FanPost

The Politics of Super Two

 

The rules read like this:

"A player with at least two but less than three years of Major League service shall be eligible for salary arbitration if he has accumulated at least 86 days of service during the immediately preceding season and he ranks in the top 17 percent in total service in the class of Players who have at least two but less than three years of Major League service, however accumulated, but with at least 86 days of service accumulated during the immediately preceding season."

  • There's no exact formula for avoiding Super Two status, because there's no way to successfully project who will be in the top 17% of playing time. However, by looking at past years, we can gain an average idea of when the cut off begins. 
  • This off-season, the Super Two cutoff was 2 years and 141 days of service time. The average overall has been 148 days. That would be equivalent to May 9 to May 16. This is the average window for service time. If Chapman, Leake or Wood are brought up by in mid May they may or may not qualify for Super Two status, depending on their following two years of service, and depending on other players in the majors.
  • No Super Two has had less than two years, 130 days service time. To be completely safe, the Reds should not bring Chapman, Wood or Leake to the majors prior to May 27, 2010. There are 130 days between May 27 and Oct. 3. This would be the safest way to go.
  • However, the need could arise. If any of these pitchers are needed prior to May 27, the Reds could take the chance of making them eligible for salary arbitration at the end of 2012 instead of 2013.
  • I hope I got this right. Please feel free to comment.

 

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