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FIRST!

@AroldisChapman.....is fun to follow on twiiter!

by Dave from Louisville on Jan 16, 2011 1:41 PM EST reply actions  

actually

kcox17 was first.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Initial thoughts...

That’s a lotta money…

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 16, 2011 1:52 PM EST reply actions  

initial thoughts...

What advantage does this give the Reds? No FA years bought, no discount given. If he repeats as MVP, he still wouldn’t get more than this.

Love Joey Votto, do not like this deal.

Set the gearshift to the high gear of your soul.

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Jan 16, 2011 1:57 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Initial thoughts...

only 3 years? I would’ve hoped to get at least 4-5 years, or an option or two at the back end. This really won’t save the Reds any money over a year-to-year arbitration and will leave them in the same place.

"To me, boxing is like a ballet, except there's no music, no choreography, and the dancers hit each other." - Jack Handey

by JJ on Jan 16, 2011 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe they didn't report everything.

Otherwise, this deal sucks.

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 16, 2011 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

That's what I'm hoping...

Maybe it was a 4 year deal, and we bought out a year of free-agency? Grasping at straws here, but there doesn’t really seem to be much of a reason for the Reds to make this deal.

What does a mama bear on the pill have in common with the World Series? No cubs.

by DocRam on Jan 16, 2011 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

yeaaaaa

"We start wit straight--shots then get the bottle poppin!"

by OGC Reds on Jan 16, 2011 2:00 PM EST reply actions  

Holy crap that's a lot of money.

Is it back-loaded or something?

by Brian B on Jan 16, 2011 2:00 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

lol

this is running on the bottom ticker on the bears/seahawks game.

by agoody117 on Jan 16, 2011 2:00 PM EST reply actions  

not on my feed

must be a Cincinnati thing.

by Brian B on Jan 16, 2011 2:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Maybe Slyde, Scrabbles, or RijoWKDWAOJISALJK can make us feel better about this?

I just don’t see how this is better than going to arb for the Reds. No hurt feelings?

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 16, 2011 2:02 PM EST reply actions  

Not if you make fun of my ill-conceive internet handled I won't

$38M is a lot – I’m not seeing much of a silver lining yet.

Need the number of that store where they make ceramics in an oven made out of damaged circus supplies. It's called Rumpled Stilts Kiln. - Jon Wurster

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jan 16, 2011 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

its an ass load of money

And all it means is that the Reds can’t non-tender him if somehow his leg falls off.

I have no idea what benefit this gives the Reds.

Set the gearshift to the high gear of your soul.

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Jan 16, 2011 2:06 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

well, it wasn't vertigo, it was anxiety/depression stemming from his father's death

and yes, it seems to be. Though I’m not sure what the point of this deal is yet.

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jan 16, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I suspect...

Jocketty feels he would be significantly handicapped going into the FA period if he doesn’t know what the number for Votto is. Jocketty is not one of these Moneyball/find the inefficiency type GMs. He just identifies the player (Mulder, Cairo, Votto, etc.) and lays out the dough.

Sign Carl Pavano!!!

by guayzimi on Jan 16, 2011 2:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Votto's worth the dough

it’s just that I’m not sure what this achieves besides known costs. It seems like he’d probably get about this in arb hearings (if not a little less), and we don’t get any of his FA years.

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jan 16, 2011 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not bad

Projecting a breakdown of something like $8 mil/$12 mil/$18 mil over his three arb seasons isn’t unreasonable. I think it saves the Reds a bit of money, as he could probably do marginally better by going to arb every year (as long as he’s healthy, of course). It’s not the most team-friendly deal I’ve ever seen, but it’s still cheap money for one of the best hitters in the game. Hard to complain about that.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Jan 16, 2011 2:13 PM EST up reply actions  

$18M seems a bit high to project for his third year

Given $8M as a starting point. But it’s not unreasonable, like you say.

Howard started at $10M and his third arb year was bought out for $19M. If the process would really values Votto like Howard, this deal saves a little money. I assumed the Reds had a decent case for $7M, but maybe that’s optimistic. Splitting the difference, this extension gives Votto roughly what he would have earned in arbitration, protecting the Reds from record-setting awards if Votto gets even better at racking up counting stats and hardware.

But they don’t gain anything from providing him that certainty, other than goodwill. Maybe that’s enough make him want to stick around after 2013.

Need the number of that store where they make ceramics in an oven made out of damaged circus supplies. It's called Rumpled Stilts Kiln. - Jon Wurster

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jan 16, 2011 2:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I hope you are right about that last part

But I’m very skeptical. Joey seems determined to go to FA as soon as he can.

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 2:52 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Howard was a super 2

so his third arb year was equivalent to Votto’s 2nd, with a minor bump.

Follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!

by Slyde on Jan 16, 2011 3:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Giving him a head start

I imagined the process would start Votto out around $8 over three years, where Howard entered the process for a second time with $10M under his belt.

Maybe the Howard comp puts Votto around more like $10M/$14M/$18M, in which case this deal saves money.

Need the number of that store where they make ceramics in an oven made out of damaged circus supplies. It's called Rumpled Stilts Kiln. - Jon Wurster

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jan 16, 2011 3:56 PM EST up reply actions  

That's a decent guess

I think this saves them something, but not much. 9/13/16 is my best guess as to what Votto would’ve gotten had he taken it year to year. But inflation might have boosted that, so there could be some savings here. Maybe.

by ken on Jan 16, 2011 5:03 PM EST up reply actions  

If Howard started at $10 million,

how could Votto get less than that?

Aim for the head baby Jesus

by Doncosmic on Jan 17, 2011 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

market changes since then

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 17, 2011 1:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Howard's contract was an exception. The next closest 1st year arb win was Miguel Cabrera at $7.4M in '06

Also, at the time of Howard’s first year of arbitration, he has accumulated 129 HR and 353 RBI as a big leaguer while batting .291/.397/.610 in 410 games. Votto, in 456 games, has 90 HR and 298 RBI, batting .314/.401/.557. It’s not a stretch to say Howard was a better hitter than Votto by the time both hitters reached arbitration.

Follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!

by Slyde on Jan 17, 2011 2:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I diasagree that this saves them any money

The arb numbers you suggested are reasonable, although $18 mil for the last seems high.

Still, those numbers are assuming he stays MVP caliber for the next 3 years. The team has taken on a bit of risk (although not that much) for basically no discount. It’s not a win, but it’s not egregious either.

The only way this is a good deal for the team is if Joey stays awesome and the FA market goes crazy the next couple of years, meaning Joey would demand more in arb. Honestly, given the fact that Pujols and Fielder could go to arb next offseason and could get silly contracts, this might look pretty good this time next year.

Which, although I hate to say it, would give Joey huge trade value either next year or the next. I won’t be surprised if he doesn’t end this contract as a Red.

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 2:49 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Meant that pujols and Fielder will hit FA

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 2:50 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

i would be

Jocketty just doesnt seem like the wheel and deal type GM. He signs players he wants for the years he wants them. He just doesnt have a history so far of trading away guys.

by cokane on Jan 16, 2011 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Screw those guys.

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 16, 2011 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

It's really the arbitrators' fault for Howard's Super 2 hearing

That award blew everything else out of the water. I think the Phillies only wanted to give him 7M.

by ken on Jan 16, 2011 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

yup

"Don't turn off the TV if we've still got bats in our hands." - Dusty Baker

by PeteyHendrix on Jan 16, 2011 10:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah

Not that long for that much money.

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by Ian_InsideTheShoe on Jan 16, 2011 2:20 PM EST reply actions  

I like the deal

Votto seems like he wants to go to free agency. Thanks to Ryan Howard, he was probably going to get $45 million if he went to arbitration over the next 3 years, so you save ~$8 million give or take over the 3 years.

So the Reds have a 3 year window to win a title, and Yonder Alonso better learn to like LF for the next 3 years.

Then it comes to be that the soothing light at the end of your tunnel, is just a freight train coming your way...
@btcoop71

by btcoop71 on Jan 16, 2011 2:24 PM EST reply actions  

This might be a sign of good faith on the Reds part

He could get another extension next year and take a cut or defer some cash. Either way, This is going to put any arbitration hearings to bed. That is what Jocko wanted for all his players, and now the biggest hurdle is off the table. You know, it’s been said that Jocko doesn’t care much for arbitration hearings. This is proof!

"Never fight a land war in Asia"

by Excalib8 on Jan 16, 2011 2:38 PM EST reply actions  

That's a fair take

I think the Reds gain some goodwill and maybe a few million bucks over three years. That doesn’t seem like enough in exchange for $38M and three years of financial certainty that matches the arb process pretty closely, but if a free agent year was never on the table, then this might have been the best deal possible.

If Votto only wanted three years, there’s no reason – other than maybe insecurity about injury – for him as reigning MVP hitting the peak of his career, to take a much lower offer.

Need the number of that store where they make ceramics in an oven made out of damaged circus supplies. It's called Rumpled Stilts Kiln. - Jon Wurster

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jan 16, 2011 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Although, if your girlfriend's cheating on you

“Do I come take pictures of your yard sales?” would be a pretty great break up line.

by Brendanukkah on Jan 16, 2011 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I catch my girlfriend fuckin around at yard sales

it’s over between us, and I mean it.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

You really can find *anything* on Craigslist.

Sorry, John.

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 10:55 PM EST up reply actions  

s'pose I could find a dishwasher?

18 or 20 years old, about … oh 5-2 barefoot … understands several languages

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 17, 2011 2:14 PM EST up reply actions  

not all women

Retractions are for journalists! -Gray

by boobs on Jan 18, 2011 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

hmmm

Jay Bruce’s feet are huuuuuuuuuuge.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 18, 2011 5:38 PM EST up reply actions  

calm down size queen!

"I can’t imagine playing anywhere else. I enjoy myself. I can’t imagine being with a better team."

-Joey Votto

by justin007000 on Jan 18, 2011 8:23 PM EST up reply actions  

booo!

where’s the ten year deal??!!!/111/???

by Daedalus on Jan 16, 2011 2:56 PM EST reply actions  

Ummmm........seriously?

We’re bitching about the dollars here? There are two direct comparables that Votto would have used in his Arbitration hearings – Justin Morneau and Ryan Howard. Howard made more than $45mil for his 6 years under the Reserve Clause, Morneau just over $40mil. Votto’s extension puts him at $39.4 mil for his 6 years. This contract is perfectly in line with the proper value for a player of Votto’s profile. We gain some cost certainty over the next 3 years, and avoid the potential for an ugly arbitration hearing.

Would I have liked to see some FA years bought out? Sure. But, I don’t think we can assume that was on the table. The last year of this extension is his Age 29 season, and he probably only gets one shot at The Big Contract. It’s probably not worth it from his end to wait until he’s 32 to hit the open market. This contract sets him up for life, and doesn’t make him wait until he’s out of his prime to become a Free Agent.

Great deal for both sides. There’s absolutely nothing to bitch about here.

"Bitch slap your goldfish folks, we're all screwed."
-KevinMitchellisBatman

by BLee2525 on Jan 16, 2011 3:02 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

I think this is good for the fans too

It promotes the idea that the team isn’t too cheap to keep its stars, even though some of us might have wanted a “better” deal here.

This will probably have an impact on season ticket sales, which could be part of the reason it’s being announced in January instead of June.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

i disagree

most fans realize that Votto will be here until the Reds don’t control him anymore. If I were the Reds I wouldn’t have extended him unless he gave up 2 years of free agency.

I’m putting Walt on notice.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

This is a good point

though Howard’s contract is an extreme case (clearly he was somewhat overpaid) and also, since he was super 2, I’d expect him to have a little bit of an advantage. Pujols made 33+M in his first six years, but his deal was signed 7 years ago and he gave the team 5 additional years to spread the money over.

I don’t think Votto’s deal is good or bad for the team. On the plus side, they have a lot better idea of what their budget is over the next seasons. If Votto’s determined to go to free agency, at least they know what they can handle while he’s here.

Follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!

by Slyde on Jan 16, 2011 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not the money

It’s that they didn’t seem to get much in return for guaranteeing his arb years: peace of mind and small amount of savings over 3 years. And maybe a negotiating window?

Mourneau got more money over his six years, factoring the signing bonus, but the Twins also got three free agent years.

Need the number of that store where they make ceramics in an oven made out of damaged circus supplies. It's called Rumpled Stilts Kiln. - Jon Wurster

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jan 16, 2011 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Geez, Pujols could end up getting ...

$300M, which is just slightly less than Forbes said the Reds franchise is worth.
So, we don’t do bad if you compare apples to watermelons.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Restaurants are not fools for spending money on food.

"Don't turn off the TV if we've still got bats in our hands." - Dusty Baker

by PeteyHendrix on Jan 16, 2011 5:05 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Cost savings, cost certainty, and a gesture of goodwill to your MVP.....

These are not small concerns when you’re talking about a situation where the Reds had virtually zero leverage. If I were in Joey’s situation, I would have 2 main goals that would motivate me to get an extension done: 1) Insurance against a career-ending injury, and 2) Ensuring I hit Free Agency while I’m still in my prime. The only way I sign an extension is if both these conditions are met. I have no interest in holding off my big payday until I’m 32 or 33 to get $68mil over 5 years instead of $38mil over 3.

Bottom line, I think that the assumption that buying out Free Agent years was ever on the table is a faulty one. This isn’t Evan Longoria, who still had 2 years at league minimum before he even got to arbitration. This isn’t even Jay Bruce, where they were able to buy out some FA years by paying for potential rather than production. This is an MVP-level bat who’s already going to get life-changing money this offseason. There’s no motivation for him to give up Free Agent years.

"Bitch slap your goldfish folks, we're all screwed."
-KevinMitchellisBatman

by BLee2525 on Jan 16, 2011 4:58 PM EST up reply actions  

That's the thing

There really isn’t much cost savings if Votto stays healthy, and if he gets hurt….

Plus, it’s Votto, not the Reds, that have zero leverage. If Votto wants to play professional baseball, he will do so for the Cincinnati Reds for the next 3 years that he plays. The only small bit of leverege he has is his ability to ask a 3rd party to agree with him on his worth as a Red.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 16, 2011 5:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Hang on a minute....

Most people are questioning the fact that they didn’t buy out any Free Agency. You can’t have that both ways, questioning the contract that was signed based on the “….if he gets hurt” scenario while arguing that you wanted a longer extension. Do you want them to buy out Free Agency to maximize cost savings (if that option was even on the table), or do you want them to minimize the risk of a catastrophic injury? I’m pretty sure Votto wouldn’t have agreed to a Tim Wakefield deal, a 1-year contract with 1-year team options in perpetuity. I would have liked them to buy out Free Agency, but I don’t believe that option was on the table.

The choice Votto is making here isn’t “play for the Reds, or don’t play at all,” as you’ve characterized it. Votto’s leverage comes from the fact that he’s already going to get a big number for next season in arbitration. Votto has ~$10mil guaranteed for next season, and could take his chances with arb awards in 2012 and 2013. That’s his worst case scenario. What leverage do the Reds have to get him to agree to something less? “We’ll non-tender you, absolutely destroying every ounce of goodwill with our fans that we built up with our playoff run that you led for us last year”? That’s leverage?

Joey had no reason to give up Free Agency years, and shouldn’t be expected to do it. He gave the Reds a discount against the potential arbitration numbers that an MVP-level bat will get for the next 3 years, and the Reds assumed the relatively small risk that Joey will flame out by 2013. If only one side “won” the deal, it was probably Votto, but he had no reason to sign a deal that made the Reds “winners.” That’s leverage.

"Bitch slap your goldfish folks, we're all screwed."
-KevinMitchellisBatman

by BLee2525 on Jan 16, 2011 6:53 PM EST up reply actions  

You're right

You can’t have it both ways. The problem is, the Reds get neither.

  1. They haven’t saved any, or much, money. IF Votto continues to put up MVP seasons, or if he puts up Ryan Howard-type HR/RBI numbers, they’ll save some money, but that’s a huge if.
  2. They haven’t minimized the risk. They now owe Votto as much money as anyone’s ever gotten for years 4-6, no matter how he performs.
Votto’s leverage comes from the fact that he’s already going to get a big number for next season in arbitration. Votto has ~$10mil guaranteed for next season, and could take his chances with arb awards in 2012 and 2013. That’s his worst case scenario.

But none of those numbers were guaranteed before this contract. He has to take his chance that the arbitrator will agree with him, not the Reds. And if he doesn’t like the number he ends up at, he can’t play anywhere else.

You also seem wildly off on Morneau’s money over his 1st 6 seasons – Cot’s has him at about $23.5M – $.34, .345, .385, 4.5, 7.4, 10.6.

"We’ll non-tender you, absolutely destroying every ounce of goodwill with our fans that we built up with our playoff run that you led for us last year"? That’s leverage?

No, the leverege is “We’ll see you in arbitration. You just had one of the best hitting seasons in Reds’ history; are you willing to bet you’re going to repeat it and stay healthy each of the next two seasons? By the way, how’s that depression going?”

He gave the Reds a discount against the potential arbitration numbers that an MVP-level bat will get for the next 3 years, and the Reds assumed the relatively small risk that Joey will flame out by 2013.

No. Votto gave the Reds a small discount this year, and the Reds assumed the very big risk that Votto is going to repeat his performance each of the next two seasons. Votto doesn’t need to regress much for this to end up being an overpay.

The Reds have assumed almost all of the risk in this contract, while gaining almost no benefit other than cost certainty. Even if they’d gotten an option, it would have been better. While I expect Votto to be worth the contract, it’s a big leap of faith to guarantee he will be. I’m sorry, but I don’t see any upside to this contract from the Reds’ side. If Votto wouldn’t accept either a big discount or a year or 2 of free agency, the Reds would have been better served just going to arbitration.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 16, 2011 7:50 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Agreed, with one "but"

Like I said above, if FA contracts for guys like Pujols and Fielder are as silly as others this offseason has been, Votto could conceivably demand a lot more in years 2-3 of arb.

In other words, we’re judging the AAV of this against current arb and FA rates, but if those stay high (AND he continues to perform) they might end up paying a lot more going year to year.

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 8:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

No.
Like I said above, if FA contracts for guys like Pujols and Fielder are as silly as others this offseason has been, Votto could conceivably demand a lot more in years 2-3 of arb.

FA contracts cannot be considered in arbitration hearings, so they can only consider what other 1st time eligible arb players were awarded.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 17, 2011 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

As a general guideline, that's probably right

But there’s a lot of mystery with the arb process. The arbitrators will consider what they want to consider, and I have a hard time believing that the general market inflation won’t come into play.

by ken on Jan 17, 2011 11:15 AM EST up reply actions  

I was wrong

Per the CBA:

The arbitration panel shall, except for a Player with five or more years of Major League service,
give particular attention, for comparative salary purposes, to the contracts of Players with Major League service not exceeding one annual service group above the Player’s annual service
group. This shall not limit the ability of a Player or his representative, because of special accomplishment, to argue the equal relevance of salaries of Players without regard to service, and the arbitration panel shall give whatever weight to such argument as is deemed appropriate.
In other words, they need to give more weight to players within 1 year of service time, unless the player argues “special accomplishment” – which is the whole basis of the $7M offer from the Reds, given the Howard precedent.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 17, 2011 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

“No, the leverege is "We’ll see you in arbitration. You just had one of the best hitting seasons in Reds’ history; are you willing to bet you’re going to repeat it and stay healthy each of the next two seasons? By the way, how’s that depression going?"”

So do we want the Reds to have any chance to re-sign Votto in three years, or do we want them to completely alienate him? You treat one of the best players in baseball like one of the best players in baseball. This is a business. You’re judged by your actions, not whether fangraphs believes Joey will be worth this much or whether arbitration believes the Reds got a discount.

by Grizzlyfox on Jan 16, 2011 8:07 PM EST up reply actions  

You're right

This is a business.

Votto didn’t give up anything here. As I said above, even an option year at the end would have made this contract much better. It appears all the Reds did was guarantee Votto all the money he was going to make anyway with nothing in return other than “good feelings”. If that’s the way Jockety negotiates contracts, expect more Willy Taveras fiascos.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 17, 2011 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Why?

Because I don’t like this contract?

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 17, 2011 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't like this contract either

but given the contract they gave Condom Arm, it makes perfect sense

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

i dont get this bullshit armchair gm everyone on here does

if the team isnt seriously underpaying a player then their contract is awful. sorry thats just not how it works

by cokane on Jan 18, 2011 3:07 AM EST up reply actions  

i don't think that is it

if Votto were heading into free agency we would love this, but we wonder given that he is still under team control for 3 years, why the Reds benefit from a market rate deal that does not give them at least 1 year of free agency.

"I can’t imagine playing anywhere else. I enjoy myself. I can’t imagine being with a better team."

-Joey Votto

by justin007000 on Jan 18, 2011 8:58 AM EST up reply actions  

That's not the problem

It’s not that they didn’t underpay; it’s that there’s no apparent reason for a contract like this.

All else being equal, signing a multi-year contract is always in the player’s favor. Always. In rare instances a long-term contract turns out to be a bargain for the team, but at the time of signing the player always has the advantage.

For the team to agree to such a contract, they need to get something in return – either a discount or additional years of control. The problem with this contract is that the team got nothing – they didn’t get an appreciable discount, and they already controlled Votto over the life of the contract.

It’s not a bad contract because I don’t think Votto’s likely to be worth the money; it’s a bad contract because Votto gave up nothing to sign it while the Reds gave Votto 2 years of guaranteed security.

Quite honestly, it’s as if Votto’s agent went into Jockety’s office and said “If you don’t give Joey 3/$38M, we’ll see you in arbitration” and Jockey said “OK. Sign here.”

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 18, 2011 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

No, I'm guessing he went to Jocketty and said

Ryan Howard made $44M over the same span of his career, and Votto’s numbers are comparable and the market is still increasing. Whaddaya say we work something out?

You act as if Votto had zero leverage, but that’s not the case. Did he have less leverage than as a free agent? Sure, but he didn’t get a free agent contract. He got an arb contract, and a pretty fair one for both sides. Going year-to-year, he easily could have made 10/14/18, if not more. Is that a big savings for the Reds? No, but he’s fucking MVP. There are no big savings when dealing with those types of players. They are the precise reason why contracts are so huge in the first place. You save what you can where you can.

Here’s the thing that no one talks about, but maybe the Reds didn’t want to sign him for more than 3 years either because, well, the guy has anxiety issues, especially since adding a year or two to the deal is adding another $20-40M to the deal. Can you blame them for being a little gunshy on extra years when that much money is involved?

Follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!

by Slyde on Jan 18, 2011 11:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeabut...

You act as if he’s guaranteed to be a 5 win player for each of the next two seasons. While he might be, the Reds are the ones taking all of the risk with this contract. That’s not good business.

It’s also worth remembering that no one has ever gotten more than $10M in arbitration, yet you’re assuming Votto would do it not just this year but in 2 years get almost double that amount. Tim Lincecum, 2-time defending Cy Young winner, signed a contract with the much bigger market Giants that is comparable to the money you think Votto could have “easily” gotten in arb years 1 and 2 (2/$23M including signing bonus).

There are no big savings when dealing with those types of players. They are the precise reason why contracts are so huge in the first place. You save what you can where you can.

Then why not go year to year with him? Or at least wait a year and see if they he’ll give you a FA year?

the guy has anxiety issues, especially since adding a year or two to the deal is adding another $20-40M to the deal. Can you blame them for being a little gunshy on extra years when that much money is involved?

First, all the more reason to go year to year if you can’t get a significant discount; second, why not at least get a team option?

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 18, 2011 11:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, I assume that he'll be around a 5-win player. Why shouldn't I?

I wasn’t talking about in arbitration, except maybe this year. I think he could have gotten $10M, though I think the more likely scenario was probably $9M, depending on what Votto asked for. But I was more concerned with year-to-year. If the Reds are negotiating with him on a year-to-year basis, I think they’ll end up giving him at least $44M, if not more. That was my point.

Tim Lincecum was a super-two. That makes a bit of a difference. He’s making $13M at the same service time as Votto. I don’t think that it’s unrealistic to think that Votto could have gotten $10M. Would it be unusual? Yes, but if you are a team trying manage your budget, you have to avoid the worst case scenario.

You are acting like $4-6M isn’t worth much to the Reds. Did you expect him to give up $10M? Why? Who does that at this stage in their career? Also, I think you underestimate the value of having cost certainty. The likelihood that the Reds were going to have to pay this amount of money to Votto eventually was pretty high. Knowing that now allows them to plan for other deals in the future, especially since they know how the money will break down from year to year.

I understand the concern about the Reds taking all of the risk, but I really don’t see how one extra guaranteed year or an option year mitigates that risk enough to make you comfortable, especially when that extra year is going to be the most expensive single season payment ever to a player for the Reds.

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by Slyde on Jan 18, 2011 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't get why they just bought out arbitration

and didn’t get 1 year of free agency in the process….

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 18, 2011 7:07 PM EST up reply actions  

The Reds probably save about $5MM and hopefully make Joey want to work out future extensions with them.

Other than that, there’s no on-field benefit that I can see (plenty of PR benefits for all the morons who don’t understand service time, though), and this extension leaves me somewhat disheartened as I think it confirms my prior suspicions on Joey’s future motivations. I don’t think we have any prayer at keeping him in three years, and that makes me sad.

by Geki on Jan 16, 2011 3:17 PM EST reply actions  

Given the numbers of this deal

I’d assume it’s because Joey would want fair value for that FA year, and the Reds were hesitant to commit $25 mil for that 4th year.

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 3:22 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

or maybe Joey said

I can’t tell you for sure that I want to be here in 4 years, but you know I’ll win my arb case this year and the only thing stopping me from getting more and more money over the next two years is my health. At least this way you know what you are spending, and who knows, maybe a year or two from now I’ll be much more comfortable with the idea of settling down in Cincinnati.

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by Slyde on Jan 16, 2011 3:28 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I think we can all agree

that this deal is a hell of a lot better than this.

Retractions are for journalists! -Gray

by boobs on Jan 16, 2011 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

and it's better than the one

The Seachickens are getting in Chicago today.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I get that.

Just seems like the Reds were negotiating with themselves here.

Let me write out a formal proof for you.

by Gray on Jan 16, 2011 3:34 PM EST up reply actions  

And since we have no way of knowing any of that

There’s really nothing to feel about this but ambivalence.

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 3:36 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

so, I have wrung my hands needlessly?

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

These contractual quagmires

A maze of disproportionate angst and a wrought of despair. Where, oh where, can we go to seek solace? Can our Most Valuable Player lead us through the wilderness that we have stalked, lo these many years, decades?

How many? Four score, or did we just score four?

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Off topic:

Check this shit.

Watch it, ass blood.

by -ManBearPig on Jan 16, 2011 3:51 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah.

Lots of no-hitters and ruined arms in that shit. But, impressive, no doubt.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Jan 16, 2011 4:02 PM EST up reply actions  

TWSS

Let me write out a formal proof for you.

by Gray on Jan 16, 2011 4:15 PM EST up reply actions  

But I can only assume this is a sign on Bronson's boot (which I assume translates to boat)

Just 1-2 STD’s!

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Let's take the Schnorchel tour

and go catch us some feesh.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 5:05 PM EST up reply actions  

From Maury Brown, who I find tends to have the most even-handed grasp on contracts out there

He says this:

It’s a wise move for the Reds. While certainly not ground breaking, wrapping up young talent through some or all of their salary arbitration years is a cornerstone of many low-to-medium revenue makers in MLB.

Votto’s deal also comes when the signing market has been exceptionally high.

Overall, the deal can be portrayed as a win for both sides. The Reds lock up Votto through salary arbitration, while Votto gets a salary with AAV higher than some (Fielder, Lincecum, etc).

I still think this is a slightly better deal for Votto than the Reds, but it’s pretty balanced.

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by Slyde on Jan 16, 2011 4:30 PM EST reply actions  

If we can't decide who the "winner" is in this deal

Maybe that means it’s pretty fair.

When you come to the fork in the road, take it.

by poojols on Jan 16, 2011 4:44 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

it means we win

happy players + happy owners = good teams = happy fans.

"The USA despite its flaws and corruption and overall messiness is still a great and powerful instrument of freedom and hope for the entire world." - Madville

by bbjones on Jan 16, 2011 8:52 PM EST up reply actions  

But see, you assuming that "happy = good'

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep seems like a fair deal considering the market and the stupidity of so called 'big market' teams.

Think about how much $$$ the Yanks or Red Sox or Cubs would be willing to pay…

Fred Lewis and EdRent together are not worth One Laynce Nix

by Madville on Jan 16, 2011 4:59 PM EST reply actions  

Truthfully

I think some folks overlook the market value of a guy like Votto. He’s worth ticket sales to this team if he is in the fold. Talent notwithstanding, Votto and Bruce are the main reason the fans are excited about the Reds. The value of the contract is always up for debate.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 5:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Almost 13,000 votes tallied

on a CBS board asking who fans think will win the NL-C title.
Six (6) percent are picking the Pirates.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 5:12 PM EST reply actions  

Pittsburg people like to vote online for undeserving douches.

Just look at the NHL allstar game rosters.

Aim for the head baby Jesus

by Doncosmic on Jan 17, 2011 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

The Fay

on why three years. He thinks it was just that Votto refused to sign a longer contract.

Here’s what he said at Redsfest when asked about a long-term deal:

"I don’t know as far as beyond three years," he said. "I think that’s a very unfair question to ask. This is not me saying I don’t want to be here. But last year was a difficult year. This year was a better year for me. It’s really hard to think three years ahead, five years ahead, seven years ahead. When (Troy) Tulowitzki signed that 10-year contract or whatever it was, I was blown away. I can’t imagine seeing myself 10 years from now and saying: ‘I want to be here.’ It’s an overwhelming thing to ask a young person like myself and say: ‘Here’s a lot of money be happy with this over 10 years. Deal with it.’ You don’t know where you’re going to be in one, two, three years."

Notice that he mentioned three years, specifically. Interesting.

Sounds like he’s not ruling out staying in Cincinnati, but he’s also thinking that he might want to go home one day.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 5:26 PM EST reply actions  

yeah, he's basically every other 26 year old, ever (except with an MVP award)

which I really respect. He could’ve given a wimpy answer, but instead he was honest and thoughtful.

I’m falling in love, only to see him break my heart one day.

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Jan 17, 2011 4:40 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't know that he's every other 26 year old

I think the average 26 year old man would sign a 10-year deal for really big bucks. They have a tendency to be optimistic, to feel that it would work out somehow. That the money would let them deal with any issues, and if not, they could be traded.

One of the reasons I’m a renter is that I’m not sure how long I’ll be here. I’m across the country from all my family. We’re all healthy and doing well now, but that might change one day. They might need me…and I might need them. But I think this is something women and older people worry about more than young men.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 17, 2011 6:03 AM EST up reply actions  

that's true

Jay Bruce is only 23. When his six-year contract is over, he’ll be the same age as Joey will be when his three-year contract is done.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 17, 2011 7:01 AM EST up reply actions  

"I'm going to live forever!"

Wait, I’m not a young man anymore. Crap.

"He’s like if Ron Gant and Eric Davis had a white baby." -- GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Drew Stubbs

by jch24 on Jan 17, 2011 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

This sounds a little disingenuous

He wants to test FA. That’s fine, I get that. But he dances around FA by using a fear of commitment as pretext.

by ken on Jan 17, 2011 7:23 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't think so

He sounds really genuine to me. He is interested in free agency, as he’s said before, but I think mostly he’s just realistic.

I’m with Cy. This guy is one in a million.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Jan 17, 2011 9:47 AM EST up reply actions  

I was harsh, in retrospect

Probably because I had still harbored some hope for getting him to stay beyond 2013.

I mean, we can’t expect Votto to come out and say “boy, I sure can’t wait to see what kind of deal I get in 2014.” This is as close as he can tactfully get.

by ken on Jan 17, 2011 11:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Okay. So that settles it. Win the World Series in the next three years, Reds.

If we’re lucky, that will entice Votto to sign another contract. If we’re not… well, a World Series victory for our favorite team for the first time in over twenty years isn’t exactly nothing.

by the finest muffins on Jan 16, 2011 5:44 PM EST reply actions  

We can always trade the guy for somebody better.

Man, there are lots of outfielders we can get for a million or two.

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 5:49 PM EST up reply actions  

what if

it’s men who make him deliriously happy?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 9:07 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

then it is time for men to do that.

I really don’t care. Actually it would be kind of cool if he were gay.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 9:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Not in Cincinnati it wouldn't.

Because there is no way in hell he’d stay in three years if that were the case.

by Geki on Jan 16, 2011 9:12 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

then why do they call it the Queen City???

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 10:24 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Because we will we will

rock you.

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:12 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

because it's just divine!

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Jan 17, 2011 4:41 AM EST up reply actions  

when I think cities with high gay populations

I think San Fran, NYC, Austin, Columbus

I don’t think Cincinnati

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Chicago has Boystown

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 17, 2011 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Lexington actually has one of the highest % in the country.

As does Miami, I believe.

Set the gearshift to the high gear of your soul.

by Kevin Mitchell is Batman on Jan 17, 2011 5:33 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

gay per capita?

yeah, Miami makes sense too. My gay cousin-in-law told me from Miami to Palm Beach actually has a lot of gays, and a lot of cool areas and communities

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 6:41 PM EST up reply actions  

rec'd

most are closeted UK frat boys

@AroldisChapman.....is fun to follow on twiiter!

by Dave from Louisville on Jan 18, 2011 7:38 PM EST up reply actions  

You must mean..

the law of averawhatthefuckareyoutalkingabout?!

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 17, 2011 8:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Why'd you think that?

I can’t find numbers (or at least, not quickly) but I don’t think Cincinnati’s gay population is unusually small.

by the finest muffins on Jan 16, 2011 10:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Last that I read

JV was in a relationship in Sarasota with someone who was described as his “girlfriend.”

The Bleacher Report is the armpit of the internet. - BTcoop71

by johnu1 on Jan 16, 2011 10:43 PM EST up reply actions  

He's married, but he doesn't live with his wife

That’s why he didn’t know she was pregnant.

by Red Menace on Jan 16, 2011 11:02 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

was she knocked up at a yard sale?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 11:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Hmm

I don’t like it. It means his inner Toronto Kid has dominated his inner Cincinnati Kid.

by Brendanukkah on Jan 17, 2011 1:08 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

he loves the first smell of spring

coming out to the ballpark, smelling the flowers bloom, hearing the birds chirp, and burying the people he’s killed over the winter.

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Jan 17, 2011 4:42 AM EST up reply actions  

And it's for that reason

that I would imagine that Cincinnati has a relatively high percentage of closeted homosexuals vs. out homosexuals.

Owners needed for NL-only fantasy baseball league....inquire within.

by cesarhernandez on Jan 16, 2011 11:00 PM EST up reply actions  

go to Delhi

on second thought, don’t.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 17, 2011 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

with all due respect

it’s gotten a lot better around here the past ten years. specifically with the repeal of whatever that anti-gay initiative was, a few years ago.l

city of cincinnati is very different than “greater” cincinnat

by bobestes on Jan 17, 2011 7:39 AM EST up reply actions  

that last line is certainly true

at least it was when I left

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jan 17, 2011 10:48 AM EST up reply actions  

off the top of my head I don't know of any specifically gay communities in Cincinnati?

the area over by The Precinct is the only one I can think of remotely off the top of my head, but when I think Cincinnati I don’t think gay (not that there’s anything wrong with that one way or the other)

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 1:23 PM EST up reply actions  

which area is Northside?

remember, I’m an Eastside, ’burb’er, so I don’t know all the individual Cincinnati neighborhoods, aside from the list of usual suspects to avoid

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 6:43 PM EST up reply actions  

This is actually kind of a funny progression.

“I don’t know of any specifically gay communities in Cincinnati” becomes “I don’t actually know any specific communities in Cincinnati.”

by the finest muffins on Jan 17, 2011 7:16 PM EST up reply actions  

I know of some of the Cincinnati neighborhoods, but not all of them

I just honestly never thought of Cincinnati as a gay town, which is fine if it is

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 7:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Northside is, funnily enough, north of downtown.

Between the west side of Clifton and College Hill.

Watch it, ass blood.

by -ManBearPig on Jan 17, 2011 10:07 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, GoogleMapped it earlier

I always just assumed that was North College Hill (Home of the Fighting OJ Mayos)

by Highlifeman21 on Jan 17, 2011 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Less competition, duh

"He’s like if Ron Gant and Eric Davis had a white baby." -- GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Drew Stubbs

by jch24 on Jan 18, 2011 9:45 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I was trying to find a witty response to this

but the more I thought about it, the more true it became.

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jan 18, 2011 10:16 AM EST up reply actions  

We have geighbors across the street in Silverton

"He’s like if Ron Gant and Eric Davis had a white baby." -- GlennBraggsSwingAndMissBrokenBat on Drew Stubbs

by jch24 on Jan 17, 2011 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

are any of us really Votto caliber?

I mean just because Jessica Alba is straight doesn’t mean she wants anything to do with us.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 9:19 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Can't argue with this logic.

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 16, 2011 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Type for yourself, kid.

Jessica Alba wants me so bad she can’t even imagine it.

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:11 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

slumpbuster?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 9:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Votto didn't slump once during 2010

So far, his 2011 is off to a pretty sweet start too.

by Brendanukkah on Jan 16, 2011 9:37 PM EST up reply actions  

remember when he would have an off week

and people would be like, is he depressed again.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 9:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I love Joey.

And I’m okay with this contract and whatever and I’m probably an asshole for this but whenever I’ve thought about baseball Joey Votto in the past I’ve thought… GIDP!? Really, Joey?

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:22 PM EST up reply actions  

That should read:

“..whenever I’ve thought about baseball Joey Votto in the past three months…”

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:49 PM EST up reply actions  

It might be more interesting if...

Joey agreed to move to left field as part of the agreement and Alonso started next year at first. Just a thought.

by EJ on Jan 16, 2011 6:14 PM EST reply actions  

If I were the Reds, I would be tempted to make this move

if I were sure Votto wanted to leave in free agency, I don’t see any reason not to maximize his use to my team while he is here. Votto seems intent on testing free agency, it’s clear he’s not giving any hometown discounts to the Reds. So at this point it’s all a business relationship. Our business would probably be best with him in LF.

by kcgard2 on Jan 16, 2011 6:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I like the moves that give us the best chance of going to the postseason

I see your point and empathize, but not enough to change my mind. LF isn’t that hard, and defense doesn’t matter there anyway, so Joey could just dog it a la Manny.

by kcgard2 on Jan 16, 2011 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

he was drafted as a catcher

I think if the organization knew he had wheels, he wouldn’t be at 1st base. They would have moved him to LF.

"Never fight a land war in Asia"

by Excalib8 on Jan 16, 2011 6:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Unless I missed an interview somewhere

I don’t think it’s clear that Votto’s intent on testing free agency. He was intent on not signing a long-term contract right now, but that’s all I’m comfortable extrapolating from his comments at Redsfest.

by the finest muffins on Jan 16, 2011 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

It isn't 100% clear, but is sure seems like it, which is all I said.

Why would he not want to sign long-term right now? The only reason is because he wants to test free agency, or because he doesn’t really like Cincinnati. Either way, the end result is the same for the Reds.

by kcgard2 on Jan 16, 2011 6:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Personally, I think it sounds like he has no idea what he wants:
“I don’t know as far as beyond three years…This is not me saying I don’t want to be here. …It’s really hard to think three years ahead, five years ahead, seven years ahead. …You don’t know where you’re going to be in one, two, three years.”

The “Votto wants to test free agency” conclusion isn’t unreasonable, but it’s not the only interpretation— and I’m afraid it’s becoming gospel around here.

by the finest muffins on Jan 16, 2011 6:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe I am just preparing myself for the worst

so I won’t be as disappointed if it happens. I love Joey but I don’t see him spending the entirety of his prime with the Reds

by kcgard2 on Jan 16, 2011 6:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I think there is a mix

I get the impression that Votto is a complex person when it comes to his future. On the one hand, he’s ultra-competitive and his ego needs to be fed. Free agency would probably do that. On the other hand, he’s ridiculously private and I’m not sure the public nature of free agency would suit him. I think there’s still a chance that he eventually avoids the spotlight and takes a safe deal, but I don’t think that chance is any more likely than him trying to find out how much he really is valued.

I found this quote from the Toronto Sun interesting:

“In Cincinnati, I can’t imagine being more recognized,” Votto explained. "I walk around everywhere and people recognize me and that’s a tremendous complement. But if I can handle Cincinnati, I think I can handle the other cities. I live in Florida and I live around senior citizens and no one gives a s*** who I am. And then I go to Toronto and everybody cares about the Leafs and the Raptors, there’s nobody would know who I am. If they do, I know the Canadian fans would be polite and respect my space.

“There’s some people that really want to be recognized and be known and want the attention. I’m not one of those guys.”

If he thinks handling Cincinnati will prepare him for being the man in a larger city, he’s in for a real surprise. Honestly though, I think this means that he’s likely to go some place comfortable (Toronto), smaller media market (say, Seattle), or stay in Cincinnati. When the time comes, unless he gets unexpectedly comfortable with the limelight, I don’t think Boston, New York, or LA will ever be in play for him.

Follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!

by Slyde on Jan 16, 2011 7:29 PM EST up reply actions  

he may not know that until it's too late

He mentioned how much he liked LA, because nobody knew him. (Of course, that might change if he actually signed there.)

Still, there can be a flip side to being in a big city like NY. In Cincinnati, he’s a big fish in a small pond. In NY, he might well get less attention, simply because there are so many other big fish around.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 7:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Let's hope that Toronto gets a really good young player at 1B very soon.

I’m half kidding. ….as far as I can tell, Adam Lind is their 1B this year, and he won’t be playing there in three years (probably).
-j

by JinAZ on Jan 16, 2011 8:02 PM EST up reply actions  

no use

They’re an AL team. There’s always the DH position.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 8:12 PM EST up reply actions  

What's your plan to maximize his value now?

He doesn’t have much at this point, unless he can learn 3B in a hurry, or unless the NL adopts the DH.

Alonso is not very valuable as a career minor leaguer or bench player. I don’t see that he has much value at all to the Reds at this point.

by kcgard2 on Jan 16, 2011 8:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, obviously my plan to maximize his value now is to trade him to Toronto haha.

I dunno, keep him in the minors this year, have him play LF, and then have him come up and be the #5 OF next year. Still get 4 years of him as the 1B once/if Votto leaves.

I’m assuming someone will still give value for him if he starts tearing it up in AAA to start the year, however.

by Grizzlyfox on Jan 16, 2011 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

maybe

what the Reds get out of this deal is that Votto’s agreed to move to LF when Yonder’s ready?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Trade him to Toronto for Shaun Marcum

Marcum would be unstoppable in the NL Central!

Now that football is winding down I’m getting excited. I need to catch up on all the offseason whatnot.

by Red Menace on Jan 16, 2011 11:01 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Brewers'd

I like my beer cold, my tv loud, and my homosexuals flaming.

by vottomatic on Jan 16, 2011 11:29 PM EST up reply actions  

He'll take his talents to South Beach.

Mark it down.

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:26 PM EST up reply actions  

to me

it sounds like it’s more about his personal life than about winning a WS or how much he likes Cincinnati or maximizing his salary.

He said last year was difficult, this year was better. I don’t think he’s talking about on the field. His problem last year was that he felt like he should be with his family, rather than gallivanting all over the country. He might want the option of moving home – playing with the Jays – in the future. In case his younger brothers, who are still little kids, need him, or to be there for his aging mother.

They may not need him. He may find he’s comfortable staying in Cincinnati. I think he’s just unsure, and wants to keep his options open. He doesn’t want to tie himself down anywhere for more than three years…for any amount of money.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 6:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree

and see it as pretty much 100% reasonable.

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Jan 17, 2011 4:48 AM EST up reply actions  

I've brought that up before.

Doesn’t make as much sense now with the Lewis signing.

Watch it, ass blood.

by -ManBearPig on Jan 17, 2011 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow.

Too bad it’s not longer, but I don’t think he wanted to be locked down any longer than he did.
-j

by JinAZ on Jan 16, 2011 8:03 PM EST reply actions  

We signed Lisa Lopes?

"Those fellas make some good points," Baker said. "They're profane as hell, and they're probably gay, but they make some good points."

Dusty Baker on RR

by DTFH91 on Jan 16, 2011 8:14 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

the chances of this one blowing up are greatly decreased than Arroyo's.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 9:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Classic justin

I think I can make out what you mean to say.

by kcgard2 on Jan 17, 2011 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

i had some help last night...

"I can’t imagine playing anywhere else. I enjoy myself. I can’t imagine being with a better team."

-Joey Votto

by justin007000 on Jan 17, 2011 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd like to think

This was more the Reds showing Votto they are willing to pay him if he wants to stay. On Votto’s side it gives him financial security for the three years he is still with the team and is one less thing he has to worry about in the upcoming years. If I’m Walt I try to make the effort to extend the contract as often as I can through those three years. If he really wants to leave after these three years are up and will not sign any sort of extension I hope it plays out something like this. IF this team at some point fails to be competitive during these years I think you have to ship him out. You can’t just sit on him if he is not going to return. Hopefully we’ll be perennial contenders but if we are not I’m trading him for Hanley straight up.

by kcox17 on Jan 16, 2011 8:12 PM EST reply actions  

it gives him

financial security for the rest of his life, if he doesn’t waste it on booze, broads, and blow.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 8:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Go for it.

And then some.

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Dennis Rodman'd?

"I bet that sex Bengals fan is really pissed now." -DT3428

by sexsalad on Jan 16, 2011 8:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually, he blew most of his money on hair dye.

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 16, 2011 9:05 PM EST up reply actions  

But booze, broads, and blow are the BEST ways to waste money!

"Don't turn off the TV if we've still got bats in our hands." - Dusty Baker

by PeteyHendrix on Jan 16, 2011 10:15 PM EST up reply actions  

if you say so

I tend to waste mine on electronics, computer stuff, and baseball games.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 10:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Love Jo-eh, hate what this deal does to Yonder's trade value.

Now it makes it less believable that we actually want him to stick around. That could potentially make teams think of him as a throw-in from the Reds’ side. If they hadn’t extended Votto and made it look like Yonder might be important in the future plans, shipping him out for good value THEN extended Votto, it seems like that would have been more beneficial.

Either way, even though this is expensive I’m glad Votto will be in a Reds uniform for a while.

"I bet that sex Bengals fan is really pissed now." -DT3428

by sexsalad on Jan 16, 2011 8:14 PM EST reply actions  

I'm glad Joey will be around for at least 2 more years

I just am not crazy about this deal for the Reds. They didn’t get anything out of it, unless it persuades Joey to stay.

by kcgard2 on Jan 16, 2011 8:27 PM EST up reply actions  

This deal does nothing to Yonder's trade value.

Other GMs knew that we weren’t going to replace Votto with Yonder Alonso before, no matter how much we might want them to believe the bluff. And, because Walt Jocketty isn’t awful at his job, the fact that Yonder may have been blocked at his natural position should have no impact on his trade value. He’s worth just as much to any team that needs a 1B as he would be to us if we didn’t have Joey Votto.

by Geki on Jan 16, 2011 10:54 PM EST up reply actions  

this

see what I did there with uzr? it’s like a LOL cats saber-pun combo.--Verka Serduchka

by nycredsfan on Jan 16, 2011 11:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Call me crazy

Could we spin Joey for an honest to god #1 starter and put Alonso in at 1b?

I mean, the dude wants Werth money in three years. That ain’t us.

by bobestes on Jan 16, 2011 9:19 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

i've said that too

I wouldn’t be against trading Votto if we get the right return.

Getting somebody who could go toe to toe with Cliff Lee would be nice.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Jan 16, 2011 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

This year

We’d have to spin him after this season to get anything decent.

by bobestes on Jan 16, 2011 9:23 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I wouldn't object to that.

Then they could keep Alonso in AAA this year to get even more ready before he steps in.

"I bet that sex Bengals fan is really pissed now." -DT3428

by sexsalad on Jan 16, 2011 9:33 PM EST up reply actions  

who do you have in mind?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 16, 2011 9:24 PM EST up reply actions  

No clue.

But it seems fairly obvious that we lead the league in #3 starters.

by bobestes on Jan 16, 2011 9:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

hey you ;)

Retractions are for journalists! -Gray

by boobs on Jan 16, 2011 11:30 PM EST up reply actions  

'lo.

How about you agree to waive the fine and I promise not to email you the remaining eighty six photos of my dog dressed as a bear.

by Fat Vegas Alan on Jan 16, 2011 11:50 PM EST up reply actions  

don't change.

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Jan 17, 2011 4:53 AM EST up reply actions  

This has nothing to do with anything, but I ran across this quote from when Condom Arm first got traded to the Reds
“It’s one of those scenarios you feel will never happen to you. Nobody thinks they’re going to be the one, whatever, to get in a car wreck to have their, you know, their kids killed in a plane crash, whatever, you don’t think those things are going to happen to you. And I didn’t think that I’d be traded. So.”
— Bronson Arroyo on being traded to the Reds

I had forgotten how much he didn’t want to come here at first. Glad we could change his mind, though, and it provides a little hope we can get Joey to feel the Cincy love too.

by Geki on Jan 17, 2011 12:37 AM EST reply actions  

Hahaha, I ran across a few more with slight relevance that the RR crowd might enjoy:
“If I was the opposite gender, I’d be chasing him. I’d be dating him. But I’m not, so I don’t. But I’m making the point. This guy’s got a ton of personality. He’s really a neat guy. The players have enjoyed him from Day 1. He’s smart and he’s funny. I really appreciate everything about him.”
— Tony La Russa on So Taguchi
“I always say Manny [Ramirez] is a strange guy. Outwardly, he’s happy-go-lucky. On the inside, he’s got a lot of conspiracy theories going on. I would say Manny might be one of these guys when he’s 50 years old, he might be in his house with all the blinds shut kind of looking out like the CIA’s out there. You don’t know, man. I mean, you don’t know what’s going on in the interior with him. So you don’t worry about it.”
— Bronson Arroyo

by Geki on Jan 17, 2011 12:48 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Look what happens when you leave Cincinnati

Let that be a lesson to you, Joey.

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Jan 17, 2011 2:53 AM EST up reply actions   2 recs

OVER THE LINE!

@AroldisChapman.....is fun to follow on twiiter!

by Dave from Louisville on Jan 17, 2011 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Fuck Highlifeman

now the FBI is going to be watching Redreporter.

"I can’t imagine playing anywhere else. I enjoy myself. I can’t imagine being with a better team."

-Joey Votto

by justin007000 on Jan 17, 2011 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

rec'd

@AroldisChapman.....is fun to follow on twiiter!

by Dave from Louisville on Jan 18, 2011 7:39 PM EST up reply actions  

holy shit

cold blooded.

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Jan 17, 2011 4:54 AM EST up reply actions  

I hope Bronson knows

that he’d never ever in a thousand years be a whatever million dollar per year pitcher if he had stayed in Boston. He’d have been a lifetime bullpen dude, maxing out at $5 or 6 million per for a few years before approaching journeyman status. But hey! He’d have had those couple years of barhopping and pulling trim in the Back Bay!

by bobestes on Jan 17, 2011 7:45 AM EST up reply actions  

not to mention the marina fees are WAY higher in Boston

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Jan 17, 2011 5:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Cost control is a huge deal

Considering 3-5 million in one year makes up about 5 percent of the total payroll budget.

@AroldisChapman.....is fun to follow on twiiter!

by Dave from Louisville on Jan 17, 2011 3:26 PM EST reply actions  

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