Red Reposter - I Turn My Head to the West, Joey Votto by My Side!
by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 18, 2010 10:30 AM EDT
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PrintRed Reposter's Fake World Cup Primer, brought to you by the Childrens Museum of Indianapolis, curator of the largest collection of kid skeletons in the world. The Childrens Museum of Indianapolis: a museum of children (not recommended for children under the age of 13). - 6 - Games Chris Heisey has started in his month-and-a-half long big league career. In his very limited exposure to major league pitching, he has iced their cupcakes to the tune of a .480 wOBA. Drew Stubbs' .327 wOBA is right at league-average, so it's not like he deserves a benching. Jonny Gomes' .376 and Jay Bruce's .355 are also very strong, giving the Reds 4 OFs who deserve to start. With ~18 starts a week available in the OF, you'd like to see a bit more balance. Something like Bruce - 6, Gomes - 5, Stubbs/Heisey - 3/4. Luckily the Reds have 6 straight games with a DH coming up, so hopefully Heisey starts at least 5 of those games. I have a feeling if he gets a solid week on the field he will make it impossible for Dusty to sit him. It's definitely a good problem to have.
-
Helluva win yesterday, huh?
"We needed that badly," Reds manager Dusty Baker said. "That’s the epitome of a getaway day right there." The 7 innings of 1-run pitching tell me Goodroyo showed up, but the 6 walks make me want to check the birth certificate to make sure. Though he walked the world, he also got 3 double plays, all of the 3-6-1 variety. Dusty said, "I don’t think I’ve ever seen three 3-6-1 double plays like that. It shows Bronson’s athletic ability."
Also from this article, Orlando Cabrera says he's been hobbled by a sprained ankle for a few weeks. "Every day it’s a struggle, but I can still play...I’m just old. We’re in first place, that’s all that matters." His .298 wOBA and replacement-level total production tell me that he is not only old, but perhaps too old. Imagine what this offense could do without a black hole in the lead off spot (woah, deja vu). I'm not one to believe Paul Janish is The Answer, but I have to believe he could do better than this. I believe more than a few of you out there in Internet Land could do better. -
Wednesday's game was a tough loss
I feel much better after Goodroyo drove the boat over the Dodgers yesterday, but Wednesday's game was the kind that sticks in your craw. The game didn't hinge on it, but Scott Rolen's strike out/ejection was a big play. "I thought it was a little low," Rolen said. "He (umpire Hunter Wendelstedt) didn’t think it was low. We had a slight misunderstanding there...He said, ‘Why don’t you go in and sit in the cold tub and get ready for (Thursday’s) day game?’ I said, ‘That’d be great.’" I'm not certain, but I think Rolen is fibbing a bit here. From the pics I've seen, he appears to have not been as cordial as he presents himself here. -
CNATI has a nice gallery of photos from Wednesday's stinker
There is a really great shot of Dusty tossing his crackers at Wendelstedt. -
Awwwwwwwww, Dusty is in truuuuh-ble!
His mom totally caught him cursing IN PUBLIC! "I’ll hear from my Mom," Baker said (regarding is ejection on Wednesday) "Cursing in public … she doesn’t like that." I heard he's gonna be grounded for THREE WHOLE MONTHS!! It's so unfair! Melissa says he can hopefully talk her into letting him go to the Springtime Pumpkin Dance, but if she won't let him she'll have to go by herself! Barf-olla!! -
Has the pitching suffered since Ryan Hanigan landed on the DL?
Chris Garber at Redleg Nation asks us to consider the question. Turns out the rotation has been demonstrably worse in the games Ramon Hernandez calls. Is it a sampling issue? Probably. It could also be a bit of a selection bias, as Hernandez usually catches certain pitchers. Whatever the case may be, I still miss my boy Hanigan. -
Chris Dickerson's wrist is progressing slowly, but surely
"It's going pretty well," Dickerson said of hitting. "I don't feel like the power is even close. But it's getting close to where it's pain free. It's just a matter of time. Hopefully, by Sunday, I will be taking light batting practice. I might even try acupuncture to see if anything can loosen up the tightness in my forearm." I would be surprised if we see him before August, if ever again. Kid just can't stay healthy. With all the options emerging in the outfield, he may be squeezed to Louisville or off the roster entirely. -
Ever wonder why managers bat replacements in the same spot as starters?
Me too. Joe Pawlikowski doesn't have an answer, but he stretches out his rhetorical lobes for some fruitless exercise. When Miguel Cairo is subbing for Joey Votto or Scott Rolen, he always hits at the top of the lineup. Last year when Paul Janish was more or less handed the SS position he most often hit in the 2 spot, where the SS hit pretty much all season regardless of name or skill. Is it just creative laziness? Is it about not upsetting the feng shui? That's something I really would like to know. Next RedsFest imma get to the bottom of this! -
Mark Hulet checks in with the first-round picks from last season
We know our boy Mike Leake's got a real cool hand: "Like Strasburg, Leake is currently pitching in a big league starting rotation. What’s more impressive, though, is that he’s done it since the beginning of the 2010 season and never did pitch in the minors. Leake is nowhere near as dominating as the first overall pick, but he has a nice ground-ball rate of 51% and a respectable xFIP at 4.28." -
JinAZ's BtB Power Rankings have the Reds holding steady at #11
That's good for the "On Paper" Wild Card! Take heart, loyal readers! Though they have been struggling of late, they still look like one of the best teams in the NL. wOOt!!
Happy birthday, Mrs. Scrabbles!
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Fine Reposter, Mr. Scrabbles.
What was Janish’s wOBA in his two month audition last year?
I think knowing that would help us judge whether site members should arrange a kidnapping or hold on until the Trading Deadline
Janish's career wOBA is .275 in 429 PAs
his minor league numbers suggest though that he should be able to maintain something around the ~.300 Lando has been posting. did you really want me to look that up for you, or were you just being a shit head? :)
by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 18, 2010 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions
I was late today (jr high band practice) and had a hearing at noon
so, for once, I wasn’t being a shithead.
from August on last season,
which is the only time Janish got even semi-regular ABs, his wOBA was .274 (according to my calculations). I thought it was better than this thanks to his doubles power, but he was still so bad with the bat.
that's what I remembered
still doesn’t mean he shouldn’t be spelling a slumping Orlando 2-3 times a week.
OR
that Walt shouldn’t be trading for Stephen Drew
I am confident Janish is close enough to Cabrera with the bat
that his glove pushes him over the top in value. And as bleh as Cabrera has played so far, he has exceeded my expectations I think. My expectations were quite low, obviously.
On top of everything, if we don’t go out and trade for a SS (which we won’t), we are still going to need a SS for next year, and I very much doubt (or hope) it will be Cabrera. Janish is still on the way up, he should be getting some time, honestly. As of right now, he is our best SS when thinking toward future seasons, and he’s rotting on the bench.
Janish is not on the way up. he'll be 28 in october and hasn't hit since he was in the low minors
He is what he is: a taller version of Rafael Belliard. If he’s the answer to short, then we are in as much trouble as we were in before Cabrera [arguably] ignited the offense by having a hot streak coincide with batting lead-off.
I personally think Janish is capable of better than he has had a chance to show so far.
Maybe not, but I definitely think he’s not yet in any decline phase.
Also, even if he is only what he’s done so far, Adam Everett or Jack Wilson are not guys that hold their teams back, necessarily, you just have to find offense elsewhere (as we are doing already anyway). Janish as a full-time player would be preferable to me than an obviously declining Cabrera moving forward.
All this to say, we have done and could do worse, IMHO.
It's a common argument here and it has some merits
People on my side of it are often beaten up on the street by the pro-Janish thugs (at least they can hit!).
In the end, I doubt it matters. Dusty and Walt signed their guy and Dusty fell in love in with him. We know what that means….
Still, let’s hope Walt isn’t as infatuated as the Cowboy is or Marty is, etc and he can make a deal for a different guy. ‘Cause, personally, this "Janish isn’t that bad/ yes he is" argument is wearisome and YET I can’t stop participating in it!
See below regarding the contentious asshole situation
Marty and tHom were gushing yesterday about how awesome Cabrera is
“He’s just a winning baseball player.” sez tHom.
“We knew he’d be able to hit, but he’s also played some excellent defense!” sez Marty.
Sometimes I wonder if they watch the same sport that I do, because they see things completely different that I do. Maybe I’m wrong about Cabrera, but it sure don’t feel like it.
Red Reporter or follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!
you mean a .300 OBP isn't good?
"Soccer is a communist sport."-Homer Bailey
by justin007000 on Jun 18, 2010 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions
it is compared to a .294 OBP
:)
Red Reporter or follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!
I wasn't paying attention yesterday
but I saw a certain comfort Sunday, when I was at GABP and Ocab led of the game with a sub .300 OBP. Even with all the success of being in first place, Dusty moved too far from his roots.
"Soccer is a communist sport."-Homer Bailey
by justin007000 on Jun 18, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Still, if not him who
Brandon can’t hit twice “Ghost runner on first” is not an acceptable gambit.
Stubbs can’t do it, you don’t want Jay doing it, etc. this team had one lead-off hitter on it (and, maybe one and a half if you want to consider Hanigan a lead-off hitter) and that guy is hurt.
I say we show TLR who is boss and hit our pitcher first!
If it means Mike Leake is asked to bunt less
then maybe he should lead off on his days. Hey, he gets on base, and he’s even pretty speedy!
by the finest muffins on Jun 18, 2010 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions
I heard that exchange and I've heard the same thing from Coboy and Chris too
It is weird that they give him credit for being so good defensively. butm I think that’s because he doesn’t make errors. Their sole defensive metric is errors and Orlando hstill has soft hands and throws pretty accurately. The fact that his range is roughly the same as Rolen’s seems to escape them.
also
you can look flashy when you make plays and people think you have great range, even if you aren’t actually moving a whole lot. Oddly, I think the most obvious example in the difference in range between two players on the Reds who play the same position that I can ever recall is Janish vs. OCab. It’s so clear to me that it’s disgusting that Janish has much better range than Lando, but the Reds announcers act like Cabrera is some sort of wizard with the glove.
Red Reporter or follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!
well it is pretty magical that Ocab can look bad on almost any play
"Soccer is a communist sport."-Homer Bailey
by justin007000 on Jun 19, 2010 12:53 AM EDT up reply actions
Would love to see Heisey get more starts
Heisey-Stubbs-Bruce in Seattle would gobble up a lot of flyballs in that big OF. But I’ll bet Nix will get the starts.
by ken on Jun 18, 2010 11:31 AM EDT reply actions 2 recs
I'll bet you're right
Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jun 18, 2010 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions
No way Heisey starts 5 on the road trip.
I’d like to see it too, but no way Dusty is going to let his Veterans ride the bench with a DH available.
My DH Prediction: Nix 3 starts, Cairo 2 starts, and just for the heck of it, Dusty will give 1 start to Corky.
by jambolyajones on Jun 18, 2010 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions
That's not happening either
It’s going to be Gomes DHing the bulk of the time.
Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show
by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Jun 18, 2010 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions
Yep, Nix will play left (unless there's a lefty) and Gomes will DH
Good news for Chris is that they get a lefty tonight. Bad news is it’s Cliff Lee.
"Good news" to the extent he may start...
Bad news to the extent that Heisey has been pretty crappy against lefties thus far in the majors (super small sample size noted) AND last year in AAA (again, relatively small sample size noted). Fact is he seems to be better against LHPs — a fact that really works against him in that this requires a level of analysis (albeit quite basic) that is probably way over Dusty’s head. I mean how could a RH hitter be good against RHPs…..it ain’t in “the book.” :)
Also interesting to note that Stubbs is doing MUCH better against LHPs...
Would love to see Heisey getting some RHP starts going forward with Stubby getting the LHP starts and mixing in with RHPs.
Yeah, Dusty won't be the manager next year....
and a healthy Chris Dickerson will be platooning in CF and I’ll be a millionaire and ….well, you get the drift.
PS what has Dusty done to rule out an extension? Surpassed expectations? check
Has his team in first place? check
Has a good clubhouse? check
Outside of melting bullpen and the lack of a lead-off hitter, which aren’t his fault, I’m wondering what the grounds are for letting him go…..hmmmm, why did Marge fire Davey Johnson? Maybe you get Bob to reprise that.
you have no evidence of that
by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 18, 2010 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions 5 recs
I rec'd the living hell out of that.
You’re my favorite mod, Scrabbles, even if you think I’m just a contentious asshole.
i dont think you are a contentious asshole
i think you are a shit head
by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 18, 2010 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions
i dunno
“jr high band practice” seems like a shit head excuse to me :)
by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 18, 2010 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions
tell it to NYC
My daughter has been playing that clarinet for all of three weeks and she’s gotten pretty good at only squeaking once every three notes!
you are too hung up on young, unrealized potential
don’t you know that most young people never amount to anything!
Red Reporter or follow on Twitter: @redreporter. Buy The Wire-to-Wire Reds today!
by Slyde on Jun 18, 2010 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I deleted a whole part of that response that had me heckling the band director
the same way I do NYC “You hate everyone over 30”, etc I deleted because I thought Charlie might believe it’s true!
don’t you know that most young people never amount to anything!
so true
I was wondering if there was something wrong with Tubby.
He appeared to be limping during the game yesterday after he came down with that jumping catch he made.
Watch it, ass blood.
you know
I don’t expect Dusty to make Janish the starter or anything, but given that Cabrera has a sprained ankle, I would expect him to be getting more time off than he’s been getting.
All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?
Some stuff I found on the sidewalk
"I like this!"
“Some people are so stupid”
“HA!”
“Have you ever heard of this?”
“DON’T TRY THIS AT HOME!”
“This is a thing that happened”
chairman of the committee
I think you mixed up your headlines on those last two links.
by the finest muffins on Jun 18, 2010 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions
check out where the daughter selling story was based :)
"i may be an idiot but i’m correct." -- 'tHan
Ahahahahahaha.
Definitely missed that. Also, the final sentence in the last article is a nice contrast to the penultimate article.
by the finest muffins on Jun 18, 2010 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions
If Artest weren't such a loon, he could have won that championship 8 years ago in Indy
giant buffoon. He has a ring and Reggie Miller doesn’t. basketball is as fair as baseball
Re: Hi-Z and the DH..
If I know my Dusty (and I think I do) we’ll be seeing the Egyptian Prince Cairo and Laynce Nix over Hi-Z.
I can’t imagine, unless Walt gets involved, that Dustyballs would go with a rookie over the Vets.
My name is Madville and I'm a JonnyGomesLaynceNixaddict.
Signs point to Jonny Gomes DHing almost exclusively.
So the question is who plays left. I agree that Laynce will probably get the bulk of those starts, but I’d be shocked to see Cairo out there. I have to think Heisey gets at least one or two starts in six games.
by the finest muffins on Jun 18, 2010 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Happy Birthday, Mrs. Scrabbles! Congratulations on not dying in the passed year!
I love the “Cool Hand Leake” thing. Has that been going around and I missed it or did the lovely and talented Mrs. Scrabbles come up with that one?
When you come to the fork in the road, take it.
I think Fay has the first documented use of it
Wouldn’t have called that, would you?
by Brendanukkah on Jun 18, 2010 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions
i imagine he's probably made that mistake several times in the past 30 years
chairman of the committee
by boobsinho on Jun 18, 2010 2:55 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Was listening to Mo Egger while driving around a bit ago
(probably my first mistake), and he was talking about the idea of the Reds going with a 6 man rotation after the Allstar Break. The idea was for guys like Leake, Volquez (if he can return to the rotation) and Bailey to be able to have their innings kept in check, and to limit the amount of shitty starts from Harangutan. I didn’t catch the beginning of the segment so I don’t know if the idea came from an article or if it was something that came from off the top of his prematurely balding head. I don’t know how it would work, carrying an extra starter would cause you to have either a short bench or a short bullpen. It seems it would make more sense when the roster expands in September. Is there any precedent of something like this happening?
Watch it, ass blood.
Ray Knight tried. the pitchers hated, he got made fun in the national media and then was canned
Pitchers hate it, because it throws their schedules off AND cost them the stats they need to make money.
That is way too stupid for even Dusty to consider
not all the pitchers hated it
Dave Burba was actually excited about it, he wanted to pitch in relief between starts.
There have been a few instances of 6 man rotations. I think the Mets used it under Bobby V.
"Soccer is a communist sport."-Homer Bailey
by justin007000 on Jun 18, 2010 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Don't know about the pictures,
but I watched Rolen get into it with the ump and it DEFINITELY was anything but cordial. lol
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