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Around SBN: Missouri Crashes The Top Line After Kansas Win

Reds Sign Josh Anderson

Yesterday, the Reds signed LHB OF Josh Anderson to a minor league contract.  Nice to see a fairly local guy getting a spring training invite.

But what can he do for the team?  Here are his stats, courtesy of FanGraphs:

Hitting

Year Age Team PA %K %BB %LD BABIP AVG OBP SLG ISO wOBA wRAA wRAR
2006 23.9 AA 610 12% 4% --- 0.348 0.308 0.344 0.385 0.077 0.335 -1.2 15.7
2007 24.9 AAA 564 13% 6% --- 0.316 0.273 0.319 0.341 0.068 0.302 -16.5 -1.0
2007 24.9 HOU 75 8% 7% 19% 0.387 0.358 0.413 0.403 0.045 0.367 2.0 4.1
2008 25.9 AAA 541 11% 6% --- 0.346 0.314 0.353 0.405 0.091 0.356 11.0 25.4
2008 25.9 ATL 146 23% 5% 22% 0.370 0.294 0.336 0.426 0.132 0.348 1.9 5.8
2009 26.9 DET/KCR 298 14% 4% 16% 0.280 0.240 0.275 0.304 0.064 0.279 -14.2 -6.3
2010 27.9 James 198 13% 5% --- 0.317 0.277 0.313 0.351 0.074 0.312 -3.9 1.4
2010 27.9 CHONE 473 15% 5% --- 0.321 0.276 0.319 0.369 0.092 0.317 -7.2 5.4

Anderson's calling card is his speed.  He has 280 SB (69 CS, 80%) in the minors, and is 36 for 43 (84%) in the majors.  Unfortunately, that's his only offensive weapon.  Slugging is not his forte (19 HR's in 3200+ PA's in the minors), and his minor league walk rate is at Brandon Phillips levels, so he has to get on via the base hit to get on base and create HAVOC.  He avoids the strikeout reasonably well, and both James and CHONE think he might hit ~0.270 next season.  That's just enough to be a tad above replacement level as a hitter given his lack of other offensive skills.  

Fielding-wise, he seems roughly average--slightly below average in CF, above average in the corners.  CHONE projects him at -3 runs in CF per season, based on MLB & minor league numbers, which would negate his CF position bonus.  Fan Scouting Report has him at +7 runs in LF, which equates to right about average overall.  Detroit fans recognized him as having outstanding sprint speed, good acceleration, but below-average instincts and an average arm.

Overall, I see him as somewhere around a half-win player.  Assuming he'd make near-minimum salary if he makes the roster, he could be a decent guy off the bench, especially because you can leverage his speed for pinch running situations...  But hopefully not someone who will get a strong look at a starting job.  I'd definitely put him behind Chris Dickerson and Laynce Nix as a left-handed platoon option in left field, for example.  

He also seems extremely redundant with Willy Taveras--Anderson projects to be the better hitter, though he might be slightly poorer as a fielder--so I'm not sure what to make of the signing.  Could it be that Willy will actually not make the opening day roster?  Or did we just not get enough of Taveras last year and we need more?

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you know,

this post made me more hopeful that Taveras will be cut. Of course, there’s also the very real possibility that Dusty asked for more speed so Walt went and got Anderson, and as long as he gets 4 or more hits in ST they’ll put him on the team.

But seriously, this guy is basically another Taveras. Why else would you get him unless you’re cutting version 1.0?

by nycredsfan on Jan 6, 2010 7:03 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah, I'm just scared.

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Jan 6, 2010 7:17 PM EST reply actions  

Rotoworld

had an odd comment:

He can play all three outfield positions and will have a decent chance of cracking Cincinnati’s roster out of spring training.
Really? A decent chance?

Let’s see: I can’t imagine they’d have more than 5 OFs:

Clearly better, no doubt on the opening day roster:
1. Bruce
2. Stubbs
3. Dickerson

Better and younger:
4. Balentien

So unless the Reds are complete idiots (I know, I know) he’d have to beat out all of Taveras (who’s owed $4M next year and is the exact same player), Nix (who was superficially pretty good last year), and Heisley (who’s better).

I think Anderson has a “decent chance” of being AAA organizational fodder; to say anything more is….fantasy.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Jan 6, 2010 8:00 PM EST reply actions  

I think

there’s some doubt about Dickerson being on the opening day roster.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 6, 2010 8:16 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think the Reds like him very much

Wouldn’t surprise me if he was traded or something.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 6, 2010 11:45 PM EST up reply actions  

ahh

i see. i hope youre wrong.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Jan 7, 2010 10:26 AM EST up reply actions  

Chris Dickerson is too intelligent, creative and good of a citizen to ever be highly thought of by the average Cincinnati Bozo fan.

Let alone old school baseball guys…he cares about things like the environment and is way too articulate to be a pro jock (esp. a black pro jock). Yep I could see him getting traded, which may not be all bad for C-Dick he might actually have an opportunity to play elsewhere.

I still see him as a #4 OF for the 2010 team.

Incompetents invariably make trouble for people other than themselves.
Larry Mcmurtry

by Madville on Jan 7, 2010 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I also think

there’s even odds he’s on the DL on opening day. Dunno if he’s as injury-prone as Dusty says, but I think he is injury-prone.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Jan 7, 2010 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

That too...he's such a good guy that I really want him to somehow be better than he had shown himself to be.

<img src=“http://thm-a04.yimg.com/image/b0fe5a6297e76576”/>
wrong Dickerson…

Here we go -

Incompetents invariably make trouble for people other than themselves.
Larry Mcmurtry

by Madville on Jan 7, 2010 10:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah....

he looks like AAA roster filler to me.

The only upside to him making the roster over Taveras is that at least Dusty won’t be compelled to play him as much as he played WT. Otherwise, they both stink.

http://www.redlegnation.com

by Chad Dotson on Jan 6, 2010 11:49 PM EST up reply actions  

file this

under why not/who cares

Just because I don't care doesn't mean I don't understand

by saboscork on Jan 6, 2010 9:22 PM EST reply actions  

And it's how we learn too.

Nice profile, but I kinda hope we never hear of him again.

by Chad Dotson on Jan 6, 2010 11:51 PM EST up reply actions  

no problem at all with your post

i actually was enlightened by the analysis – sincerely. as long as he isnt in CF on opening day im indifferent

Just because I don't care doesn't mean I don't understand

by saboscork on Jan 7, 2010 12:11 AM EST up reply actions  

these signings

always puzzle me. I remember even back in the early 90s the Reds signed these minor league players. One who comes to mind is the most awesome name in baseball … Razor Shines.

I will forever be mystified at how some of these guys get contracts. I suppose we do need to fill out a roster at Lousyville. Sadly, some of them bleed through the paint and end up in center field at GABP, leading off.

Gulp.

Don't try to win every game, just the last one.

by johnu1 on Jan 7, 2010 1:09 AM EST reply actions  

Just AAA fodder

Anderson is not to be confused with Hamilton

Incompetents invariably make trouble for people other than themselves.
Larry Mcmurtry

by Madville on Jan 7, 2010 5:21 AM EST reply actions  

sweet BB%...

NOT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

oh nostalgia…

by GrooveLeg on Jan 7, 2010 9:21 AM EST reply actions  

From my Tigers insider

picture scott podsednik, but completely terrible. he has tons of speed, but he either hits lazy fly balls or routine grounders to second. defensively, it’s like his speed disappears. i think he gets really bad jumps on balls, because he never tracked anything down and always seemed to be trying to “catch up” to the ball. oh, and when he gets on base he gets picked off a LOT. not so much on pick-off moves, but like not freezing on a line drive, crap like that

I once defended the managerial styles of Jerry Narron after a Reds loss in a bar after a long night of drinking. I wish I could say that I don't remember doing that.

by chazerize on Jan 7, 2010 10:48 AM EST reply actions  

Baserunning

His baserunning numbers with DET last year from BPro show him at -0.4 runs overall, which is hard to do when you have nice SB numbers and terrific speed. Your post helps explain that.
-j

by JinAZ on Jan 7, 2010 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

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