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Ken Rosenthal is insane

Maybe not clinically, but he's lost perspective, I think.

In his latest column, he addresses the Adam Dunn situation.  In it, he states the Reds would "take a considerable risk if they fail to trade Dunn, then allow him to become a free agent" because if he accepted arbitration "he likely would receive a salary of at least $15 million."

Why is this a "considerable risk"?  Dunn is currently 7th among MLB OFs in OPS.  It's kind of tough to compare, because only 8 of the top 20 have signed free-agent contracts, but it's telling:

* JD Drew - $14M this year and next.  Will be 33, career 130 OPS+.

* Pat Burrell $14M this year, FA next.  32, 120.

* Jermaine Dye - $9.5M this year, $11.5M next.  35, 112.

* Manny Ramirez - $20M this year, at least that next  37, 154(!).

* Carlos Lee - $12.5M this year, $18.5M next.  33, 116.

* Maglio Ordonez - $15M this year, $19M next.  35, 129.

* Johnny Damon - $13M this year and next.  35, 103.

* Carlos Beltran - $18.5M this year and next.  32, 117.

Now some of those guys are obviously better defensively.  But of the guys who've hit as well as Dunn for their career (131 OPS+), Drew is older and a significant injury risk, Manny is significantly older and as bad defensively, and Ordonez is significantly older.

Please, someone, explain to me why one year of Dunn at $15-17M would be a "considerable risk".

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