Baseball Prospectus just posted their PECOTA projection for Josh Hamilton for 2007. Funny, it's kinda close to what I said to a buddy of mine today, although I think his batting average might be a bit lower than this.

I'm really happy for Hamilton so far, and this is one of the few Krivsky acquisitions I've actually liked, but I'm not getting too excited yet. It's spring training, and a small sample size.

Anyway, here's BP's projection.

 BA   OBP  SLG   PA  R  2B  3B  HR  RBI  BB  SO  SB  
.254 .306 .409  330 38  15   1  10   39  21  68   5