FanPost

Potential Starting Pitching Trade Candidates


I wanted to provide a deep statistical analysis which didn't use any bias based on who's available for a trade, who will trade with us, etc., but just dont have the time or sabermetric skills to pull it off right now.  I think it still should be interesting to hear what people have to think of the listing that I have put together.

Basically, I took the teams most likely to be sellers at the trade deadline (25% or less probability of making the playoffs as of today on Baseball Prospectus).  I then looked up the Starting Rotations according to ESPN. 

The next steps that I was going to do was to put the year that the player was under contract until and provide some type of statistic to evaluate their performance.  I apologize for my laziness here, but if nothing else, it provides a complete view of any potential trades and maybe show us the dark corners of the league that Walt is currently perusing while everyone else is trying to sell their children to get a Cliff Lee rental.

 

Team Playoff Probability   Starter 1 Starter 2 Starter 3 Starter 4 Starter 5
Orioles 0%   J Guthrie B Matusz J Arrieta B Bergesen  
Pirates 0%   R. Ohlendorf P. Maholm J. Karstens B. Lincoln  
D-Backs 0.01%   D. Haren E. Jackson I. Kennedy R. Lopez B. Enright
Astros 0.01%   R. Oswalt W. Rodriguez B. Myers B. Moehler B. Norris
Indians 0.02%   J Westbrook F Carmona J Masterson M Talbot A Laffey
Mariners 0.18%   F Hernandez C Lee J Vargas R Rowland-Smith D Fister
Nationals 0.34%   L Hernandez L Atilano S Strasburg J Martin C Stammen
Cubs 0.74%   R Dempster T Lilly R Wells C Silva T Gorzelanny
Brewers 1.14%   R Wolf D Bush C Narveson M Parra D Davis
Royals 1.44%   Z Greinke K Davies B Bannister A Lerew  
Blue Jays 1.68%   S Marcum B Morrow B Cecil J Litsch M Rzepczynski
A's 3.73%   B Sheets G Gonzalez T Cahill V Mazzaro C Mortensen
Marlins 5.90%   J Johnson R Nolasco A Sanchez N Robertson  
Giants 8.79%   T Lincecum M Cain B Zito J Sanchez M Bumgarner
Angels 13.18%   J Weaver E Santana J Saunders J Pineiro S Kazmir
Phillies 17.79%   C Hamels R Halladay J Moyer J Blanton K Kendrick
White Sox 22.34%   M Buehrle J Peavy G Floyd J Danks F Garcia
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