Dunn passes Dusty

by Lakeman on May 6, 2008 11:16 AM EDT Comment 9 comments

Lost in the shuffle during last night's win over the Cubs was a monumental moment in Adam Dunn history. When Dunn hit career home run number 243 last night, he moved out of a five-way tie with Dusty Baker, Sal Bando, Wally Berger, and Roy Campanella (talk about veteran presence!) and now sits all alone at #199 all-time .

If Dunn ends up with his standard 40 home runs this year, he'll finish the year with 278 career homers. This will put him around 150 on the all-time home run list depending on how other active players do this year. He'll pass Bret Boone, Kirk Gibson, Joe Morgan, and Roger Maris (among others).

How many do you think Dunn will hit this year? Where will he rank when his career is over?

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I hope he heats up and hits 45

But I think 36 this year is a more reasonable number.

As for his career, I think it depends a lot on what happens after this year. If he stays here or goes to Texas or Houston, I say he goes for 500. If he goes out West or to the AL East, well not so much.

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by MixFMKyle on May 6, 2008 11:24 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

He's definitely not on pace for his normal numbers

At this point in the season the last four years Dunn had

04 – 9
05 – 12
06 – 8
07 – 11

Averages out to exactly 10 home runs each of the last four years through 33 games played.

Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser? BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on May 6, 2008 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Every year that he's hit 40

he’s had a month where he’s hit 4 or fewer home runs. Last year he did it twice. It just takes a hot month where he hits 10-12 HRs to get back on the 40 HR pace. Hopefully May is that month. He and the team could both use it.

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by Slyde on May 6, 2008 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

I think it will be

I think now that he has the weight of passing Dusty off his shoulders, he can relax and get down to business. People talk about Griffey passing 600, but 600 is only a number. Dusty is a man.

Bruce Bonser? Boone Bonser? Boot Bonser? BOOSE BONZER?

by Lakeman on May 6, 2008 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs

If donkey plays 6 more years he might get to 500

10 years and who knows maybe 600? More likely 550

"There's more to being in the big leagues than just stats. Everyone is so stat-conscious." Dusty Baker

by Madville on May 6, 2008 12:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Age of active players

The active player’s ages are included in that link. Active players in the zone of what Dunn could pass this year are all 4-10 years older than Dunn: Soriano, D.Lee, Magglio Ordonez, Carlos Lee, Rolen, Tejada, Dye, Berkman, Ortiz.

It’s unfortunate that many fans in Cincinnati so underappreciate the player they are watching in Dunn.

by rojosoto on May 6, 2008 12:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs