Farmers Only: State Of The Farm Address (04.30)

by BK on Apr 30, 2009 1:43 PM EDT in Farmers only Comment 18 comments

With the Reds enjoying an off day today, I figured it'd be a good day to take a look at how the farm system is looking 3 weeks into the season. First, we'll look at each team in their respective divisions and leagues, take a look at the RR Top 15 prospect list, and look at the top performers so far this season.

Teams:

LOUISVILLE BATS (AAA) - The Bats are 11-8 and leading the International League West by one game over Toledo. Current Reds 3B Adam Rosales is second in the IL in hitting at .438, and Wes Bankston is tied for second in the league in home runs with 6 so far this season, more than anyone on the big league team. Bankston is also 6th in the league in RBI with 17, and Rosales is tied for 9th (along with Charlotte's Andy Phillips) with 15. Norris Hopper is tied for second in the IL with 5 stolen bases, and Rosales also leads the league in slugging and OPS at .754 and 1.233 respectively. On the pitching side of things, Matt Maloney is tied for 5th in the IL in ERA, and thanks to a spectacular performance earlier this week, Homer Bailey is second in strikeouts with 26. Compared to the rest of the league, the Bats are 4th in hitting, 3rd in OPS, and lead the IL in home runs with 24. So far, a solid performance by the boys in Louisville.

CAROLINA MUDCATS (AA) - The Mudcats are 8-12 so far this season, and 4th in the Southern League South, trailing Tennessee by 2.5 games. Chris Heisey is 3rd in the league in hitting at .353, and Heisey and Juan Francisco are tied for 4th in the SL in home runs with 4. Francisco is tied for 5th in RBI with 14. Heisey is also 3rd in the league in SB with 7, to lead the Reds organization, and is also leading his league in SLG and OPS at .647 and 1.110. Despite an 0-3 record, Travis Wood is 3rd in the league in ERA at 0.83, and Dallas Buck and James Avery are eating innings, holding at 4th and 5th in IP in the league so far. Carolina's batting .254 as a team so far, but I expect that to improve later on in the season. This team definitely isn't living up to it's potential, but with the talent present in the lineup every day, things will get better.

SARASOTA REDS (A+) - The S-Reds are 7-12 and surprisingly dead last in the FSL South, 5 games back of Fort Myers. Yonder Alonso is the star down there, second in the league in HR. Justin Reed, the leadoff hitter, is 8th in OBP at .417 and tied for 8th in SB with 5. Jeremy Horst is 8th in the league in ERA at 1.64, and Zach Stewart is tied for 10th in the FSL with 19 strikeouts. The S-Reds are 3rd to last in hitting at .227, but are 2nd in the league in HR with 11. The 4.28 staff ERA isn't helping, as that's 2nd to last in the league as well. Like Carolina, Sarasota's offense has struggled in relation to the talent that's down there. I expect to see an improvement there as well.

DAYTON DRAGONS (A) - The Dayton Dragons are 5-14 right now, and are dead last in the MWL, 10 games back of Fort Wayne already. Most players there are struggling, but Kyle Day is 6th in the MWL in OBP at .435, and Cody Puckett leads the league in HR with 4. Speed demon David Sappelt is tied for 5th in SB with 5. Matt Fairel is 6th in the league in strikeouts with 24. Dayton is surprisingly not dead last in hitting as a team, batting .239, but being second to last in ERA at 5.76 as a team is the root of their problems.

Red Reporter Top 15 Prospects List:

Before the season started, we asked you to rate the best prospects in the system, coming up with the RR Top 15. Here's how they're faring so far:

#1 Yonder Alonso - 1B - .229/.309/.471, 4 HR, 20 RBI (Sarasota)
Yonder's not hitting for average so far, but he's hitting home runs and his plate discipline is starting to come around (11 K/9 BB).
#2 Neftali Soto - 3B - .213/.224/.280, 1 HR, 4 RBI (Sarasota)
Neftali's really struggling so far in A+ ball, not hitting much for average, not hitting for much power, and hasnt walked yet so far. It's still early in the season, so he'll get more chances to bring it around.
#3 Todd Frazier - LF/1B - .307/.341/.413, 0 HR, 11 RBI (Carolina)
Frazier's hitting and driving in runs, but the lack of pop in his bat might be something to be concerned about.
#4 Drew Stubbs - CF - .256/.347/.326, 0 HR, 4 RBI (Louisville)
Stubbs is struggling, but is doing a good job getting on base in the 12 games he's played (as opposed to 19 or so for the other players). Not sure why he hasn't been playing everyday.
#5 Chris Valaika - SS - .176/.219/.353, 3 HR, 6 RBI (Louisville)
Talk about someone who's struggling. He had three straight two-hit games on the Bats most recent road trip, but is 0-for his last 10 right now. Also, that 17 K/2 BB ratio is ugly.
#6 Juan Francisco - 3B - .238/.264/.452, 4 HR, 14 RBI (Carolina)
He's hitting the ball hard, but not hitting it very often. And his plate discipline is terrible as well, at 22/3 K/BB.
#7 Daryl Thompson - SP - 1-1, 9.31 ERA, 1 K, 2 BB (Louisville)
He only has two starts due to injury. One was decent, the other atrocious.
#8 Kyle Lotzkar - SP
Kyle is still in extended spring training, after a solid half season at Dayton last year. Not sure if that's due to injury, but hopefully we see him back in Dayton soon.
#9 Chris Dickerson - OF - .205/.321/.341, 1 HR, 5 RBI (Cincinnati)
No longer a prospect, rookie OF Dickerson is struggling in Cincinnati right now. He's lost fights with the outfield wall on multiple occasions, and got beat by a revolving door as well.
#10 Josh Roenicke - RP 0-0, 2 SV, 3.61 ERA, 7 G, 7.1 IP, 12 K, 0 BB (Louisville)
Roenicke hasn't pitched much, but he's been effective in 4 of his 7 outings. He's keeping his control in check, still without a walk so far, but is giving up a lot of hits as well.
#11 Devin Mesoraco - C - .154/.279/.250, 1 HR, 4 RBI (Sarasota)
I'd take a few days of 1-for-4 from Mezzy at this point. In fact, he's gone just that in 5 of his last 10 games. Hopefully this will help him get back on track.
#12 Danny Dorn - OF - .207/.250/.293, 1 HR, 4 RBI (Louisville)
What was touted as a sleeper coming into this season has been anything but so far. He deserved an invite to spring training and didn't get one, maybe that's affecting him a little bit.
#13 Yorman Rodriguez - OF
In extended ST right now, will probably start in the GCL.
#14 Zach Stewart - RP - 0-0, 2.89 ERA, 19 K, 5 BB (Sarasota)
We can't be too disappointed with the season Z-Stew has put in so far. In 4 starts, he hasn't gone deep into a ballgame yet (only deep enough to win twice), but isn't giving up many runs either.
#15 Juan Duran - OF
Same as Rodriguez, probably headed to the GCL.

5 Top Hitters

Adam Rosales (Louisville) - .431/.479/.754, 1.233 OPS
Chris Heisey (Carolina) - .353/.407/.474, 1.110 OPS
Wes Bankston (Louisville) - .316/.371/.684, 1.055 OPS
Kevin Barker (Louisville) - .283/.397/.609, 1.005 OPS
Kevin Coddington (Dayton) - .389/.421/.500, .921 OPS

5 Top Pitchers (min 10 IP)

Enerio Del Rosario (Sarasota) 1-1, 0.69 ERA, 10 K, 3 BB
Travis Wood (Carolina) - 0-3, 0.83 ERA, 12 K, 13 BB
Logan Ondrusek (Sarasota) 1-0, 1.23 ERA, 10 K, 6 BB
Jeremy Horst (Sarasota) 0-2, 1.64 ERA, 14 K, 6 BB
Carlos Fisher (Louisville) 2-0, 1.80 ERA, 12 K, 1 BB

10 More Prospects to Watch

This list is a list of players who having solid seasons so far, and could break out and make some waves on prospect lists this season:

Logan Parker (1B, Carolina) - .286/.365/.476, 2 HR, 11 RBI
Zach Cozart (SS, Carolina) - .329/.407/.474, 1 HR, 13 RBI
Alex Buchholz (SS, Sarasota) - .268/.346/.408, 1 HR, 9 RBI
Jacob Kahaulelio (2B, Sarasota) - .276/.462/.448, 0 HR, 0 RBI
Tony Brown (OF, Dayton) - .300/.462/.450, 1 HR, 4 RBI
Pedro Viola (LHRP, Louisvile) - 1-0, 1.23 ERA, 7 K, 4 BB
Alexander Smit (LHRP, Carolina) - 0-0, 1.00 ERA, 10 K, 8 BB
Philippe-Alexandre Valiquette (LHRP, Sarasota) - 1-0, 1.04 ERA, 9 K, 3 BB
Lance Janke (RHRP, Dayton) - 0-1, 1.93, 13 K, 2 BB
Matt Fairel (LHSP, Dayton) 1-1, 2.61 ERA, 24 K, 8 BB

Lastly, a brief Farmers Only from last night. Louisville was off, Carolina lost 8-4, Sarasota lost 8-6, and Dayton won again, 2-1. Today, Louisville plays Buffalo at 6:05, with Matt Maloney starting, Dallas Buck leads Carolina against Chattanooga at 7:15, Matt Klinker takes on St. Lucie for Sarasota at 7, and Leonardo Astorga is scheduled to start for the Dragons at 7:30.

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Comments

Yep

Kyle Lotzkar is in extended spring training because he was going through a ‘dead arm’ period mid spring. He is pitching again and I would expect him in Dayton before the end of May.

With Zack Stewart, he is only being used as a starter to get him more chances to develop his offspeed stuff. The Reds still view him as a reliever.

www.redsminorleagues.com
www.MinorLeagueNotebook.com

by dougdirt on Apr 30, 2009 1:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

nice work BK

Bloop

by justin007000 on Apr 30, 2009 2:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

A lot of the RR Top 15 propsects' numbers are scary

Scary bad, not scary good.

It’s still early so here’s hoping for a quick turnaround.

I don't need a hot breakfast to have a good time.

by 3 Fast 3 Furious on Apr 30, 2009 2:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

its disappointing

Soto and Francisco seem to have no plate discipline.
Cozart development would be huge for an organization with no other SS prospects.
How does he rate defensively?
Heisley seems to be developing power at 24- a move to AAA this year with a roster shot next year?
If Bailey stays on the right track- this organization will have pretty good pitching depth with every starter on the Reds controlled through 2011- Walt should have alot of trading chips in the future.

by davidmac84 on Apr 30, 2009 2:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Cozart is reputedly a plus glove at SS.

His problem is the doubt about his bat. Word is he could be an everyday shortstop in the big leagues today if he could actually hit.

"It seems like we're not hitting because we're not getting hits." - Dusty being Dusty

by Slyde on Apr 30, 2009 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Francisco definitely has no plate discipline

Soto hasn’t really needed any yet, since he was a 19 year old destroying low A pitching last year.
Now as a 20 year old in high-A in a pitcher’s league, this year will be big to see if he can develop some patience. If he can he could be the Reds next best prospect after Alonso, but probably not until then.

Isn't there a slanket somewhere you should be filling with your farts?

by nycredsfan on Apr 30, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Wonder why Norris Hopper is getting more P/T than

Stubbs? Maybe Stubbs has a minor injury?

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Apr 30, 2009 3:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

I think something wrong with his thumb

by Dave from Louisville on Apr 30, 2009 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

No LeCure bobblehead

Edinson Volquez won the Fan’s Choice bobblehead voting.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Apr 30, 2009 4:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Well, I guess he deserves it...

Let me write out a formal proof for you.

by Gray on Apr 30, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

yeah

After how the Wagon pitched last night, even Mrs. LeCure can’t be too upset.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Apr 30, 2009 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Shit I was hoping for a Dick Pole bobblehead

It would have been fun to take them out back and line a bunch of them up on the fence and get the old 12 guage out and do a little target practice…don’t want to that with the WAGON.

On the other hand Dick’s already had his share of shots in the face…

Pole’s career was nearly ended by an injury during a game against the Orioles on June 30, 1975, when a line drive by Tony Muser struck him in the face. The ball had been hit so hard that it bounced into foul territory near third base, scoring two runs on the play. Pole sustained a broken jaw and damage to the retina of his right eye. The damaged eye never fully recovered, and he ultimately lost 90 percent of the vision in that eye. Dick’s pitching career never recovered.

So lets see how about an a Clownboy and tHom double bobblehead…

I want to be there when a trailer full of coffins slams into a an ambulance full of terminally ill Bolivians. Or when the Reds win a WS..whichever comes first....

by Madville on Apr 30, 2009 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

So he's basically one-eyed?

by ken on Apr 30, 2009 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Well, those top-15 numbers suck.

I’m kinda skeptical/bummed right now, I was hoping that Dorn would be hitting the cover off the ball at this point and Stubbs would be making a case for coming up too. I’d like to see Dickerson get anxious about his role or something, but now there’s noone to take his place.

Pretty meh stats, but an A report. Thanks BK

Ali Boombaye

by Cy Schourek on Apr 30, 2009 6:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

How is Heisey's defense?

If it’s good, I think he could pass Stubbs in the rankings.

And is Bankston getting any serious consideration as a replacement for our left field miseries? What kind of glove does he have?

Reds fan for 40 years!

by gejoe on Apr 30, 2009 10:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Bankston is pretty much a AAAA guy

i think he might be adequate in a platoon sitch, but he’s not on the 40-man roster. and i dont see anyone i’d feel comfortable kicking off for him.

Consider the Eskimos.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Apr 30, 2009 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Heisey has been above average defensively in the outfield

But by most accounts, Stubbs is the best defensive CF in the system, and if he starts hitting, he’s the guy.

Bankston came in as a 1B and started playing OF in spring training this year. And as Scrabbles said, he’s a AAAA guy. I wouldn’t be opposed to seeing him up here while his bat is hot, but he shouldn’t be considered a solution to anything.

"I can eat mayonnaise with a spoon." - Jeff Brantley

by BK on Apr 30, 2009 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs