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Red Reposter - Or more accurately, NL Central Reposter

Blog Red Machine gives Drew Stubbs a C- grade on the season
citing his increased strikeout rate, his inability to bunt, and his decreased power. Those are all fair criticisms (though the bunt thing is becoming one of my least favorite canards written about this team), but this seems just one more example of Stubbs getting the Adam Dunn Treatment.  His strengths are presented with buts and his weaknesses with ands.

At the end of the day, Stubbs still rates as an above average baseball player (2.6 fWAR, 2.9 bWAR this season) and he will earn around the league minimum next season. Of course, like anyone else I would love to see Stubbarooski turn into Eric Davis. But he most likely won't, and that's still okay. The Good should never be considered the enemy of The Perfect.

Redleg Nation has a terrific arbitration primer
If you need a refresher on how the arb process works, click on through. The Reds have a few mildly interesting arb cases this winter, with Homer Bailey, Edinson Volquez, and Nick Masset headlining the list. If the Reds were to forego re-signing Francisco Cordero, would you rather Homer or Volquez be given a trial as the closer? Is neither a good idea?

NotGraphs has cobbled together some highlights from TBS' analysis of the NLCS
and presented them all together in a cute little video. The takeaway: "Obviously, being obvious is the most obvious way to express just how obvious the obvious is."  

MLB is hiring a former Secret Service agent as their new security chief
Consider this little bit of seemingly unrelated and totally harmless Facebookery and all you have to do is connect the dots. We're through the looking glass here, people.

So yeah, as you can see it's pretty quiet on the Reds' news front.  The rest of the division is making national headlines though, so here's a bit of what our SBN brothers (and black sheep cousins) are talking about:

Brew Crew Ball is crying into their collective breakfast beers this morning
and all because of Ron Roenicke and Mark Kotsay. Although Kotsay did hit a home run last night, he also missed two key balls in center field that both Nyjer Morgan and Carlos Gomez , both significantly better glove men, most likely would have had. Those hits led to the Cardinals four runs.

It seems Roenicke is the only man in the universe who still thinks Kotsay can play CF, and also the only man in the universe who can do anything about it. It's like some great Greek tragedy or something. Still, the Brewers are only down two games to one with Game Four coming up tonight.  

While the Brewers may be playing out like a Greek tragedy
Viva El Birdos sees the Cardinals as a modern day tale of self-discovery and realization where the guy figures out in the end after chasing the shallow popular girl all year that the girl next door with the glasses and the pony tail who he had a faint friendsy crush on is actually a hot babe once you take off her glasses and unbutton her blouse a bit.

DanUpBaby had read the narrative of this season as the rise of the Young Birds, with Jon Jay and Jaime Garcia and Daniel Descalso and Allen Craig and David Freese and a bunch of other jerks. But it turns out this is the same old Cardinals team it ever was, led by grizzled veteran jerks like Albert Pujols, Chris Carpenter, and Yadier Molina. It definitely has been a strange year for the Cards, but it seems they are hitting their stride at just the right time. Again, NLCS Game Four is tonight at 8:05.

Bleed Cubbie Blue is getting their sugars all up about Theo Epstein
Personally, I'm not as impressed with his body of work as others seem to be, but quite frankly just about anyone would be worth getting excited about after nearly 10 years of Jim Hendry. Also, the newz on tha streetz is that Ryne Sandberg is most likely going to take over as manager after Theo shitcans Mike Quade. Still, it will be a few years before the Cubs are cabable of fielding a team that can compete for the division.  Epstein has a monumental task in front of him trying to fix that dysfunctional roster.  

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100% amen

I watched only the first inning of game 3, and I turned it off disgusted with the realization that putting Kotsay in CF had managed to lose the Brewers the game. After the 1st inning. God what a dumb choice.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 13, 2011 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ryne Sandberg

I saw him in August. He was managing the Phillies AAA team, the Lehigh Valley IronPigs.

I assume it was his idea to have relief pitcher Joe Savery listed on the roster as an infielder.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Oct 13, 2011 12:20 PM EDT reply actions  

There's a school of thought that, to better manage the local media, Epstein should keep Quade

and then can him in July when the team is 30-55. That way the disaster that will be next year’s team can be blamed on Quade.

I wonder how Sandberg would do. It’s rare for a star to come back and manage well, in any sport.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also, I agree that Epstein is a tad overrated.

Like ken said yesterday, his drafting and player development is off the chain, but his free agent signings have been pretty meh. John Lackey, Daisuke, Carl Crawford, etc.

But his system has produced Pedroia, Ellsbury, Papelbon, Lowrie, and a bunch of others I can’t think of right now.

What’s going to be interesting is to see what kind of staff he puts around himself in Chicago. Word is that Boston isn’t letting him take any of his FO staff with him. While FA signings are much more focused on the GM, drafting/development is much more of a team effort. If Theo can’t bring his scouting director and others from Boston, I guess we’ll get a chance to see if he’s a genius or if he just surrounded himself with smart people.

Also, I’m really looking forward to him signing Albert Pujols to a 10 year, 310 million dollar deal.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 12:23 PM EDT reply actions  

I want the Cardinals to sign him to a deal that big.

The Cardinals have over taken the Cubs for my most hated NL Central team.

You had me at meat tornado. ~ Ron Swanson

by BigBabyBruce on Oct 13, 2011 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

My perfect scenario is the Cubs and Cardinals engaging in a bidding war

over Pujols and then driving that price up so high that the loser has to go out and negotiate an overblown deal with Prince Fielder thus hamstringing both hated teams for the next 5 – 8 years!

Whaddya say, Baseball Gods (Cap Anson and Old Hoss Radbourn)? Can we make this happen!?!?

Calmer than you are.

by 3 Fast 3 Furious on Oct 13, 2011 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is fantastic

I think it just moved.

by poojols on Oct 13, 2011 12:46 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I love homegrown

There’s a real possibility that the Reds will quite often, over the next couple years, trot out a lineup of Leake, Mesoracco, Votto, BP, Cozart, END, Hi-Z, Stubbs, and Bruce. That’s eight darfted-and-developed and a trade. Now, surely there’s some money somewhere for a FA.

by poojols on Oct 13, 2011 12:44 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

oooh! and in '13

After they let BP walk after playing his option year, Henry Canito Rodriguez takes over and it’s all homegrown.

by poojols on Oct 13, 2011 1:05 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I like this
While FA signings are much more focused on the GM, drafting/development is much more of a team effort. If Theo can’t bring his scouting director and others from Boston,

Which is why the Reds have had great drafts since DanO assembled most of the current front office in 2004, even though he left years ago.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Krivsky hired Chris Buckley in '06

I think some GMs are much more hands on then others when it comes to the draft. O’Brien had a scouting background, so he was comfortable assuming more responsibility. Krivsky was less so, and even said that he’d essentially let Buckley run the draft.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right, and I don't know how hands on Epstein is/was.

To me, that’ll be the big issue determining whether he turns that team around. You’ve mentioned before that the Cubs drafting and development has been shockingly bad the last 10 years. If he gets that rolling, the Cubs are going to be a force.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the Cubs will be respectable next year

and be competing for division crowns annually starting in 2013. It really sucks.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 13, 2011 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

They won't be good next year.

They have holes at every OF position (Soriano is a hole), a hole at 3B, 1B, and meh players at 2B and C.

It’s going to take at least a couple years.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

I politely disagree

Soriano is only a hole in terms of dollars, which isn’t a huge hindrance to the Cubs. Darwin Barney is a serviceable player. Soto is good, I don’t know why he counts as a hole. They can keep Peña if they want, or let LaHair take over at 1B, which would be something of a hole but not terrible.

And how the hell do they have a hole at 3B?? Or CF?

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 13, 2011 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Soriano is a hole in terms of production too.

He was roughly league average hitter this year and will only get worse. Unfortunately, the defense.

Darwin Barney sucks. He was a well below average hitter and is only a decent fielder.

I didn’t say Soto was a hole. I said he was meh. Which he is. Slightly below average hitter, decent defender. Meh.

Right now 1B is a hole that will require money to fix. They have the money, but the fact remains that right now it’s a hole.

Aramis Ramirez isn’t a guarantee to come back. And if he does, it’ll cost a lot, which could hinder signing a good 1B. My bad on Marlon Byrd, I thought he was a free agent. But add him to the Meh list. He’s got Stubbs’ offense with worse defense.

And we haven’t even gotten to the rotation, which is kind of a mess.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

it was. I read the same thing.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

He must've used Total Zone from BBRef. They thought his D was worth .7 wins, his O .6.

UZR actually thought his defense was a net positive this year too. I’ll be damned.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

i told you that earlier this season

Soriano isn’t the net negative stat geeks make him out to be.
 
But the contract is gawdawful

"the only place they lost was the scoreboard"

by Ewok on Oct 13, 2011 2:49 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

This is ironic

Since you are basing this off of defensive metrics, the ultimate “geeky” stat.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm surprised you stick up for Soriano

From what I’ve seen, he doesn’t hustle and sorely lacks baseball IQ. The anti-Rosales.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also, no one ever said he was a net negative

Just that he sucks pretty bad and is a below average player at this point.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ok, you got me there.

But I didn’t!

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

exactly

the Cubs don’t have a star player anywhere. Castro could become that guy but he isn’t yet.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, to expand on that.

Only 6 Cubs were “average” according to bWAR (worth at least 2 wins)

Ramirez, Fukudome, Castro, Pena, Garza, Marshall.

3 of those 6 could be off the team next year.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the two-wins-for-average apllies to fWAR

not bWAR, which uses a different replacement level and different defensive inputs. And since bWAR is almost always less than fWAR for position players, I am certain that this is not a fair portrayal. 6 position players were average or better according to fWAR.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 13, 2011 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

To add to the Central theme, it's looking more and more like the Astros will be in the AL in 2013

The sale of the team is expected to close next month. With the 2012 schedule already out there can’t be any changes for next year, but 2013 should see the Astro’s switch and a possible expansion of the playoffs.

So we can get our whuppin’s in for just one more year.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 12:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Short term this sucks, but long term I'm cool with this

Under decent management, that organization has the potential for a big payroll and to be a powerhouse, probably second only to the Cubs in the NLC.

That won’t happen until 2014 or 2015 at the earliest, but I’m not terribly sad to see them go.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

so what's the scheduling gameplan if they go AL?

There’ll just always be an interleague game?

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or 2 teams with an off day

I’d actually really like to see interleague expanded/made less special. Rather than having a couple designated interleague parts of the schedule, just give each team a similar number of series but spread them out over the year.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

i'd really like to see interleague play go away.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

then get rid of divisions completely

and give the top 8 teams a playoff spot.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

opeartin on the notion that this is a serious talking point,

If this happened, there would have to be a decision about the DH, right? And is there a snowball’s chance that abolishing the DH could happen?

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

i hate the dh

but it’s stupid for the leagues to operate under different sets of rules. if you step back & think about it, it’s astonishing that something like that could happen.

they need to either have it or not, but the rule should be the same throughout baseball

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm thinking now

it’s too bad that there aren’t any real stylistic differences between teams anymore. I mean, sure the Mariners have the whole “defense first” thing, but they don’t get very far. It’s too bad that the top 3 teams in the NL Central that play each other all of the time all play the same type of ball. There’s no matchup fun like in the NBA or NFL.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

The league distinction is so much less important than it used to be

Interleague is basically an NFC-AFC matchup with a rule quirk. There isn’t much of a difference between us playing the Dodgers or the Angels.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, this is what I think

A huge deal is made about AL pitchers hitting, but it seems like the pitchers don’t mind.

The bigger deal in my mind is the inherent advantage that AL home teams have because most NL teams don’t have a bench player that can hit like the AL team’s DH.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

a huge deal is also made from the players association

they believe the DH gives more big contracts to older players who still have a bat but can’t field.

It is amazing that what may be the strongest union in the country protects mostly millionaires…

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

That, or you perfectly stagger the offdays

which sounds hard to do.

It would kinda stink to play an interleague game in late September if you’re fighting for a playoff spot, but otherwise I don’t have a big problem with the constant interleague play.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

On Stubbs

Stubbs had an okay year, and center field is far down on the list of things to replace. But he is very talented and capable of much more, than a .320 OBP and a sub .400 slugging percentage. Also his speed says he should be a premier fielder, but fangraphs says otherwise.

Also this year was a huge step backwards for Stubbs, he was quite good in 2010 and quite mediocre this year.

He really needs to up his obp by about 20 points and get his slugging percentage over .400 for me to really be pleased with him.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:03 PM EDT reply actions  

his slugged .444 in 2010

I don’t think it is that crazy to expect him to slug over .400.

It probably is asking a lot for him to have an OBP over .340 though.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

On the other hand

Total Zone thinks he is an awfully good fielder – 10 runs above average this year, and 39 above average in less than 3 seasons in the majors.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

leage average OBP this year was .310, I think.

So he had an above average OBP.

I can’t disagree with what Scrabbles said; he may not end up being the next Eric Davis. OK. That’s fine. If he can stay on the field (which Eric della Rojo never could) and play great D, he’s a contributor. He isn’t the problem with the team.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, and this
Also his speed says he should be a premier fielder

Deion Sanders was much faster than Stubbs.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

By WAR, Stubbs was exactly average for a CF

He finished tied for 10th among the 22 CFs with 400+ PAs. Not a great year, but we had much bigger problems. Strikeouts continue to hurt feelings.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 1:04 PM EDT reply actions  

I should probably flesh this out

if you’re looking for reasons the Reds weren’t much good this year, and you’re looking at Stubbs’ strikeouts instead of Arroyo’s home runs, what the hell is wrong with you?

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

And sometimes Stubbs made a great catch, stole a base or two, or hit an XBH

Bronson avoided walks pretty good….mostly because guys were crushing his strikes.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Apparently RR doesn't like Stubbs.

And yeah, most defenders let in more bloop hits than they make spectacular catches on. But there weren’t more than 4 or 5 balls all year that fell in that he could’ve reasonably been expected to dive for.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

but with SBNation's commenting system,

all comments are justified.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

x

Molecular gastronomy can take a hike as far as I'm concerned.

by RoastBeefKazenzakis on Oct 14, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

i know

i can’t understand why people don’t like bronson!

i heard a story about the nasty hook that made me like him a lot!

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

enthusiasm!

i got his cd free with the purchase of a bag of jtm burgers!!!!!!!!

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

which made you violently ill first?

the music or the burgers?

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

actually, i never ate the burgers

and i don’t think i’ve ever listened to the cd.

in hindsight, it probably wasn’t a great purchase

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Bronson would make a great tour guide at the Creation Museum

or some other team’s #5 starter

Scott Roland should retire tomorrow.

by Madville on Oct 13, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I like Stubbs

but I think for whatever reasons he took a step backward this year.

Hopefully he will be more like 2010 Stubbs than 2011 Stubbs.

Strikeouts don’t really bother me anymore than other outs.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Strikeouts don't bother me with sluggers

but if your offense is predicated on contact, you can’t be striking out like Stubbs is. Ks are an OK tradeoff for strong contact. With Stubbs, the problem is there’s no tradeoff, just Ks.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 14, 2011 9:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wonder if Tiger fans will sour on Austin Jackson after a while

He is younger than Stubbs (and therefore may have more room to grow), but watching him play it is amazing how Stubbsian the guy is. He can run and field and does an OK job getting on base, but you watch that long swing and all those K’s and it just drives you batty.

I have no idea if Stubbs or players like him can fix the strikeout problem without causing just as many problems as they solve. I am not an expert on hitting (as anyone who saw me attempt to play wiffle ball this summer can attest to) and it is possible that Drew cuts down on his K’s and winds up a worse hitter in the bargain. But it would be nice to see some obvious attempt.

Molecular gastronomy can take a hike as far as I'm concerned.

by RoastBeefKazenzakis on Oct 14, 2011 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is a false distinction

Not only in singling out Ks vs. other outs, but in comparing the influence of pitchers to position players.

Arroyo faced 855 batters in 2011, while Stubbs cames to the plate 681 times. Bronson may have pitched every five days, but he influences far more at bats and his influence in any game (even on a WPA basis) was likely to be much greater than Stubbs’.

The magnitude of his impact this year is reflected in the fact that he put up a negative Fangraphs and BRef WAR – compared to Stubbs’ at roughly league average for his position.

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

The point is,

Arroyo can (and often did) singlehandedly take his team out of games. A single hitter doesn’t really have that ability.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

that would be about 150 home runs.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

well, it'd kill their pythag, for one.

but I’m not sure what you’re arguing, to be honest. That Arroyo’s suckitude shouldn’t be held as a bar to compare Stubbs?

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

who cares about pythag?

it doesn’t matter & it’s not real. win/loss record is real.

i’m not really arguing anything.

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not sure what you mean exactly

But Arroyo’s leverage over games is pretty hige when he pitches because he’s involved in every defensive play, where Stubbs – when he starts – would be involved in a play maybe once per full inning (5 PAs, X amount of chances in the field). And Bronson ended up being involved in a lot more plate appearances this season.

WAR is inexact, but I think the spread between them is enough to conclude that Bronson deprived the Reds of more wins this season than Stubbs did. He just happened to make the most of only playing once every 5 games.

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

"hige" is a perfectly correct alternate spelling of "huge"

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

theoretical wins & theoretical losses

bronson only actually started 32 games this year. the reds won 15 of those games.

that’s almost .500 baseball, which is about what they played over the course of the season

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not talking about theoretical wins though

You’re using the wrong level of analysis. Wins are a team statistic, while the original point was Stubbs v. Arroyo. Comparing them at the team win level introduces the performances of all the other players on the team in those games.

The team may have won some of those games despite Arroyo’s performance. They might even have won some of those games with the help of a good game by Stubbs. The only way to compare the two players is to look at their individual contributions. And it’s tough for me to see a way that Arroyo helped the Reds win more than Stubbs.

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Baba booey, baba booey, Drew Stubbs is the King of All Media

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oof.

Those season reviews at Blog Red Machine are…something.

1st base is an A- because (1) of Votto’s September and (2) because he didn’t add in Cairo’s contribution, like in ‘10 (of course, he also adds that he’s grading harder than last year, and he gave 1st an A last year, which would make 3 reasons even though he said there were two…).
2nd is an A- because Phillips is talking about his contract in the press.

As for Stubbs, C- would mean “below average”, wouldn’t it? Is he really making the claim that the Reds in ‘11 were below average in CF? Stubbs’ offense was below league average (though Matt Kemp really screwed up the curve), but his defense makes up all of that and more – as Charlie stated he was 2.5-3 wins above replacement, which is a solid starter.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 1:07 PM EDT reply actions  

I think C- is quite fair

C+ at best

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 13, 2011 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

If the Reds had some "exciting" no talent ass clown playing everyday CF like Sappelt, I would give him a B for the numbers Stubbs put up

but I am grading Stubbs against Stubbs, and we all know that Stubbs ability is far greater than his 2011 numbers.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Far greater is pushing it

but I see where you are coming from

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 13, 2011 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Curious, is this how you grade your students?

Against themselves, rather than against their classmates?

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pass or Fail.

Like the silver standard and the 9-9-9 tax…its the only basis upon which players should be graded. Just ask Barry Larkin.

Scott Roland should retire tomorrow.

by Madville on Oct 13, 2011 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

i can't

he’s too busy talking about how great the nationals are & how the reds did him wrong

by 'tHan on Oct 13, 2011 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

turn that upside and you are the devil!

Bachman’d

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

The devil is in the D Tails

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Technically you shouldn't be grading them against their classmates either

But rather against some pre-established standard.

But if I have to choose, I’m grading them against themselves, and the progress (or lack thereof) they make.

Of course, there’s also a big difference between education and professional sports.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I don't actually have grading power

And if I did grading a kid against himself would only be an issue if his grade is border line. If he obviously really worked hard I would bump him up to the higher grade, if he slacked off he would get the lower grade.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think you actually believe this

because, for example, you’d give Albert Pujols an F for this year. Grading against the player is part of it perhaps, but there is clearly an established baseline that is far more important.

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 14, 2011 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Grading a kid against himself doesn't seem right to me

A college admissions officer isn’t going to know the difference between a scrappy but inferior A- against an underachieving B.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

sure they do,

Waldorf vs. Public school

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

But if you have a student who has an 89.3 and the cutoff for an A is 89.5

who would you be more willing to bump up? The kid who worked really hard turned in all his work on time, did the extra credit, and came to you for help or the the kid who is really smart but slacked off some didn’t turn in a couple of assignments which is why he is just below the cutoff for an A?

And no it wouldn’t be far to give one kid an A and another a B- for basically the same quality of work on the same assignment for the same class.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Your last point is what I'm getting at

I have no problem with using effort as a tiebreaker, but the quality of the work should be the overriding determinant.

I think Stubbs is a solid B player. Not a star, but he’s above average. Maybe a B+ in 2010 and a B/B- in 2011, but a C- is a punitive grade. He’s not Rick Ankiel.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

When I was in school a 90% was a B

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Grades strike me in retrospect as being pretty useless.

There’s 100 points, and it’s an average of all your assignments, tests, and maybe ‘participation’ which are weighted in whatever way your teacher sees fit. If you get stuff wrong you maybe lose points, but how many is totally up to the individual teacher, and sometimes teachers curve, or they offer extra credit so no one’s parents complains to them. After all that, you get an A or a B or a C, which maybe cuts off at 92, or 90, or 94, and if you get 93 points, you get 4 points on your GPA for some reason, and if you get 91, you get 3 points on your GPA. But if you take advanced classes, everything gets bumped up a point, but maybe your school has advanced choir, and not advanced band, or drama.

In conclusion, high school: why?

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I had to go to summer school between my junior and senior year of high school

For AP English. Point made, teacher.

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope you don't take this the wrong way

But I read this whole post and just assumed it was a Yossarian post. I had to come back and see it was you.

The correct grammar, spelling, and usage should’ve tipped me off.

And FWIW, I mostly agree in theory, except in reality human beings are competitive creatures who like specific, measurable standards for comparison. Grades/GPA was inevitable.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

I actually was trying to self-parody a little.

But the fact that that reminds you of yossarian just raises more questions.

Ok, yes, I get why we have grades/gpa, I just wish they made more sense.

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think, for what they are, they make enough sense

The problem is the standardization of education. (I’ll try to keep this short)

In other words, somewhere along the way someone decided every kid should learn basically the same stuff, in the same order, everywhere in the country. That might work in Finland, where everyone is ethnically, culturally, and otherwise basically the same, but it doesn’t work here.

GPA is just another function of that. I’ll get made fun of this, but why is Advanced Algebra a required class but music isn’t? How many people use advanced algebra more on a daily basis than they engage with music? And how many people say they wish they had studied more algebra in HS? Conversely, how many people say they wish they could play an instrument?

It’s silly.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think that's true.

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I kinda think it's irrefutable...

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 14, 2011 9:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Without math, music would be impossible

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think that's true.

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's probably too advanced a theory for you, what with you being a skirt and all

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

x

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am so offended.

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Your mom plays a mean skin flute

#SickerBurn

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don't get me started on math education.

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Same.

I’ve had to constantly adjust my grading scale downwards from what I grew up with.

When I was in HS, it took a 99 or 100% for an A+. In my current district, the cutoff is 95, and 90 for an A.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I've been told by a few teachers (which I am not) that the cutoff doesn't really matter

that for the most part if the system is 93 for an A, 85 for a B, 77 for C, 70 for a D (or whatever) it really doesn’t matter because they will adjust their grades accordingly so the numbers of A, B, C, D, and F students won’t really change.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, ken. That's funny. College Admissions counselors don't pay attention to GPA

mainly for the very reason you mentioned. I don’t know if a 4.0 from School A is remotely the same as a 4.0 from school B.

In order of importance to colleges, it typically goes

SAT scores, Essays, Extra Curricular activities.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now having said that,

I personally really only grade kids against themselves in middle school where grades don’t matter.

In HS I grade against a set standard. But the overall point stands. My set standard may be way, way harder or easier than an equivalent teacher in another district.

I know, for example, that getting an A in my Queens HS was mostly a matter of showing up at least 85% of the time. Much different standards out here in suburbia.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

When I was in middle school, my music teacher gave me a "C" because I wasn't singing in my "high voice"

Problem was, I didn’t have a fucking “high voice”. I hit puberty and my voice dropped big time. To this day, I sound like Patrick Starfish from Spongebob. There was no way in hell I was going to sing fucking alto, but she was convinced that I was doing it on purpose. I still hold a grudge against that asshole.

So, in short, music teachers suck.

Molecular gastronomy can take a hike as far as I'm concerned.

by RoastBeefKazenzakis on Oct 14, 2011 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

In my limited experience as a work-study clerk in an admissions office,

it went SAT, grades (accounting for strength of school), extra curriculars, essays. The admissions officers might not know everything about School A versus B, but they know which ones are urban, private, suburban, rural, etc. And they often have a record of how kids from School A or B did at their school.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don't know how long ago that was

but my understanding is that GPA, while still relevant, is much less important than it used to be.

Number of AP classes/tests taken matters a lot, as do the SAT scores. Schools have moved more towards essays/extra curriculars as a way to differentiate students, because for good schools, everyone has a good GPA and SAT score, and they all start to look the same after a while.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not that old

This was just a few years ago, around ’97 ….. shit.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wasn't implying you were old :-)

Just that things have changed a lot in the last decade.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

To expound

I was applying for colleges in ’97, and the processes these kids go through is so much different. Part of it is stupid LI/NYC pressure and perceived expectations that parents put on them, but the process has changed.

The SAT adding the essay component was one thing, and the explosion of AP tests is another.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I think the NY area pressure is a different beast

I went to HS in Wisconsin. Nobody took Kaplan and only a real spaz would take the SAT/ACT more than once. When I started talking to all these kids from north Jersey in college, I realized how easy I had it.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

The funniest part about it, to me

Is that most of these kids end up going to a mid-tier school like Queens College or Hofstra, and becoming accountants at HR Block or something.

I’m sure they are glad they ruined their HS experience for that.

It feels so nice to be back to normal

by nycredsfan on Oct 13, 2011 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

hurts, doesn't it?

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think people become teachers to satisfy their need to judge others

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Ouch

That’s harsh

Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."

by ChiDa on Oct 13, 2011 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

So... I should go into teaching...

Thanks for the career advice, jch!

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don't forget the union perks

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Beats several consecutive years without a raise at all

Molecular gastronomy can take a hike as far as I'm concerned.

by RoastBeefKazenzakis on Oct 14, 2011 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

unionized New York state employees

got several years without a raise. The new contract signed by the largest union includes mandatory unpaid furloughs, so they signed a contract with a pay cut.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Oct 14, 2011 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Similar thing happened in Ohio in 2009

the last few months my dad was a parole officer before retirement, he had a pretty steep pay cut.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 15, 2011 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Careful there, highlifeman

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

nope, for his Stubbs hate

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 15, 2011 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

but he's assuming Stubbs can be good

I think 2011 was the true Stubbs

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Oct 16, 2011 7:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not to be rude

but since I can get away with it on the internet – that’s the stupidest thing I’ve ever heard.

First, no sane person can say they’d expect Stubbs to be the player he was last year. His defensive WAR was likely inflated by SSS (looking at the numbers, he’s likely closer to the “very good” fielder he was in ’09 and ’11 than to the “3rd best defender at any position in all baseball” he was in ’10); he also showed alot more power last year than people had a right to expect.

Second, to grade the position below average because the player wasn’t as good as you want him to be would mean, by extension, that you’d have to give Votto a C because he was only as good as you want him to be, and Bruce a D because the gap from expectations to performance is even greater.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes my grades are inconsistent

Votto gets an A because he was awesome last year and awesome this year, he has reached his potential.
Bruce was fine this year and may have reached his potential.

But Stubbs this year was nowhere close to 2010 or his minor league numbers. I find that to be troubling, and I think given his speed, power, and arm he could and should be a 3.5-5.0 WAR player on a regular bases.

M

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Again

Just because you think he should be a 4 WAR player doesn’t mean he is.

As for Burce, he went from 5.4 to 3.3 fWAR and from 4.6 to 1.2 bWAR – we’ve been sold since day one that he was the perrenial MVP candidate, not Votto. Now you’re saying that’s OK and he “may have reached his potential” even though he’s only as good (by WAR) as a guy who had a tough time taking Willie F. Taveras’s job?

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bruce is a different animal

He did fall off this year from last year.

His stat line last year was .281/.353/.493
This year .256/.341/.474.

His hitting wasn’t that far off this year from last year, and further more his BABIP last year was .334 and this year .297, so he was either lucky last year or unlucky this year or a bit of both. But ISO was .212 last year and .217 this year. Also his line drive rate feel off from over 20% to 16.8% But the biggest difference between 2010 and 2011 which probably does account for some of the drop in BABIP.

But the fall in Bruce’s WAR is mostly accounted for in his defense last year he had a UZR of 19.8 this year -.8. There are rumors that he came into camp out of shape, if that is why his defense feel off give Bruce a D for the season, if it was just a flukey SSS of one year defensive stats that I don’t know what to say about Bruce.

The true place were Bruce feel off was defense,

According to Fangraphs Stubbs played mediocre defense in 2010 and 2011.

Stubbs also noticeably feel off in almost every offensive category.

2010 Slash Line: .255/.329/.444
2011 Slash line: .243/.321/.364
Interestingly enough he had lower BA and AVG in 2011 despite a higher BABIP, in 2010 it was .330 in 2011 it was .343.

His Isolated power in 2011 was .121 compared to .189 in 2010.

I see no reason why it is unreasonable for me to be disappointed when a player has a strong Rookie campaign like Stubbs and falls off in his sophomore year.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Justin just got pwned

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I just got a phone call, text, and e-mail from my school

testing the emergency system. That was annoying, and will be ignored in the future. Great job, fellas.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 1:59 PM EDT reply actions  

i never signed up for those

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

I didn't either.

opt-out systems are the worst.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

My school required us to sign up

I just got a test call and text, and I don’t even work there anymore

expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat

by kcgard2 on Oct 14, 2011 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

you can call your cell phone company and block the number.

My roommate did that when I signed him up to received local news, weather, and sports texts from a Denver TV station. He was getting texts at 2AM about weather in Colorado Springs and high school softball scores.

He totally deserved it as well.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 14, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

What's a good breakfast beer?

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 3:03 PM EDT reply actions  

What isn't?

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

whatever's in the fridge

Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."

by ChiDa on Oct 13, 2011 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

x

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I knew this was an -MBP post.

"You said 'walks' twice."
"I like walks."

by Cy Schourek on Oct 13, 2011 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

The byline feature is surprisingly useful sometimes

Mgr., Red Reporter

"Every office I've been in, there has been a guy with weird scars that he needs to explain to you—'it was one of those old Xerox machines, with a lot of razors in it'... or a pale person with a novel of supernatural erotica that keeps getting left on the printer. Major League lineups need those guys, too." - David Roth

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Oct 13, 2011 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

or

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'mma guess you'd be the man to ask

What’s a good stout to get in cans/bottles? I’ve often found a marked difference between the quality from the tap and from the can/bottle. Is this unavoidable or is there something worth it out there?

by Charlie Scrabbles on Oct 13, 2011 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Are you saying you prefer them on tap, and want to find a good one in bottles?

I’m not a big stout guy, but as far as what is available around these parts, you really can’t go wrong with any of the Michigan beers. There is something about the water chemistry in Michigan that makes them able to produce outstanding dark beers. Both Kalamazoo stout (6%ABV) and Expedition stout (12%) from Bell’s are exceptional. Breakfast Stout from Founders is also great. Dark Horse brewery makes a series of 4 different stouts (cleverly named One Oatmeal stout, Two Cream Stout, Three Blueberry stout and Four smoked stout) that are all outstanding in their own right. I’m also partial to Goose Island’s Bourbon Barrel stout, although that is more difficult to acquire. Founders Porter is also incredible and is more like a stout than a porter if you ask me.

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

the differences have gotten slimmer over time

Porter was originally a blend of old stout and fresh ale that was served to the working class porters in England. I would say that a porter would have a lighter mouthfeel and color than a stout, but categories like robust porter and Baltic/Imperial porters are pretty much stouts. These days, brown ales are pretty much porters and porters are pretty much stouts and stouts are pretty much stronger stouts.

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks! That's good to know.

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

A cold one

Warm beer in the morning SUCKS.

"Wait, you think I'm being mean to the pretend orangutan?" -- battlekow

by jch24 on Oct 13, 2011 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

a good bock or stout

or even perhaps any of the fall or winter seasonals

The ends justify the means

by Highlifeman21 on Oct 15, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, Fya

I just looked at his Twitter page to see if he’d had any recent posts on Coco and found this gem:

RT @PDVenturaSr think Reds should follow Moneyball type plan to succeed?//find zito, mulder, Hudson? Yes. Draft like the A’s in ‘02? No.

I get very tired of this argument. Just because Jeremy Brown, the 35th overall pick, didn’t work out, doesn’t mean the draft was a bust. Nick Swisher and Joe Blanton worked out much better than a lot of other 1st rounders that year.

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 4:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Are Zito, Mulder, and Hudson lost?

Is there a mod so powerful he can ban himself?

by andromache on Oct 13, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

The truth is out there

Bart: "Dad, what's a Muppet?"
Homer: "Well, it's not quite a mop, not quite a puppet, but man... (laughs, then pauses) So, to answer you question, I don't know."

by ChiDa on Oct 13, 2011 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you ever injected Truth into politics you have no politics.
Will Rogers

Scott Roland should retire tomorrow.

by Madville on Oct 15, 2011 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right, but the narrative of Moneyball bashers

is that the A’s had a bad draft in 2002 (which they didn’t) and that the fact that they never won a WS makes it all for naught (which is bullshit).

Let a man come in and do the Popcorn.

by -ManBearPig on Oct 13, 2011 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

The A's had a fine draft in 2002

but I do think that that draft showed that luck is probably the biggest contributor to a good or bad draft, i mean yes it helps to make smart decisions, but I think except for a few players who are either really polished like Mike Leake, or just obscenely talented like Strausberg, the difference between High School/College and MLB is so great the smartest baseball minds can have the best information and still make a terrible draft, while you could throw darts at a dart board and have a good draft.

The World Series thing is really stupid, the Atlanta Braves proved that. Almost every year those teams had 3 or 4 not good, not passable, not above average, but great and dominant starting pitchers, and they only won one world series between 1991 and 2005. I can’t really think of a better recipe for post season success than being able to run an ace out almost every playoff game.

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yea
I can’t really think of a better recipe for post season success than being able to run an ace out almost every playoff game.

Because that worked so well for the 90’s Braves, early ‘00 A’s, and current Phillies.

I think the exact opposite is true – teams like that make it easy to win a gazillion games during the season, but in the post-season every pitcher you face is probably pretty good, so you need to be able to score runs, too.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Worked well for the 2010 Reds!

"Life is such a vapid world pool of nothing"-Eddie Pepitone

by Yossarian22 on Oct 13, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Which would have been insightful

…if their pitching was better than what the Phillies ran out in last year’s playoffs.

Heck, neither their top 3 nor top 4 starters were any better last year than Texas’ (by ERA+).

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think so

I think the real problem is that Lewis made the A’s come off as soooo much smarter than everyone else, yet in the end they weren’t. If the tone of the book had been different I don’t think you’d see nearly the scout/stat divide (every decent team has used both for years), nor do I think you’d have nearly the ’02 draft bashing.

FWIW, Beane was apparently appalled when he was given a draft of the book.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Oct 13, 2011 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

In the end, they still won a lot of games with a relatively low payroll

I’d say they were smarter, if not by as much as Beane Lewis said.

by ken on Oct 13, 2011 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think they were a lot smarter than everyone else

But everyone else smartened up pretty quick. The problem is that they weren’t doing anything anyone else couldn’t do, so once they had success other teams bought into the concepts and their advantage disappeared.

Molecular gastronomy can take a hike as far as I'm concerned.

by RoastBeefKazenzakis on Oct 14, 2011 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

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Red Reporter Field Trip: Taking in BP at GABP, but not with BP
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The Ranch (Bailey vs. Sale)
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Rainy Sunday (Leake vs. Skaggs)
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Pls Help Me Figure Out Who Signed This Ball
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