The Draft 93-03 the Jim Bowden Years.

by davidmac84 on Jun 16, 2009 6:19 PM EDT

The excitement over the MLB draft prompted me to examine the Jim Bowden draft history.

Jim was responsible for 11 drafts. The total WAR value of the players he drafted was 96.7.

His best draft was 1998: Kearns(16.0) Dunn (20.8) BJ Ryan(11.4) Coffey(1.4)- total WAR wa 49.6.

2nd best was 1995: Tomko(9.3) Jason Lareu(9.4) Ray King( 1.1) Rob Malkowiak(5.3) Buddy Caryle(.5)- total WAR 25.1.

3rd best 1994 CJ Nitkowski(.2) A. Boone(5.3) J Reidling(.6)- total WAR 6.1.

The bad years 2001 - no players made the MLB(Sowers was unsigned). 2000- Dustin Mosely and Schroder generated .2 WAR so far. 1996 Buddy Carlyle produced .5 WAR. 1993 Bako(.3) Sullivan(.3) for .6 total. 2003 Wagner (.2) Dickerson(2.1). Needless to say Jim had alot of real bad drafts.

The players drafted by Bowden that had positive WAR:

1. Dunn(20.8) 2. Kearns(16.0) 3. BJ Ryan(11.4) 4. Jason Lareu(9.4) 5. Brett Tomko(9.3) 6. Joey Votto(5.3) 7. Aaron Boone(5.3) 8. Rob Mackowiak(5.3) 9. S. Williamson(3.2) 10. Broussard(3.1) 11. Dickerson(2.1) 12. T. Coffey(1.4) 13. Ray King(1.1) 14. Denofria(.7) 15. J. Reidling(.6) 16. Buddy Caryle. 17. Scott Sullivan(.3) 18. Scott Bako(.3) 19. CJ Nitkowski(.2) 20. Ryan Wagner(.2) 21. Schroder(.1) 22. Mosely(.1).

To put into perspective: the As top 12 players drafted from that period produces 165 WAR and all the players from that period would be around 180 WAR. The Expos/Nats from the same period- top 12 players produced 176 WAR. But the Nats squandered much of that value by trading Sizemore, Lee, Phillips for Barton Colon and trading Jason Bay for Lou Collier.

So the bright spot for the Reds is they didnt get alot of value in the draft but they also didnt give much value to the league. I would guess the Reds are the only organization that for this period only have 3 players at career plus 10 WAR.

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Comments

Sullivan had that few WAR?

I’m very suspicious of a stat that puts Reidling and Coffey above him.

by Cy Schourek on Jun 16, 2009 7:05 PM EDT reply actions

you screwed up my post

the WAR values only started in 2002- back to the drawing board.
So I guess my conclusion is Jim Bowden still sucked at drafting even if my numbers are screwed up.

by davidmac84 on Jun 16, 2009 8:11 PM EDT up reply actions

just looked at the pre 2002 numbers

the big changes- Scott Sullivan is around 5 WAR career. Aaron Boone around 11 WAR. Brett Tomko- 15 WAR- actually alot better career than I thought. add another 3 WAR for Dunn’s rookie year/ Malkowiak/Larue. And total value is around 115 WAR for the draft period.
6 players above 10 WAR- Dunn, Kearns, Ryan, Tomko, Boone and Larue.
That still has to be an extremely low number for the period.

by davidmac84 on Jun 16, 2009 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions