Maybe not clinically, but he's lost perspective, I think.
In his latest column, he addresses the Adam Dunn situation. In it, he states the Reds would "take a considerable risk if they fail to trade Dunn, then allow him to become a free agent" because if he accepted arbitration "he likely would receive a salary of at least $15 million."
Why is this a "considerable risk"? Dunn is currently 7th among MLB OFs in OPS. It's kind of tough to compare, because only 8 of the top 20 have signed free-agent contracts, but it's telling:
* JD Drew - $14M this year and next. Will be 33, career 130 OPS+.
* Pat Burrell $14M this year, FA next. 32, 120.
* Jermaine Dye - $9.5M this year, $11.5M next. 35, 112.
* Manny Ramirez - $20M this year, at least that next 37, 154(!).
* Carlos Lee - $12.5M this year, $18.5M next. 33, 116.
* Maglio Ordonez - $15M this year, $19M next. 35, 129.
* Johnny Damon - $13M this year and next. 35, 103.
* Carlos Beltran - $18.5M this year and next. 32, 117.
Now some of those guys are obviously better defensively. But of the guys who've hit as well as Dunn for their career (131 OPS+), Drew is older and a significant injury risk, Manny is significantly older and as bad defensively, and Ordonez is significantly older.
Please, someone, explain to me why one year of Dunn at $15-17M would be a "considerable risk".




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