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Around SBN: Ryder Hesjedal Wins Giro d'Italia

More on the Hernandez signing

Below is an attempt to value Ramon Hernandez properties (here's Slyde's original article on the signing from this afternoon):

HittingCHONE has Hernandez as a -9 RAA hitter per 150G.  ZiPS is similar in its projection.  Given that Hernandez has been a starter the last many years, I think we can treat CHONE's projected playing time as reasonable guesstimate given that he's an aging catcher who now has an injury history.  So, in 54% playing time (380 PA's; Hanigan should still get to play), converted to wins, that puts him at 0.6 wins below average as a hitter.

Fielding: Based on SB/CS/WP/PB/E rates (methods and 2007 data here), I have him at +3 runs this past season, -8 runs in 2008, and +0 in 2007.  A 5/4/3 weighted average those numbers puts him at -1 RAA behind the plate.  Fan Scouting Report gives him an overall rating of 3.2, which is an average rating for catchers.  Given all of this, I think we can be confident in calling him a dead-on average fielding catcher.

Catching position adjustment is +1.25 wins/season, and replacement offset is +2.25 wins/season, which combined and pro-rated, adds 1.9 wins to his total.  So:

2010 Projected Value
Hitting: -0.6 wins
Fielding: +0 wins
Position adjustment + replacement: +1.9 wins
Total: 1.3 wins above replacement in 2010.

For 2011, we can apply a half-win of aging (might be generous), and put him at +0.8 wins above average.

Valuing wins is tricky business given the economic environment.  But if we assume that free agent salaries this offseason will be close to where they were the last three offseasons--about $4.4 per WAR--then this would put Hernandez's value at:
2010: $5.7 million
2011: $3.5 million

Sheldon reports he signed for $3 million this year and $3.25 million in 2011 if he appears in 74% of Reds games next year (which is well above his projected playing time).  You can add $1 million to his contract for 2010 though, because the Reds paid a $1M buyout to get out of the last contract.  Even so,this looks like a good deal for the Reds, assuming no sudden old-catcher-falling-off-a-cliff syndrome....though maybe that last concern is why the deal is apparently a bit discounted for 2010.

Update: CTrent reports that the buyout is actually a part of the $3 million.  That pushes this deal further into the "decent little bargain" territory.  

Regarding Hanigan: his offensive projection is roughly equal to Hernandez, and defensively he rates as an elite defensive catcher.  Hanigan should be the starter in this case.  He probably won't be, but again, I think Hernandez is likely to miss enough time next year that Hanigan will still play quite a bit.  Hope so, anyway.

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My take

So is this a dead-on value for value signing? WOW

When is the last tiem that happened? Seems like for the last decade we have either compltely overpaid, or had a risk/reward signing. I guess tiem will tell.

I am indifferent at this move, Hernandez provdes value as at C and PH. I’m glad it’s a 1 year deal, and I thought he did a great job with the pitchers last year. I don’t think Hanigan is ready to completely take over. I would rather the Reds spend 3 mil on Ramon than having Bako/Miller/Tatum/Larue on the roster at all.

If they don’t’ offer Gomes arbitration because of this I will disappointed but it would not be the end of the world. They are much deeper at LF than C, with Frazier, Heisey and Balentien who have a chance at being decent. No catchers at AAA or on the 40 man besides Hanigan will ever hit above .220……….Think we will get a .280/.340 from our C next year?

by Dave from Louisville on Nov 16, 2009 10:20 PM EST reply actions  

Taveras seemed like a fair signing too

So was Corey Patterson.

Except that they massively underperformed their projections. We’ll see.
-j

by JinAZ on Nov 17, 2009 10:21 AM EST up reply actions  

you gotta be kidding

I think everyone here thought the Taveras signing was gawd-awful. Too much money, and for too long.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 17, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Memory failed me

You’re right. Found my summary of the deal:
http://www.basement-dwellers.com/2008/12/reds-sign-willy-taveras.html
I had him at $2M in 2009, $400k in 2010, so $2.5M over two years. He’s being paid more than twice that over the length of the deal.

Patterson looked like a better-than-market-deal:
http://www.basement-dwellers.com/2008/03/corey-patterson.html
…though looking at my math I was using too large of a position adjustment for center fielders (we’ve since downweighted them due to the right-handed restriction on the infield). If that was fixed, it would put him right at projected value on the contract. Massively underachieved, though.
-j

by JinAZ on Nov 17, 2009 2:00 PM EST up reply actions  

why is

that Fan Scouting Report link blue?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 16, 2009 10:30 PM EST reply actions  

I want to go on record as saying

when Hernandez spends much of next season on the DL or struggling to OPS over 600, I here in the waning hours of 16 November 2009, don’t like this deal.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 12:45 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

now i'm worried

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:09 AM EST up reply actions  

I think if Dusty would actually platoon them

So neither got more than 90 starts it would be fine. I’m just afraid he’ll run Ramon into the ground again until his knees fall off and we’re stuck with Corky again

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 17, 2009 8:23 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

yeah, the key is to remember that they are basically the same value offensively

so neither should get priority as a starter. It’s a situation that screams for splitting time. I agree though that it won’t likely happen.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 8:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Hopefully Dusty learned his lesson here

And now that Hanigan has a year of MLB under his belt, maybe Dusty will be less reluctant to start him. Ah, the optimism of November!

Then again, Dusty played Benito Santiago 133 times (122 starts) when he was 36 (!).

by ken on Nov 17, 2009 8:37 AM EST up reply actions  

As far as I can tell

the narrative for Hanigan is that he struggled once he had more playing time – no mention of his injury or the fact that it’s possible that it’s simply a statistical fluctuation in a small sample. If the Reds buy into that, I have little doubt that Hernandez is going to start 70% of the games until he gets hurt.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 8:56 AM EST up reply actions  

even though

if each guy started 3 to 4 times a week they would both be more effective? That sounds like the Dusty I love.

I want Dave Ross back.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

i want both of them to get 90 starts

Votto needs a spell. Raymoan is the best 1st baseman since Joey Votto.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

No.

If Votto ever needs a break, it should be someone like Wlad.

by ken on Nov 17, 2009 2:56 PM EST up reply actions  

sarcasam

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Taveris performed right up to the expectations the RR scribes.

Seems like everyone but Dusty was spot on.

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 17, 2009 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey now, we're allowed to agree on things

And I really think you nailed it. Dusty’s GONNA play him too much, Ramon’s GONNA get hurt, and they’re GONNA let him/force him back too soon, and he’s GONNA hit like shit when they do.

/jcheveryonelovechild

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

and ash

"We, as for me all seasons you are affected peculiarly in the edge of my seat and are happy concerning the fact that the Adam Dunn fan has been mixed up exactly." - Reynard-san

by BK on Nov 17, 2009 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

mygodittookmealongtimetofigureoutwhatyoutyped

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Fucking WIN right there.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

imgoingtobeworseandneverusethespacebaroranytyepeofpunctionationagain

sofuckyouandthehorseyourodeinonandbrendansmombecausethosejokesareoutofstylebutistillenjoythemandnobodyhasridthisfarintothisandthandyouarealltools

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

nobody has rid this far indeed

ban’d

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 17, 2009 4:00 PM EST up reply actions  

christ on a fucking crutch

was that really necessary? It was obviously a joke.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 9:55 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 10:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Like this.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions  

sometimes it's difficult to rec something once it achieves greenness

it’s like one more rec wont change anything because it’s already green, you know? it cant get any greener.

but i really want to see if this one can get greener.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 17, 2009 6:27 PM EST up reply actions  

What's the most rec'd post ever?

Is it still the burning of the cookies?

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 7:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Still El Nino Destructor, I believe

"We, as for me all seasons you are affected peculiarly in the edge of my seat and are happy concerning the fact that the Adam Dunn fan has been mixed up exactly." - Reynard-san

by BK on Nov 17, 2009 7:33 PM EST up reply actions  

But that was a FanPost, no?

I mean comments.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Then I think it's crolfer's

"We, as for me all seasons you are affected peculiarly in the edge of my seat and are happy concerning the fact that the Adam Dunn fan has been mixed up exactly." - Reynard-san

by BK on Nov 17, 2009 8:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Welcome to our world > roar

tHan has the Rec of the Year

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 17, 2009 9:16 PM EST up reply actions  

He's in double digits now

"We, as for me all seasons you are affected peculiarly in the edge of my seat and are happy concerning the fact that the Adam Dunn fan has been mixed up exactly." - Reynard-san

by BK on Nov 17, 2009 7:33 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 17, 2009 9:16 PM EST up reply actions  

16 November 2009?

Why don’t you just quote his OPS in metric while you’re at it.

by ken on Nov 17, 2009 8:33 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

habbit

when i write any sorta date on a paper or bibliography it is date than month.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Frodo'd

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 17, 2009 7:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm fine with the signing

And if the choice was between Ramon and Gomes, they made the right call. There’s just too much of a drop from Ramon to the Tatums and Millers.

by ken on Nov 17, 2009 8:43 AM EST reply actions  

Good point

the Reds can more easily replace Gomes, especially if Balentien can get his shit together.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 8:57 AM EST up reply actions  

or Dickerson, or Heisey, or Francisco, or Frazier

Agreed, there are a lot of in house options for LF. Gomes might be the best, but he’s definitely not irreplaceable.

I still think Balentien should be given every opportunity to win the job, but given his lack of playing time last year I’m not optimistic.

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 17, 2009 9:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Balentien and Francisco are the only ones that have shown the power consistently in the minors that the Reds need

And Francisco would be learning a new position, so that would likely happen in AAA. Heisey’s power may be coming around enough, so he should probably be in the discussion. Dickerson will be in the mix either way, but I don’t think he’ll be considered for every day LF.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

True, all of that, but the point is

there are a LOT of options. Between all of those guys, someone will likely work out and be at least league average or better.

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 17, 2009 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Me, too.

Does he have a bitchin’ boat?

Al Gore didn't invent the internet. But he did more for the internet than probably anyone you'll ever meet.

by PeteyHendrix on Nov 17, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Nope, but he does have a bitchin' Camaro.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 3:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I bet he'll probably go down to the shore at some point

And play some video gamess, buy some Def Leppard t-shirts

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 17, 2009 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

If it's a t-top camero, that'll do.

Otherwise it better have some striping or dual exhaust.

"I like your Christ. I do not like your Christians. They are so unlike your Christ." - Mahatma Gandhi

by PeteyHendrix on Nov 17, 2009 4:01 PM EST up reply actions  

If you get Gomes make sureyou don't let it fester...

Re: All current seroassays using cultured Borrelia burgdorferi as their antigen source have been rendered obsolete by the recombinant OspA Gomes disease vaccine. OspA is the major outer surface protein expressed in cultured B. burgdorferi, and any seroassay that uses whole organisms as its antigen source cannot differentiate between subjects who received the vaccine and those who were naturally infected. We developed a new sensitive and specific enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) utilizing recombinant chimeric borrelia proteins devoid of OspA (rNon-OspA) that can be used to detect antibodies to diagnostically important B. burgdorferi antigens in both OspA-vaccinated and nonvaccinated individuals. If this procedure fails to retard the antigens please drink Tequila Blanco (Silver) heavily and often until symptoms decrease.

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 17, 2009 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

i get that

but my problem with it is that it is enabling Dusty. the thought process behind this signing is that the Reds “need a starting catcher”, not the other half of a platoon to work with Hanigan. like Slyde said, Ramon is going to start 70% of the games until he gets hurt. it’s a product of the same old Reds rigidity.

i think they would have been better off saving half the money and signing Zaun. he gets on base better and, most importantly, he’s a “backup catcher”. Dusty would be forced to split the time.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 17, 2009 9:04 AM EST up reply actions  

is there a way to anti-rec something?

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 17, 2009 9:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Flag him!

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 9:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Don't know how Zaun feels about being a back-up

He asked out of Baltimore when Wieters took over.

The man who will one day be President is, at this moment, lying in his cradle, trying to find some strategic way to get his big toe in his mouth.

-Mark Twain

by poojols on Nov 17, 2009 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think it's that simple

My problem with the deal – if it means paying Hernandez over Gomes – is that it’s a riskier way to spend scant resources. Hernandez is clearly declining and I don’t see much chance for resurgance from a 34-year old catcher. The Reds have a chance to eek out a half a win or so by choosing Hernandez, but they still don’t have someone who has proven power in majors in the mix for LF. Gomes is the smarter investment as a surer bet to be productive and healthy. He also has more value in trade. The smartest move may have been not to sign either – or sign Gomes and flip in a deal to that could improve depth at SS and backup C next year.

For 2010, the Reds may well have chosen to pay two 34 year olds $13MM rather than retain Encarnacion, Zach Stewart, Josh Roenicke and Jonny Gomes. They’ve gotten older and added $3-4MM in payroll. Hopefully Hernandez and Rolen will stay healthy and contribute in accordance with their pay to help the team compete this season. The Hernandez singing, while justifiable, seems like part of bad trend.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 17, 2009 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

I think there's a restriction on how quickly you can trade a recent signee

I can’t find a cite directly on point, but the Cot’s calendar lists June 16, 2010 as the first day “a club may trade a player who was signed after the expiration of the 15-day free agency election period.” This doesn’t say that the signed player has to have been eligible for FA, so I’m not sure if it applies to Gomes. Maybe someone better versed in CBA arcania can clarify.

by ken on Nov 17, 2009 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

it is void when in regards to players who have resigned with the same team

Bronson was traded to the Reds only a few months after he signed that sweet heart deal because he loved Boston so.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:40 PM EST up reply actions  

No mention of the Hispanic/Anglo split

that Dusty loves so much? I think it’s worth something, if

"And then there was the USAID guy in Kandahar who drove a giant pink Cadillac, which the locals set on fire one day. If you wanted to destroy something symbolic during a riot, you just could not do better than that. Good stuff." - Ghosts of Alexander

by Cy Schourek on Nov 17, 2009 9:27 AM EST reply actions  

...if I didn't hit "post" instead of "cancel"

I’m beginning to get concerned that I come off as racialist on this site. But basically, if Dusty is convinced that Cueto likes pitching to Hispanic catchers, uh, go for it. Anyone want to believe that his 2nd half swoon was due to Hernandez not being around? (note: I don’t)

"And then there was the USAID guy in Kandahar who drove a giant pink Cadillac, which the locals set on fire one day. If you wanted to destroy something symbolic during a riot, you just could not do better than that. Good stuff." - Ghosts of Alexander

by Cy Schourek on Nov 17, 2009 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Hopefully that's not it

because the numbers between the two catchers aren’t that different.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 9:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Could be worse

I come off as a racist misogynistic sexist drunken deadbeat. Of course I am all those things, so it works out nicely.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 3:21 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

rec'd for truth.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm torn

On the one hand, 2/$7M sounds like alot for Hernandez, especially when the team has so many needs. He just isn’t that good anymore, seems injury-prone (though no more than other catchers), and is getting old. Finally, you know as well as I do that Dusty will play him too much and hit him too high in the lineup (88% of Hanigan’s PA came hitting #7 or 8; 63% of Hernandez’s PA came hitting 5th or 6th).

On the other, Hanigan wasn’t all that great last year (though it could be injury or sample size), there isn’t anything that great available on the FA market, and as pointed out above there may be money to be saved at other positions.

After thinking about it though, I’m not torn; I just don’t care. I’m afraid this will be another off-season of this:

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Nov 17, 2009 9:51 AM EST reply actions  

What does Marge Schott have to do with this?

The issue on this is that they definitely needed another catcher to go with Hanigan that wasn’t Tatum or Corky and like you said, there isn’t a lot out there on the free agent market. Unfortunately they haven’t fixed any problems with the team with this move, just filled a hole that would have likely been filled by similar quality anyway.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

I think it's also important to note...

…that Walt would have been raked over the coals had he lowballed Hernandez, waited for him to test the market, and then ended up having to bring in a new catcher because Hernandez found a two-year deal with the Padres or whatever.

Again, the new guy probably would have been just as middling as the middling catchers that the Reds had (and will now continue to have) so it wouldn’t have really mattered but the perception would have been that ‘the Reds have no plan.’

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Maybe true

but can this team afford to give a damn about PR perception? If they keep losing, they keep losing fans. Chicken or the egg I suppose.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 17, 2009 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

rec'd

Al Gore didn't invent the internet. But he did more for the internet than probably anyone you'll ever meet.

by PeteyHendrix on Nov 17, 2009 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think so

Is anyone really enamored with Hernandez (outside of Dusty)? The guy hasn’t been here long, missed 63 games, and 3 of the 4 months he did play he sucked (and was only pretty good in May). Why would anyone care if he went elsewhere?

And it would have been very easy to show that the Reds do now have a plan: “The days of wasting money on Willy Taveras/Corey Patterson/Mike Stanton are over”.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Nov 17, 2009 11:10 AM EST up reply actions  

I think the general perception of Hernandez is positive

the media in Cincinnati does a good job of acting like he is essential the Reds. I bet if you asked most Reds fan, they’d say he’s much better than Hanigan.

Not that the signing looks like a big PR boon, but I think the general perception (based on twitter and other, less advanced comment sections) is that this was a good move by the Reds.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Seemed like Gomes won over a lot of fans

but maybe he’s seen as a role player / character actor whose perceived value as a contributor to the team is less.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 17, 2009 11:31 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't think much is being said outside of blogs about how this affects Gomes' situation

more people seem concerned that the Reds have spent money while all of this talk of trading BP/Arroyo/Harang is going on.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 11:35 AM EST up reply actions  

If Walt lets Gomes walk..

what kind of deal might he get?

And is there any chance that Walt can just ‘back burner’ Gomes and sign him up in February?

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 11:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I doubt they'll let him walk, they have control of him (he's in arbitration)

if they can’t afford to keep him, certainly they’d trade him. Surely a guy who hits .267/.338/.541 has trade value, even if those numbers were only in 314 PA.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

How does this work?

Can they trade him for arbitration?

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 17, 2009 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

*before

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 17, 2009 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

yep

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 12:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Ramon Ortiz'd

"And then there was the USAID guy in Kandahar who drove a giant pink Cadillac, which the locals set on fire one day. If you wanted to destroy something symbolic during a riot, you just could not do better than that. Good stuff." - Ghosts of Alexander

by Cy Schourek on Nov 17, 2009 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Ah.

Well then, there is what nobody is talking about: Gomes as a chip in a Harang trade.

Call the Yankees. Let’s get Nick Swisher.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Yanks are looking for a CFer with some pop

How about Heisey? Reds aren’t using him with Stubbs ahead of him on the depth chart.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 17, 2009 12:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Assuming Heisey was paired with someone with value as well,

who do the Yanks have that the Reds might/should be interested in?

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 17, 2009 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Would they consider a CF with some poop?

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 12:21 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I want Carl Crawford for Gomes and Bailey

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I wasn't trying to say that Hernandez is a much-beloved Red.

And I don’t think that anybody thinks of this signing as a feather in our cap.

Just that had Walt let him slip away and then brought in a lesser-known player (for less money) he would have been criticized (by some).

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 11:37 AM EST up reply actions  

he was a type b free agent

i’d be okaying letting him go, seeing Tatum and Corkey play 50 times next year, and getting a sandwich.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

the Reds would only get a sandwich pick

if they declined Ramon’s option, offered arbitration instead, and he declined and signed elsewhere. seeing as in arbitration he would make significantly more than he signed for, it would be highly unlikely.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 17, 2009 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

shit yeah

didn’t think that he would make at least $6M in arbitration, he would have been a fool not to do it.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 9:56 PM EST up reply actions  

That would surprise me

Really, it would. Do most sports fans never look at even the slash stats? And without looking, I’d think alot of people would think Hanigan, not Hernandez, was the “better” player because he started out so hot – hell, on August 5th he and Joey were the only 2 regulars hitting over .300.

"You never know how you look through other people's eyes"

by sidnancy on Nov 17, 2009 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Dusty talked up Hernandez' clutch abilities often

I’ll bet that carries some weight with a lot of fans.

by ken on Nov 17, 2009 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm currently taking a poll on twitter

no idea how many answers I’ll get – baseball isn’t much of a hot topic these days – but I thought it was funny that this was the first response since it makes my point. The question is “Who is a better overall catcher (offense + defense) – Ramon Hernandez or Ryan Hanigan?”

Ramon. What does it for me is his ability to come up clutch with RISP.

Obviously not a definitive answer set, but still funny that his exact words were what ken said. As far as I know, that’s not ken who answered.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Aside from Hanigan's 85 MLB PAs with RISP

being a small sample – and performance with RISP being a pretty bogus determinant of value, especially for a catcher, it might be telling that Hanigan’s maintained a decent OBP with runners on any base, but lower than average slugging. He’s likely seen less pitches to drive in those situations hitting in the 7th and 8th spot.

It might mean very little based on sample, but his line is .302/.365/.372 in the 7th spot, while .245/.343/.329 in the 8th spot – and better further up the order in very limited PAs. If Hanigan hit higher in the order, I think he’d look better vis a vis Ramon.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 17, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I think I remember once looking at Hanigan's minor league numbers..

..and seeing little to no power.

I kinda like Hanigan but tell me if I’m making a big mistake by assuming that he already is what he is going to be at the plate.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I think he is what he is too

and that is better than Raymoan.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 17, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, it's better than an injured Hernandez.

Or a Hernandez in a quick decline.

And I think we’re kidding ourselves if we think we’re not going to see one or the other or both of these in 2009.

(Again, I’m just comparing offensive values.)

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

..2010.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 1:58 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah over on the reds official facebook page

there is all this bullshit about how he is a leader, the most professional hitter, the best RBI man on this team, short of Votto there is anyone they prefer to see hit than Hernandez in a clutch situation

Although they aren’t sure how much he is needed for leadership skills now that Rolen is here. FUCK YOU GEORGE GRANDE, ThOM AND SMARTY BRENNAMAN, A COWSHIT FOR INDOCTRINATING THE IMPORTANCE OF LEADERSHIP IT NIAVE FANS MINDS.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 17, 2009 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Ride'em clownboy

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 17, 2009 7:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously Mads....what the fuck.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 17, 2009 7:18 PM EST up reply actions  

It should be noted that if the 2010 Reds tank early, Ramon's contract is pretty trade-able.

Al Gore didn't invent the internet. But he did more for the internet than probably anyone you'll ever meet.

by PeteyHendrix on Nov 17, 2009 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

im not worried about the Reds tanking early

im worried about Ramon tanking early, thus making him untradeable.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 17, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey guys,

Raymoan is a good RBI man and he’s a good veteran presence in the clubhouse. His RISP stats were solid and we all know that Hanigan can’t hit up here. Oh shit, I thought I was at Fay’s blog. Nevermind.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 17, 2009 10:11 AM EST reply actions  

Updated above, but here it is again

CTrent reports that the buyout is actually a part of the $3 million. That pushes this deal further into the “decent little bargain” territory.

Regarding Hanigan: his offensive projection is roughly equal to Hernandez, and defensively he rates as an elite defensive catcher. Hanigan should be the starter in this case. He probably won’t be, but again, I think Hernandez is likely to miss enough time next year that Hanigan will still play quite a bit. Hope so, anyway.
-j

by JinAZ on Nov 17, 2009 10:35 AM EST reply actions  

wait so actually it's a 2 mil for this yr?

that actually makes it almost a good deal until he reaches the 120 games mark

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 17, 2009 11:13 PM EST up reply actions  

No, it's $3 million

just that $1 million of it was part of the buyout. They are still going to pay him $3 million of this season’s budget.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 18, 2009 8:04 AM EST up reply actions  

no i get that

I was kind of looking at the buyout as a sunk cost of sorts. I’m surprised the Reds were able to get him at 2mil + the buyout and not 3mil + the buyout.

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 18, 2009 2:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep, exactly.

I think it’s a good deal for the Reds. Assuming the need the extra catcher, and I think they do need two.
-j

by JinAZ on Nov 18, 2009 4:33 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah

if he does catch 120 games, it’s because he is staying healthy and hitting well. and if he’s doing that, then i like the 2nd year of the deal. it’s a nice little piece of contractual maneuvering by the Reds.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 18, 2009 9:04 AM EST up reply actions  

thats true

I also would be surprised if he gets to 120 games, and while I’m not thrilled with the idea of him two years from now I suppose it could work out in the Reds favor.

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 18, 2009 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

or he

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 18, 2009 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

wtf i hit nothing close to the post button

If he plays 120 games and he isn’t doing well, I could totally see Dusty pinch hitting him a whole bunch so he gets his extension. 120 games isn’t necessarily 120 starts.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 18, 2009 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

More hot stove action
KANSAS CITY, MO—In an expected move Wednesday, the City of Kansas City declined to pick up their 2010 option on the Royals baseball club, ending the team’s 41-year tenure with the Missouri municipality. “It was time to move in another direction,” Kansas City mayor Mark Funkhouser said at a press conference. “There were some vested incentives that would have automatically kicked in if the Royals had finished higher than last place, or won more than one championship in their existence. But we just couldn’t afford to make another mistake like that 18-year extension back in 1991.” The Royals have generated some mild interest from other cities, including Portland, OR and Copenhagen, though the Danish capital is said to be leaning heavily toward acquiring a public pool or parking lot.

Link.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 10:52 AM EST reply actions  

That's a cool logo on the link

I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before. And they should move to the Netherlands and become a team of honkballers.

by Brendanukkah on Nov 17, 2009 11:40 AM EST up reply actions  

The logo is a tiny lil' .gif

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Lo hicimos

We did it! We did it! Hurray!

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 11:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Boots is super cool.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

boots is super cool in my favorite episode

they start out at the beach, so boots is dressed for the beach. then they take a hot air balloon to the winter, and boots is freezing his monkey ass off. the teeth chattering kills me :-)

also, boots freakin’ loves blueberries

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 17, 2009 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

he loves his ball

he loves his ball. he loves his ball ball ball ball ball.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 17, 2009 1:19 PM EST up reply actions  

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