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For Your Consideration: A 2010 Depth Chart

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Will Reds braintrust decide to drink the Hi-C?

After a lustrous winter of moderate-to-low interest in my ratings-challenged critical darling, Toward a 2010 Depth Chart series, I've culled the results into a final product. The following "is" an "optimized" 25 man roster, depth chart and lineup based on a synthesis of exhaustive Red Reporter polling, discussion and my own fillings-in of the gaps.

The biggest point of contention here is probably left field. Voting did not reflect the fact that most of Red Reporters core members would probably like to see Wlad get the bulk of starts at the outset of the 2010 season. However, I think there also may be an equal case to be made for Dickerson to start about 70% of the time, in which case either Johnny Gomes or Chris Heisey could start against lefties. The proposed roster below represents a third way, in which Heisey and Dickerson share left field. This compromise solution may not make the most sense from a developmental standpoint, but it would likely provide the best defense and on-base skills of all the possible permutations. It would also allow Wlad to fill the much-needed role of power bat off the bench.

My personal opinion is that given relative skill-sets and ceilings of the leftfield candidates, each of these three scenarios is acceptable in the short term - though the Reds should favor roster construction that puts a power bat who can hit lefties as at least a part-time bench option. Dickerson is the primary starter, but it could just as soon be Wlad I think.

So go ahead to strike up one of these two timely George Harrison-penned tunes:

"Tax Man"

"Here Comes the Sun"

Crack a RedLegg Ale (Too literal? and Is this a good beer even?), put some Skyline on the boil, light some incense in front of your lifesize Sean Casey door poster and kick back with this list of names of Reds players arranged in different configurations. Pitchers and catchers report in less than 48 hours, so time your overnight drunk in such a way that you end up miraculously in Goodyear AZ , unable to remember how you got there, but sufficiently buzzed and ready to fully appreciate Kip Wells long tossing to bullpen catcher Mike Stefanski.

25 Man Roster 

Catchers:

Hanigan, Ryan
Hernadnez, Ramon

Infielders:

Cabrera, Orlando (SS)
Janish, Paul (SS)
Phillips, Brandon (2B)
Rolen, Scott (3B)
Sutton, Drew (UTL)
Votto, Joey (1B)


Outfielders:

Bruce, Jay (RF)
Stubbs, Drew (CF)
Dickerson, Chris (OF)
Heisey, Chris (OF)
Balentien, Wlad (LF/RF)

Starting Pitchers:

Arroyo, Bronson
Bailey, Homer
Cueto, Johnny
Harang, Aaron
Maloney, Matt

Relief Pitchers:

Burton, Jared
Cordero, Francisco
Fisher, Carlos
Herrera, Daniel R.
Masset, Nick
Owings, Micah
Rhodes, Arthur

 

Lineups

These were constructed using guidance from the lineup tool at Baseball Musings. The slash lines I'm using were made by triangulating CHONE, Fan projections and my own observational biases. I used platoon splits only for platoon players, with the exception of Jay Bruce. Either fulltime starters do not have serious splits, or consistency in lineups for regulars is probably about as important as micro lineup tweaking around the margins. Most important for the Reds, above going strictly by The Book , is to (1) put guys on base in front of Joey Votto, (2) play to the hitting strengths of Bruce, Phillips and Rolen. It's also worth considering how much elements like Cabrera's "bat control" should be weighed.

vs. RHP (Hanigan starting)

This lineup would used approximately 30% of the time

Chris Dickerson LF (.286/.385/.438)
Drew Stubbs CF (.266/.335/.395)
Joey Votto 1B (.309/.394/.530)
Jay Bruce RF (vs. RHP: .292/.354/.552)
Scott Rolen (.277/.352/.431)
Brandon Phillips (.270/.326/.445)
Orlando Cabrera (.274/.324/.376)
PITCHER
Ryan Hanigan (.266/.357/.369)

vs. RHP (Hernandez starting)

This lineup would be used approximately 30% of the time

Chris Dickerson LF (.286/.385/.438)
Drew Stubbs CF (.266/.335/.395)
Joey Votto 1B (.309/.394/.530)
Jay Bruce RF (vs. RHP: .292/.354/.552)
Scott Rolen (.277/.352/.431)
Brandon Phillips (.270/.326/.445)
Ramon Hernandez (.259/.327/.396)
PITCHER
Orlando Cabrera (.274/.324/.376)

vs LHP (Hanigan/Cabrera starting)

This lineup would be used approximately 5% of the time

Chris Heisey LF (vs LHP: .291/.368/.467)
Drew Stubbs CF (.266/.335/.395)
Joey Votto 1B (.309/.394/.530)
Jay Bruce RF (vs. LHP: .268/.321/.492)
Scott Rolen (.277/.352/.431)
Brandon Phillips (.270/.326/.445)
Orlando Cabrera (.274/.324/.376)
PITCHER
Ryan Hanigan (.266/.357/.369)


vs LHP (Hanigan/Janish starting)

This lineup would be used approximately 10% of the time

Chris Heisey LF (vs LHP: .291/.368/.467)
Drew Stubbs CF (.266/.335/.395)
Joey Votto 1B (.309/.394/.530)
Jay Bruce RF (vs. LHP: .268/.321/.492)
Scott Rolen (.277/.352/.431)
Brandon Phillips (.270/.326/.445)
Paul Janish (vs. LHP: .274/.338/.376)
PITCHER
Ryan Hanigan (.266/.357/.369)

vs LHP (Hernandez/Cabrera starting)

This lineup would be used approximately 5% of the time

Chris Heisey LF (vs LHP: .291/.368/.467)
Drew Stubbs CF (.266/.335/.395)
Joey Votto 1B (.309/.394/.530)
Jay Bruce RF (vs. LHP: .268/.321/.492)
Scott Rolen (.277/.352/.431)
Brandon Phillips (.270/.326/.445)
Ramon Hernandez (.259/.327/.396)
PITCHER
Orlando Cabrera (.274/.324/.376)

vs LHP (Herndandez/Janish starting)

This lineup would be used approximately 10% of the time

Chris Heisey LF (vs LHP: .291/.368/.467)
Drew Stubbs CF (.266/.335/.395)
Joey Votto 1B (.309/.394/.530)
Jay Bruce RF (vs. LHP: .268/.321/.492)
Scott Rolen (.277/.352/.431)
Brandon Phillips (.270/.326/.445)
Ramon Hernandez (.259/.327/.396)
PITCHER
Paul Janish (vs. LHP: .274/.338/.376)

Depth Chart

Ranked simply by MLB playing time share on Opening Day 2010

Catcher:

  1. Ryan Hanigan (50%)
  2. Ramon Hernandez (50%)
  3. Wilkin Castillo (DL, AAA)
  4. Corky MIller (AAA)
  5. Chris Denove (AAA)

First Base:

  1. Joey Votto (100%)
  2. Wladimir Balentien (back-up)
  3. Yonder Alonso (AAA)
  4. Kevin Barker (AAA)
  5. Wes Bankston (AAA)

Second Base:

  1. Brandon Phillips (100%)
  2. Drew Sutton (back-up)
  3. Todd Frazier (AAA)
  4. Paul Janish (back-up)
  5. Chris Valaika (AAA)

Shortstop:

  1. Orlando Cabrera (75%)
  2. Paul Janish (25% total PT, 20% start)
  3. Drew Sutton (back-up)
  4. Zack Cozart (AAA)
  5. Todd Frazier (AAA)

Third Base:

  1. Scott Rolen (95%)
  2. Drew Sutton (5%)
  3. Todd Frazier (AAA)
  4. Juan Francisco (AAA)
  5. Paul Janish (back-up)

Left Field:

  1. Chris Dickerson (vs. RHP)
  2. Chris Heisey (vs. LHP)
  3. Wladimir Balentien (occasional starter, back-up and PH)
  4. Todd Frazier (AAA)
  5. Jonny Gomes (Free Agent)
  6. Juan Francisco (AAA)

Center Field:

  1. Stubbs (90%)
  2. Dickerson (10%)
  3. Chris Heisey (back-up)
  4. Josh Anderson (AAA)
  5. Laynce Nix (AAA)

Right Field:

  1. Jay Bruce (95%)
  2. Wladimir Balentien (5%)
  3. Chris Heisey (back-up)
  4. Juan Francisco (AAA)
  5. Danny Dorn (AAA)

Starting rotation:

  1. Aaron Harang
  2. Bronson Arroyo
  3. Johnny Cueto
  4. Homer Bailey
  5. Matt Maloney (80%)
  6. Micah Owings (20%, spot starter)
  7. Justin Lehr (AAA)
  8. Travis Wood (AAA - Possible mid-season callup)
  9. Mike Leake (AA - Possible mid-season or September callup)
  10. Edinson Volquez (DL - possible September return)
  11. Aroldis Chapman (A+ - Possible September call-up)
  12. Sam Lecure (AAA)
  13. Matt Klinker (AAA)
  14. Alexander Smith (AA)
  15. Brad Boxberger (AA?)

Bullpen:

  1. Francisco Cordero
  2. Nick Masset
  3. Jared Burton
  4. Arthur Rhodes
  5. Danny Ray Herrera
  6. Micah Owings
  7. Carlos Fisher
  8. Pedro Viola
  9. Mike Lincoln (possible DL)
  10. Enerio Del Rosario (AAA)
  11. Logan Ondrusek (AAA)
  12. Kip Wells (AAA)
  13. Justin Lehr (AAA)
  14. Brad Boxberger (AA?)
  15. Phillipe Valiquette (AAA)
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