Scouting Johan Santana
Today the Reds face off against perhaps the best left-handed pitcher in baseball, if not the best overall pitcher. Johan Satana has been dominating opponents for 7 years now, putting up a 106-48 record with a 2.86 ERA since he became a regular starter with the Minnesota Twins back in 2002. During that span, he's struck out 9.5 batters every nine innings while walking just over 2 batters per 9 innings pitched. It's hard to find numbers from Santana that don't making him look dominate. He does it all well.
But how does he do it?
He does it with 3 plus pitches that he weaves into a tapestry of zeroes on the scoreboard (I should be a sportswriter!). Here's how those pitches broke down for Santana in 2008:
He uses his fastball to set up his other pitches, and while he used to throw it a couple miles an hour faster a year or two ago, he's still got some giddyup on it when he needs it. His most devastating pitch though is is change up, consider by many to be one of the top 5 in the league.
This is what his three pitches look like. I've broken them out versus right-handers and left-handers to show how much more Santana likes to work away from left-handers. He'll bust in on the hands of righties from time to time, but he mainly stays away from the inner half of the plate against lefties.
Click link to change view: vs RHB | vs LHB
After the jump, check out how Santana works the zone with each of his pitches.
All Pitches: vs All | vs RHB | vs LHB
Fastball: vs RHB | vs LHB
Slider: vs RHB | vs LHB
Change Up: vs RHB | vs LHB
The number one thing that sticks out for me is that if you are a left-handed hitter, don't even worry about the inside of the plate. He may come in there occasionally, but you are better off focusing on the outside half of the plate and trying to manage the pitchers there. Right-handed batters better just hope for the fastball. If he throws you a change up or slider, you may get your bat on it, you may put it in play, but you aren't getting much after that. The dude is a seriously dominant pitcher. Thankfully the Reds only have to face him once or twice a season.
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nice work
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions!"- Dr. Stephen T. Colbert DFA.
"How does it do it?" So racist.
All’s I wanna know is, can he pitch while being cold as balls? Welcome to spring in Cinci, Johan! You’ll be wishing you were in Venezuela… with Ugueth Urbina.
Great analysis
Except now I’m even more bummed about our opening day prospects.
I’m putting the over under on McDonald Ks today at 3
nope too late
everyone seen Johans awful secret, he’s an IT!!
"strikeouts are alot sexier than groundouts"
not until 30 minutes before game time
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
We're sticking with that in the regular season too?
Really?
by Brendanukkah on Apr 6, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions
for today at least
there’s plenty of other active places right now to post comments.
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
why not?
there is a perfectly good thread right here for you to make an ass of yourself.
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
Why can't the rule be based on how many people are drunk
in preparation for the game?
I think we’re beyond any reasonable threshold there.
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
sukr agrees
And we both think that as it is Opening Day and people are obviously here and willing to post, well then…
"Screw it. We've got bigger problems than a butter shortage."
um
you’re posting right now.
quit your bitching.
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
Who pissed on your graphs this morning?
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
I was up late making those graphs last night
and nobody appreciates them.
/sobs uncontrollably
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
aww dont worry slyde
take them upstairs and show your mom, im sure she will love them!
"strikeouts are a lot sexier than groundouts"
Well, honestly, I didn't want to take over
Your nice Johan Santana post with my commentary, but whatever.
"Screw it. We've got bigger problems than a butter shortage."
consider it a pre-game thread
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
you were asking who pissed on my graphs this morning?
check a mirror you hateful sonofabitch!
/runs to bedroom and turns on miley cyrus
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
"turns on miley cyrus"
Last I checked that wasn’t legal in this state, at least the other way around
"I can eat mayonnaise with a spoon." - Jeff Brantley
by BK on Apr 6, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions
Oh, by the way.
Top left graph: racist.
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
it means you didn't reply to the right comment
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
So T-Virus told CTrent he feels better and would be available today if needed
Good thing we held on to McDizzle
I prefer to call him
The Donald.
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
slyde
is it cold and windy in cinci like here in cbus?
"strikeouts are a lot sexier than groundouts"
yeah, but honestly it wasn't too bad when I was out this morning.
It hadn’t been raining much at that point though. We’ve had a light drizzle here for the last hour or so.
I’m on my way to BW3s in Rookwood. I’ll have an update once I get there.
"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty
I keep using it here...
as a way to keep from using it for responses to stupid student questions.
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
teach them
how to use the google on the internet machine!
"strikeouts are a lot sexier than groundouts"
college.
Unrelatedly, I taught HS science before.
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
I bet the college questions are dumber than the hs ones were
I teach HS, and I feel like kids get dumber when they get to college
About the same...
It is kind of hard to teach introductory microeconomics when many of the kids can’t take the area of a triangle…or calculate percent change.
We want to build long period of time. I didn’t come here for the shot run.
saoking wet parking lot here in n ky... drizzle and puddles
"I've actually never had a drink before, tonight I might try it out. We'll see."
—Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw, on turning 21
Hey, cutie.
Meet me in the game thread?
"What wrath, Daddy?"
by Fat Vegas Alan on Apr 6, 2009 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Sweet.
It looks like Santana’s release point for his slider against lefties is different from other pitches. He’s really trying to get it to move across the hitter’s field of vision. Pitching tipping?
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

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