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Reds Are Cutting Payroll



The Reds are cutting payroll:

 

Add the Reds to the list of teams that are slashing, rather than spending, this off-season.  Fanhouse's Ed Price and Jeff Fletcher are reporting that Cincinnati is looking to cut their payroll from $71MM in 2009 to between the $65-$70MM range next season.  While it may not sound like much of a reduction, Cot's Baseball Contracts lists the Reds as owing just under $66MM to just ten players for next season, leaving little room to fill out the rest of the roster.

 

Lagging attendance figures are to blame for the Reds' financial cutbacks.  Price and Fletcher noted that attendance at the Great American Ballpark dropped by more than 15 percent from 2008 to 2009.  General manager Walt Jocketty was quoted in the piece as saying, "We're going to probably have less to spend this year than we have in the past...It just depends on how [ticket] sales go this offseason."

Star-divide

This is why it's so hard for me to care about baseball or the Reds anymore. I've often got baseball on in the background in the summer, and I like following individual Reds players, but I have zero belief that the Reds will ever be able to build anything approaching a sustainable winner. Forget the 70's, I'm not sure the Reds can afford a team anymore that could match the mid-late 80's Reds that finished in second most every year before winning the World Series in 1990.

They will luck into the playoffs again at some point by catching lightning in a bottle (a la 1999), but until baseball fixes things (ha) I just have lost most of my interest.

I've never thought this until recently, but there needs to be a salary cap, and MLB needs to consolidate media deals and distribute TV (and possibly radio money) equally. I'm pretty sure the Dallas Cowboys could get a lot more TV money for their games than the Cincinnati Bengals, but luckily the NFL is too smart to allow that to happen.

Sadly attendance for baseball hasn't cratered, and probably never will because going to the ballpark is an enjoyable activity even when your team sucks, so I'm not holding my breath for changes. It's just all a shame, the sport could be so much more interesting with a more level playing field.

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Hint to Bob:

If you can’t afford it, SELL THE TEAM!

by Brian B on Nov 11, 2009 7:09 AM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Amen. What sort of narrow, stupid logic says "well, no one came to the games last year, 'cause

the team sucked, so we’ll cut payroll and people will flock to the ballpark!"?

What sort of multi-gazillionaire thinks he needs to make a a profit every year owning his baseball team. You lost 14 million? Well, geez, Bob, first, open the books and let’s see and, second, if attendance is the problem, cutting payroll ain’t gonna help. Lastly, this loss bankrupted him?

by timb116 on Nov 11, 2009 9:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Can't say as I blame them

I know the talk right now is all “green shoots,” but I think it will be years before the economy recovers. If ever. The fundamentals are ugly beyond belief. Yes, attendance matters, but I suspect what’s really hurting is corporate sponsorships/ad money. Baseball is far more dependent on those big-money deals than they were in the Great Depression – the last recession of this magnitude.

Agree that there needs to be a more level playing field, but MLB is in a different boat entirely from the NFL. The NFL started with the revenue sharing in the beginning. They are a sport designed for TV. Even so, rich teams like the Cowboys want to do away with it.

MLB waited too long. Now, some teams, like the Yankees, Red Sox, and Mets, have their own TV networks. Teams like the Yankees and Mariners that have Japanese stars make millions selling the TV rights in Japan. That’s going to make it hard to force sharing of TV and radio money.

I think baseball is different from football, too, in that it’s fundamentally more local. With football, there’s only one game a week. That makes football games of wider interest than baseball games. They’re national events, in a way baseball games are not.

IMO, the only hope of leveling the playing field is via the Internets. But MLB is really screwing that up, with their ridiculously arrogant and incompetent, blackout-ridden MLB.TV.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 11, 2009 7:17 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Hint to Walt

If you are worried about payroll, dont give Willy Taveras 6 Million over 2 years, or trade 3 younger, cheaper players for an aging 3B that will make 10 Million this year. If the Reds trade Votto just so they could move a “bad contract” Id be so pissed.

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 8:12 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Welcome back to the front page, JD

Any suggestions on how I can spend my time once I officially quit on the Reds next fall?

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 8:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Those Yankees are really something

And now you’d be old enough to appreciate watching their championships.

by Brendanukkah on Nov 11, 2009 10:02 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

BF

don’t bring that Yankee language around here. This is a family site! :)

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 10:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

rec'd

I like see another side of BF… wait, that sounds wrong…

"Whether you like it or not, history is on our side. We will bury you!"

by "Red" Moskau on Nov 11, 2009 10:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You fancied it up, BubbaFan.

IIRC, there was no comma between ‘dick’ and ‘faggot.’

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

who died and made you Grey?

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 11, 2009 11:23 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This happens a lot.

Nobody cares enough to spell my name correctly when insulting me. :-(

Let me write out a formal proof for you.

by Gray on Nov 11, 2009 11:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So slyde if i promise to not quit on the Reds, going against a comment i made down the page

can i run this blog?

I think it would have a new an enteresting flavor under my command.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 11, 2009 5:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you shut your whore mouth

i mostly want the job, because this place will go to hell in a hand basket if you take over.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 11, 2009 6:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i say elect Mads, tHan and Justin!

more new content!

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 12, 2009 8:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If detected I will run

away.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 9:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The most frustrating thing about this

is that the one player the Reds would supposedly “prefer to keep” is Francisco Cordero. I like CoCo, but if you are looking to cut payroll, wouldn’t the most logical place to start be at the player who costs the most, pitches the least, and is in the most volatile field in baseball?

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 8:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

And has the most value on the trade market.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He's probably at his peak trade value right now

But he’s going to be tough to move, esp. if he insists on the receiving team picking up the 2012 12M team option. I’d be very disappointed if they gave Coco away and ate money in the process.

by ken on Nov 11, 2009 7:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I understand

what bothered me was the “prefer to keep.” It implied, to me at least, that he was worth his contract, but I suppose it could be that they know they can’t get a good enough deal (i.e. without eating money). FWIW, Jon Heyman says the Reds will entertain offers for BP, Cordero, and Arroyo.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 8:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't start with the overpriced closer

But he’d be second after players who make millions and contribute nothing at all.

by Brian B on Nov 11, 2009 8:57 AM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

I'm assuming that Taveras isn't able to be dealt

because no one would want him.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 8:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder if the CoCo thing is just a decoy

So they don’t seem too desperate but they’d really trade him in a heartbeat. Probably just wishful thinking

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 11, 2009 9:10 AM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

i can second that claim

jeff hall’d

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 12, 2009 8:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

(walks by whistling, grinning from ear to ear)

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 13, 2009 9:09 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I know. So am I.

I can’t think of another waste of payroll/roster space right now, but I know it’s there. Or else it will be there shortly as soon as Walt starts scooping up worthless veterans in the free agent market.

In the meantime, I’ll just say that Dusty is the place to start. Then Gapper.

by Brian B on Nov 11, 2009 9:18 AM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Brian B predicts . . .

Reds will sign Joey Gathright and Bengie Molina for a combined $6 million.

Walt trades Brandon Phillips to cut payroll.

Bob blames trade of Phillips on fan attendence.

Ralph Houk will die.

by Brian B on Nov 11, 2009 9:14 AM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Brilliant!

Saying you’re going to underfund the team is the best way to encourage people to buy season tickets, Bob. But if for some reason that makes them not want to buy, you can just use that as an excuse to underfund the team!

Let me write out a formal proof for you.

by Gray on Nov 11, 2009 9:26 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Would it be appropriate to note that we heard all of this from the trial balloons floated to stenographer in chief John Fay during the season

This should come as no surprise to us, since they’ve already indicated this was the direction they’d be going. Combine it with all the organizational hype toward “youngsters ready to contribute” and we’re looking at 2002-2005 all over again.

Goody for us.

Slyde, if you find a team to care about, drop me a line. This “Marins North without the savvy” strategy the Reds have is less than helpful.

by timb116 on Nov 11, 2009 9:32 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I hope

that article is wrong about Votto being traded. We’d probably lose Poodle if that happened…

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 11, 2009 9:56 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

how has this not gotten any recs?

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 13, 2009 10:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yet you don't rec it?

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 11:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i was wondering if it had some disease

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 14, 2009 2:48 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

rec'd

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 14, 2009 4:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It wouldn't make sense if the goal is cutting payroll

unless, like they said, the other team also took CoCo and Willy. Even then I’d want a major return to be ok with it.

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 11, 2009 10:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Would she thrown in the deal as the RR to named later?

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 11, 2009 11:38 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

if they trade Votto during the off season

I will not follow, watch, listen to, read about, or post about the Reds in any way shape or form for one full year.

Don't pick a fight with an old man. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you.

by Caleb on Nov 13, 2009 7:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh god, no

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 13, 2009 7:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Depends who they get for him

If it’s Grady Sizemore, an actual MLB SS, and actual everyday MLB C, or perhaps a SP better than the dreck cashing paychecks from the Reds, then I’ll still follow, watch, listen to, read about, and post about the Reds

I mean I love Votto, but let’s not get crazy

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 14, 2009 10:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The problem with this this rebuttal is obvious

You, Caleb & I all three know that if the Reds were to trade Votto they’d get Juan Pierre, Brad Ausmus, & Vincente Padilla in return.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So, did we ever get final numbers on the Rolen trade?

Someone in the comments over there points out that by his estimates, the difference between Rolen’s contract next season and EdE’s ($11 million vs. $4.75 million) is, oh, about equal to the amount the Reds are looking to cut.

Let me write out a formal proof for you.

by Gray on Nov 11, 2009 10:09 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

no one has ever said definitively what the numbers are

but regardless, given the financial shit-hole this team is in, it’s obvious they were just so desperate to get rid of EdE they’d do anything. They knew they were going to be in trouble like this when they made that trade and did it anyway………just so, so dumb.

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 11, 2009 11:22 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It may not have been the wisest use of resources.

But I don’t think it was a ‘dumb’ move.

The time had come to trade Edwin. I myself might not have done it but it certainly shouldn’t have shocked anyone that he was moved.

The ’09 Reds needed offense and Walt got them some. Without spending money.

The ‘10 Reds are better offensively and defensively with Rolen. It’s gonna cost a few million dollars to have made this improvement but that’s generally how MLB teams are improved.. with millions of dollars. It certainly wasn’t a shrewd move and some might regard this as conventional folly but I don’t think it’s ‘dumb.’

Crank out forty cases of Rolen t-shirts and jerseys and sell a few more tickets when he goes for #300 in July. Yeah, you’re not gonna get those millions back and yes, you’ve blown any potential free agent budget but the team is better and if you’re eleven games back again you can always trade him for prospects.

Such is life with the Cincinnati Reds.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 11:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

On the other hand

when he goes down for his fourth shoulder surgery in May and 3rd base is manned by the nightmare of Rosales’s offense and El Nino Destructor’s defense, the money would be nice to have.*

I imagine the truth will lie somewhere in between inveterate pessimism and Alan’s optimism. I’ll be rooting for his version

by timb116 on Nov 11, 2009 2:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My avatar likes you back

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 11, 2009 2:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Great observation...

You should start a website around that premise, attract a irreverent core group, let it build it’s own culture…

Seriously, I haven’t quite given it up, but I recognize the symptoms and don’t doubt I’ll follow your path (much like finding my way here)

"Whether you like it or not, history is on our side. We will bury you!"

by "Red" Moskau on Nov 11, 2009 10:37 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I say we all collectively become Twins fans next September.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And you thought the weather was bad at GABP on Opening Day + 1

"Whether you like it or not, history is on our side. We will bury you!"

by "Red" Moskau on Nov 11, 2009 11:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I give you a small market team...

with a rich tradition, not-ugly uniforms, a recent history of consistent winning, a brand new stadium, a great manager, and some young All Star and MVP sluggers… and you wanna whine about the weather?

Put on a sweater! That’s not the April chill making your nipples hard! It’s what winning does!

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 12:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Da, Comrade, you are right...

It get’s cold in Moskau, too… I’ll just drink more vodka!

"Whether you like it or not, history is on our side. We will bury you!"

by "Red" Moskau on Nov 11, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's another perk that would come to us as new Twins fans...

We’d no longer me mean and sorrowful drunks! We’d be happy!

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 1:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Pig's Eye is not a good beer.

But it was good enough for me in the summer of ’93.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

One of the first non macrobrews I had

It tasted like honey relative to Coors and Piehls.

by ken on Nov 12, 2009 10:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

lets just sell everyone

I mean heck play all minor leaguers. Then we can raise ticket prices. Beers will now be $17.50 and hotdogs $12. That should help you out Reds.

If you keep trading every person with name recognition or that shows a glimpse of talent, how do you expect your ticket sales to go up? ( I will not start on overpaying washed up rejects from other clubs) Just quit with the poor me, fans aren’t coming to the games.

by TheMan1 on Nov 11, 2009 11:03 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I believe I've said that exact thing

every year since ’03. Might as well just run my head into a wall.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 12, 2009 12:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not so fast

we need that wall.

it’s holding up the artifice.

by bbjones on Nov 12, 2009 12:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

A lot of money has been poorly spent the last 3 years

Look at the money Cordero, Lincoln, Weathers, Taveras, Stanton, Hernandez, Rolen, even Dusty Baker. Are some of those nice pieces? Yes. But not the pieces a smaller market team can pay stupid money to (Especially the Bullpen Arms & Taveras).

I won’t really knock the Phillips or Harang deals, Arroyo is questionable, but if he can find a way to do all season what he did at the second half of last season, his contract doesn’t look near as bad.

Bottom line is, if the Reds saw this coming last June or July, no way the Rolen deal should have ever been an idea. Shit, the Reds could have signed DeRosa for less as a FA this off season, and NOT have given up Roenicke or Stewart.

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 11:33 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

You forgot

Patterson.

He bought an emu farm with the millions the Reds gave him.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 11, 2009 11:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The $7M is pretty good for a 3 WAR player

it’s probably what he would have gotten in arbitration.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 2:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

God, when I'm in a hurry I cannot write

Stupid phone calls….. What i was trying to say is Brandon is a “steal” at 7 million.

by timb116 on Nov 11, 2009 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Gotcha

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If I'm not, can I at least use the excuse?

Truth is, I’m a terrible typist, who has to look at the keys when I type and then refuses to proofread. Neither would be terrible in and of itself, but the combination is a killer…..

I call it Taveras disease. The fact that he cannot get on base is not a killer by itself; it’s the fact that he played that was the problem.

by timb116 on Nov 11, 2009 2:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

have you met Justin?

"I have found me a home"

by obc2 on Nov 11, 2009 3:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

hey fukc ouy

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 11, 2009 5:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

At least you have an excuse

I’m just dumb as shit.

"What'd I say?"

by jch24 on Nov 11, 2009 3:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, I have that too, but I use bluster to hide it

Bluster and terrible excuses….it’s how the world works, I think

by timb116 on Nov 11, 2009 3:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think I speak for Justi when I ask;

Got any assittent maneger positons open?

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 11, 2009 4:09 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

maybe the reds would be nice enough to trade all my favorite players to one team

so that i can start following that team

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 11, 2009 12:43 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Well...

The Twins (fans) are after BP.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And by the way..

Here’s how much they love Joe Mauer:

…So, 15-30 years at, say $175-200 million would not be out of the question.

Link.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i rec'd your comment over there

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 12, 2009 1:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wow, they really shit on the Reds over there

and I can’t say I don’t see why

"And then there was the USAID guy in Kandahar who drove a giant pink Cadillac, which the locals set on fire one day. If you wanted to destroy something symbolic during a riot, you just could not do better than that. Good stuff." - Ghosts of Alexander

by Cy Schourek on Nov 11, 2009 11:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's interesting to see the other side of a

“why don’t we just trade Rosales, Nix, Janish, Owings, Taveras, and Gomes for Jeter” trade idea.

Please tell me the Reds aren’t really dumb enough to do it.

by bbjones on Nov 12, 2009 12:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Junior

has signed a one deal with the Mariners.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 11, 2009 1:24 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He's 30 home runs away from catching Willie Mays

He hit 19 last season. A similar season this year will put him in striking distance, which will lead to some very interesting decisions. You gotta think he’d have caught him by now if not for some of his Cincinnati injuries (well, let’s throw in the year lost thanks to breaking his wrist in Seattle, too).

Good luck, Junior!

by Brendanukkah on Nov 11, 2009 1:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Looking further at the home run leaders list

Andruw Jones is one away from tying Johnny Bench for number 51 all-time.

by Brendanukkah on Nov 11, 2009 1:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I looked at that list a coupla weeks ago.

I always like to check on Matt Stairs.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Despite the pre-French Revolution state of the MLB

The Red’s financial problems are of their own making. Ill-advised personnel investments (Cordero, Lincoln, Taveras), knee-jerk reactions to fix the team (Rolen) and unwillingnesss to adapt the culture of the team and make an upfront investment – even bringing in outside investors – to build a long-term competitive team. This is all coming at a time when Cincinnati football is thriving and season-ticket sales for a hapless, self-destructive team are not going to be a hot item.

If Joey Votto is gone, Willy Taveras is still here and CoCo isn’t the player they’re trying to aggressively shop before anyone else, this team is well beyond help.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 11, 2009 1:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I would bet there is less than a 3% chance that they'll trade Votto

It would be very difficult for a team to find a return valuable enough for Votto + Arroyo or Votto + Harang, especially since the Reds won’t take on money in the deal.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 1:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Put another way

why would they trade Votto instead of Alonso?

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 1:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I was wondering the same thing

Alonso is already costing them more, isnt he?

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 1:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

no, he only made 400k last year

and 500k this year, 600k next year, and a 1M in 2012

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 2:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

Alonso got 1.4 Million more of a signing bonus than Votto.

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 2:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'd assume that's already paid out

either way, the difference between the two isn’t enough that I would make a decision on which one to keep based on money

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

There's no reason they can't hang on to both

regardless of whether they occupy the same position. Prime Joey for LF – or at least let Yonder’s trade value rise another year. Jocketty seems to pay lip service to the idea in hoarding young, under-control talent – it’s just that the Rolen trade said otherwise.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 11, 2009 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

IMO, Walt should be planning to have Votto AND Alonso

in the lineup together, with Bruce, with Stubbs or Heisey, with Frazier, for the next 3-5 years. He’s foolish to start breaking all this cheap talent up now.

by mdccclxix on Nov 11, 2009 3:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I would not be surprised to see Votto in LF before the end of 2010

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 11, 2009 4:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It will be interesting to see how he handles the request

Dusty would be wise to take a page from Sparky’s book and stroke Votto’s ego in the process.

by ken on Nov 11, 2009 7:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

French Old Guard isn't the right analogy

MLB right now is like the banking system in the US. There are 30 owners who are making a killing off of a) our money b) corporations (sponsorships). They have no reason to give a shit whether we’re HAPPY or not, as long as we keep paying and the corporations keep paying.

Of course, nowadays, we have less money and corporations are the same way. So the owners have to either put the screws to us more or to the corporations more…and it’ll be on us.

And do they not have commercials on mlb.tv yet? Even ESPN360 figured that one out.

"And then there was the USAID guy in Kandahar who drove a giant pink Cadillac, which the locals set on fire one day. If you wanted to destroy something symbolic during a riot, you just could not do better than that. Good stuff." - Ghosts of Alexander

by Cy Schourek on Nov 11, 2009 7:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

FWIW

Jocketty’s response to possibly trading Votto: “Oh God, no.”

"It’s all part of the big picture," Jocketty said. "We’re building a younger club for the long-term. If we can get players who are major leauge ready — 1- to 3-year guys — who can help us, we’ll look at it."

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 2:00 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

We sure

Walt didnt have his fingers crossed behind his back?

Kidding aside, I didn’t think we would be huge players in the FA market anyway. Maybe a SS, LF, or a C, and that would be about it.

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 2:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'd still rather have Gomes + replacement level catcher

than Wlad/Nix/Dickerson in LF + Hernandez

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 2:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

me too.

I don’t think Walt goes after any starting pitching unless an absolute bargain falls in his lap.

SP Candidates- Harang, Arroyo, Cueto, Bailey, Maloney, Owings, Lehr

Bullpen- Barring a trade, Everyone should be back from last season.

To me, the only real improvements for Walt is

Catcher- Possible Bargains: Josh Bard, Brian Schneider, Ramon Castro

Left Field- I’m fine with sticking to Gomes, with Dickerson & Balentin as bench options.

And That leaves Short Stop Here, Walt can let the market play out, and hope somebody gets left out, and has to take a deal like Orlando Cabrera last year. Not likely, but I would think they would have interest in guys like Jack Wilson or Marco Scutaro. Other infield Options could be Adam Kennedy or Ronnie Belliard.

Bottom line, if you are hoping for Bay, Holliday, or DeRosa for the holidays, it’s not happening.

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see Gomes coming back if payroll is slashed below $70MM

and there’s unlikely to be a shortstop pickup either. According to MLBTR, they’re committed to $70MM before raises to Masset, Burton, and Owings. It sounds like they’re going to have to shed some salary or figure out some financing just to keep the team as is, sans-Gomes – which I wouldn’t hate as long as they give Heisey, Wood, Frazier or even Francisco a chance by mid next season. Short of hoodwinking someone on a Harang or CoCo trade, that’s there only chance for improvement.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 11, 2009 2:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yup

GoStubDick in a LF/CF rotation and a replacement-level catcher to supplement Hanigan

Saying that, I feel like Tiny Tim— just grateful for my RR family and a lump o’ coal for the holiday. Meanwhile, the Cubs and Cards are all warm and cozy enjoying a fat Christmas goose…

Well, “God Bless Us, every one!”

"Whether you like it or not, history is on our side. We will bury you!"

by "Red" Moskau on Nov 11, 2009 3:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That article also said if they can't get Raymoan they might go after Miguel Olivo

I wouldn’t hate that as long as he was only getting 1-2 million. He could spell Hanigan and would probably be the safest bet to be replacement level out of who we have to choose from. Question is, would he sign for that?

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 11, 2009 2:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

even at that price

he’s not worth it. he’s probably the worst defensive catcher since Javy Valentin. frankly, i’d rather have Corky Miller.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 11, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

really?

say you are paying Ramon 1.5 millon, or Corky at 750 k. Atleast Ramon is capable of producing at the plate. Before Dusty wore him out, he was probably the 3rd best bat on the team.

Find me on MySpace- http://www.myspace.com/mixfmkyle

by MixFMKyle on Nov 11, 2009 3:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i meant Olivo

Ramon is worth 2 mil or so i think. Olivo is just…LLM jr.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 11, 2009 4:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My B

Didn’t know he was that bad defensively. Of course, he plays for the Royals so it makes sense.

If I hear the word 'perky' again, I'll puke

by nycredsfan on Nov 11, 2009 4:45 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

             this team certainly doesn’t need a guy who pounded 23 HRs in a little over 300 ABs; our offense is awesome as it is.

by no1marauder on Nov 11, 2009 6:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

one of these seasons is not like the others
Year   PA    BB%     SO%   HR/FB   wOBA
2006  430   2.0%   22.7%   12.7%   .303
2007  452   3.0%   26.2%   12.1%   .284
2008  306   2.2%   25.9%   12.1%   .313
2009  390   4.6%   30.3%   21.7%   .334

If you think that he can maintain that HR/FB rate, then by all means, the Reds should go for him. If not, then he brings no other value to the plate as a hitter.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 6:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you just proved it!

he’s getting better!

i’ve been fast hitting c through this thread, so i have no idea who you guys are talking about

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 11, 2009 9:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

first off

it was 390 ABs, but i quibble. he’s walked 98 times in 8 seasons, he strikes out a ton, and hits for a ~.240 average. his power is really the only thing he has, and…welp, Slyde beat me to it. his HR/FB rate last year is completely unsustainable. thanks Slyde!

the biggest problem i have with him is his monumentally awful defense. check this out. now i’ll admit that catcher defense is probably one of the most nebulous phenomena to track with numbers in a baseball game, but by even the most conventional measures he probably should be playing 1B or DH (or neither).

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 11, 2009 6:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry

            but I don’t believe Olivo’s higher rate of PBs is really worth 8 runs a year. He throws out 34% of base stealers lifetime and 28% last year which is about average. No, he probably won’t hit HRs at a pace he did last year, but he’ll certainly hit them more frequently than Ramon, who’s power numbers have been declining sharply. A .240 average with an HR every 20-25 ABs is still a lot better than a .250 with an HR every 50-60. He’d be an offensive upgrade over Hernandez probably available at a lesser price. I don’t see him as a starter unless Hanigan completely falls off a cliff but he’d add some Punch down the lineup in 50 or so starts.

by no1marauder on Nov 12, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It ain't all about power though

What the Reds really need is players that get on base, and Olivo is historically terrible at that. I’d hate to see the Reds spend any money whatsoever on a hitter with a .278 career OBP. They’ve already got enough outmakers in the lineup.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 7:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sure

             there’s tons of high OBP veteran catchers with pop lying around dreaming of a chance to play for the Reds. Last I checked, the object was to score runs and unless the rules have changed, a HR counts as a run. We’re talking about a bottom of the lineup upgrade; which would you prefer batting 8th: a .325 OBP hitter with no power or a .280 OBP who hits a HR every 20-25 AB?

by no1marauder on Nov 12, 2009 7:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

serious question

why do you indent all of your posts?

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 12, 2009 8:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's his way of really getting into it.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 8:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

To

           piss people off.

by no1marauder on Nov 12, 2009 8:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I ain't mad at cha.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 8:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it doesn't piss me off

it’s just curious

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 13, 2009 8:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

.325

and then I wouldn’t bat him 8th.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 8:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

and I'm not saying this just to be a dick

I have zero interest in a mediocre defensive player that likes to make outs. I don’t care how many home runs he hits. The Reds don’t need another 20 home run power guy. It’s not a lack of power that is suppressing their runs, though that they are fairly weak. They need players that will not make outs.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 8:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Slyde, why do you hate Hank Aaron and Babe Ruth?

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 8:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

for the same reasons

he hates Uncle Sam, Lady Liberty, and Joe Strummer.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 12, 2009 8:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Funny thing about those guys

Aaron – .372 OBP
Ruth – .474 OBP

Hell, I’d like Olivo if this team wasn’t so damn OBP deficient. But they are, so I’d rather the Reds didn’t sign him. I’m not going to get upset if they do, but his one dimensional game doesn’t appeal to me.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 8:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's

          one more dimension than Ramon gives us. If you’re seriously saying that you would prefer an extra walk and a single rather than a HR every 25 PAs from a bottom of the lineup guy, then I just disagree that this is the way to score runs.

by no1marauder on Nov 13, 2009 12:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm saying that it's more than that

This is the career home run rates for each player:
Ramon – 1 HR every 33 PA
Olivo – 1 HR every 27 PA

That looks like a big difference, except that when you take that say how many home runs is that over 300 PA:
Ramon – 9 HR
Olivo – 11 HR

If you look at the difference in their OBP though, this is how many times they would get on base in 300 PA:
Hernandez – 98
Olivo – 83

I think 15 fewer outs will lead toward more runs scoring than 2 more home runs. I also think Hernandez is better defensively than Olivo, and since Hernandez is more of a threat to walk and less of a threat to strikeout, he’s a better pinch hit option as well.

Of course, I don’t think I’d pay the price to bring Hernandez back either, but if I have to choose between him and Olivo, I’d choose Hernandez.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 13, 2009 2:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Try

            looking at Ramon’s power numbers in the last three years and try making the same bullshit argument. He’ll be lucky to hit 6 HRs in 300 PAs. Plus Olivo has definitely showed more power in the last few years and would be coming to a more hitter friendly ballpark than KC. Hernandez also is older and coming off a season where he was injured for virtually the entire second half. Plus I don’t see much evidence that he is better defensively than Olivo; there throwing out of base stealers is similar and Ramon was good for about a PB every 10 games before last year. Cherry picking stats is always entertaining, but the odds are that Olivo would produce significantly more offensively than Hernandez in 2010 and be comparable defensively. Having Corky or Tatum behind Hanigan (who I like but I have to admit his 2nd half numbers don’t inspire much confidence) is just tossing away a few hundred PAs (at a minimum) by a team that has offensive issues.

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 12:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

okay they are both a piece of shit

lets go with Hanagin and Tatum.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 14, 2009 2:23 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

forget how they are defensively

olivio has never posted an OBP above .316 in a season (and only once did he post above a .300 w/ at least 130 ABs). holy shit that’s terrible. you’re hanging your hat on one good decent tolerable season there my friend. They both suck, how about we don’t sign either of them, both sound like a huge waste of time and money.

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 14, 2009 6:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What

          is this obsession with OBP? It would be nice if Olivo had a higher one, but he remains an decent offensive threat to produce runs at the bottom of a lineup due to his power even with the low one he has. As I said, I’ll take an extra HR over an extra single and a walk every 25 ABs from an 8th hitter if the object is to score runs.

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 8:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Nov 14, 2009 9:54 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I miss that shirt

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Olivo sucks offensively

He just doesn’t produce runs, and he’s a D first Catcher

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 14, 2009 11:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ladies and Gentleman

Welcome to your 2010 Cincinnati Reds, where fans might actually argue to sign Miguel Olivio

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 14, 2009 5:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sign of the times, wouldn't ya say?

Proof that The Lost Decade is full steam ahead!

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 16, 2009 11:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus I don’t see much evidence that he is better defensively than Olivo

since you apparently ignored scrabbles link I’ll post it again.

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 14, 2009 7:16 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Since

         you apparently ignored my response to that link, I’ll post it again:

           Sorry but I don’t believe Olivo’s higher rate of PBs is really worth 8 runs a year. He throws out 34% of base stealers lifetime and 28% last year which is about average.

                   AND

there throwing out of base stealers is similar and Ramon was good for about a PB every 10 games before last year.

               The article inflates the importance of a somewhat higher than average PB count; Olivo’s other numbers are about average.

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 8:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All I can say at this point

is that it seems like you are getting angry about people not wanting to sign a crappy backup catcher.

I love that kind of passion. I just disagree with your argument.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 8:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Just so it's clear

I wasn’t intentionally cherrypicking, though I agree that I did so. I was trying to balance out what I think is an abnormal year that Olivo had in 2009. I don’t disagree that he has more power than Hernandez, I just disagree that it’s to a proportion that outweighs the other stuff that Hernandez does better than Olivo.

Clearly, you and I disagree on this. Oh well. Both are backups that regardless if the Reds sign either one, they still won’t have a top of the line catcher and they won’t really be any better offensively.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 9:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We both know

        that if Ramon is re-signed, he’ll wind up the starting catcher. Plus his re-signing almost certainly means no offensive upgrade at SS, since Reds management seems to think they need to improve offensively at EITHER C or SS but not both (and they bizarrely believe that Ramon is a much better hitter than Hanigan).

           Since I assume we are both in agreement that re-signing Hernandez is a mistake the question is who backs up Hanigan? I think the player who does should be prepared to start if Hanigan falls flat (I don’t think he will but there is that possibility). Obviously Corky and/or Tatum don’t fit that bill as their offense is below terrible. I like the idea of a power hitting veteran catcher batting 7th or 8th 50 times a year and Olivo looks like the best option in that category to me.

          Who would you prefer to back up Hanigan in 2010?

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 10:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Corky! Corky! Corky!

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Reality Check

          " since Hernandez is more of a threat to walk and less of a threat to strikeout, he’s a better pinch hit option as well."

             Hernandez’s lifetime numbers as a PH are: 8-54 2HR, 8 RBIs, OPS .452

             Olivo’s: 6 for 33, 2HR, 7 RBI, .OPS .594.

            Neither’s much to write home about, but Olivo’s clearly performed better as a PH.

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 11:09 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Incredibly Small Sample Size

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 11:20 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bullshit

           It’s a sufficient sample size to refute the claim made i.e. that Hernandez is a “better” PH option than Olivo. When you figure out how to get a larger sample size than two players’ entire career, let me know.

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 11:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You've proven to me over the last week that you don't understand the effects of sample size

and I’m to the point now where I don’t really care about this argument anymore. So, you win.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He's no. 1 for a reason

Savor the flavor, Marauder!

by ken on Nov 14, 2009 4:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I understand

          that you like to make assertions without any data to support them and then when data is given that refutes your assertion you claim “small sample size”.

by no1marauder on Nov 14, 2009 4:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well Reds it has been nice being a fan, actually it has been brutal

i feel like it is time for me to give you up. I haven’t given up a habit since i stopped sucking my thumb in kindergarten.

You know I have a lot of family from the South Side who are White Sox fans, maybe I can find a new home there. I enjoy Cellular Field, their fans seem nice, 35th street is a little scary.

But really dear Reds we are in an abusive relationship and you know it as well as I do. Every spring I think with a few lucky breaks this will be the years. You trick me, try to pass off Eric Milton and Ramon Ortiz and upgrades, and silly me well I believed you. But the trust is gone, and trust is the most important part of any relationship.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 11, 2009 5:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Come on Justin, nobody really cares that much about the Reds

They’re just an excuse so we can hang out – baseball therapy…..and to abuse each other.
Now before you start giving up just remember these 6 words:

Joey Votto
Jay Bruce
Clyde Shoun

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 11, 2009 5:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Remember these 6 words

Walt Jockety
Dusty Baker
Will Taveras

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 11, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

god i wish brendan's mom jokes were still in style.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 12, 2009 1:12 AM EST up reply actions   2 recs

rec'd, and FTFY

Taveras might not, but jch will.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 12, 2009 1:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dear Lord, Justin

neither Walt nor Dusty belongs on that list. i know it’s popular to complain about Dusty, but this team’s record was better than its Pythagorean, and outside of Taveras and weird line-ups, Dusty wasn’t that bad (IMHO). I don’t want this to go into a Dusty is not terrible, but point of fact, the two teams he received from the front office (of which he had some input in) were poor products. This ain’t MLB 2010; you can win without talent.*

So, your three names should be Taveras, Lincoln, and Hernandez…again, in my opinion.

*PLEASE do not read thgat wrong. I’m not saying Dusty’s a good manager or Dusty deserves 4 million/yr, but I will say he’s not a bad manager (I’m looking at you Ray Knight). The team did not give up trying to win in the last 6 weeks or so of the season and his players love him. That’s got to say something

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 9:05 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Balderdash!

Dusty is rigid and lives in 1972

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 9:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Explain Rhodes and Masset and Herrera

Rhodes was a LOOGY for years. Dusty is the one who decided he could set up. Masset was under-performing and a throw in for Griffey. He is an asset, because he was used properly.

Similarly, the guy who exiled outfielders in Chicago gave Dickerson a chance to play himself BACK into the line-up and realized what he had with Gomes. Those two teams stunk and Dusty neither made them worse or better.

In my opinion, which is often wrong, but deeply held….until i discard it at a moment’s notice

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 9:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

that's not rocket science Tim

Explain batting wily 1st for almost the entire season
Explain Batting the SS 2nd all season
Explain Batting Hanigan 8th almost all season
Explian Mark berry
the list goes on.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 6:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Before I explain anything, I'd like to draw attention to this gem, written by a genius
*PLEASE do not read thgat wrong. I’m not saying Dusty’s a good manager or Dusty deserves 4 million/yr, but I will say he’s not a bad manager (I’m looking at you Ray Knight). The team did not give up trying to win in the last 6 weeks or so of the season and his players love him. That’s got to say something

Now, explanations:

Explain batting wily 1st for almost the entire season

Don’t know. Dusty is a kook who loves “speed” at the top of his line-up. See batting RR fave Stubbs and OBP wizard (for this team) Dickerson lead-off when Taveras was hurt.
Explain Batting the SS 2nd all season

Didn’t happen. Until July, Dickerson or some other schmuck batted second. He moved Gonzo to 2nd when he detected (though no one else did) Gonzo hitting better. After the trade, he left Janish there, because he had to hit somewhere and they were 20 games out. Honestly, what high OBP player would you have batted second when it mattered after you rightly concluded Gomes was the LF?

Taveras
[blank]
Votto
Phiilips
Bruce
Gomes
Hernandez
Roselas/EdE
Gonzalez
Pitcher

Who do you hit second? There isn’t ANYONE in that pathetic line-up who gets on base and Dusty and Walt ain’t paying Ramon to sit on his can at 8 million. It’s a conundrum and best thing is, Dusty won’t know how to solve it for next year either! (I do, bat Rolen second, but that’s because I know everything)

Explain Batting Hanigan 8th almost all season

Hanigan’s just never convinced Dusty or Fay or Walt or Marty or anyone, but us, that he could hit. I’m still not sure of it. But, given the stats, he should have been given the chance.

BUT, as we’ve discussed. how much of managing is line-ups? like 10% Managing is getting guy to understand roles, getting value from your players, and getting them to play hard. Dusty does those things. His players LOVE him. They did not love Jerry Narron.

Explian Mark berry

See, Slyde…..

the list goes on.

it sure does, which brings us back to me saying Dusty isn’t terrible, but isn’t good. I’m not his bobo and I wish he didn’t manage my team. But, Sweet Lou is managing the Cubs, LaRussa is with Cards, Davey Johnson is lazy and like drinking, and Casey Stengal is managin an All-Star in Baseball Heaven. I’d rather have Dusty than Clint Hurdle or Ray Knight

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 9:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmmm.....

I kind of dig what you are saying but:

BUT, as we’ve discussed. how much of managing is line-ups? like 10% Managing is getting guy to understand roles, getting value from your players, and getting them to play hard. Dusty does those things. His players LOVE him. They did not love Jerry Narron.

That’s fine, and may be an accurate assessment of time allocation, but when that 10% of time regularly costs the team runs against the pythag then that 10% of time is of 90% importance. He is an idiot as a field manager. Just because he is not as hideously stupid as Ray Knight or Bob Boone doesn’t mean that he should be allowed to fill out a line-up card. I realize that you aren’t endorsing Dusty, but I cannot get over how destructive he is to the most fundamental aspect of the game: Scoring more runs than the opponent! The players might love him, but I just don’t give a damn about that. I have no way of knowing whether Jay Bruce will progress with a manager he loves or regress with one he hates. We as fans simply cannot know what we are not privy to in the locker room. If the Reds win while Dusty is still the manager, it will be in spite of him, not because of him.
    But hey, I have no way of proving that, it’s just my gut telling me that Dusty ’aint due.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 13, 2009 10:25 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus Dusty isn't goofy enough

Sure we try to create caricatures of him as a the tooth pick king etc. But really he’s just too conservative for a team that needs innovation and energy.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 13, 2009 10:37 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

in the sense that the Reds need better

What I don;t think is that line-ups could be produced by a computer….and in my opinion, like I said before, I think he did a good job with the pitching staff.

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 11:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dusty also made other decisions that hurt the team besides the lineup

misusing his bullpen, ridding repetitively sending Harang out for the 8th inning, with 105+ under his belt, and repetitively watching Harang give up 2 or 3 runs, turning a respectable start into an ugly box score. He actually did do that two starts in a row. This game in which Harang had an ugly 5 run first inning, but than turned it around, and didn’t give up a run between the 2nd ad 7th inning, but started the 8th with over 100 pitches, and gave up 2 runs. That time it didn’t matter because the Reds lost that game regardless, since they were shutout, but still it was dumb.

Then in his next start Harang had given up 3 runs through 7 innings, and started the 8th with over 100 pitches under his belt, got an out but gave up a run. The Reds lost that game 4-2, so Dusty’s mismanagement was a little bit more painful. But what shocked me was Dusty did that TWO STARTS IN A ROW!!! Didn’t he realize that sending Harang out in the 8th when he has thrown 100+ pitches probably isn’t the smartest idea. On August 3 did he have no memory of July 30. I sure fuckin did, and I knew exactly what was going to happen.

Plus when you add in the Harang’s arm issues and his struggles after the rain delay this year, it was totally inane and misconceived. Dusty Baker is an abortion of a manger.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 1:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Uh, Harang is a grown man. if he says he can pitch, then you got to let him try

The day a manager gets criticized for sending his workhorse to the mound after a whole 100 pitches is the day rosters expand to 30 and each team carries 17 pitchers. Harang is and was fine and, while Dusty is weird in what he allows Harang to do (letting him constantly stay loose during a rain delay for instance), 100 pitches is not a magic number.

ESPECIALLY, when the pitcher in question is healthy, your ace, and has a series of 200 IP plus seasons.

Geez, Justin, you’d hate to be Yankee fan….the way Girardi rides Sabathia!

Oh, and taking out a fat guy after 100 pitches breaks the Livian Hernandez/Rick Reuschel Act of 2004. And, no one wants to be on the wrong side of that Act.

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 1:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Anyone can let the players dictate the game plan

A good manager steps in and overrides his players when necessary. When it comes to replacing pitchers, of course they’re going to say their fine. They’re elite athletes that take great pride in their abilities. A good manager can see beyond the machismo and make a judgment on whether a fresh reliever maximizes his team’s chance of winning. Note this doesn’t mean blindly adhering to pitch counts. It means being able to make intelligent decisions and having the leadership to execute them.

by ken on Nov 13, 2009 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i question the wisdom in judging a manager using his teams real record against the Pythagorean

Dusty made decisions that cost his team runs.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 12, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I do too, but I couldn't think of any other stat to cite

What I am Slyde with his math ability. I’m using what I got, justin

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 2:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah just think if you were me

You think you’re math sucks

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 6:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So

This guy from Camden Crazies on Twitter just proposed this deal to me:

Harang/Phillips for Nolan Reimold? I’d imagine you’d say no to that, but I probably would from the O’s end as well.

I had never heard of Nolan Reimold, so I decided to look him up. Sickels says: “I think Reimold will be a solid hitter, but I don’t think he’ll be a star. Grade: B-”. And this fella thinks that trading 2 good starting players is a good deal for him? His minor league numbers are nice (.286/.383/.521), but he’ll be 26 next season with 411 big league PAs and a 117 OPS+ as a corner outfielder (and not a very good defensive one according to a small sample of UZR).

Am I missing something? I’m so baffled that someone seriously uttered those words, that I can’t figure out if I’m just blinded to something.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 8:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He's crazie.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 9:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Will Carrol just did an Unfiltered post about these types of offers
My favorite so far came from Lone Star Ball, where a commenter ("Josey Wales") suggested that the Rays should add in a high quality arm in order to even up a deal of Nelson Cruz for Carl Crawford.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=1434

by ken on Nov 11, 2009 9:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Who the hell is Nelson Cruz?

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 11, 2009 9:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The problem is

that he seems to think that ~10 WAR over 2 years is worth ~10 WAR over 5 years, not to mention that they are losing 5-6 WAR at positions that are harder fill and replacing it with more spread out WAR at a position that is easier to fill. I mean, how many 2 WAR corner outfielders are there compared to 3 WAR 2B or 2.5 WAR SP?

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 11, 2009 10:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus

Reimold’s season ended early with ankle surgery. Now, if they want to talk Adam Jones…

The man who will one day be President is, at this moment, lying in his cradle, trying to find some strategic way to get his big toe in his mouth.

-Mark Twain

by poojols on Nov 12, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Riggleman staying with the Nats.

Leatherpants tweets so.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

The Mullet King strikes fear into the everyday citizen

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 11, 2009 10:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 11, 2009 10:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 14, 2009 5:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

C'mon, you throw enough cash at any broad, and eventually the panties drop

Wish I could post a graph to prove my point.

If the X axis is the amount of $ you’re throwing at a broad, and the Y axis is the % chance she hikes up her skirt a little more and shows her world to you, then the farther right you go on the X axis, the farther up the Y axis you go.

I envision a 45 degree angle line.

Sure, Leatherpants might be using numbers that require a , to get some tail, but at one point in time he had those resources, so he could make the unthinkable happen.

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 16, 2009 11:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

BTW who pays for tHom?

The Red’s could drop Clownboy and ’tHom and save not only money but some dignity too boot.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 11, 2009 11:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

You can never be too boot

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 11, 2009 11:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Brilliant idea. that jerk even annoyed me by announcing a football game the other day.

His mediocrity was as comfortable as slipping into a warm bath….
and finding you sat on a razor blade

tHom in November is something I wished I never had to hear.

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 9:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If the Reds booted Thom

…..he’d have more time to service Tim Tebow….

First time I shot her, shot her in the side.
Hard to watch her suffer, but with the second shot she died...

by btcoop71 on Nov 12, 2009 9:20 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I am a fan of the payroll drop.

No more stupid contracts to fast free agent outfielders.
No more fat-cat deals to strengthen the bullpen.

We finally get the young guys brought up to play on the big league level. Yeah we will likely not improve our record next year. But the young guys will come up and gain experience, rather than us wasting money on vets to cover the gap for prospects.

Do not resign Hernandez. Trade Harang, Cordero and Rolen if offered decent prospects, but don’t dump them, they are valuable as mentors to the youth. Wait for a great deal on Phillips. Dump Arroyo for prospects. Murder Taveras and have insurance pay his wages. That is all.

by jacob brumfield on Nov 12, 2009 2:36 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I could get with this.

It is probably the right thing to do at this point but it just hard to accept.

Harang and Cordero shuffled off like Griffey and Dunn.

So now we’re waiting until 2011 or later to make a run at 90 wins… We’d have a lot of (hopefully) really good youngish players but our All Star second baseman is all of a sudden is on the wrong side of thirty.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 9:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

that's the problem with trying to build strictly from within or through prospects

the window on cheap, good talent is very small, especially when you are talking about trying to put an entire team together. I think a big lesson from the A’s experience is that if you have to dump players every time they start to get expensive, you better be perfect in the deals you make because it ain’t easy to consistently develop talent and have it timed so that you team keeps regenerating (or generating just once in the Reds case) year after year.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 9:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeppers.

And, I saw on the Twins page, people who are used to winning were more than willing to trade young players for established, final piece of the puzzle veterans. They might be crazy, but they are my kind of crazy

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 9:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So, we should blow it up and go Tigers c. 2002?

this is actually the point where you and I disagree. I do think this team is one to two players away from winning 90 games and that, if management would react properly to payroll(ie, increase it enough to sign Gomes and make one more move, the Team would be in decent shape.

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 9:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We don't really disagree

I think they are two players away – if they are the right players. However, needing just one more piece of the puzzle requires that it fits in their budget. If they don’t have the budget to bring in another player or two, then they aren’t one piece away, they are multiple pieces away. They’ll need to move some pieces in order to make room for the new pieces to fit, which will likely mean they need other pieces in order to fill spots of the pieces they moved, and so on and so on. And if the money is not there, you can’t spend it.

That’s why I don’t think they can ever get to where they need one more piece of the puzzle.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 10:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Do you really think the money's not there?

I don’t believe it at all. The way you balance a baseball budget is by winning (ask the Brewers). Open the wallet, pay a little more and people will come.

Now, with that said, I agree with you that if they don’t have the money, then they are saying they will not spend the money. If that’s the case, then I say blow it up. Trade all the veterans, take the extra money and use to sign the contract of some international studs. Lose 100 games this year and in two to three years, you might have a winner.

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 10:16 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It doesn't matter if we believe the money is there or not

if they decide the budget is $65 million, then they have to try to win within those parameters.

I don’t believe that Castellini is in this for a profit, so I don’t believe that there is a lot more money available, if any. I think what they’ve done wrong is they’ve worked with the mindset that “we can afford to have 3 big contracts a season” and have signed players out into the future within that structure without really thinking about whether or not that signing will make sense out into the future from a more grand perspective. I don’t necessarily think they are idiots, I just think they do too many things to look good rather than to be good.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 10:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

they may be idiots relative to their competitors

but I don’t think they are flat out idiots

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 10:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

(pay more and people will come): over most of the last decade,

I’d agree. What’s not clear is whether (or perhaps how much) the economic mess has altered the “revenue dollars per win” ratio. If people are unemployed, they can’t buy tickets even when the team is good.

by bbjones on Nov 12, 2009 12:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ask the Brewers

Ask the Cardinals. Ask the Tigers. Winning brings people to the yard

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, resolved

Next year’s budget will be 200 million*

*On a serious note, the Brewers are a fine corollary. They went all in and people came to watch them

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i thought their milkshakes brought the boys to the yard

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 12, 2009 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Reds are 2 players way if those players are JoeJoe Mauer and Derek Jeters

And don’t forget that pesky DL…and no bench to boot.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 12:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not necessarily

Could be Cliff Lee and A-Rod. Alex would move back to short, right?

by bbjones on Nov 12, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No way,

You’re more of a pessimist that I am. They’re a healthy #2 starter and one bat away. Their defense last season was amongst the top 5 in the NL in efficiency and their runs against was 8th in the league. They sucked on offense. A healthy and finally productive Bruce, a lack of black hole in center, a 110 games of Rolen….all they need is a bat at catcher or SS or LF to improve on 2009 production and they could compete.

The question is not how much they suck, but is there a will to make them suck less?

by timb116 on Nov 12, 2009 12:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yep 3 or four ifs there:

1 healthy starter – oh but it must be a decent starter and Justin Lehr
2.Which bat – SS, LF, or C
3. If Bruce pans out this season (which i think he will)
4. Rollin at 110 games means either Fransisco or Rosales for 52 games or 1/3 of the season.

I’m very optimistic that we’ll see improvement. I’d be lot more so if Dusty was not the manager. He’s just not a good fit for this team.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Concurred
He’s just not a good fit for this team.

Or this fanbase

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 9:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

or any fanbase

I love that not even he knew that he scored and he continued to try to put it in - Evilducks

by sharks on Nov 13, 2009 11:38 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

I'm going to rec this

because there are lots of people outside of Cincinnati who think that Dusty Baker is a bad manager.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 8:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What you think, slyde? Average or terrible?

You don’t need fancy stats. One word would be enough

by timb116 on Nov 14, 2009 3:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Small Sample Size

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 6:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder how many times women have said that to Slyde

:)

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 14, 2009 7:21 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

This would be the ultimate result of taking your foot out of one of the "win now" or "build for the future" streams

when you don’t have any money, “win now” isn’t really a proposition. The problem is when you try to do both at the same time, but you can’t really afford to. Then you end up pushing the organization back every couple of years as you try to clean up the messy contracts from before. If they had just committed themselves to the future in 2006, like they should have, I think they would be in much better shape today (i.e. they wouldn’t likely have Cordero under contract, and probably not Arroyo either).

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 9:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's funny that you mention the Arroyo contract.

When they extended Arroyo I was kinda excited like a fanboy but the more I thought about it the more I realized I was flummoxed. “Really?” “Now?” “Is he that good?” “Are the Reds that good right now?” I had all of these questions and I wondered if there might be some answers somewhere out there on the internet.

And that’s how I found you goofballs.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 9:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Arroyo's contract was more unncessary than terrible

He signed in Feb, 2007, with 2 years left on his previous, very cheap deal. I know they were doing it as a courtesy since he was so underpaid, but they were committing 5+ years to a pitcher that was basically average outside of one good year. If they had waited to extend him before 2008, they might have gotten a better deal, but more importantly, they might have had a better perspective on the direction the organization was heading.

I don’t feel the same way about the Harang deal because they bought out 2 years of arbitration at a solid rate, and I imagine that in order to do that they had to commit a couple of years beyond that.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 12, 2009 9:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well... that answers that.

See ya.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 9:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

and you, sir

make it worth the contract.

After all, what would RR be without the pictures?

by bbjones on Nov 12, 2009 12:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It'd be just as fun but I guess there might be a little something missing.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 12, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Alan - Truly my RR hero

No one post obscure and obtuse pics like FVA.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 6:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Jon Heyman sez:
Reds may entertain offers for francisco cordero, brandon phillips and bronson arroyo.

Seems like a certainty that one of the three will be traded during the offseason in order to get payroll down into the 60s. Selling high on Bronson seems like the way to go, with Cordero being paid the same but harder to move and Phillips a better bet to provide more value at a lower cost next year.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 12, 2009 11:24 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

next year seems scary without Arroyo

Harang
Cueto
Bailey
Maloney
Lehr/Wood/LeCure/Wells/schmuck

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 12, 2009 2:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

But it might be unavoidable. The Reds are in a tough place. It’d be ideal to move Cordero, but Arroyo and Phillips are more likely. If you’re trying to salvage ‘10, who’s more replaceable? I’d argue that Arroyo is. He’s in his last gauranteed year and projects to be worse than he was last year. There’s a bigger gap between replacing Phillips with Sutton, Frazier or Lord knows who than replacing Arroyo’s production with Owings and Wood.

But if you’re setting your sights on 2011, Phillips is the way to go. I bet you can get most if not all of his salary off the books over the next to years and get better prospects in return. See my fanpost for more sexy details.

Yeah, those guys and the Cincinnati Reds. They're a terrible football team. / Because they're a baseball team? / Exactly. You know who's the worst football team? The Philadelphia Flyers. - Best Show

by RijoSaboCaseyWKRP on Nov 12, 2009 3:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

the reds hold an option on Arroyo for 2011

but also the intellectual baseball fan in me understands that trading Arroyo right now could be wise, because his value is as high as it is going to be. 15 wins, 220+ innings, and an ERA under 4 can bring back a nice young player. Really I’d rather the Reds never have picked up Rollen, but we can’t change that.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 12, 2009 3:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ah, who gives a fuck anyway.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 12, 2009 2:48 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Me. I care. Damnit Pops we can't just give up...there's always hope...

Just read this small excerpt from Sylde’s novel and get inspired:

‘Boquisha had had enough of the pain. She was only 38 but her hands were rough and her knees creaked. She slowly stood from where she had been scrubbing the kennel floors out ion the sub zero temperatures in the barn. She defiantly threw off her crusty gloves and kicked over her soapy bucket. She had decided, she was taking the bus in Winston-salemn and taking that job at McDonald’s…she was going to be a free woman…she was on her way.’

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 6:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I dont get the dissent

the economy sucks. most ballpark revenue streams are down considerably. attendance isnt necessarily down that much but most folks, i imagine, are spending less at the park. (except jch who got a sweet severance and likes to get his buzz on and go to Jeff Hall, solo in a rainstorm if need be)

if i ran this club i wouldnt add 10mm salary next season either. the smart move is to flip Cordero and either Arroyo or Harang (even if i think they’re valuable assets at current salaries). the bottom line is that the line between the have and have nots is widening, especially b/c some teams make a mint of their own local broadcasting rights.

look at the NFL. Pittsburgh and Indianapolis can be extremely competitive in small markets for a decade, or so. Minnesota, New Orleans, and Cincy are currently upper echelon teams. Chi hasnt won in 23 years and the NY Jets havent in 40? Dallas, a monster of revenue income, still sucks and there is no team in LA.

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 12, 2009 8:50 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

You be right on the $$$$ Bill.

that’s why I say enjoy the fun of watching the evolution of the Reds and the endless RR commentary.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 9:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i dont think it's "dissent"

i think we all kinda knew this was coming (The Fay has been saying it for months) and are just pissed that the it’s yet another manifestation of the team’s inability to do anything right. so it’s more like beating our favorite drum again.

and i contend your assertion that the cost-cutting is the “smart move”. i think we forget just how insanely wealthy these team owners are. even in this economy, rich people are still obscenely rich. just perhaps a bit less so. spending another $50 mil in payroll over the next two years could do wonders for this team. with Matt Holliday in LF and John Lackey in the rotation we could be favorites for the pennant. but Banana Bob runs this team like a business instead of a public institution. cant say as a blame him for this, i mean, rich people dont stay rich by spending money.

but on the other hand, it really irks me. he clearly has the extra money to spend (he is a millionaire, after all) but wont do it. but a successful team on the field would mean untold millions in extra revenue. it wouldnt be as stupid a move for him as he thinks it is. just like Bronson said, the only difference between Steinbrenner and the rest of them is that he’s willing to lose money if it means winning. and look how much money he made doing it.

i know this is easy for me to say. as a fan, of course it’s easy for me to rail on the owner for not spending enough to give us a winner. of course i, the fan, would be willing to lose money to make my favorite team better. but Bob is a businessman first and a fan second, which is how he made all his cash in the first place. but it still frustrates me.

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 12, 2009 9:33 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

this is the most sensible thing written here in months!

it definitely gets rec’d

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 13, 2009 8:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well since you aren't replying to anything i can only assume you are writing about this comment

and i don’t think it will get any rec’s. Sorry to burst your bubble ’tHan.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he's replying to obc's comment

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 13, 2009 1:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

can't you just let a guy be a dick

you’ve been doing it for years…

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 1:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

who have I been letting be a dick?

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 13, 2009 4:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

justin i bet you wish rr had a "delete" feature

sometimes you really embarrass yourself

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 13, 2009 2:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I have a delete button, but Gray won't let me use it. :(

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 13, 2009 2:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you're the biggest deleter on the site

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 13, 2009 10:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oh i didn't hit up

now i see, oh well, time to go earn my master’s degree, off to class.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 2:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

bullshit

Baseball history and the 2009 Milwaukee Brewers prove that a team that wins draws fans and pays its own way. It’s more than broadcast rights. Ask the Astros (in the third largest media market in America). it’s a commitment to and ability to win/ If you build it, they will come.

they always have and they always will

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 9:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Milwaukee's a great model

They’ve drawn very well despite a small market in a football dominated area. I would love to see Votto and Bruce become our Fielder and Braun, then have management add a few pieces to give us at least a few years of contention. Milwaukee hasn’t been able to quite reach that level but they’ve given it a good run.

Still, there’s no denying the inequities of the current system. A small market team can’t afford the mistakes that the large market teams can make, and even if they play their cards fairly well their window of contention is only going to be a few years.

by ken on Nov 13, 2009 10:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Look at Pavano and Milton

Pavano hurt the Yankee’s non at all, Milton was an albatross on the back of this organization for three years.

Griffey is the ultimate case study for the dangers faced by a small market team. Nobody saw that coming, it was like the Spanish Inquisition.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 1:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

the phone lines melted the off-season they traded for Griffey

They made so much money off his under-value contract. It’s too bad injuries hurt them

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 1:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

By the way, absurd comparison, since all either of them had in common is hindsight

Pavano == young starter coming off healthy, awesome season versus

Milton == guy who had been average at best and was coming off a terrible season.

It was a dumb signing then and now and everyone knew it.

Doesn’t change the fact that you can’t complain of flagging ticket sales and then announce cuts in payroll and expect to make money. Simply put, if the Reds lost Mister Redlegs 14 million (a figure he knew about in August…..meaning the Reds are only prescient when it comes to ticket sales), then how is shedding one 7 million dollar contract (Phillips) and the resulting loss in season ticket sales gonna balance the budget?

The team treats us like we’re stupid and there are enough of us around to go “Hey, this is a small market!” so they must be telling us the truth. We’re one step in logic away from Carl Pohlad and contraction

by timb116 on Nov 13, 2009 2:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i was simply using two large starting pitching contracts to compare

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bob has jumped to the status of a multi multi millionaire

However Bob’s money would be gone in a couple of seasons if he weren’t a cautious business person/Poof goes money in this economy. He’s just being smart.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 12, 2009 10:36 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I looks as if

he’s poured at least $750k worth of bourbon into that burgeoning gin blossom on his face. Shit, that’s a good start covering Gomes’ money.

Wear something sexy to my funeral.

by Pops Daniels on Nov 13, 2009 10:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nice Tie

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 13, 2009 10:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All the reds need

Is a cheap shortstop and another pitcher to contend. They can bring up Matt Maloney and acquire Omar Vizquel. Vizquel made 1 million last year and would probably be willing to go for even less this season. It makes no sense to trade for Scott Rolen at the end of last year only to trade away the entire team. If the Reds had the money, I would say go for Scutaro. Even Vizquel would be an offensive improvement over Janish. And his defense is top-notch, which would give the reds the best infield defense in baseball.

If the Reds do that and still bad at the ASB, then trade away the whole team.

by fifawcs on Nov 13, 2009 1:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Actually

According to fangraphs, in 2009 Janish and Vizquel had practically the same value, in 82 games Janish put up a WAR of 1.1, in 62 games Vizquel put up a WAR of 1.2. He had a nice UZR of 32.6 at SS, compared to Janishes UZR of 24.6. But Vizquel is an old man, and could only play in 62 games last year, I’d rather not waste resources on a guy who will struggle to play on day games after a night game, and will need 5 hours with the trainer to get stretched out. Especially since given his age the bottom could fall out at any minute, but Dusty would still use him because of his VP, and his contract, and his hatred of Paul Janish.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 1:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He played 66 because

Elvis Andrus, the young stud Shortstop, stole the other games from him. Look at him pre-2009. He’s a cheap alternative that would help the team in a spot that really needs helping.

by fifawcs on Nov 13, 2009 4:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he is also older than Madville

I’m guessing over the course of 140 games Janish and Vizquel will put up similar production, and Janish will be about $7K-$1.7K. Lets go with Janish.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 5:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I can still hit but my range is a bt suspect...

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 13, 2009 8:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i sould say janish will be $700,000-$1,700,000 less than Vizquel.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 11:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Paul Janish

He batted .211 in 90 games. His OBP was .296. That is terrible. Vizquel would certainly put up greater production. In addition to this, Vizquel is a good basestealer and is a top-tier bunter. He is also a top defensive shortstop.

I do not believe Vizquel is the best free agent SS out there. He is, however, the cheapest and wisest option for the Reds.

The Reds are in a weird situation this offseason. They have the financial commitments of a contender with a small payroll. I don’t understand how I read these reports of the reds selling their team when they just traded for Scott Rolen. If I were GM, I would get Vizquel for a maximum of 1 million and hope the Reds can contend with this team. If they can’t by midseason, then sell the whole team.

by fifawcs on Nov 13, 2009 9:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Rosales is a cheap option

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 13, 2009 10:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Leila Hyman is a cheap option too...but would you want her after she's been with Spanky the drwadf? I didn't think so.

"Success is getting up one more time than you fall down, then walking away saying "Fuck it".

by Madville on Nov 13, 2009 11:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

and if you were the GM

you would be no different that Jim Bowden, Dan O’Brien, Wayne Krivksy, or Walt Jockety, who simply can’t let the rebuilding process run it’s natural course,and you insiist on this half-assed build for next year while playing for this year process, which wastes resources, and causes this team to perpetually be in 3rd of 4th place.

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 13, 2009 11:18 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Yo, I was trying to fall asleep watching the MLS playoffs.

And the lights went out in LA. Now I’m interested in the blackout and I can’t sleep.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 13, 2009 11:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Blackout PBP:

“It’s interesting to watch the field. Some guys are kicking the ball to each other. Some guys are jogging and others are just walking.”

So, it’s like a soccer game.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 13, 2009 11:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ah

I saw that the game was “suspended.” Didn’t know why. RFK had a couple blackouts last year, but it is old and decrepit. The Home Depot Center is only a few years old, although California is bankrupt, so maybe they couldn’t keep their energy grid up to snuff.

Actually, one of those blackouts at RFK happened while DC was playing the Dynamo, strangely enough.

by Brendanukkah on Nov 14, 2009 12:20 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think you understand

where I am coming from. I am in favor of rebuilding the team. However, I don’t believe it makes sense to trade away the team after acquiring Rolen late last season. First of all, a lot of these bad contracts cannot be moved. Even if they could be moved, the Reds would still have to take on half the salary. Secondly, the Reds have one of the worst farm systems. They do not even compare to the Rays’ or Rangers’ systems. So rebuilding will be a very long-term process. Look at how long it took the Rays to assemble a winning ballclub with mostly prospects. You might as well let these bad contracts play out since the trading them away will mean waiting many years for the Reds to build a farm and a contender.

The Reds are a small payroll team with the commitments of a contending team. Clearly, the Reds do not have any money to spend after all of these contracts. I am suggesting not re-signing Ramon as he would be too expensive. Omar Vizquel is a cheap pick-up who isn’t an impact bat by any means. He does, however, get the job done and is an excellent defensive SS. A 1 year deal for less than 1 million would certainly be beneficial to the team. He can also serve as a mentor to the young Janish.

If the Reds suck and are out of contention by the All Star Break, then trade away the team. It isn’t like these guys would lose much trade value by then and at least you would get to see what a half of year of this team is made of. It would be a shame if the Reds trade away a team that could have done something. Essentially, this is the Reds’ last chance at assembling a contender for many years. You realize Votto will most likely be traded in a few years unless the reds can assemble a contender from all prospects by that time.

by fifawcs on Nov 15, 2009 3:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

moves don't add up

you add Cordero on a big contract and then Rolen on a big contract and now you’re going to sell off some key players? Seems silly. The Reds would have been better off waiving Encarnacion.

Blah… obviously the best thing to do is to trade Cordero, even if it meant eating half of his 2010 salary. I don’t see how the Reds do it though. I don’t understand why Rolen isn’t on the trading block?

It’s likely that they won’t get a good offer for Cordero, so I don’t see him leaving. If the Reds are smart, they wouldn’t trade anyone right now, but would be better off waiting until the deadline and trying to move Cordero or Phillips then. I hope the team has the patience for that.

Once again the Reds really should be playing to rebuild 2010 and shoot for 2011. Many good young players should be hitting their stride then: Bailey, Cueto, Bruce, Votto, Stubbs, and maybe Volquez. I think trading away Harang and Arroyo would be foolish and the Reds would likely never get back any pitching worth as much as those two. Ultimately that’s all I’m hoping for.

by cokane on Nov 14, 2009 4:15 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

saddest part about it

now that i think a little more…

If Volquez was healthy, this could be—top to bottom—one of the most talented reds teams in awhile

by cokane on Nov 14, 2009 4:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That would be a scary pitching staff

Harang
Volquez
Arroyo
Cueto
Bailey

With a depth of Maloney, Owings, Woods, Lehr, LeCure, and Juckich. Honestly though I don’t think the drop off in the top five without Volquez is terrible, what is more troubling is the Reds are already down one pitcher on the depth chart, and if Maloney were the 6th best starting option and Owings the 7th, this team could ride its starting pitching, assuming Bailey was an mirage and we see some more go’rroyo.

Why are you up at this hour?

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 14, 2009 5:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I fully expected Maloney's name to be listed in the rotation

but there he is, first in line after it.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 8:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Would you disagree with my assensment if the Reds had a healthy Volquez?

"There is no harder thing than to have Glenn Beck outlive your child."-The Onion

by justin007000 on Nov 14, 2009 2:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder what the Dodgers want for Russell Martin

Maybe Arroyo, Phillips, and Mesacaro could get the job done.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 9:16 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I don't know if the Dodgers would trade for Arroyo.

Maybe in a package like that and/or maybe with the Reds eating some of his salary. But I would think that the Dodgers could go and get an expensive average-to-good innings-eater without any help from any other team.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 14, 2009 9:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll be honest, I was just trying to spur conversation

If I’m a Dodgers fan and they made that trade I’d revolt.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 11:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mesoraco, he of little trade value?

Arroyo, he of massive inconsistency?

And the Dodgers have Hudson, why would they want or need Phillips?

by Highlifeman21 on Nov 14, 2009 12:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You didn't read far enough down :)

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I meant the "just trying to spur conversation"

I totally pulled that out of my ass to see if anyone would bite, nothing more.

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 16, 2009 12:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's one hell of a mixed metaphor.

Eww.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 16, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You know, I should probably read over what I write before hitting "post"

Naaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhh………….

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 16, 2009 1:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is pretty much what I was thinking.

It seems like I’ve been forgetting and trying to remember him for years.

But I just checked and he was only drafted in 2007.

"If you have a spaceship and are looking for a hilarious astronaut with an irregular heartbeat and thirty million dollars, I am prepared to leave as soon as tomorrow."

by Fat Vegas Alan on Nov 17, 2009 9:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The dodgers don't have hudson

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Braves just signed him for three years, right?

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 14, 2009 12:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That was Tim Hudson

Orlando is still a free agent.

Definitely a good argument.

by Slyde on Nov 14, 2009 12:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i dont buy it

no way jch doesnt know EXACTLY who the Braves sign or trade moments after either occur.

"Nate Silver is a genius" .... BK

by obc2 on Nov 14, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I reiterate;

When J.D. posts people listen – and participate.
At this writing – 299 comments…J.D. is a game thread unto himself!

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 14, 2009 2:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

311 posts and climbing

Men get laid, but women get screwed.
Quentin Crisp

by Madville on Nov 15, 2009 11:50 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

No way this "it's a small sample size" "no it's not" argument

is better than discussions about john wall.

where’s dave from louisville when I need him? (i’m gonna guess louisville)

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 15, 2009 7:22 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

John Wall ain't worth a shit

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 16, 2009 12:27 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

on no you di'int

Made from 100% Recycled Awesome,

by 'tHan on Nov 16, 2009 8:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's funny that wall is going to play in a game before louisville

given how obvious it was a few weeks ago that he was going to be ineligible for the season

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 16, 2009 2:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he's certainly no preston knowles

Alway the optimist...I like your think kid...

by boobs on Nov 16, 2009 2:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Or Peyton Siva!

"Santa Claus doesn't use Craigslist." -- 'tHan

by jch24 on Nov 16, 2009 5:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs


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