2007 predictions revisited....

by nlt-andrew68 on Sep 30, 2007 1:09 AM EDT Comment 14 comments

Back in March most of us had hope of at least a decent season...

SIS Finale ('07 Predictions edition)
By obc
Posted on Thu Mar 29, 2007 at 11:14:21 PM EDT

here's the link
http://redreporter.com/story/2007/3/29/231421/705

if the Reds win tomorrow we will be 72-90
and the winner is a tie between reds123 and bobestes (both picked 73-89)

if the Reds lose they will be 71-91 and the winner will be sidnancy (picked 70-92)

this 7 game losing streak put a lot of people (me included) out of the running...it is also a good indicator of what to expect if we don't keep Dunn & Griffey next year.

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I remeber my thoughts back in march

Harang Arroyo nothign really changed

I thought Belise would be better that was foolish

Lohse did about what I thought he would

Milton- IC, didn't see Tommy John coming

I thought the bullpen would be much better.
Burton, Saarloos, Weathers ,Stanton, Coutlangus, Bray, Majewski, Salmon, etc, I thought there was too much raw talent in pitchers like Burton, Bray, Majewski, etc, that they would just have to be good. I was so fucking wrong. I am optomistic every spring. I should do spin for the Red's. I can't think with my head about this team. Oh well next year Belise will step up, and so will Bailey. Cueto will win rookie of the year, Hamilton, and Dunn will stay healthy for a full seaon, Bruce, will take over in mid seaon when Griffey has a castrophic injury, and his left leg litterly falls off. Bruce will have a Francour like debut. Harang will win the Cy Young. Shearn will be the worlds greatest middle reliever and logn man. Phillips will hit 35 homeruns. Thom Brenman will lose his volcal cords in a horrible accident. Stanton will regain his 1998 form. Burton will have 55 saves. Weathers will be a great setup man. Encarnacion will break out. Votto will continue his september production. McBeth, Bray, and Slamon will be lights out, leading to a 6 inning game, with 5 nasty boys in McBeth, Bray, Salmon, Weatehrs, and Burton. Left handers will have a .000 OBA against Coutlangus.

Those are my official 2008 predictions.

by justin0070000 on Sep 30, 2007 2:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

bar keep

I'll have what he's having, lol

"Griffey has a catastrophic injury, and his left leg literally falls off" brilliant!

Hope Springs Eternal! Go Reds

by Caleb on Sep 30, 2007 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

injury?

That sounds like catastrophic leprosy, the worst kind of leprosy there is.

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Sep 30, 2007 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

If you read carefully

he calls it a "Castro-iphic" injury, which I suppose is the sort of leprosy you get rid of then contract willingly a second time for more years and a bigger payout.

"Two Dunn's enter, but only one Dunn will leave...unless neither do because they decide to play cards, drink beer, golf, and fish."--SlydeFrog

by Man Mountain on Oct 1, 2007 12:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

predictions

Damn me and my optimism. 76 wins? pshaw. You may say I'm a dreamer...

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Sep 30, 2007 6:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

but you're not the only one

freakin eigth inning cost us 8-10 wins, lol

Hope Springs Eternal! Go Reds

by Caleb on Sep 30, 2007 8:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

My predictions

I was as optimistic as a lil' kid going to the north pole to see Santa Claus, but then i opened his door and found him snoring on the couch with his hand down his pants.

by The Crushinator on Sep 30, 2007 9:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

predicted standings revisited

http://www.redreporter.com/story/2007/4/1/16387/34214

I really missed on the Dodgers (as did most of us). I wrote "I'm not crazy about the Dodgers, but I really like their depth all the way into the upper minors..." So I definitely would have been right if not for Colleti foolishly blocking the kids.

I think teb7 is the clear winner. If the Padres make it he'll have called 7 of the 8 playoff teams.

NL W NL C NL E
Dbacks Brewers Phillies
*Padres Cubs Mets
Dodgers Cardinals Braves
Rockies Reds Marlins
Giants Astros Nationals
Pirates

AL W AL C AL E
Angels Indians Yankees
Rangers Tigers *Red Sox
A's White Sox Blue Jays
Mariners Twins Orioles
Royals Devil Rays

World Series: Indians over DBacks

by Red Menace on Oct 1, 2007 12:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Dude

Didn't Peter Gammons pick the D-Backs and the Red Sox in the Preseason? You and him did pretty well I didn't

NL East-Mets
NL Central-Brewers
NL West-Padres
Wild Card-Dodgers

AL East-Yankees
AL Central-Detroit
AL West-Angels
AL Wild Card-BoSox

Killer Tucans all the way!!!

by Zach K on Oct 1, 2007 8:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Nate Silver was also 7 out of 8

chalk another one up for the statheads!

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Oct 1, 2007 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Sorry I was not aware about this Blog

Until late July. I definitely would of posted a .500+ season if I had my $.02 worth. I'm an eternal optimistic, I still believe the Hoosier will make a Bowl this year in Football. However, the Issue that surprised me the most was that not one single person chose Bob Dylan as the concert they would of attended.

I don't want to rehash a 6 month old conversation(ok maybe I do), but when Bob Dylan Plugged up at the Newport Folk Festival it changed the whole environment of music itself. The beloved Beatles would of rehashed a song similar to; Help! or I want to Hold your Hand for the rest of their careers. The Stones would of kept making similar songs to Ruby Tuesday and blues covers. Anywho, if Dylan hadn't plugged up the guitar with a semi hostile crowd the summer of 1964 many of the classics that we love may not of come into existence.

Anyways, Playoffs next year and the series in 09'

by gocolts on Oct 1, 2007 5:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Dylan

I have seen Bob in concert 5 times (including my first concert, a graduation present from my older brother), otherwise he would have been ahead of The Police in the "Presently Together" subdivision.

just....wow.

by sidnancy on Oct 1, 2007 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

My Predictions

While my prediction for the Reds' record was unfortunately close, my other prognostication was slightly off.

just....wow.

by sidnancy on Oct 1, 2007 6:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

2007 Projections revisited

You may recall tallying projections before the start of the season for several players. Well, here are our results. Some good (Harang, Dunn) and some bad (Milton, Ross, Griffey):



                  PROJECTED                              ACTUAL

Pitcher   W  L   IP    K  BB  HR   ERA  WHIP  |    W   L     IP    K  BB  HR   ERA  WHIP

Harang   17  9  222  209  52  24  3.54  1.24  |   16   6  231.2  218  52  28  3.73  1.14

Arroyo   13  9  219  166  57  26  3.87  1.27  |    9  15  210.2  156  63  28  4.23  1.40

Milton    9 10  164  103  46  30  4.89  1.34  |    0   4   31.1   18   9   4  5.17  1.53

Lohse    12 10  172  130  54  23  4.56  1.40  |    6  12  131.2   80  33  16  4.58  1.34

Saarloos  5  7  103   50  46  15  5.24  1.47  |    1   5   42.2   27  19   8  7.17  1.71

Belisle   7  6  117   85  40  14  4.55  1.42  |    8   9  177.2  125  43  26  5.32  1.44

Bailey    3  2   56   46  27   4  4.06  1.35  |    4   2   45.1   28  28   3  5.76  1.57



                       PROJECTED                                       ACTUAL

Player          G    R  HR  RBI  SB   AVG   OBP   SLG   |    G    R  HR  RBI  SB   AVG   OBP   SLG

Freel         131   76   7   40  33  .274  .370  .389   |   75   44   3   16  15  .245  .308  .347

Hatteberg     111   50  10   51   2  .275  .372  .417   |  116   50  10   47   0  .310  .394  .474

Griffey       109   64  28   78   0  .270  .334  .522   |  144   78  30   93   6  .277  .372  .496

Phillips      150   77  19   72  25  .279  .341  .441   |  158  107  30   94  32  .288  .331  .485

Encarnacion   143   85  23   90   7  .281  .362  .498   |  139   66  16   76   8  .289  .356  .438

Ross          119   47  21   67   1  .260  .348  .487   |  112   32  17   39   0  .203  .271  .399

Dunn          156  102  45  107   5  .254  .380  .543   |  152  101  40  106   9  .264  .386  .554

Gonzalez      143   59  15   57   5  .261  .316  .415   |  110   55  16   55   0  .272  .325  .468

Conine         78   29   6   32   0  .255  .317  .373   |   80   23   6   32   4  .265  .320  .409

Valentin       92   25  10   34   0  .255  .314  .437   |   97   19   2   34   0  .276  .328  .387

I'm not superstitious...but I am a little stitious.

by Slyde on Oct 2, 2007 10:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs