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CARDINALS PREVIEW- 2009

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Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The arch overlooks the field making for one of the greatest views in sports. Unfortunately for Cardinal fans, a nice view might be about all they have to look forward to this year if the starting rotation continues to be plagued by injuries.

Star-divide

Notes Of Interest on the Team:

HISTORICAL:

The team was established in 1900.

6 Central Division Titles.

17 NL Pennants

10 World Championships, the most recent being their 2006 victory over the Detroit Tigers


2009 NOTES OF INTEREST:

Manager-Tony LaRussa

General Manager- John Mozelia

Notable Prospects- Colby Rasmus, Brett Wallace, Chris Perez.

2008 Record: 86-76

2008 Record vs. Reds: 10-5

 

Former Reds on the team:

Ryan Franklin, Kyle Lohse, Jason LaRue.

 

BREAKDOWN BY POSITION:

(Note- projections are based by averaging different projection systems)

Starting Pitching-

2009 Projected Rotation:

1. Chris Carpenter

2. Adam Wainwright

3. Kyle Lohse

4. Todd Wellemeyer

5. Joel Piniero

 

The strength of the Cardinals rotation depends almost solely on the health and performance of Carpenter. In his most recent outing, Carpenter threw 48 pitches. If Carpenter is not able to stay healthy, the Cardinals have a few options waiting in the wings in 25-year old Mitchell Boggs and 24-year old Kyle McClellan or Anthony Reyes, who was demoted during last season after several struggles. Wainwright and Lohse will also play key parts in the rotation. If the two can emulate the seasons they had last year (combining for a record of 26-9), the Cardinals may be able to get away without needing to use Carpenter as a starter and possibly delegating him to a relief role.

 

Relief Pitching-

Last year, the Cardinals bullpen led the major leagues in losses as well as blown saves- in case you didn't know... that's not good.

The role of closer has has still not been announced for the Cardinals yet. As of now, there are four major candidates for the role, which may or may not be closer by committee by the time the season starts. The candidates are as follows:

Chris Perez- A 23-year old right-hander who had 7 saves last year with an ERA of 3.46. His strikeout to walk ration is nearly 2:1, and he is the current favorite for the job. His inexperience is the biggest negative the Cardinals have.

Jason Motte- Motte has had even less experience, but allowed only one earned run over 12 outings last year, and has posted numbers comparable to those of Perez.

Josh Kinney or Ryan Franklin- Even if either of these guys gets the job out of Spring Training, I can't see them keeping it throughout the whole year. Franklin closed for a good portion of last year and was only 17-25 in save chances, while Kinney has missed much of the past two seasons and has undergone reconstructive elbow surgery. Ultimately, I think Perez will get the job.

First Base-

Duh... Baseball's best playing here. Albert Pujols hit 37 HR last year, driving in 122 RBI and hitting .357 on his way to winning his 2nd MVP. The "28" year old first baseman is projected to hit 37 HR again this year and hit .330, while driving in 114 runs. The biggest question for Pujols will be health. He struggled with an oblique injury last year at times, and a prolonged injury to Pujols, who made almost $14 million last year, would deal a huge blow to the Cardinals offense and defensive.

Second Base-

As of now, this is probably the biggest question for the Cardinals. The Cardinals seem desperate. They've even gone so far as to try out longtime outfielder Skip Schumaker at the position.  As of now the job is pretty open. Between Schumaker, veteran infielder Joe Thurston, and Brendan Ryan, a platoon will probably be set up. The best possibility I can see for the Cards is to use a platoon between the left-handed hitting Schumaker and the right hander Ryan. However, depending on how he continues to perform, Thurston may platoon with Ryan. Ryan is the only one I can really feel safe saying that he'll get some playing time at second.

 

Third Base-

Troy Glaus will still probably be out until mid-April after undergoing shoulder surgery,  Joe Mather seems to be the man for the job. Third Base prospects David Freese and Brett Wallace have both been reassigned to their respective minor league camps leaving the job open for Mather- at least until Glaus returns. Mather is 25 and has played in only 54 games- all last year. In 133 AB, he hit .241 with 8 HR and 18 RBI. Mather has the ability to play several positions, and this distinction as a utility player could help to keep him on the roster after Glaus' return.

 

Shortstop-

Khalil Greene looks to be the front runner for shortstop right now. Last year, Greene appeared in 105 games for the Padres posting a .260 average and hitting only 10 HR- a significant drop from his 2007 total of 27 long balls. Other possibilities include prospect Tyler Greene and 2007 acquisition Brian Barden.

Catcher-

Yadier Molina is still the clear front runner here. Molina's offensive production has been increasing the last couple of years and he managed to hit .304 last year in 124 games. Last year Molina won the NL Gold Glove and is generally renowned for his strong arm and good glove. As of now, his backup looks to be former Red Jason LaRue. LaRue has played in both Kansas City and St. Louis since parting ways with the Reds after 2006 and appeared in 61 games for the Cardinals last year.

 

Outfield-

The outfield is pretty well set for the Cardinals. All-Star Ryan Ludwick will play right, Failed pitcher turned outfield strongarm Rick Ankiel will take center and Dave Duncan's son Chris will play left. The odd man out in this situation seems to be the Cardinals top prospect Colby Rasmus. Rasmus will probably be the team's 4th outfielder and in the case that Ludwick can't match his sudden increase in power and talent from last year, we could see him playing right field or see Ankiel moved to right and Rasmus put in center before too long. Scott Schumaker who may be played at second base can also play outfield for the team.

 

 

Team Strengths-

Starting Pitching

Outfield

 

Weaknesses-

Infield (Minus Pujols)

Bullpen

 

My projections for 2009-

I can't see the Cardinals beating out the Cubs or the Brewers with the troubles we should see from the bullpen and the holes we see in the infield. The Cardinals, Astros, and who knows... maybe the Reds should battle for third place throughout the season.

 

 

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Carpenter's remaining $

09:$14M, 10:$14.5M, 11:$15M, 12:$15M club option ($1M buyout)

Not Jocketty’s finest move. This was signed after the ‘06 season, while Carpenter was still had two years under his old contract. Jocketty ripped that up, gave him raises on those remaining two years, and guaranteed him an extra three years. Carpenter’s pitched 21 innings since.

by ken on Mar 13, 2009 9:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not bad, kiddo

Color me impressed.

I’d love to see Ryan Franklin as the Cards closer. Puh puh puh lease make it so!

"Hey! Look at the kid in the sombrero!"

by obc2 on Mar 13, 2009 9:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

great work crolfer

one little thing – Anthony Reyes was traded to the Indians last July. other than that, the hits just keep comin’ fellas. im loving this stuff.

My millions are unconventional!

by Charlie Scrabbles on Mar 13, 2009 9:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Well... Reyes could always come back...

Like a bad… something…

Baseball America threw me off with that… I must’ve been looking at an old page… He was listed in the rotation for 2012 projections… That’s last years I guess.

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 13, 2009 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Now that is funny!

Made from 100% recycled awesome,

by chandrathan on Mar 13, 2009 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope I'm still alive when you get old

young skallyWags

Why is obc so mean to me when I offer an introduction to a beautiful 25 year old Red's Cheerleader.

by Madville on Mar 14, 2009 1:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

obc and everyone else provided templates without even knowing it!

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 13, 2009 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a knock on you, crolfer

I directly addressed OBC in the FanPost above regarding the Top 10 HOF’ers, and mistakenly referred to him as crolfer. So, I did the opposite here.

Honestly, though, nice preview. I wonder why Brett Wallace isn’t getting a fair shot at the 3B job to start the season? Only 6 Spring AB’s for a guy with that kind of track record at AA? I’d assume it’s service time, but the Cards would have an obvious excuse to send him back down once Glaus is healthy, so they could definitely keep him away from Super-2 eligibility. I highly doubt it’s a question of options, since he’s already mashed at AA, and still has all 3 options. Mather’s nothing special, nor is Freese.

"Karma - there it was. The meaning of life, straight from Carson Daly's lips to my morphine-laced ears." -Earl Hickey

by BLee2525 on Mar 13, 2009 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it really makes no sense.

You’d think they’d try and get some kind of idea as to what kind of player their second ranked prospect can be against major league teams. It’d be pretty low risk with Glaus out.

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 13, 2009 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey...

I was talking to a Cardinals friend of mine… he said there were clubhouse issues. He was demanding playing time and junk apparently.

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 14, 2009 12:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

... Cardinals fan...

I don’t actually know any of the Cardinals…

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 14, 2009 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

my grandfather is kind of a cardinals fan

white sox’s are his first love, but he spent a number of years working in St. Louis, before being run out of town for trying to convince the city of St. Louis to build sewers to the Black part of town.

"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions!"- Dr. Stephen T. Colbert DFA.

by justin007000 on Mar 14, 2009 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh

I thought it was a reference to this at first.

"How big IS your magic wand?"

by Slyde on Mar 13, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There's some doubt as to whether Wallace can stick at 3B

Some scouts don’t think he should play third because of his thick lower half, though from what I’ve read he plays 3B well enough.

by ken on Mar 14, 2009 9:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wow, it looks like he's smuggling Christmas hams

...because there's already someone posing as Jacob Brumfield

by Cy Schourek on Mar 14, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great Job Crolfs

There’s a river front in St. Louis too…why don’t we sell them our fucking GABP steamboat or better yet trade it for Dave Duncan

Why is obc so mean to me when I offer an introduction to a beautiful 25 year old Red's Cheerleader.

by Madville on Mar 13, 2009 11:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

sounds like a deal to me.

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 13, 2009 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

three things

1) I keep on forgetting how amazing Pujols is. I saw that JoePo compared him to Frank Thomas, in which case there would still be 4 more years before our long national nightmare is over. Yipes.

2) The Cards always seem very willing to move players around the diamond. The Reds don’t. I’m not saying, I’m just saying.

3) Khalil Greene will find a way to piss off RedReporter this year in some obscenely unjust way. That’s my Bold Prediction.

...because there's already someone posing as Jacob Brumfield

by Cy Schourek on Mar 14, 2009 9:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

"28"

C’mon .. When he was sworn in as an American citizen he had to go through a complete background check and his birthdate was confirmed. Get off it! Try reading the article on him in SI ..

by TNredhead on Mar 14, 2009 11:39 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

don't get too upset

we all respect Pujols immensely, but he’s on the opposing team, we’re allowed to hate on him some, no?

"How big IS your magic wand?"

by Slyde on Mar 14, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah. Act your age, TN.

"I accidently put the night light in the washing machine."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Mar 14, 2009 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just to play devil's advocate...

The guy makes millions of dollars. How tough would it honestly be for him to have someone forge a birth certificate. And believe it or not, I did read the article on him in SI.

Guess some people can’t take a joke… If it is a joke…

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 15, 2009 12:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cards

Don’t count the Cardinals out with Pujols still on the team. He has a way of destroying the Reds. Nice view but the lighting seems to make the field look rather dark.

by Redsfanx on Mar 14, 2009 1:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i always hated puljols

and i don’t know why.

"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions!"- Dr. Stephen T. Colbert DFA.

by justin007000 on Mar 14, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've always hated him, but I have too many reasons to list.

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Mar 15, 2009 12:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pujols can blow me

Why is obc so mean to me when I offer an introduction to a beautiful 25 year old Red's Cheerleader.

by Madville on Mar 14, 2009 6:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

but who's bringing you the steak?

Made from 100% recycled awesome,

by chandrathan on Mar 14, 2009 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Player stats vs specific teams

Where do I go to find individual player stats against the Reds? Thanks.

by Snake the Jake on Mar 14, 2009 8:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

baseball-reference

has everything. Pujols has a 1.119 OPS against the Reds.

My millions are unconventional!

by Charlie Scrabbles on Mar 14, 2009 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

it would probably help if i told you how to get there

from a specific player’s page, just click on the link for “splits”. then you can scroll down to their numbers against each team.

My millions are unconventional!

by Charlie Scrabbles on Mar 14, 2009 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

which is not too bad

considering that he has a 1.049 career OPS (!!!!), and the Reds pitching over the last 8 years hasn’t been exactly stellar. And others got it worse: with teams he has at least 200 PAs against, there Dodgers, Braves, Pit, and a couple others with even higher OPS.

Dude is a monster.

by bbjones on Mar 15, 2009 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thanks

i was close but not hitting the right links

by Snake the Jake on Mar 14, 2009 11:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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