesoraco doesn’t improve on his 2011 MLB selective end points, having a stud defensive backstop only benefits us so much

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 1:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I wasn't that impressed with Mez' defense, frankly

Doesn’t mean he won’t be great one day. It’s a tough adjustment for a young catcher, getting used to a new league and new pitchers. And it was of course a very small sample size. I do think Mez is more likely to bloom than bust…but even Matt Wieters struggled his first year, and it wasn’t until year 3 that he really came into his own.

It may be just a fluke, but Hernanigans have been great for us. Mez may be better than the two-headed catching monster one day, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it took a year or three.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 6, 2011 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

since you brought up Wieters....

is he officially a bust?

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

.778 OPS this year in the hardest division in baseball

He was worth around 4 wins, and is 25.

So, no. Not a bust.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know

But Wieters was an above average MLB hitter and well above average overall player.
At any age, that equals not a bust.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 6:24 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

He's posted 7.5 WAR over his first three seasons

with a nice 4.3 season last year. I think his bat is coming around, and his defense is supposedly – like, for reals, not like Charlie Sheen hyperbole – legendary.

I’m fully confident he’s gonna be one the best catchers in the league for at least a few years going forward. It’s hard to ask much more than that, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he does more.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 7, 2011 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

I've always rooted for him

but I’ve felt he’s underperformed until last season

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think he's a bust at all

But he’s taken awhile to adjust. That is absolutely expected with a young catcher.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 6, 2011 3:09 PM EST up reply actions  

/young anyone.

Poor Wieters took slag for not being Buster Posey. But I think Wieters will be more valuable going forward.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 6, 2011 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

why do you say that?

He struggled his first year on defense, but has been excellent since.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 6, 2011 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

he is 6'5"

which is awfully tall for a catcher. Your boy Russel Martin, on the other hand…

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 6, 2011 4:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Cy beat me to it

he’s a tall drink of water

and it didn’t have anything to do with his defense, but rather the Orioles trying to maximize his longevity, if they’re able to keep him an Oriole

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:00 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder how tall

Salvador Perez really is? He’s listed at 6’-3", but looks taller. 6’-3" was his height when he was signed at age 17. Bet he’s taller now.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 8, 2011 1:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Mauer's gonna move for the same reason

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 8, 2011 7:50 AM EST up reply actions  

There are few times I say something like this

But if Ramon Hernandez is on the Cincinnati Reds in 2012, somebody fucked up BIG TIME.

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 7, 2011 10:21 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

what is your definition of consensus?

what do you define as MLB ready? does that equal “Clutch Man Monie is old”?

seriously, gimme The U product over a HS catcher 8 days a week

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 3, 2011 11:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Find me a scout/baseball person who doesn't think he is going to be a solidly above average MLB catcher

Most think he has distinct all-star potential.

MLB ready is fairly simple. It means he’s ready to play in the majors. Not sure what Hernandez has to do with anything.

Johnny Bench was a HS catcher.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 4, 2011 9:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

there's that word, potential

He’s only ready to play in the majors b/c he’s 3rd on the Reds depth chart. This is a devil’s advocate question/statement, but tell me all the MLB teams he’d start for right now.

Mesoraco was blocked in 2011 by Hernandez & Hanigan. Best case scenario, he splits time with Hanigan in 2012.

We all hope Mesoraco turns into the next Johnny Bench, but I wouldn’t hang my hat on that

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 5, 2011 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Off the top of my head,

There are probably about 17-20 MLB teams that would gladly take him and make him their starting C in 2012, including at least 3 in our division.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 5, 2011 4:28 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

and is that a statement against their shitty players?

or his talent?

that was kind of the spirit of my previous question

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 8:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Does it matter?

If he’s currently better than over half the starting C in the league, then I’d say he’s MLB ready by definition.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 9:49 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

you don't get it

just b/c the talent pool sucks doesn’t mean that Mesoraco is “better”, or “ready”

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 10:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Um, if he's better than 17-20 current catchers, then he's better, period.

Also, MLB readiness has more to do with it than that. His defense is polished, he calls a good game, and he has a fairly advanced approach at the plate. I’m not sure what else you want from him.

Oh, right, you want him to never have struggled in the minors, ever.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 11:23 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

he struggled in the minors

the numbers show that

you and I are just talking past each other…. just b/c you can start for the Houston Astros, or the Kansas City Royals of the world doesn’t mean you’re really a MLB catcher. That’s my point.

Same statement about the Reds. Just b/c you’re starting for the Reds doesn’t mean you’re necessarily an upper echelon catcher, but rather you’re just the next name on the depth chart.

I just want to see him actually put up some awesome numbers at the MLB level, and that will tell me he’s MLB ready

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 1:10 PM EST up reply actions  

So every HS player who ever struggles as a teenager early on in the lower minors is bound to be a bust?

And if more than half of MLB teams would like him to be their starting C in 2012, I’d say that means you are an MLB catcher.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Or, he's an MLB catcher.

You would be too, except that rough month you had in rookie ball means you are bound to be a bust.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

that's exactly what I'm saying....

You’re missing the point….

just b/c the talent of the catching pool isn’t that great, and Mesoraco COULD start, means he SHOULD start

Is Mesoraco ready to be the full-time catcher for the Reds in 2012? Some say yes, some say no, but I think he needs more time to continue on the success he had @ AAA in 2011, as opposed to the lousy almost 18 games he played in Cincy

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 4:05 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think Mez should be back in AAA

Grandal’s already there, and it doesn’t look like he has any more to learn in AA.

Mez might struggle to adjust to the big leagues, but I think he belongs there, not in Louisville.

Unfortunately, that might not be compatible with the “win now” Votto window.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 6, 2011 4:15 PM EST up reply actions  

and that's the rub

are we really in a win now mode or window, given the roster configuration?

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 6, 2011 4:18 PM EST up reply actions  

maybe not

We might be better off trading Votto and letting this young team develop at its own pace.

That’s not going to happen, though.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 6, 2011 4:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Here's the thing

Ramon ended up with a merely good year. .788 OPS is good, but given his age, it is not at all a stretch to think Meso can outfit him this year for 4-6 million less. Even in ’win-now mode, Devin makes more sense.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 6:18 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

we're on the same page here

I don’t want CMM on the roster in 2012

but they didn’t trade him in July, which I think boggled all of us

if CMM stays on the roster, and they don’t trade Hanigan, then what happens to Mesoraco? More AAA time? Which might not be a bad thing

I just don’t think they should trade Hanigan to make room for Mesoraco and keep CMM

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Well then I have to agree with HLM

I see some danger to having CMM on the roster.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Nov 8, 2011 2:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I would have believed that had we traded him in July

I think there’s danger of us trading Hanigan for no good reason

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 8, 2011 9:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Honest question: Who besides you doesn't think he's ready to be an MLB starter in 2012?

And that’s not just on this site, but anywhere.

Find me one person who explicitly states he isnt ready.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 6, 2011 6:12 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Actually, that is EXACTLY what it means

If you have someone available that is better than 2/3 of your competition, they are ready to play. Plain and simple.

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 7, 2011 10:24 AM EST up reply actions  

I still think it just means you're "the best" at a weak position

MLB catching is weak IMO, but that doesn’t mean that b/c you’re on a MLB roster means you’re ready.

It just means that MLB teams have to have catchers behind the plate

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:03 PM EST up reply actions  

It's almost like you refused to read the "better than 2/3" part altogether

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 8, 2011 7:54 AM EST up reply actions  

we're arguing semantics

and you refused to read anything that I posted to that which you replied!

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 8, 2011 9:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Also,

I’d be thrilled for him to just turn into Brian McCann, but you seem stubbornly convinced that his ceiling is Paul Bako.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 5, 2011 4:31 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

McCann hits Left, throws Right...

he’s more like Grandal!!!

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 5, 2011 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

you know what's fun?

Looking at Bench’s stats. He came into the league as a 19 year-old! He hit way worse than Mesoraco did, and then went on to be, y’know, Johnny Bench. He was also the 8th catcher taken in the 1965 draft. Ray Fosse, Gene Lamont, and a whole lot of dudes you’ve never heard of were taken before him.

What’s my point? None of us have idea what we’re talking about, which is just fine.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 6, 2011 5:03 PM EST up reply actions  

one thing I'm pretty sure I have an idea about

is that a lot of prospects see their tradeable-asset status peak before their rookie status expires.

Think the Reds could have gotten more in return for the Jay Bruce of 3 years ago than the Jay Bruce now? How about Homer Bailey? Brandon Larson?

Mesoraco may well turn out to be a C who OPS’s .880 for 10 years and wins 4 gold gloves. He might be a guy who ends up catching 110 games a year, OPSing .760 and calling a decent game.

When the Reds have (Hanigan/Mesoraco/Grandal) a glut of valuable assets and the relatively cheap opportunity to make it a larger glut (Hernandez), trading the piece with the most return value shouldn’t be off the table when you’re wanting to “win-now.”

If Mesoraco takes as long to develop as Wieters has, the Reds will be losing significant production from their catching tandem with a Mes/Hanigan combo in comparison to a Hernanigans combo. If the goal is truly to win in the 2 years Votto’s signed, maybe Mesoraco is exactly who should be traded…!

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 6, 2011 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

I would totally be with this, except

You are assuming that Grandal will definitely be a productive MLBer, and if there are questions about Meso (there are) there are definitely more about Grandal.

The other is that I don’t trust Hernandez to continue to be a productive and above average C much longer.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 7, 2011 2:36 PM EST up reply actions  

that's valid.

And yes, I’m assuming Grandal is the second coming of Victor Martinez…so sue me!

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 7, 2011 4:52 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Me too

Of course, I think Meso can be the next Brian McCann, with more power and less OBP…so sue me!

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 7, 2011 5:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Good God

I hope you are prepared to be at least a little disappointed

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Nov 7, 2011 6:48 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

pshaw

McCann’s better looking!

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:16 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm with ya

I think the Reds need to look at all of their assets, and see what they can move to improve their team as a whole

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Not to detract from your overall point, but Bench showed the power potential in the minors

Over 20 HRs per season as an 18 and 19 year-old. That might not have screamed HOF, but it certainly warranted excitement and hasty promotions.

by ken on Nov 6, 2011 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with your point

Prediction is difficult, especially about the future.

People are really, really terrible at predicting the future. Even experts aren’t very good at it.

One thing that does correlate with accurate predictions: uncertainty about whether you’re right. The people who are most certain that they are right are the most likely to be wrong. Probably because their certainty blinds them to evidence that’s contrary to their position.

If we were smart, we’d pay attention to those who express doubt about their predictions. But it’s human nature to do the opposite. We tend to follow the one who is the most confident.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 6, 2011 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I love this post

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Nov 7, 2011 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

guilty

I’m just stating my opinion, and it’s very possible I have no idea what I’m talking about

except when it comes to MOSS, then I’m an expert

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Romo is an interesting name to me because he shouldn't cost a lot in trade

Picking up any Giants starter would be a good deal for the Reds, though I would only want Vogelsong if he came rather cheap, maybe like Stubbs-for-Vogelsong straight up, or END+Sappelt would be even better.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Nov 2, 2011 9:28 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm probably the biggest Romosexual on this site of ours

but I don’t believe in giving up all too much for what will be 70-100 innings. I mean, sure, a 14.00 K/BB ratio (!!!!) would be nice to have, but it’s not worth Alonso.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 2, 2011 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

on the other hand,

every picture of him on the internet makes him look like the cuddliest Peshmerga ever, so I could be convinced:

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 2, 2011 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Probably not (well, definitely not)

But he’d be worth a fair bit. He’s under control for 3 more years at below market wages. That’s got significant value.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 2, 2011 9:49 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I'd like him , but I don't know the package I'd put together.

Giants don’t have much else on the table that isn’t prohibitively expensive, unless you think Runzler or someone like that is worth it. So maybe you’d talk Heisey + some dude in AA?

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 2, 2011 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

I pondered Stubbs straight up.

I just think his game would suit that park perfectly. Also, and I’ve said this before somewhere, I don’t think the Reds can get as much value out of him in GABP since there’s just not nearly as much ground to cover (which is also why I’m comfortable with Heisey as the everyday CF. GABP’s cozy.)

That swap would likely have some minor leaguers involved too, of course, but I like it more each time I consider it.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 10:09 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I suppose I'm just more down on Heisey then most people here.

But I could see that happening. Just y’all gotta promise not to hate when the Reds have another sub-300 OBP guy in CF.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 2, 2011 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

similar K's, too.

I guess my point is that they’re pretty similar from a production standpoint, but from a trade value perspective I think Stubbs would be much more regarded…so if one’s gonna go, I’d rather get more in return.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 10:22 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

word.

I suppose it comes down to roster construction preferences. I like having a CF who’s not prone to breaking down and who plays premium defense. I’d rather give up Heisey + a greater prospect to keep Stubbs around then you, but I don’t really think there’s a “right” answer.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 2, 2011 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Conversely

GABP plays well to Stubbs’ hitting strengths. His power plays well to both RF and LF, and I’d imagine playing in the NL West would eat five or so of his home runs a year.

So yeah, Catch-22.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 2, 2011 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

True.

I wish the Rasmus trade hadn’t involved so many players so it would be easier to break down what his value was. He and Stubbs have pretty similar careers so far.

Tequila and pancakes, anyone?

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Nov 2, 2011 9:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Except most of the edges go to Rasmus

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Nov 3, 2011 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Billingsley is probably the most realistic bet

Even though I’m not a big fan. If the price tag on him is dropped a bit I suspect we could get something done.

by homerun21 on Nov 2, 2011 10:18 AM EDT reply actions  

I think you're thinking of Broxton

But I would be a fan of getting a bullpen of Broxton, Jenks, Rich Garces, and Bartolo Colon for next year, if for nothing else than so that Sabbathia would come to a team that he’d fit in with.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Nov 2, 2011 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

That's what is going to be weird about the Dodgers all offseason

Their financial situation is going to be in flux for a while, so any free agent signings or trades involving them eating salary probably aren’t happening.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 2, 2011 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know about that

Any person or group interested in buying a MLB team probably isn’t going to balk at an extra $15-$20 million. In a deal of that magnitude, that’s almost chump change. And the team could claim, perhaps legitimately so, it’s the cost of doing business.

"This is the St. Louis Cardinals we're talking about. They suck. Screw them. With a shovel. The sharp metal end. And then set them on fire." - crolfer

by rorschach1979 on Nov 2, 2011 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, but the point is,

until said ownership group officially takes control, it’s going to be hard to authorize any kind of expenditure like that. In the interim (which, given the messy nature of this sale, could be a long time), I doubt the front office does anything involving a lot of money unless it is re-signing current players.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 2, 2011 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

They've got big decisions to make with Kemp and Ethier

Both are FAs after ‘12. Tying down either to an eight-figure extension might not look great on the balance sheets while the team is for sale, but they’re going to be in bad shape if they let both of them go for just draft picks.

by ken on Nov 2, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly.

My guess is those are going to be tough enough for the FO to deal with without adding in complicated trade discussions involving taking on a lot of money.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 2, 2011 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Arroyo'd

Dayman, Fighter of the Nightman, Champion of the Sun

@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Nov 2, 2011 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

The nice thing about Huston Street is that he'll be 28,

fills a need the Reds have and allows us to use the phrase “Occupy Huston Street.”

But he’s significantly more expensive, adding up his contract and trade loot, than Coco, with potentially similar production next year.

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Bootsy, you're a superstar right?"
"Twinkle, twinkle, babble."

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 2, 2011 1:35 PM EDT reply actions  

move the damn jersey

let’s get a closer look at that arm

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 2, 2011 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dead On.

Scott Roland should retire tomorrow.

by Madville on Nov 2, 2011 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sounds like a plan

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Nov 7, 2011 4:42 PM EST up reply actions  

hey 'creds

ever been to Paris?

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 7, 2011 9:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I have been.

But just for a long weekend, about 8 years ago.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Nov 7, 2011 11:28 PM EST up reply actions  

obc/ewok and I will take you there again!

ifyouknowwhatI’msayin’

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 8, 2011 9:43 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

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