Red Reporter: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Around SBN: Falcons and Chargers Recap: The Win Is The Thing Bar-right-arrows



Jocketty: Reds need RHB

I've got yer analysis right here, buddy.

Evidently, Jockety thinks the team's #1 need is a RH bat (of course, that's from Fay's blog; hell, it could have been Jobba the Hutt that Fay talked to for all we know).  The boy(s) over at MLBTR throw out the following names:

Adrian Beltre:  Will be 30 years old.  Will make $12M next year, then a FA.  While he's a plus defender (+22.3 RAR by JinAZ through Sept. 5, best among 3B), he hits about as well as EdE.  Of course, EdE is 4 years younger and about $9M cheaper next year.

Manny Ramirez:  Will be 37.  His age-36 season was one for the books, 8th best by OPS+ behind famous juicers Bonds, Ruth, Williams, McGwire, Anson, Dickey, Musial, and tied with McCovey.  He's going to command multiple years at $20M+ per.  JinAZ has his defense at -10.9 in the AL, -2.2 with the Dodgers (and that's compared to the general drivel that gets run out to LF every day).

Pat Burrell:  Will be 32.  A nice hitter, but not what I'd term a real impact bat.  His defense is about average (1.8), which frankly surprises me. 

Magglio Ordonez:  Will be 35.  With 461 PA next year, his contract becomes guaranteed through '11 for $51M.  Almost as bad as Manny defensively (-9.1).

Matt Holliday:  Will be 29.  Will be a free agent after '09.  You know my position - if they think they can sign him long-term, acquire him if at all possible.  A good defender (9.2).

In short, I (obviously) don't like most of the list - a guy who doesn't address the stated purpose, even though he's older and much more expensive than the guy who's already there; an old, very expensive FA who would be a severe defensive liability; a not quite as (1) old, (b) expensive, or (c) good FA; a hideously expensive older player who would be a defensive liability; and Matt Holliday.

I agree that a big RH bat would do wonders for this team; I just hope whatever Jockety does it doesn't either gut the minors for mediocrity or cost a bazillion dollars for past glory.

0 recs | Comment 120 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Since things posted to the front page get added to the RSS feed

I updated your headline to make it more indicative of the article.

Thanks for taking the bait. :)

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 2:35 PM EDT   0 recs

"hell, it could have been Jobba the Hutt that Fay talked to for all we know"

Doubt it. The Hutt was doing the Bama-Georgia game this weekend.

Kentuck Arts Festival: October 18th.
Details at Sinful Savage Tigers

by Man Mountain on Sep 29, 2008 2:51 PM EDT   0 recs

Why

did you have to bring that shit up? That fuckin’ game made me furious!

Vote Pops in '08. I promise nothing and I'll do it!

by Pops Daniels on Sep 29, 2008 3:00 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Sorry

I was only trying to make fun of Mike Are You Kidding Me? Patrick

Kentuck Arts Festival: October 18th.
Details at Sinful Savage Tigers

by Man Mountain on Sep 29, 2008 8:21 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Ordonez.

What if the Tigers agreed to send some money with him? They may be looking to salary dump.

Everybody's a jerk. You. Me. This jerk.

by andromache on Sep 29, 2008 3:02 PM EDT   0 recs

how about Ordonez for Cordero?

i like the value of that trade, even if money doesnt change hands.

"for integrity of races and the game" - Dusty Baker

by Charlie Scrabbles on Sep 29, 2008 3:05 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Cordero is injured and has a no trade clause

I doubt he gets moved this off-season.

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 3:10 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

you just love pissing on my dreams dont you?

"for integrity of races and the game" - Dusty Baker

by Charlie Scrabbles on Sep 29, 2008 3:17 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

yep

I’m the one that signed Cordero to that contract.

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 3:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Wayner's legacy

yes, he fixed the bullpen, but at what price??

"for integrity of races and the game" - Dusty Baker

by Charlie Scrabbles on Sep 29, 2008 3:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

maatt hoolliddayyy

Are there any more dinner rolls? -President Ted Kennedy

by The Crushinator on Sep 29, 2008 3:07 PM EDT   0 recs

What do you guys think Alonso's timetable is like

does the Major league contract mean we might see him next year?

Are there any more dinner rolls? -President Ted Kennedy

by The Crushinator on Sep 29, 2008 3:14 PM EDT   0 recs

I doubt we'll see him before September of next year

and even then, I think it’s unlikely. The thing that will hold him back is that he bats left-handed and plays a position that is already filled. Unless they are planning on trading Votto…

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 3:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

i think we could see him in September

if he makes it to AA next year, he probably wouldn’t see much playing time, but I would call him up, since even just a couple of at bats is something, and it won’t burn any options.

"It will put a smile on your face to see a Chevy with a Soviet transmission"

by justin007000 on Sep 29, 2008 3:40 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I thought the big plan

was Votto to left Bruce right, Alonso Center, votto can’t be worse than donkey, and Alonso will never field so why not bring him up?

Are there any more dinner rolls? -President Ted Kennedy

by The Crushinator on Sep 29, 2008 8:54 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

How about a SS?

Seeing how bad our defense was this year and the lack of a long-term solution in the pipe, I wouldn’t mind an investment here. Too bad the FA market here is uninspiring.

by ken on Sep 29, 2008 3:20 PM EDT   0 recs

I put it at 3-1 odds that Cesar Izturis is on the Reds next year

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 3:26 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

You stop that right now!

I am willing to give Sea Bass a chance next year. Maybe make him play in knee pads though. I’d really like to see them try out Phillips at short in spring training. I’d feel better with Keppinger/Hairston/Freel playing second. Or perhaps Mark Ellis. Doesn’t matter, because that won’t happen.

by Brendanukkah on Sep 29, 2008 3:35 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Isn't

Juan Castro available?

Vote Pops in '08. I promise nothing and I'll do it!

by Pops Daniels on Sep 29, 2008 4:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

i'll cut you

"It will put a smile on your face to see a Chevy with a Soviet transmission"

by justin007000 on Sep 29, 2008 4:15 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

knee pads

Can he borrow your mom’s?

by Red Menace on Sep 30, 2008 3:00 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

how about orlando cabrera?

YOUR 2008 AL EAST DIVISION CHAMPIONS.... THE TAMPA BAY RAYS!!!

by RaysOfHope on Oct 1, 2008 1:17 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

risky

old, expensive, below average D, and a potential declining bat.

congrats to the rays, im rooting for them and give them way more of a shot than a lot of “experts” do.

by sharks on Oct 1, 2008 3:32 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Come on people...

….this is the Cincinnati Reds. Manny Ramirez, Adrian Beltre, Magglio Ordonez, Matt Holliday, Pat Burrell? You know what’s going to happen. We’re going to pick up a nobody player, overpriced reliever, or a has been starter, claim it’s improvement, and then we’re going to go out and win another 74 games (with a 10-cent head “old school” manager who is deluded enough to think that Corey Patterson is worth 366 at bats). You don’t win through free agency with Cincinnati’s payroll and television market. You win with prospects and youth, and while this team does possess some young talent the sad truth is we do not have enough, particularly on the pitching end (who yet again surrendered over 200 HR’s this year [for the fifth time in the last six years]).

by tonywf on Sep 29, 2008 4:17 PM EDT   1 recs

tonywf, wtf?

...because there's already someone posing as Jacob Brumfield

by Cy Schourek on Sep 29, 2008 5:20 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

It's Called Reality, Cy....

Anyone who could give Corey Patterson over 350 ABs (and bat the man lead off [but not before giving Juan *&$^#( Castro the number two slot in a game]) needs his head examined. If you think this team is going to win consistently with its current roster and what passes for its manger, you’re going to be sadly mistaken.

by tonywf on Oct 7, 2008 2:32 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Who pissed in your Wheaties (r)?
We’re going to pick up a nobody player, overpriced reliever, or a has been starter, claim it’s improvement, and then we’re going to go out and win another 74 games

I guarantee Walt Jockety wasn’t brought in to pick through the trash heap. Guar-un-tee. He’s going to make a splash; whether it’s a big splash (Holliday, Sabathia), just look like a big splash (Ordonez, Burrell), or be too big of a splash (Manny), we’ll see.

a 10-cent head "old school" manager who is deluded enough to think that Corey Patterson is worth 366 at bats

In Dusty’s defense, the bulk of those ABs were before Bruce’s call-up (when CoPat was taking ABs from Freel; I don’t see that as a terrible trade-off) and after Dunn’s trade (when, because of trades and injuries, there weren’t any better options). In between, he had 97 PAs – compare that to 269 PA for Dunn over that timespan. No, the complaint people had was with him hitting CoPat leadoff.

You don’t win through free agency with Cincinnati’s payroll

When, during Castellini’s tenure as owner, has payroll ever been mentioned by the Reds? The media and fans seem to "know’ there’s a limit, but there’s not been one move made/not made as a purely salary move. I would also submit that it’s always tough to win primarily through free agency; just ask the ’00s Yankees (as opposed to the ’90s Yankees, who were primarily a home-grown team), or ’08 Tigers.

You win with prospects and youth

No doubt, that’s where Cinci should focus. However, you can’t rely on the draft exclusively – even those amazin’ Rays only feature a small handful of homegrown talent.

while this team does possess some young talent the sad truth is we do not have enough, particularly on the pitching end

Volquez will be 25; Cueto 23; Ramirez 26. Harang’s in the heart of the good years of his career, and under contract for 2 more years (3, if Cinci picks up his option). In the bullpen, Bray, Burton, Masset, and Roenike are all on the right side of 30. Plus, Thompson and Bailey are still very young.

who yet again surrendered over 200 HR’s this year (for the fifth time in the last six years)

In a pretty homer-heavy home ballpark in a homer-heavy division – the Central is home to 4 of the top 6, and 5 of the top 9, teams in the league in HRs. In fact, over the past 6 years the Central has had at least 5 of the top 9 teams in HRs 4 times, and ‘07 was the only year they didn’t have at least 4 of the top 7.

While there are still holes, signing a big RH bat, getting better production from SS, and signing a decent C (along with a dose of better luck – remember, 3 guys logged over 200 innings at SS and none were named Alex Gonzalez ) could transform this team.

Often wrong, never uncertain.

by sidnancy on Sep 29, 2008 5:49 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

The '90s Yanks

I’d say they were a nice mix of homegrown and free agent. I wish they could get back to that.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Sep 29, 2008 8:36 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

The late 80s Yanks

I’d say they were a nice mix of old players and bad players. I wish they could get back to that.

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 8:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

You might get your wish

Those homegrown players of the ’90s are awfully long in the tooth now.

I’m really dreading seeing Jeter fade away like Bernie Williams. Like Bernie, he plays a key defensive position, and not very well even in his prime. Like Bernie, I expect him to resist moving to a less-demanding role.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Sep 29, 2008 8:45 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Sid...

…you can rationalize it all you like, but I don’t live in fantasy land. I live in the empirical world and let us look at that for a second. The pitching was terrible (13th in the league in ERA and last in HRs surrendered). You can blame it on the park, but at the end of the day they put up the numbers. Let me put it this way. Who was the last starting pitcher of note that the Reds drafted, developed, called up, and who had at least one or two good seasons in Cincy’s rotation? Tom Browning. If you think other teams’ rejects are going to make us winners, it would behoove anyone to explain why this team hasn’t had a winning record in eight years (and why the pitching has one of the worst in the league during that time [including this season]).

And signing a RH bat is not going to cure what this team gave up offensively after trading away Dunn (for the equivalent of a twelve pack). The offense faded (12th in the NL in runs scored, 13th in OBP). The only thing that even gives me hope is that Votto ended the season well. The thought of having Dusty Baker look at a reporter and say on base percentage is overrated and how great Corey and Alex are is simply too much. Reality is reality. This is not a winning roster and signing an extra hitter is not going to make it one.

by tonywf on Oct 4, 2008 9:44 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Why isn't Texiera on the list of possibilities?

I mean, he is a free agent, right? And if we’re discussing such pipe dreams as Manny Ramirez and Matt Holiday, why not Texiera? Put him at 1B, bat him cleanup, move Votto to LF and this offense will rock.

by dugg on Sep 29, 2008 4:19 PM EDT   0 recs

Have you seen what Boras wants for him?

"Aio, quantitas magna frumentorum est."

by jch24 on Sep 29, 2008 5:21 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Beltre is really, really good. Not only is he the best defensive 3B in the league, he plays in a park that is death on RH power hitters.

If you get him in GAB he’d blow EdE’s numbers offensively out of the water and did I mention his defense. Oh yeah, it’s really, really good.

And the Mariners seem to not like him very much and think he’s overrated. He’s not overrated, if anything, he’s bargain priced. It shouldn’t take that much to get him. He’s exactly the type of player the Reds could use.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Sep 29, 2008 5:59 PM EDT   0 recs

He's also gotten progressively worse since steroid testing...

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Sep 29, 2008 6:22 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Umm...no, he really hasn't. He had one career year at 25, if he was producing at that level, he'd be worth 25 million dollars a season.

He’s a really, really, exceptionally good baseball player. You also underrating defense. He’s awesome at that. He’ll be better than EdE offensively and when you add in his defense, it’s not even close. He’s one of the best 3B in baseball and probably the most criminally underrated players in baseball.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Sep 29, 2008 6:32 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

His LD% was 21% and his BABIP was .276. He was extremely unlucky this season and still better offensively than EdE.

He’s due for some pretty significant progression offensively.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Sep 29, 2008 6:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Well...

Considering:
1. His lifetime BABIP is .289, and the 3 previous years he was at .294, .294, and .281 while his overall numbers were similar to this year’s (actually, ’05 was worse)
2. His LD% has, every year except this, hovered around 17.5%, while his overall numbers, again, were similar

I wouldn’t bet he’s due for any progression; if anything, I’d say he was kind of lucky this year that he had the numbers he did.

Often wrong, never uncertain.

by sidnancy on Sep 29, 2008 7:27 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

There's this nifty stat called OPS+

It adjusts a hitter’s OPS for league and ballpark.

Over the past 3 seasons, Beltre’s has been 105, 112, and 109; EdE’s has been 108, 101, and 106. So except for ‘07, if you put Beltre in GAP he’d hit almost exactly the same as EdE. Also, remember that EdE is 4 years younger than Beltre – in Beltre’s age 23-25 seasons his OPS+ was 97, 88, 163 (which of these is not like the other?). Oh, and did you miss the part where he’s $9M more expensive for the same offensive value? And a FA at the end of ’09?

$12M/yr is not “bargain priced”, when Scott Rolen makes $11M (who, when healthy, is a better fielder and hitter).

Often wrong, never uncertain.

by sidnancy on Sep 29, 2008 7:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Scott Rolen is never healthy and I know what OPS+ is.

I also know that Adrian Beltre was the best defensive player in all of baseball this year. Defense matters, a lot.

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/9/9/609347/fun-with-justin-s-stats

EdE is a bad 3B. Yes he’s young and I like his bat, but his glove leaves a lot to be desired. His glove according to Justin was -15 runs. Beltre’s was +22 runs. That’s a 37 run swing.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pfk_WuYpfdux2FC_hs6ROEQ&gid=1

EdE isn’t close to Beltre no matter how you slice it. And 9 million dollars is more than worth the difference. Plus, it’s not like Encarnacion is going anywhere. He can move to LF, where his athleticism should make him average and his glove isn’t going to cost you as much.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Sep 29, 2008 7:26 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'll admit...you sold me

especially if the Reds can get Beltre for cheapies…we keep talking about upgrading defense. If we’re stuck with a mediocre SS, the best way to cover is to have people like Beltre and BP next to him, yes?

...because there's already someone posing as Jacob Brumfield

by Cy Schourek on Sep 29, 2008 7:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Except, of course

that this whole thread started with Jockety saying the Reds need a RH bat, and Beltre’s no better than EdE offensively. You also just gloss over the fact that Beltre’s only signed for one more year.

Let’s assume that Justin’s numbers are correct; that Beltre, this year, was worth 43 more runs than EdE – 4.8 (let’s say 5) on offense and 37.4 (37) on defense. That would have meant 3 more Pythag wins (75 vs. 72) for $9M. As near as I can figure, the marginal dollar win value in ’08 was about $3M (I get just under $2.8M), meaning Beltre would have been a poor financial addition this year, as he made over $11M more than EdE. If they both perform the same next year, and EdE makes $3M, it would be a wash, except that then the Reds might lose Beltre in free agency.

Often wrong, never uncertain.

by sidnancy on Sep 29, 2008 8:43 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Except that runs are runs. And even if you're saving them with your glove, it's still improving the team significantly.

And it’s closer to 4 wins than 3. And a 4 win upgrade at 1 position is absolutely huge. Plus, you’re not losing EdE’s bat. You’re getting 2 of EdE’s bat, removing the albatross that his his defense at third too. And I’m also assuming he’s going to be better than Dunn in LF, so you’re making the team significantly better. It’s probably a 5+ win move if you factor in that you’re still getting EdE’s bat. I’m not sure, but I think one move improving the team by 5 wins is amazing.

Tools Whore

Sign Bonds!

by Tyler on Sep 29, 2008 11:12 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Ummm...
Plus, you’re not losing EdE’s bat. You’re getting 2 of EdE’s bat, removing the albatross that his his defense at third too. And I’m also assuming he’s going to be better than Dunn in LF, so you’re making the team significantly better. It’s probably a 5+ win move if you factor in that you’re still getting EdE’s bat.

You’re forgetting that Dunn was over 19 runs better than EdE on offense this year (10.5 with Cinci). Just to break even, he’d have to be the best defensive LF in the game. I’m not holding my breath.

Don’t get me wrong – I like Beltre, and think he’d help the team. But he’ll cost money for this year, prospects for the future, and will only be around for 1 year. I don’t think he’s part of the solution.

Often wrong, never uncertain.

by sidnancy on Sep 30, 2008 11:06 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Beltre.

Couple of things we can all agree on.

1. Beltre is a buy low candidate. I would bet Seatle would throw in a significant amount of money to gain someone who has upside potential and under team control.

2. Beltre is way better defensively than EE. I am not a super sabermetrician, but I am pretty sure 37 runs = 3.7 wins. THAT IS HUGE!!!!!!!!!!!!

3. The Reds farm is DEEP at awesome 3B prospects. Frazier, Soto, Fransisco, take your pick.

4. Bavasi is an advisor to Walt. I’m saying this means anything, but if I were a betting man…….

5. Current 3B/SS defense is unacceptable.

by Dave from Louisville on Sep 29, 2008 8:45 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Hmmm

You know, I’d take EdE offense with a plus glove. The Reds finished the season last in the league in defensive efficiency. They need to improve their defense, and it’s probably easier to do that than to acquire a Manny or a Tex.

All Things Bubba: Because how can you not love a baseball player named Bubba?

by BubbaFan on Sep 29, 2008 8:59 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

walt gonna want to shake it up, make a big splash.....here's hoping that his big splash isn't an old turd hitting the shitter.

BTW Julio Franco might be available.

Ibn Khaldoun and Hulrich Zwingli - now that's real reform, Mr. McCain.

by Madville on Sep 29, 2008 7:09 PM EDT   0 recs

drunk?

"It will put a smile on your face to see a Chevy with a Soviet transmission"

by justin007000 on Sep 29, 2008 7:11 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

so Loyd Mcledon was the Tigers bullpen coach in 2007

and the hitting coach in 2008. WTF!? How does somebody go from bullpen coach to hitting coach?

"It will put a smile on your face to see a Chevy with a Soviet transmission"

by justin007000 on Sep 29, 2008 7:11 PM EDT   0 recs

he coaches someone like Micah Ownings

People Don't Kill People. Burning Couches Kill People.

by crolfer on Oct 1, 2008 6:36 AM EDT to parent up   1 recs

Crede

A more prudent move might be to bring in Joe Crede at 3B for a few years. He brings solid offensive proudction and a good glove. I don’t think EE will cut it at 3B, although I support a shift to LF for him, putting Hairston and Dickerson in the running for CF. I think this is a cheaper and more realistic option than Holliday.

So, 1B Votto, 2B Phillips, SS Gonzalez, 3B Crede, LF Encarnacion, CF Hairston/Dickerson, RF Bruce, C Hannigan

by jamesp50014 on Sep 29, 2008 7:35 PM EDT   0 recs

PS

This gives Stubbs time in AAA to push Dickerson/Hairston. And I think Stubbs still has something to show in the minors.

by jamesp50014 on Sep 29, 2008 7:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

cheaper/realistic does not necessarily mean better

I’m fairly meh on Crede and his career .306 OBP. His defense would be an upgrade, but you are essentially signing Crede to play left field offensively. That would also mean that you have 4 guys in the lineup with a career OBP below .315 (Bruce, Phillips, Crede, and Gonzalez). That’s no way to score runs.

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 29, 2008 8:34 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I think getting EdE out of 3B and putting Crede there saves runs, but you’re right—this is a lineup short on OBP. Aside from Hairston/Dickerson, and whatever time Keppinger and possibly Freel can get, there aren’t a lot of on-base guys in my proposal. What are the other options?

That said, Bruce’s OBP can’t be held against him, as his stats aren’t as pattered on the ML as the others you mentioned. We’ll have to see what he becomes. But I’m willing to put him in the #2 spot next season, on the belief that he will improve (and isn’t yet ready for the 3-slot), followed by Phlillps and Votto.

by jamesp50014 on Sep 29, 2008 9:25 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Bruce's OBP is right in line with his minor league numbers

Not the actual OBP, but relative to batting average. I don’t think he’ll post as low of an OBP next year, but that’s mainly because I suspect he’ll bat closer to the .280 range next season, likely bumping his OBP up to around .340-.350. I’d really like to see his OBP up over .370, but that will be hard unless he either starts taking more walks or cuts down on his strikeouts drastically. Unlike Dunn, his strikeouts are because he’s a bit of a free swinger and since they aren’t balanced by a large amount of walks, they are a little bit more harmful.

None of this is to say that Bruce won’t improve. Heck, he was already improving at the end of the season. But he clearly has to work on his plate discipline if he’s going to become an elite hitter.

"You never want to give up a 7-0 lead, in your rival's ballpark, that would put them in first place. Never want to do that." - Ron Darling

by Slyde on Sep 30, 2008 9:07 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

WISH LIST TIME!!!!

1. Matt Holliday as long is he is signed long term, and Harang, Arroyo, Cueto, Volquez, Bruce, Votto, Burton, Bray, and Stubbs are not used to get him.

1a) Mag in a salary dump with Detriot throwing in some cash. As long as we don’t give any great prospects.

1b) Manny for 2-3 years. He might hit 50 HRs at GABP

2. Ray Furcal – He would be dangerous at the top of the line-up. As long as he is healthy.

3. Beltre – 3B defense is completely unacceptable and there would be no offensive trade off. Of course we would want some salary relief.

4. Dickerson/Freel in CF until Stubbs is ready. How awesome would it be if Stubss hit 0.400 OBP in ST?

by Dave from Louisville on Sep 29, 2008 9:06 PM EDT   0 recs

I like Drew Stubbs

He’s big enough 6’ 4" – 200
Plenty fast
Got a little pop in the bat
Can steal bases
Good fielder
He’s RH bat
BUT
Can he hit at the MLB level
Does he have enough power
Will he be ready for 2009

I would like to see this kid get a decent shot, he’s not getting any younger

Ibn Khaldoun and Hulrich Zwingli - now that's real reform, Mr. McCain.

by Madville on Sep 29, 2008 9:53 PM EDT   0 recs

i want to get something straight here regarding Matt Holliday

i would love to have him in LF for us next year, but not at the price. you can guarantee the asking price will START with Johnny Cueto. and thats just to start. toss in a Frazier and a Bailey and probably Stubbs. the phrase “gut the system” was coined for guys like Holliday. he is one hell of a ballplayer, but the Rockies will (rightfully) want the moon for him.

"for integrity of races and the game" - Dusty Baker

by Charlie Scrabbles on Sep 29, 2008 10:28 PM EDT   0 recs

Yeah right

Look at what MEts gave for Johan. There is no way the price tag is 4 premium prospects. 1 MLB ready pitcher + 2 high upside low minors guys will probably do it….or EE. Maybe Bailey, Thompson, EE. That would do it. Or Thompson, EE, Frazier, and Fransisco. Something like that woud do it.

Prospects are overated. That’s why shitty teams always have a ton of them, because they hold onto them for too long.

by Dave from Louisville on Sep 29, 2008 11:56 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

yeah i mean what do prospects turn into anyway?

seriously, you are writing that prospects are overrated. We know that they aren’t sure things, but the Devil Rays won this year with young players, the Twins win with young players, the A’s win with young players. The Reds can’t afford to add high priced free agents to fill holes, they have to home grow talent, and trade their developed talent (if a deal won’t happen) for young talent. Remember when the Mets were a lock because of Santana, and the Twins were surendering 2008? Can’t you just keep your thoughts in Louisville?

"It will put a smile on your face to see a Chevy with a Soviet transmission"

by justin007000 on Sep 30, 2008 12:02 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Gutting the farm

The great part about a deep farm is that it is really hard to cut it too deep. And holding onto too many prospects too long is a really bad idea. But deciding which ones to keep is the hard part.

by Dave from Louisville on Sep 30, 2008 12:04 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

sounds good to me

put on your GM hat and go to Colorado with that. im not saying it wont work, but i would be very surprised if it did. MVP players, even those with only a year left under contract, are not traded for anything less than sure-fire talent.

and let us remember that the Twins overplayed their hand in the Santana negotiations. they passed on a much more attractive package from the Red Sox in attempt to run up the market. and they STILL got 4 of the Mets 10 best prospects. Homer Bailey has my vote of confidence, but he is not a trade centerpiece right now.

"for integrity of races and the game" - Dusty Baker

by Charlie Scrabbles on Sep 30, 2008 12:47 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

i realize that it is more than just two months

but Arizona got Dunn for Micah Oweings and a pitcher recovering from tommy john surgery. Holliday will only be here for a year wouldn’t somebody like Bailey, and a low minor league prospect who projects but is many years away seem fair?

I like Bailey and think he is going to be a good pitcher, but with the pitching this team has and the holes in the outfield, I would like to see an upgrade like Holliday made. Bailey is the oddman out at this point. I am not advocating trading Bailey just to trade Bailey like Hal wants, but if the right offer is made….

"It will put a smile on your face to see a Chevy with a Soviet transmission"

by justin007000 on Sep 29, 2008 11:58 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Holliday >> Dunn

i love the Dunner, but common justin. the Santana trade is actually a pretty good litmus for Holliday’s value right now. the Twins got a ML-ready CF with high-end upside, a top pitching prospect in the low minors, and two ML pitchers with mid-rotation potential. its gonna take more than Bailey and Biff Jones to get this deal done.

"for integrity of races and the game" - Dusty Baker

by Charlie Scrabbles on Sep 30, 2008 12:50 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs