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Updating the Top 100: Part 2 of 5

Honorable Mention: Aaron Harang

If yesterday's posting was to set the stage for the pregnant expectations of a great career, today's is to serve as a requiem for an underappreciated workhorse: Aaron Harang.  In terms of advancing his standing as an all-time Red, Harang actually went backwards in 2010.  Last year, he was marked as ranking #134 on the list; this year he sits at #135.

Rather than contemplate Harang's poor 2010, then, let's recap and remember the good times.

In 2003, the Reds were bad, and they were lopsided.  The offense was good, and there were reserves on the horizon in the form of Austin Kearns, Felipe Lopez, and Wily Mo Pena.  There were few reasons to expect anything but future offensive dominance, but the pitching was a disaster.  There were four regular starting pitchers, and three of them had ERAs over 5.3.  The bullpen had some OK arms, but nothing spectacular.  A complete pitching staff overhaul was needed, and it's against that backdrop that the Reds made an unusual trade, sending Jose Guillen-with a year-to-date OPS over 1000 to Oakland for Harang, Joe Valentine, and Jeff Bruksch.  The less said about the latter two, the better, but Harang was an interesting acquisition.  Through the minors, Harang had exhibited high strikeout totals and pinpoint control, clearly excelling at most levels.  In 100 or so innings in Oakland, however, he was not striking out many batters, and his numbers suffered accordingly.  Already 25 years old when nabbed by the Reds, Harang had promise, but it was hardly a slam dunk.

There is no question which team got the better end of the deal.  Oakland, in the midst of a pennant chase, received 170 mediocre at bats from Guillen before being bounced in the ALCS by Boston.  Guillen then left for Anaheim via free agency.  The Reds, however, had the luxury of time, and they used it to develop Harang.  Overnight, Harang began striking batters out (his K/9 rate went from 5.0 to 7.0 from 2003 to 2004), and the other numbers improved accordingly.  In 2004, Harang's ERA+ was 88, then 112 in 2005.

In 2006, the leap happened.  For a two-year stretch, Harang was truly among the best pitchers in the league.3rd in innings pitched in 2006, and 2nd the following year.  9th in ERA+ both years (124 in each).  First place, then second in strikeouts recorded.  He got some award recognition, finishing 4th in the 2007 NL Cy Young, but seemed to be largely overlooked in the national discussion of the game's elite pitchers.

Flyball pitchers, a group to which Harang belongs, always walk along a cliff's edge, and in 2007, Harang began to stumble.  His K/9 rate fell by a full strikeout, and his HR/9 rate increased by half a dinger.  His ERA+ fell back under 100 in 2008, and his W-L record reversed from 16-6 to 6-17.  It wasn't quite over-Harang pitched about ¾ of the 2009 season at a league average rate, but the warning bells had been rung.  In 2010, Harang was nominally the staff ace, starting his 5th straight Opening Day, but was eventually removed from the rotation due to ineffectiveness.

On November 3rd, Harang was granted free agency. On December 2, he agreed to terms on a one year contract with the Padres.

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My prediction for Harang's line with the Padres next year

(Assuming he wins the starting job out of spring training): 4.30 ERA, 180 IP.

I still think he has something left. Pitching at PETCO will help.
-j

by JinAZ on Dec 14, 2010 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

hopefully he'll get some love for "comeback player of the year"

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Dec 14, 2010 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

damnnnn

optimistic. I’d love it, though.

My guess: 4.45 ERA, 165 IP

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Dec 16, 2010 4:08 PM EST up reply actions  

My turn

2.95 ERA 90 innings pitched before his all-star appearance in July. After july 5.00+ era and DL with back problems.

"When you chart (the plays) and see where it broke down there was no common theme to it." - Bob Bratkowski

by featherman on Dec 16, 2010 6:24 PM EST up reply actions  

You are aware that Jon Garland had an ERA under 3.50 last year for the Padres...

with about the same FIP as Harang. Garland also had a higher HR/FB – maybe both Harang and Garland are too fluky to compare though.

by kcgard2 on Dec 17, 2010 11:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Sad to see him go

While Harang certainly wasn’t worth the option for next season and has had many many problems in recent times I will always remember him as laying the foundation for the current success.

It’s tough to not point the finger at him coming in that extra inning game as the start of his problems. Nothing ever really seemed right after that though I am sure there were warning signs before.

It would’ve been tough to find a spot on next year’s team. I wish him nothing but the best.

by ledman24 on Dec 14, 2010 11:00 AM EST reply actions  

same here.

letting him go was the right move. and he’s back him with his family so he has to be happy about that too.

by GrooveLeg on Dec 14, 2010 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Way to go Adam!

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Dec 14, 2010 12:33 PM EST reply actions  

Oh the 2003 pitching staff

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Dec 14, 2010 1:41 PM EST reply actions  

I have a lot of respect for the big guy

hope he knocks ’em down in the NL West next year

"College actually kind of beat that out of me, making me more, well, of an asshole."

by Cy Schourek on Dec 14, 2010 2:45 PM EST reply actions  

just hope he doesn't pitch against cincinnati

i don’t want to root against him.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."

-President Andrew Jackson

by justin007000 on Dec 14, 2010 2:48 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed!

Joey Votto on Colin Cowherd: "I don’t know who he is"

by UncleWeez on Dec 15, 2010 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I know it's probably not kosher, but I almost always root for my favorite reds even against the Reds.

Just with the caveat that the Reds win anyway.

Like, I’d be psyched to have Harang come to GABP and pitch 9 perfect innings, as long as Joey Votto hits a walkoff grand slam in the 10th.

"there no countrey called west xylophone" Youtube

by andromache on Dec 15, 2010 2:57 PM EST up reply actions  

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